The 4years Cylce by Bob lukas | Bitcointalksearch.org

Strongkored

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Honestly I didn't watch the video, the duration is a long enough and sometimes bored the hear/watch people speak

.
I don't believe the expert prediction whatever he said good or vise versa, moreover to choose the investment or decision on trading, not to underestimated them, but I'm more comfort to learn alone and make decision with what I has been to research.
Invest in Bitcoin for long term is profitable, at the very least from 2010 until now.

dothebeats

legendary

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The 4-yr gap between 2013 and 2017 ATH is only for the maximum point of the ATH, and I think this in itself is purely coincidental, unless of course it happens again in 2021. Perhaps this has something to do with the block reward halving since we all know that price movements often happen weeks or months after the block halving took place.

It would be cool to see some really cool figures, and I get where the OP is coming from, but it's too early to state a cycle to be definite especially if it only manifested for two times. 2021 will prove whether the assumption is right or nof. We are in a good month right now so let's see whether this is the start of the said cycle again.

Kemarit

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Quote from: moviebuff777 on January 23, 2020, 01:01:32 PM

I believe in the 4 year cycle of Bitcoin because the halving is scheduled every 4 years and we have seen this impact on the price in the last 2 cycles. It’s just inevitable that the halving is going to I influence the price in a major way every 4 years.

That is the premise in the first place, block halvening every 4 years, so obviously, there could be a big impact on the price. To be honest, I didn't watched the video but I would just like to comment based on my experienced in the crypto sphere.

Yes, we can claim that the market's data is not that sufficient to say that there is indeed a 4 year cycle, but I tend to believed that crypto investors are somewhat influence by it and to some extend happened, just like what we see in 2017.

btc78

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Eloncoin.org - Mars, here we come!

even how great you are in trading you will always need to have options so that strategy is advisable at some point but not all the way.
daytraders risk their investment but in the end making profit.
also those in semi long term investments are coming luck in weeks or months so what i mean here?strategy will be good in some but not in others,but thanks for the sharing i may consider studying this because it seems to be good in some ways.

rijaljun

sr. member

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Quote from: hugeblack on January 25, 2020, 11:31:30 AM

I don't listen to those who claim to be YouTube analysts because most of them want to profit from selling these ads or marketing counterfeit currencies.

I am wondering, do you know Bob Loukas? I also doubt that you have completely watched the video.

Quote from: hugeblack on January 25, 2020, 11:31:30 AM

Investing in Bitcoin in the long term is very profitable even if no strategy is followed.
If you are a bad luck who has invested an amount of money every month since 2017, "the worst losses", you can still make some profits by the end of the year. So you are the winner so far.

I should agree that following other's strategy might be bad and better to use your own strategy but being denial is way worse than listening to succesful person. Also, investing in anything blindly is very stupid behavior even though it's Bitcoin and you could only be a winner of luck, not as a wise investor.

Jating

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Quote from: hugeblack on January 25, 2020, 11:31:30 AM

I don't listen to those who claim to be YouTube analysts because most of them want to profit from selling these ads or marketing counterfeit currencies.
Investing in Bitcoin in the long term is very profitable even if no strategy is followed.
If you are a bad luck who has invested an amount of money every month since 2017, "the worst losses", you can still make some profits by the end of the year. So you are the winner so far.

Exactly, so far I haven't heard or seen some Youtube analysts who doesn't want to take profit. So you will clearly see behind that they have all the reasons to sell their analyst in whichever form they want.

Bitcoin market is still fairly young, it's hard to conclude that the four year cycle works except that we have halving every 4 years obviously. And there is where it get's tricky, since the market is still on its infancy, can we clearly say that it is going to be the pattern in the next four years?

hugeblack

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I don't listen to those who claim to be YouTube analysts because most of them want to profit from selling these ads or marketing counterfeit currencies.
Investing in Bitcoin in the long term is very profitable even if no strategy is followed.
If you are a bad luck who has invested an amount of money every month since 2017, "the worst losses", you can still make some profits by the end of the year. So you are the winner so far.

rijaljun

sr. member

Activity: 1274

Merit: 267

Quote from: puertorikosena on January 25, 2020, 04:16:55 AM

When I first found out what cryptocurrencies are, I watched videos of people who gave predictions about the price. Then I realized that it’s impossible to guess exactly where the price will go. It is best to make decisions to trade or invest yourself, without relying on anyone's opinion.

The question is have you really watched the whole video mentioned by OP? Or just suddenly came here to spam signature without watching and trying to understand what is in the video?

1Referee

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Quote from: Darooghe on January 24, 2020, 06:04:43 AM

In general idea, the next halvening is already priced in, But I would to say, If the 3rd halvening is already priced in, I am sure the 4th and 5th isn't priced in yet.

In crypto land 4 years is like 100 years in legacy market land. In that regard, it's pretty safe to say that the halving after the halving this year is not priced in.

I personally do not believe the current halving is priced in fully, but even if so, it's extremely lucrative to initiate a rally beforehand because it immediately makes people believe that we're having a halving pump. This pump I however do not deem sustainable and will very likely be sold off to levels that are more in line with the current mini uptrend.

It doesn't take all that much money for institutions to shake up the market and then sell the news. Every major event in the more recent years has been sold just before/after happening.

puertorikosena

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When I first found out what cryptocurrencies are, I watched videos of people who gave predictions about the price. Then I realized that it’s impossible to guess exactly where the price will go. It is best to make decisions to trade or invest yourself, without relying on anyone's opinion.

beerlover

legendary

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Looking at bitcoin cycles has always been a thing in peoples minds, maybe some people are still looking at less than 4 years because honestly 4 years is a very long time, however there are still people doing that all the time.

The difference is, if you want to look at yearly cycles (which is the most common one) you are probably a long term buyer, you are not looking at one year intervals because you want to buy now and sell at night, you are looking at it because you want to invest and forget since that is literally what the chart will tell you to do. That is why people do look at the yearly cycles, okay maybe not 4 year ones but at least yearly ones but they are very rare since there are not many people who go "I shall not touch my bitcoins for 5+ years but also would like to know the previous yearly cycles as well to destine when I should buy too" type, surely a lot less who do it for 4 year cycles as well which is a lot more rare than yearly ones.

Darooghe

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In general idea, the next halvening is already priced in, But I would to say, If the 3rd halvening is already priced in, I am sure the 4th and 5th isn't priced in yet. So buy and HODL strong. nothing can stop bitcoin from another bull run. However, by Assuming we follow the same cycle then we should expect about a year of slow but steady growth, therefore bitcoin would double in this year, with the more explosive run happening approximately in next year. There's still a lot of large players in the crypto game and they aren't going to sit on the sidelines to watching bitcoin into these low prices definitely.

rijaljun

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Quote from: Sassee on January 23, 2020, 07:38:31 AM

I am sharing this here because I think too many people send so much time trading hourly, weekly and daily charts but dont trade the long term i.e Cycle.

This perseptive from Bob lukas will by help you look at bitcoin from a long term views.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PZvOhJYW_Hw

Other follow up videos also available on his channel.

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0zGwzu0zzCImC1BwPuWyXQ

I dunno what's the point of creating this thread, thank you for sharing this but I feel this video is way too late to get shared cause the video is almost a year old even though this might be useful until today but, there could be a little changes on that view.

moviebuff777

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I believe in the 4 year cycle of Bitcoin because the halving is scheduled every 4 years and we have seen this impact on the price in the last 2 cycles. It’s just inevitable that the halving is going to I influence the price in a major way every 4 years.

Asmonist

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I haven't viewed the videos yet. I think this is somehow helpful and just something to ponder into. Everyone have different predictions and by its nature there is no assurance for everything. For me, I appreciate these predictions but personally I'm setting up my mind that what I have now is a blessing and the next years or so are all gifts. Its not bad to dream and set goals but for crypto world its huge and complicated and at the same time exciting.

Oilacris

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Sorry to burst it up but im not really that fan on reading up some market cycle thing.Why? There were countless analysis out there telling that he market would
really have that kind of cycle.Remember on talking about that Death cross or Golden Cross thingy? Did it really able to follow such thing?
No one can predict on what would be the future prices with BTC.

Sassee

newbie

Activity: 22

Merit: 1

I am sharing this here because I think too many people send so much time trading hourly, weekly and daily charts but dont trade the long term i.e Cycle.

This perseptive from Bob lukas will by help you look at bitcoin from a long term views.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PZvOhJYW_Hw

Other follow up videos also available on his channel.

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0zGwzu0zzCImC1BwPuWyXQ

Topic: The 4years Cylce by Bob lukas (Read 235 times)