Author

Topic: The FED buys securities because, you know, the weather was too bad (Read 1516 times)

legendary
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1080
I agree, but does the Fed even need to justify it with a proper reason?

That's pretty much the point I was trying to make with this thread.  Instead of invoking the weather, they'd rather not try to justify themselves at all.

"We print money because the weather was too bad"  Come on.
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
Weighted companion cube
Weather and climate certainly is a factor in the economy. It might sound ridiculous at first, but think about it.

It is a factor in the economy, but it's ridiculous to deal with it by printing money.
I agree, but does the Fed even need to justify it with a proper reason? Nobody can really stop them from printing USD, like all other central banks that are independent from the government.
legendary
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1080
Weather and climate certainly is a factor in the economy. It might sound ridiculous at first, but think about it.

It is a factor in the economy, but it's ridiculous to deal with it by printing money.
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
Weighted companion cube
Unless you have:

. A giant wall of water hurtling towards you and crushing everything in it's path

. A risk of a nuclear meltdown engulfing a sizeable portion of a country in green light because of said weather

. The earth ripping itself apart underneath your feet

. A swirling mass of cylindrical pressurised death coming towards you

. A giant ball of ash floating in the direction of your airport


Then the weather is no excuse.
Weather and climate certainly is a factor in the economy. It might sound ridiculous at first, but think about it.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
To be fair, there is a logic behind this.  I guess, in some perverted way, you can indeed solve any problem by printing some money.

Let's say you want to find the Higgs Boson  (random example).  How could it be possible that you can do such an extraordinary accomplishment by just printing money?

Well, it's easy.  First, you need brain power.  And this, you have.  Thousands of people all around the word are smart enough to imagine a way to detect a Higgs Boson.  The problem is that it's difficult for them to convince other people (workers, engineers,...) to build a machine capable of doing that.

The solution:  just print the money and give it to the smart people.  They will give it to workers in order to convince them to build the machine.  The workers don't know that this money has been freshly printed.  Or they don't care, as long as they can give it to someone who will not care either.   At the end, people accept to work for a money that has been devaluated, and I'm not sure they always realize that.  Basically, the whole thing is either a fraud if you disagree with it, or an illusion if you think it's just the magic of monetary policies.

To me, it's a fraud, nothing else than money counterfeiting.   It should be a crime, even when the FED does it, and even if it's smart, good intended people who benefit from it.
The process you described has a name - central planning.

It's the same economic theory that is unequivocally debunked, first by Mises, and then by the utter failure of every centrally-planned economy.

The only reason Western governments haven't gone the route of the USSR yet is because they've been sipping the poison instead of chugging it.

All economies become partially planned if big enough.
A country cannot survive if there is no multi-year planning for lots of things, for instance food crops or energy consumption.
If you can't feed your people they will revolt and your country breaks down. It is that simple.
In reality there is a wide field of stability between completely planned and not planned at all.

The only reasonable choice in our universe is to have stability (planning/structure) on one side and chaos (unplanned/free) on the other.
That is the only way to gain flexibility while protecting the process as a whole.
And in fact all (successfull) systems in the universe follow this principle.
If a structure/system is too rigid it cannot interact with its environment (too much planning).
If a structure/system is too chaotic it cannot maintain its form and will disintegrate (no planning/complete freedom).

This is just the nature of our universe and we need to find a balance between these factors.
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1013
To be fair, there is a logic behind this.  I guess, in some perverted way, you can indeed solve any problem by printing some money.

Let's say you want to find the Higgs Boson  (random example).  How could it be possible that you can do such an extraordinary accomplishment by just printing money?

Well, it's easy.  First, you need brain power.  And this, you have.  Thousands of people all around the word are smart enough to imagine a way to detect a Higgs Boson.  The problem is that it's difficult for them to convince other people (workers, engineers,...) to build a machine capable of doing that.

The solution:  just print the money and give it to the smart people.  They will give it to workers in order to convince them to build the machine.  The workers don't know that this money has been freshly printed.  Or they don't care, as long as they can give it to someone who will not care either.   At the end, people accept to work for a money that has been devaluated, and I'm not sure they always realize that.  Basically, the whole thing is either a fraud if you disagree with it, or an illusion if you think it's just the magic of monetary policies.

To me, it's a fraud, nothing else than money counterfeiting.   It should be a crime, even when the FED does it, and even if it's smart, good intended people who benefit from it.
The process you described has a name - central planning.

It's the same economic theory that is unequivocally debunked, first by Mises, and then by the utter failure of every centrally-planned economy.

The only reason Western governments haven't gone the route of the USSR yet is because they've been sipping the poison instead of chugging it.
legendary
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1080
To be fair, there is a logic behind this.  I guess, in some perverted way, you can indeed solve any problem by printing money.

Let's say you want to find the Higgs Boson  (random example).  How could it be possible that you can do such an extraordinary accomplishment by just printing money?

Well, it's easy.  First, you need brain power.  And this, you have.  Thousands of people all around the word are smart enough to imagine a way to detect a Higgs Boson.  The problem is that it's difficult for them to convince other people (workers, engineers,...) to build a machine capable of doing that.

The solution:  just print the money and give it to the smart people.  They will give it to workers in order to convince them to build the machine.  The workers don't know that this money has been freshly printed.  Or they don't care, as long as they can give it to someone who will not care either.   At the end, people accept to work for a money that has been devaluated, and I'm not sure they always realize that.  Basically, the whole thing is either a fraud if you disagree with it, or an illusion if you think it's just the magic of monetary policies.

To me, it's a fraud, nothing else than money counterfeiting.   It should be a crime, even when the FED does it, and even if it's smart, good intended people who benefit from it.
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
Kind of you to say, Snapsunny.

I'm going to randomly answer "Better print some money!" tomorrow to anyone that brings me a problem to solve.
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1003

That would make a catchy song.

You're right. Oddly, I'm a songwriter. Thanks for making me take a second look at my own stuff. Smiley

No wonder you have such a way with words, then Grin
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250

That would make a catchy song.

You're right. Oddly, I'm a songwriter. Thanks for making me take a second look at my own stuff. Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1003
Whenever you want to print money, any excuse will do.

Bernanke has gas. Better print some money.

Sunrise at 06:35. Better print some money.

Look at the time! Better print some money.

Wife yelled at me this morning. Better print some money.

Entrail reading was positive. Better print some money.

That would make a catchy song.
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
Whenever you want to print money, any excuse will do.

Bernanke has gas. Better print some money.

Sunrise at 06:35. Better print some money.

Look at the time! Better print some money.

Wife yelled at me this morning. Better print some money.

Entrail reading was positive. Better print some money.
legendary
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1080
Yes, the 'fucking' weather has a huge impact on local and global economies.

Of course.  And obviously the solution to solve this is to print money.   Roll Eyes    Paper is magic.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
Unless you have:

. A giant wall of water hurtling towards you and crushing everything in it's path

. A risk of a nuclear meltdown engulfing a sizeable portion of a country in green light because of said weather

. The earth ripping itself apart underneath your feet

. A swirling mass of cylindrical pressurised death coming towards you

. A giant ball of ash floating in the direction of your airport


Then the weather is no excuse.

Right, because the economy is only affected by non-existent catastrophies.
Enjoy your cluelesness while you can!  Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1000
Unless you have:

. A giant wall of water hurtling towards you and crushing everything in it's path

. A risk of a nuclear meltdown engulfing a sizeable portion of a country in green light because of said weather

. The earth ripping itself apart underneath your feet

. A swirling mass of cylindrical pressurised death coming towards you

. A giant ball of ash floating in the direction of your airport


Then the weather is no excuse.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
The fucking weather? Tell me this isn't real!

Have you ever considered what effects the weather has on the transport sector?
Or the tourism sector?
Or what compro01 mentions?

Yes, the 'fucking' weather has a huge impact on local and global economies.
hero member
Activity: 590
Merit: 500
Bad weather wrecks crops, houses, infrastructure, etc.  This can have non-trivial short term effects.
full member
Activity: 214
Merit: 100
1 storm in a century and they panic.
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1000
The fucking weather? Tell me this isn't real!
legendary
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1080

Quote
The Federal Reserve will keep purchasing securities at the rate of $85 billion a month after the economy paused because of temporary forces including bad weather.

“Growth in economic activity paused in recent months in large part because of weather-related disruptions and other transitory factors,”
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-01-30/fed-maintains-85-billion-pace-of-purchases-as-growth-pauses.html


Whenever you want to print money, any excuse will do.
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