Bitcoin, though about to celebrate its first decade of existence next year 2018, by all comparison especially with the fiat money, is still considered a relatively very young form of currency or a store of value (you can take a pick or get the two) and we are now witnessing its own evolution and dynamism.
We have been told of the many risks that Bitcoin can be facing today and then into its future. But what is the biggest risk that Bitcoin is currently facing? Aside from government intervention (just like what China did in September), one of the other big risks is the governance within Bitcoin.
There is no question that regulatory risk is obviously visible on many countries where Bitcoin got into. We had witnessed this in China and even South Korea as well as insignificant countries are also closely looking at Bitcoin maybe for clamping down. There are always regulatory risk involved but I think that governance is the greatest risk to Bitcoin and other decentralized entities. Right now, Bitcoin is governed by exit. There’s a consensus mechanism but when people disagree on consensus, they have three choices: Just suck it up, get away from Bitcoin or sell or they can get into the open source code and fork it.
People in Bitcoin know what forking is. We are facing here the technical risk and community risk. The Segwit2X debate, which could result in a hard fork this November 18, is highlighting the possible risk involved in the governance by exit.
We are experiencing the so-called Balkanization (fragmentation or division) of Bitcoin is not good for the future of Bitcoin and the whole cryptocurrency community.