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Topic: The next difficulty is estimated to change by 265.86% to 40,929,652 on block #24 (Read 2151 times)

newbie
Activity: 27
Merit: 0
It's looking like difficulty will be stable at least through the next change.  The drop in BTC price probably had something to do with that, since it made a whole bunch of miner's unprofitable, and thus were taken off line.  If the BTC price stays around $100 or drops even further, difficulty will likely remain stable or more linear and less exponential, at least until all the unprofitable GPU's go offline and BFL ASIC's start getting turned on en masse.
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
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Bitcoin Mining Calculator

NOTE: The BTC per block award dropped from 50 to 25 BTC per block November 28th, 2012. (source)

The current mining difficulty is 11,187,257. The next difficulty is estimated to change by 265.86% to 40,929,652 on block #243,935. That should be 1 weeks 6 days 5 hours 12 mins 18 seconds from now.



is these possible?Huh
or not?Huh

No
newbie
Activity: 14
Merit: 0
The current mining difficulty is 11,187,257. The next difficulty is estimated to change by 265.86% to 40,929,652 on block #243,935. That should be 1 weeks 6 days 5 hours 12 mins 18 seconds from now.
is these possible
or not

You make mistakes with your math i think. Now difficulty is 19.3M. not very likely to have 265.86% difficulty increase for next cycle.
hero member
Activity: 516
Merit: 500
newbie
Activity: 36
Merit: 0
I can loose 1 btc if the diff not max so much in one week we will know and I think that the news will be bad

Dude...you and Chicken Little need to get out more...easy, a dose of ridilin and you should be good.
sr. member
Activity: 362
Merit: 250
Every site that estimates next difficulty does so by calculating how many blocks have been found since the last difficulty change. So if the first few blocks after a change are found faster than 10 mins, the estimate will be way off. If you check a site like allchains, currently it is showing the measured blocks for this round at 0.60%. That means it only measured that many blocks out of 2016. As this number approaches 100% the estimate for next difficulty will be 100% accurate. These post pop every time difficulty changes...
legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1004
I can loose 1 btc if the diff not max so much in one week we will know and I think that the news will be bad
sr. member
Activity: 298
Merit: 250
Play2Live pre-sale starts on January 25th
http://bitclockers.com/miningcalculator

here and every time these calculator find the next difficulty
exactly

I don't know this website, but it's not very good.  I don't know why you would trust the prediction when it doesn't even have the correct current difficulty.

The current mining difficulty is 11,187,257. The next difficulty is estimated to change by 99.89% to 22,362,456 on block #243,935. That should be 1 weeks 6 days 13 hours 34 mins 48 seconds from now.

This is different from the statement in your OP and it doesn't even make sense because difficulty hasn't been 11million since over 2 weeks and I assure you it is currently over 19 million.

legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
http://bitclockers.com/miningcalculator


here and every time these calculator find the next difficulty
exactly

You need to check around a bit more. Here is a good place to start https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Difficulty.
legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1004
http://bitclockers.com/miningcalculator


here and every time these calculator find the next difficulty
exactly
sr. member
Activity: 298
Merit: 250
Play2Live pre-sale starts on January 25th

Bitcoin Mining Calculator

NOTE: The BTC per block award dropped from 50 to 25 BTC per block November 28th, 2012. (source)

The current mining difficulty is 11,187,257. The next difficulty is estimated to change by 265.86% to 40,929,652 on block #243,935. That should be 1 weeks 6 days 5 hours 12 mins 18 seconds from now.


Where are you getting your information?
Current difficulty is 15,605,633
Next difficulty estimate (soon) is 19,318,762
www.bitcoindifficulty.com
legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1004

Bitcoin Mining Calculator

NOTE: The BTC per block award dropped from 50 to 25 BTC per block November 28th, 2012. (source)

The current mining difficulty is 11,187,257. The next difficulty is estimated to change by 265.86% to 40,929,652 on block #243,935. That should be 1 weeks 6 days 5 hours 12 mins 18 seconds from now.



is these possible?Huh
or not?Huh
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