Now considering all of this, how is an economy like Iran going to stand up against the US?
There are no eternal opponents and friends, only eternal interests. This will be done by Iran to survive the United States embargo. Here are some steps were taken by Iran
- Collaborating with Turkey even though it is an American ally in NATO because of the interests of facing a common threat of Kurdish armed separatist groups in a region that collaborates with each other in Turkey, Syria, Iraq, and Iran.
- Partnering with Russia
The two countries both support President Bashar al-Assad and are both against ISIS terrorists and pro-Western opposition. As far as Syria is concerned, the interests of Russia and Iran are complementary, because the two countries consider the Assad government as their valuable partner. Unfortunately, there is no strong economic foundation in this relationship because both Russia and Iran are oil-exporting countries, making it difficult to increase trade volume.
- Collaborate with China (TINA - There is no alternative)
The military of the Iranian Navy, China and Russia had conducted joint exercises in the Indian Ocean and the Gulf of Oman in December 2019. Nevertheless, China was seen as an unnecessary option during a crisis. The Chinese government can indeed provide a rescue path for Iran, especially when Iran is very much under pressure from sanctions. Thus, there is a longstanding perception and doubt in Iran, about over-dependence on China in the long run.
In contrast to Russia, Iran has a strong economic foundation with China, that is, Iran can be a reliable supplier of China's growing need for crude oil, and will offer better prices, and even barter for oil under US sanctions.
In essence, the American embargo on Iran has also created a wave of awareness in many countries in Asia, such as India, Japan, South Korea, and even European Union countries trying to create unique financial mechanisms to access Iran's energy resources.
And how is the possibility of another World War contribute towards the whole global economy? I am still intrigued on the possible outcomes of how a modern-ized war will affect the overall economy. Also, could it be possible for Trump's attack on Iran be more of an Economic move than just mere politics? Something has to be there, right?
In my personal opinion, since the security advisor was replaced by Robert O Brian from John Bolton, there was a difference in the concept of Trump's foreign policy from being aggressive to a containment strategy. Bolton was aggressively replaced because of the policy suggested by Bolton to be expensive for America and make other countries vigilant.
The consideration for not continuing the War in Iran is with consideration (profit loss calculation). America is beginning to realize that the conflict in the Middle East is very complex and that all policies with Iran relate to the Trump First concept for forward and winning support in the second period.
- Pro Israel policies to get financial support from Jewish donors and Christian Evangelists
- Venezuela's total embargo policy, to win votes in the state of Florida
- Conflict with Iran to get support from the Reb Republik party in the impeach session