Topic: The odds we can get on our side. (Read 354 times)

Not only we have more data available about any topic we may be interested than at any other point in history, but it is likely we have more data than all points of history combined.

A massive advantage without a doubt but it is also a problem, as making sense of that data is quite difficult, since finding patterns you can exploit as a sport bettor is not only time consuming, even if you could find those patterns, casinos can do so as well and prevent you from exploiting them by adjusting their odds.

Experienced bettors and those who play for profit or for both, will never disregard the odds. Odds are a crucial part for their success, that is why. Odds can also make your winnings far away from you, in exchange of earning a better profit. Checking the weather is part of an analysis but it's more of an advance one or the ones who does this are very serious to win, since some can disregard it as they think the weather can rarely change, and then both teams may or may not be affected with it.

It is still hard to tell in short if who will win on them only because the weather suddenly changes from good to bad or from bad to good. The next that you said mainly about the team are only common because they are more proven to have an impact on the game.

Bet a sport you know is the first and major rule to me because if you dont have a great interest outside the bet you will end up tripping up on hopes that are not realistic.  I agree with some of what you say about the various factors altering the dynamics to whether you might win or not and some bets should be avoided, some bets are poor value or just too random imo.

In my case, when I analyze the games I pay attention to many factors, but first I look at the position of each team in the table, then I look at the quality of each team's squad, then I look at the performance of each team in the last 5 games, be it the last 5 games at home or away. In this part of the performance I look at how many wins, defeats, draws each team had in the last 5 games and how many goals each team scored and conceded in the last 5 games and in what circumstances they lost, drew or won. This is because there are many cases in which a team is only strong when they play with certain players on the team, so it is necessary to observe whenever that team plays whether they will be playing with a stronger squad than they have or not.

With this important data, then you just need to look at the defense of each team in order to know which players were on defense when the team lost and conceded how many goals, this way it is possible to predict whether this team with a weak defense and playing with the The same squad that lost in past games will be able to win or not. Of course, this analysis is suitable for simple bets with decent odds, something like odds above 1.70, in the case of multibet bets this same form of analysis is also used, but with some modifications because I don't know who will play, so I'm counting on the luck

If you do really want to bet on sports and have good chance about it, it is indeed advisable to bet on a sports that you are most familiar and most comfortable with. The knowledge about the sports will give you an edge when choosing the best odds. Also, if you know the players very well, you can speculate their performance for that particular game, hence, understanding the odds provided by bookies and select which particular betting line will give you more edge.

You don't need to bet the major betting line of who will win or lose, but like for example in basketball - there are so many betting lines (actually one of the sports where you can find a long list of betting lines for a single match) that you can choose from, just consider every quarter of the game, their total scores, over/under, winning margin, etc. I believe in time, you will understand yourself more on which ones you are good at, and exhaust its potential to your advantage.

The odds in sports betting can fluctuate based on various factors. These factors can include changes in team performance, player injuries, weather conditions, and other unforeseen events that may influence the outcome of a sports match or event. Bookmakers continuously adjust the odds to reflect the changing circumstances and to balance their books that ensure they maintain a profit margin regardless of the outcome.

Bettors need to stay informed and monitor these changes in odds, because they can provide valuable insights into the perceived likelihood of different outcomes. Being able to analyze and interpret these fluctuations can help bettors make more informed decisions and potentially identify betting opportunities where the odds may be mispriced or offer value.

The first thing first is to make sure you risk your money on something you know a lot about, if you are a basketball fan it's safer to risk your money on basketball matches, don't look into football just because your labour next door is also football, many people are doing this that I know about, and once losses start happening they will go back to what they already know about, it's nothing but greed.

Sports bet requires some good follow up and analysis, this will increase your chances of winning, because you will be able to be a better predictor compare to someone who knows nothing about football and still decide to take risks of football matches, it's not a good gambling strategy.

I will also like to state the pure fact, you need to be careful what you are risking on gambling even as a good gambler that you are trying to be, those who place bets based on analysis still lose money, you will be wrong at times and you might be lucky at times, this is what gambling is all about, continue to risk only what you can afford to lose, this is what makes you a better gambler.

In football betting there are actually very profitable options with big odds such as getting double chances and BTTS combined into one option.
on my favorite site this option is called a special bet and I'm not sure what other people call it but I often use this option when I want to use a single bet and here's an example.



like Valencia vs Real Madrid if according to our predictions Valencia can score but Real Madrid will win we can choose to bet on Valencia/Real Madrid & Yes to get odds @2.8
for me, this is the easiest option because it increases our chances of winning, but we still have to look at the condition of both teams first.

In response to the op, this indeed is a very nice thread, and a very thoughtful idea overall, amazing enough, I've never really thought or put into consideration most of the ideas suggested in the op, most especially in the area of sports betting where there are three possible outcomes instead of two, which indeed reduces the chances of winning, I've as funny and noob as this may seem to many, I've always thought why some gamblers bet on over and under; in sports betting when they can simply bet on the match to win, or the match to end in a draw, we learn everyday right? This is one of those new lessons for me today  .

And speaking of what other ideas to improve the outcome of our games in sports betting, I have no other than the already known one which is for gamblers to only bet on sports games they are very familier with, since sports betting is more of a knowledge based game, sports knowledge is one of the prerequisite to winning most of our sports betting games, so, bettors are advice to always invest time in learning more in sports, not just investing money on bets, for without good sports knowledge, chnaces of winning sports bets are lower.

"Luck" yes, this has quite a big role in all types of gambling that we do, it's just that when we talk about sports betting we don't just talk about the luck factor, because we have careful analytical skills and are able to make rational betting decisions. This is quite important because it can determine what the final result of the bet will be, win or lose. And no matter how careful we are in carrying out the analysis, this is not a guarantee that every time we place a bet we will get a win, we do this to increase the chances of getting a win, and also to avoid making irrational decisions or in other words betting. haphazardly. And when someone only relies on the luck factor, this can allow that individual to bet carelessly.

And it is true that the odds in gambling are not fixed and can change over time. because there may be several unexpected factors that can change the flow of the sports match, so that this will affect the final result of the bet we place.

I truly believe "data is king". Use the huge seas of data accessible to guide you in this digital age. I mean beyond surface stats. Investigate weather, past head-to-heads, and social media sentiment for unexpected insights. The key is discovering patterns in chaos, friend.

Truth: "timing is everything." Bet timing might be as important as the bet itself. Taking advantage of changing odds needs awareness and skill. When and what you bet can change the game. So there's my pot contribution. The house may always have the edge, but we can play intelligently. Lets enjoy betting and playing. Fellow strategist, may the chances be ever-in-your-favour.

It's not surprising how your steps will make the odds get on our side because the conclusion is you're asking people to bet on favorite team/player, the winning percentage would be high, but the odds is small and not worth to risk.

It's not that I disagree with your opinion, but you mentioned "weather" to be used to predict a match, but when I check your post history, you didn't even use weather to forecast the result. Stop recommend something when you didn't even try or use it.

Since the odds cannot be the same every time. That is why we can't get it all right in one place. And gambling should be dependent on odd but rather should be evaluated based on the performance and analysis. If it is sports betting, a gambler needs to know the past and current performance of both teams. And also understand the benefits of the present or absence of a particular player.

If there were a consistent strategy that works in gambling. Most gamblers by now should be millionaires or billionaires. Gambling is luck, predicting odds that works is part of luck as well.

It would have been more easy o n us to be wining if we had understand the various means that we can adopt to help us have a better chances on winning than loosing when we are gambling, this also means that we have been so focused in one direction than we can do to expand the opportunity for winning through t=our gambling strategies, odds applied and the final decision we are taking in it, all these are what should work for us more better than we do see when we are not been mindful of them.

To get the odds on your side some of the suggestions that I want to make are what we all know. Simply bet what you can afford to lose and as  Oshosondy will always emphasize, it should be between 1% - 5% of your income. Secondly, focus your bets on sports where you possess ample knowledge. For instance, in football, prioritize leagues you're well-versed in, such as the Premier League rather than the Ligue 1 or the Saudi League ot the American Leauge irrespective of star player Messi or Ronaldo playing there. Lastly, refrain from hastily increasing your betting unit size, even during a winning streak.

Excellent topic, doing these small analyzes already reduces the risk a lot and increases the probability of the bet being successful, every good bettor always has to keep an eye on everything that happens behind the scenes of a club or athlete, everything can influence and change the  result

Even though betting is luck, we need the odds in our favor.

Not really like I believe even in soccer game, there exit two options in the variables of options inside a particular option. Like if you have draw no bet, then you have succeeded in choosing one side excluding draw in the game. Well that is what I am thinking to say that is also part of having two options to choose from like the table tennis that Op used as example while making his post.

Interestingly I concur with you OP. To my worse behavior I I am not attentive to game predictive analyzers but here you caught me. Lol
Although with all Said, being lucky is still involved.
There are little privileges for hosts to win with a home advantage and there are some sports matches that the teams fears not even if the looses, it is either they have secured a valuable position or don't have to stress much because even if they wins they are still coming down to home for not qualifying at the tournament.

Also, predicting on the kind of games with a two optional of having just one side to win or what side to lose is better of games with multiple options just as said, win loose or draws.

This method can help, but it can still go both ways because even if a team doesn't have anything to play, they could still pull an upset to end their season on a high note while the other team that needs to win could crumble through the immense pressure to win.

One method i'd like to add to that list is live betting on favorites. You can secure better odds through live betting on a few favorites if you know they have a slow playstyle. Even though it doesn't work every time, it's still a decent alternative if you're very confident in a team that usually delivers on the later half of the match.

I have Bluetooth for betting more on lawn tennis now I see a reason why they do so, and it makes sense to bet on a game with either a win or loose outcome.

People consider this a lot which is the home advantage but it does not always favor them because sometimes especially in football the home team may perform very well but still end up loosing the game, or the whole team may just perform poorly and lose the game to the disappointment of the home crowd, so as much as this is significant, it does not really always counts that much.

In a team where the players are also highly disciplined and collectively hungry to win, they're good pick to bet on the win games because even in games where they're losing they will refuse to stay losing and stay fighting to the end.

I usually try to watch all the matches, and even if I can't watch them all, I try to watch the highlights. Because it's hard for me to make predictions about a team I haven't watched. But still, I always look at the win and loss statistics. Because I think they give more detailed information about the overall performance of the teams. When I look at those statistics, I think I understand better what level the teams are at. Your topic is very good. Your advice to bet on sporting events with a two-probability outcome rather than sports with a three-probability outcome is also very important. But I like football matches more and I bet on football matches to make them more enjoyable, so your over/under advice is valuable for me. Thank you very much.

I'm short some sports are easy to understand and easier to choose where team we are going to support that can win in the end. Such us in football  as long as we are following them from eliminations to finals. The. We can predict the outcome of our bet. But in some other games we don't know what's the right thing to do and right thing when we gonna make. Doe those in sports betting we can say that team are too good for our bet cause they will have a good lineup as well.

Historical head-to-heads are gold; I say, "Know your history to predict the future." Due to past experiences, teams and players often have psychological advantages. My friends, this is human nature, not stats.

Weather - how frequently we underestimate Mother Nature! Wind, rain, and extreme temperatures can affect outdoor sports. I cannot stress enough: check the weather before betting.

Injuries and roster rotation are key. The latest team news is always on my radar. A key player missing or a coach shifting the squad for a less important match can change the odds. Reading between the team sheet lines.

Keep this list expanding. Since the devil's in the details, sports betting specifics are our closest friends.

Our approach hardly scrapes gambling's ocean. Starting with binary outcomes is simple. Tennis eliminates draws, but what about variables? Surface type, player tiredness, and recent injuries complicate binary guesses

Now, home advantage. Yes, but what about overconfidence, the silent killer? Or underdog spirit? They reverse scripts. Performance dynamics, while valid, are more complex than age. Mental resilience, rebound, and adaptation are crucial. Motivation has pros and cons. A team may not require a win, but what about individual glory? Contract negotiations? Your request for additions? Example: psychological warfare. Teammates utilize mind games, press comments, and social media to intimidate opponents. Ever considered that? Gambling goes beyond chances and facts. Understanding the human behind the data

I can't remember where, the example was based on horse racing: I read last week that there was a way to win money no matter what place the horses achieved in the race, betting on several horses different amounts adjusted to each one's odds.

Theoretically the system was flawless, but I doubt whether it can be done in modern gambling services platforms where odds are adjusted with algorithms that leave no room for error.

I actually made a thread for some persons to give one predictions for any match they are sure about for a week, and most people wrote it off and gave all the excuses they wanted to give.

It would have been very easy for someone that doesn't know how to or doesn't have time to make predictions to take some picks from there, but I think most of them were right expecially the guy that said if people started losing they might want to blame others for their loses even if the rules were that simple.

Betting is not just about luck most of the time and you really have to analyze so you can know when you will bet and at what risk you're getting into. The chance of winning in betting though are more high since you are betting on who will win at what the score range is, not unlike in other gambling games where pure luck is all you need before you win a good profit. If you're into betting, its also important to understand how the odds works.

I would also add the factor of team motivation here. I mean that sometimes in some matches, the team has already achieved a result, for example, leaving the group, and they have the last match left, which does not solve anything for them, that is, if they lose, as well as if they win, they will remain in the same place. In such situations, the team sometimes releases a non-first team to protect players from injury, or the team does not play at 100% of its capabilities, because they previously ensured the result for themselves. While a weaker team can play against them, but which still has a chance to rise higher in the group and reach the playoffs if they beat a strong team. Such matches are sometimes unpredictable

Yeah. Jumping into a sport with limited odds might not be everyone's jam. Like if tennis isn't your turf, it's probably better to stick to what you know like football. And yeah those bookies, they've got their tricks with odds, right? It's like a game within the game. So sticking to your game, the one you're good at, sounds like a solid plan. Keep rocking those bets with what you know and may the wins keep rolling in

Just as you stated in the initials of your comments, knowledge is all there is to have a more constant winning in any sport of your choice than just sitting on luck alone. You can be lucky but not all the times while in the time knowledge is always there as a hedge if only you can use it based on the extent you know about the particular sport you're still going to have a 50/50 chance of winning as in this case you have luck and knowledge put together unlike the former which you @AbuBhaKar only depend on luck alone.

Most certainly, the more conversant you are and the more knowledge you have about a particular sport,, the more equipped you are to make informed predictions and choices about the games.
As you mentioned above, there are often many different betting options available for each game and knowing the ins and outs of the sport gives you a much higher and greater advantage to know which options and odds to bet on that'll give you the best chances of winning. It's more like doing your homework before a test, the more knowledge you have the better you'll do.

Addition: Consider the timeline they are playing. If they hosted from the East then suddenly they will play in the West the next day. This will affect their body because they don't have enough rest.
Another addition to that. Check out their schedule if they are playing a rough week. If every game was so close that they played too hard on their past games then their next game is not just a weak team but one of the top 5 in the league who had a better schedule than them.
Confidence building should also be taken into account. If a team/player keeps on winning in a streak, might as well bet for him/them. High confidence could mean a lot and one of those is playing great on his next few games until they get exhausted.

That's a lot of things to check but it enhances our chance to win. So for those who really want to win a bet, this should be done. The 50 percent chance may grow to 60 or 70 which is a good thing. Parlay makers on the other hand might not have that time to do all the research but do imagine if you hit all the lines and how much multiplier you can get in one bet. Cheap but very profitable.

I do like watching football but I don't have enough time to start doing all those important analysis, I have a home to take care and I have a business that takes most of my time per day.

For someone like me I just take risks that I can handle if anything bad happens, I do get your points and they are correct, if one choose a sport that they are so into, it will be easy to figure out some things that others can't.

If you want to start betting on a sports game, make sure it's your favourite, the type that you are so into, love watching the most, don't follow a game because your friend is making the best money from the game.

And mind you, always risk only what you can afford to use, don't say because you now understand the game very well, so you can risk any amount of money, gambling has no guarantee.

Knowledge of betting can only be sharpened if one keeps following the sport they would or find easy to bet on.
For football betting, if one if conversant with the rules of the league he/she wants to bet on, and can read and followup statistics of the teams on the table in the league, it might make picking odds and placing bet quite easier too.

The players who are in form and perhaps star of the team in any of the league and team they play for, can help me make a good bet like first/second half win, first/second/full time draw. If the team was to play with a either a stronger or much weaker side my placing a bet would be based on such prognosis and the teams current form, standings on the table and their performance in different league matches.

playing sports that have only two options is the height of gambling and presents a compounded risk when you want to accumulate to raise bigger odds. Instead of this option, sports that have double chance, handicap, goals and multiple options like over certain points in a set/half actually reduces this risk. There is an option in football where you just predict that a certain team will score, it doesn't matter if the lose the match, as soon as they score, you are gamed.

This is very important because that will determine how determined they will be to win the match. This is why it is important to follow the news of any sports event we want to gamble on. There might be internal crisis that can mess up the morale of the players and until one check, it will remain hidden. T

I usually bet on NBA sports betting because I like playing basketball and watching basketball, and because I'm too familiar with the teams and players, I more likely have a hint or idea who will win up against a team. That's why I can say that I mostly win in basketball or NBA betting because, like I said, I'm familiar with the team or players, so when there is a match between two teams, I can do analysis to see who's team might win, and I also bet on a specific player. I think, like the OP said, to bet on a sport where there is only one player from each of the two teams. In that way, you are increasing your winning chances by 50%, and it is also more like there are a lot of betting in basketball, especially in the NBA. And also I think basketball is the most thrilling sports out there or maybe its just my favorite sports.

I would not agree that you need to play the sports on which you are betting. Yes, you need to have interest about the sports and also you need to have the knowledge of the sports but playing it physically is not a necessity. Also sometimes not everyone gets a chance to play the sports on which we bet.

For example, if you are betting on horse racing, who among us can do the horse racing himself ? I guess no one, because you need to have expertise and lot of experience even to sit on the horse and horse racing is something extraordinary activity. However, you can have complete knowledge about the game and then you may bet on that game. That is enough in my point of view.

Also, we need to see other things such as odds of the game and the difference between the odds too. Also i like the OP point of view where he mentioned that chance of winning a bet increases when we have two choices to bet on, instead of the three or more choices.

I mostly bet on football; I was never too much into sports, so I don't have a great knowledge of them. You do have a valid point; football matches have three possible outcomes, while other sports, such as tennis, you already mentioned can only have two possible outcomes. However, don't you need to have some kind of perception regarding tennis? I know nothing about it; how am I going to bet on something that I'm not familiar with? I'll have to do my own research, check the odds, and decide on which side to bet. Personally, this is too much of a hassle, but it might work for some who have a better awareness of sports and sport betting in general; I don't, which is why I've mostly stuck with football and the local Super League, which is familiar to me.

Let me introduce you the something called "Asian Handicap". Where the events that have 3 possible outcomes can be turned into 2 using the "handicap" feature. Lets say Home draw and Away are the potential outcomes. You can convert that giving a team some handicap and turning it into 2 potential outcomes instead of 3. Also, most sportsbooks have the feature called "draw no bet" or allows bets on 2 outcomes out of 3, such as, win or draw , draw or lose. You don't always have to think of sports as 3 outcome events. It can always be converted into 2 outcome events. It does depend on sportsbooks though. A few of them might not have the feature but most of them do.

Your point is quite a good one and makes a whole lot of sense as if they all are been put into consideration it's very likely to yeild a good strategy that can be profitable to the gambler in awhile but then the gambler shouldn't forget to incorporate a risk management strategy alongside so that they get to Maximize your funds while applying this very good strategy gambling.

It's very important to know that strategies are just edges we get to be more favoured than loosing so it means that they are no guarantee that we are most definitely going to win rather it means we increase our chances of been lucky and winning nevertheless we should still employ strategies even if it doesn't come with guarantee. There are events of high probability of happening that we could apply that could actually help us to get good results and win if we pick them we can be sure to win but the thing has always been that such picks have got small odds which makes them less attractive to pick but the they are still the easiest way to get a win on a game.

Bookmakers have already included their predictions and their opinions on the advantages in the odds for the match. But what's interesting to me is that they often offer three-way games, which are much less beneficial to players than two-way ones. And this despite the fact that many understand that predicting one outcome of a game out of two is much easier than predicting one out of three. I can also advise you to conduct your own research and collect statistics on away matches. Especially those matches in which the visiting team, which is close in strength to the hosts, would still win. There's something to it. We need to look at different sports. Sometimes it seems to me that in some sports these patterns may be more reliable than in others.

Just to add on what you have provided on your list, let me also list some suggestions in order to at least turn the tide on your favor:

• Bet on sports that you have actual knowledge off;
• Utilize AI in order to get information about teams and their respective matchups;
• Know the specific team that you are betting on;
• Allocate only a specific amount of money in every gambling activity to avoid incurring losses; and
• Stop whenever you feel like you are on a losing streak.

These are just some of the tips that I have compiled on top of what you have provided, OP given that there are already lots of tips given. I just hope that this sums up everything that people want to know to at least give some competitive edge and advantage whenever you delve in sports betting.

Knowledge can give huge factor of winning but his statement still have merit on it since you will still have 50% chance of winning regardless if you have enough knowledge on that bet or not compared to other bet types with more than 2 outcome. Having 50% winning chance rate doesn't mean you will lose frequently because it still depends on your luck if you will choose the winning team/players or not because not all the time players with better stats win which means anything can happened regardless if you are familiar on that sports or not.

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In addition to the tips. Betting live will give you better chance of winning because you can analyze the actual condition of the team and you can take advantage on the current situation to bet on a team that is just starting heat their game to get the W.

I understand the point that you are making and I think it is about increasing the chances of winning your bet by limiting the possibility of losing because of few options like either win or lose like you gave the instance of tennis but then it is also a choice to the kind of sports that you want to bet on. However, you also have such limited option in football, like if you have chosen the option of goal goal (GG), this means you have bet that both teams will produce goal each and so either they produce the goals each or they don't, just like in tennis where either a player wins or lose.

It is just like the same thing when in football you bet on draw no bet, this means you are not betting for a draw and if the team plays draw then your bet is refunded to you and you won't lose anything.

There are other numerous options in football that limits your losing chances through narrowing your bet tighter but the thing is they come with smaller odds. Therefore, it is a thing of preference to what sports gamblers bet on and I think gamblers choose to bet in the game they understand what happens there.

Your tips are laudable but on the contrary not everyone will go into a sport with limited odd options and be experiencing frequent winnings. Just like the tennis you made note of if am not knowledgeable about that area of sport like I do with football and about the players I'll be making more losses than I may be making in football that's with numerous odds options.

And be it wether a two odds options sport or above don't forget that these bookies have a way of manipulating the odds in a way that you can get confused in making better winning options. Sticking to a sport that you are good at should be much considered than  going for one for the sake of  limited odds

It's good to analyze the odds before betting to increase or have a high chance of winning. We can also consider like checking how is the weather, as it also affect the player or teams performance. We can also do some research about the team injuries or suspensions, their historical record, how well the coach or manager handles a team, or even check the recent form of players or teams, etc. Having these kind of analysis is helpful to improve accuracy of betting predictions.

Using data in making predictions is very useful in increasing your chances of winning and this will be like doing research based on all the available information, but choosing betting option will also have big influence on success.
If we can choose more appropriate betting options in sports matches then obviously we can easily make predictions because what we need to get good predictions is not too complicated.
Maybe what the OP said is true, but we can really see the results more definitively, whether it works or not, we have to try it directly.

Between casinos and gamblers, each of them always tries to make profit, there is no gambler who doesn't want to win, but we as gamblers also have to be aware that the casino will be far superior.
Maybe the data that is loaded and obtained can be provided by various sources such as the use of AI or other hardware, but all of this does not matter depending on how we process all the information to make mature prediction.
We as gamblers can only try to increase our chances and whether we win or lose still depends on the team or player who is competing, sometimes increasing our chances may not necessarily provide maximum results by winning.

this is nice text book quide of pretty much determining the odds in football im sure people that are veteran already considered all of this frankly speaking being a guest and being a host at football does matter a little bit but not that much in my opinion we can take advantage with the odd that sometime is higher when the team is the host while also knowing well that the other team as a guest has been performing good recently.
but here's the thing the odd of the footballs match are being adjusted based on this factor as well basically its still 50:50.
what you can do is just trying to find out who is gonna be on the winning side even if the odd is small, at least we can win and take the profit.
otherwise its gonna be overcomplicating yourself.

Just as we can use the data to try to improve our predictions, casinos can also do the same and with a higher effectiveness, and this gap between the two of us is only getting wider.

As not only casinos have access to more data, but now with AI and potent hardware casinos can improve their predictions even further, so while becoming a profitable gambler this way is possible, this is only getting harder by the day and the day may come in which even someone using very advanced strategies will be unable to beat the casinos anymore.

Wrong location!

Most of this tips are what deep gamblers consider before staking bets but for me I probably do not have enough time to start analyzing critically all the tips before I could bet on a game and I can see clearly that it's part of the reason why I usually loss.

Basketball games are always very vulnerable to me a small team can beat a prominent team that had good reputation, and this is the reason I stop placing bet on them. but let's see the out come of this analysis if put down in gambling.

It’s wise to play sports that you’re familiar with. One that you take pleasure in watching, you are already at a disadvantage if you choose to gamble on a sport that you’re oblivious about. I think the 2 outcome system is flawed, there is usually more than 3 outcomes/bet options when it comes to sports betting, for example, in football you can bet on how many goals will be scored in the game; number of corner kicks; there is even the both sides can score bet….the list goes on.

In football, you do not only have the option to bet on which team losses or doesn't. You can bet on other odds that can have just 2 outcomes, like whether or not both teams would score along with a lot of other odds.
I would not advise one to go into a sport they really do not understand cause it gives them a technically higher advantage of winning.

For your other tips, I think every gambler already considers those, the bookies do to when deciding odds.

Nice thread, but it doesn't fits in Meta board, I recommend you to move it to gambling board or gambling discussion board as those two boards are more suitable for this thread.

I guess, I highly agree with you that sports betting we can increase the odds on our side by doing some of those methods. I believe out of all those number 1 seems to good to me and yes, such sports can increase our chance of winning if we bet with 100% preparation.

The topic I want to discuss today is the odds that we can get on our side, especially in sports betting. These can be various methods and life hacks that increase the likelihood of winning in gambling. You know, if you analyze the statistics of wins and losses, it may turn out that we did not take a lot into account in our bets. I did a little research of my own and I can tell you what simple methods can help bring luck to your side. I invite each poster to add some new item to this list.
1. Play those sports or those types of betting that allow only 2 outcomes, not 3. For example, in tennis there are no draws and, accordingly, your chances of a favorable outcome increase slightly. In football, if you bet on one team winning, you must take into account that there can be 2 more outcomes - the other team winning or a draw. All other things being equal, it is more difficult to guess one outcome out of three than out of two. Therefore, in football, we can bet either on the total (over or under), or on 2 outcomes: the victory of one team on one side or the victory of the other team and a draw on the other side.
2. If in a game one team is the guest and the other is the host, take this into account. This is banal advice, but still.
3. Consider the overall performance dynamics of each player. With sports, too, there is a career and results gradually deteriorate with age after reaching a certain peak.
4. Consider the motivation of players and teams within the tournament. I'm talking about matches where a team or player can afford to lose without much consequence to their place. That is, there are significant matches, and there are those that do not decide anything. In such matches, teams and players do not have much motivation to play.
     Write down additional factors that may increase the likelihood of a favorable outcome for your prognosis.