When it comes to picking which team will win, it’s actually very easy.. we can just check the stats and see which team is better.
However, the real challenge comes from the odds and the way sportsbooks set the lines. Since most gamblers bet on favorites, the odds are usually adjusted to favor the house. Even if we have a 60% win rate, we can still lose in the long run if we’re always getting low-value odds. So actually the toughest part is choosing the right side based on the point spread because even if your team wins the game, they might fail to cover the spread, meaning you still lose your bet.
This is just the fact. But not only this. If you noticed, some clubs that have very low probability to win will play with strong club sometimes and the club will draw or even win at times. Everybody will be very unhappy that day as they all lose. In long term, the betting sites would win money from almost all their customers. Only small number of people will make money. I do not like betting for this reason because betting is not fun, unlike gambling on casino games which are fun. I only go for one or two matches in sport and not often. However, the real challenge comes from the odds and the way sportsbooks set the lines. Since most gamblers bet on favorites, the odds are usually adjusted to favor the house. Even if we have a 60% win rate, we can still lose in the long run if we’re always getting low-value odds. So actually the toughest part is choosing the right side based on the point spread because even if your team wins the game, they might fail to cover the spread, meaning you still lose your bet.
