Definitely cannot watch the full video at one go, but with the first 5 to 10 minutes, it looks promising to be an educative video, and not one which is simply made to be sensational and attract lots of attention. A YouTuber who I can revisit for the contents.
Bob Loukas creates videos for education and learning purposes, he doesn't create a video just to hype anything but rather share his experience and knowledge about the market. Anyway, this four-year cycle stated by Bob Loukas marks four-year intervals from cycle low to cycle low. [1] This means halving and all time high is somewhere in between of this cycle.
Every speculation on what stage we are in, with the transition from bull to bear, and back to bull could potentially be correct and has it's own merit. I cannot determine if we have seen the bottom and now only have one way to go, or if there would be future drops, or if we would have a dead cat bounce and then a prolonged dip.
True, each one of us has our own understanding of the Bitcoin cycle, basically, no one is wrong in this case cycle. It is that Bob Loukas's 4-year cycle and price analysis and prediction are more accurate than others.
and, I admire this guy for being humble.
But as he (Bob Loukas) writes in his bio, “my crystal ball is often wrong,” which means investors should use his cycle theory only as a guide for how the market could play out. Nevertheless, his model portfolio, which includes 30 BTC, currently has a net profit of 4,100%. That’s what you get for buying at the lows and accumulating more during major capitulation events, such as the March 2020 liquidation crisis.
[1]
https://cointelegraph.com/top-people-in-crypto-and-blockchain-2022/bob-loukas
