Topic: To what level will Bitcoin fall after reaching $100K (or higher)? (Read 1066 times)

No matter how low did Bitcoin drop from the highest ? Yet this will happen  again maybe In the future but not this year as we have seen how high it reached this year and how much is the lowest up to now .
And besides I don't care about how much it fell but instead how much it will grow this year or the next .

If that's the case, it will affect to the mooning as well. Only thing that troubles me, is that we are focusing on the worth of bitcoin, and not the actual tech. And with we seem to be happily sacrifice the core fundamentals for altar of greed. We want our leaders and influencers to adapt it so much that we now rely on them, and fear rejection because it affects the price. And we want our institutional investors, so we happily jump trough any regulatory loop, and there's now just too much money involved not to fight regulations. We are under a microscope and more the value rises, more under a thumb we will be.

If doesn't even matter who is president or who is in charge, unless we have a dictator in charge, because bitcoin would crumble under a dictatorship if we have put all the power in their hands before that.

It's about fighting corruption vs not fighting corruption. And regulations are the only way to go when fighting it.

Before there wasn't as much money involved, corruption wasn't really a problem. People just mainly used cash money, and all the money laundering focus was on cash. No one even thought that this would become as big, that governments would get involved, so there wasn't a plan for the fact that people would artificially centralize the whole thing around the value and because of that, also around the governmental oversight. And hell with the fundamentals.

At some point, fundamentals of it could be mostly lost, and some people will point out that emperor has no clothes, and it's hard for me to even think what happens then. Will people just trust the value because they don't completely understand what happened? It's a tool against repressive dictatorships to move value without banks involved, but what if USA for example becomes to that dictatorship? We have a presidental candinate that admires dictators and say how smart they are.

Now most of the value at this point is based on the governmental acceptance of bitcoin and because of that, we have institutional investors. And if country like USA would reject it, because trump's enemies use it, and he wants to have his own coin or something silly like that, imagine what happens then. Bitcoin is a democracy in action, it's users accepting the right chain, trump doesn't believe, or understand democracy. This will become a problem under his rule.

Normally the price of BTC is difficult to predict, because Basically things are always very unstable and unexpected, yes, we hope for the best, letting ourselves be surprised is what many are looking for,  but we can also hope that the next ATH will surprise us and maybe reach $80k and from there nothing more will happen  , there you see the concept that it is a rise , a new ATH and a cycle of a new ATH is fulfilled, even for that scenario we must be prepared, because how much is what we are used to? to a higher ATH, and well I hope that it happens that way, very juicy , very high and incalculable for now, but we must keep that scenario in mind.

Looking at previous cycles after the bull season ends and the bear season begins, bitcoin typically dumps 70%-85% of its value from its ATH. But I also think that with the approval of ETFs and the participation of traditional institutional investors, I think the correction of bitcoin will be significantly reduced. It's hard to give a specific number because we don't know what bitcoin's highest ATH was in this cycle but I think the maximum drop of this cycle is 30%-50%.

I believe bitcoin will move like the stock market and will be more stable. We will no longer see the massive bitcoin dumping like before and this may make some people regret it but also others enjoy it.

The huge volatility is one of the things that makes bitcoin so interesting, it would be sad if that volatility went away.

How low Bitcoin would drop after hitting $100K was hard to say, but the current trends meant that the drop may not be as steep as in previous cycles. I would say that $30k would be the lowest it can fall. While sharp corrections have always occurred with Bitcoin, this time around, there may be some cushioning to fall, given the maturing market and increased investor confidence. It simply means there could be a possibility for a dip after $100K, but it may not crash like before, assuming major players are holding their positions.

Large corrections are typically part of bitcoin's price cycles, but impending bear markets may be less extreme according to some analysts, with institutional interest on the rise and Bitcoin ETFs gathering steam.

This is true, the bigger the increase the bigger the fall. Do you know the reason why this happens? The main reason is the "wall", because support will not be covering just one place, and let alone having multiple places. When price spends a lot of time in a single place, then we are going to have huge walls not only a bit lower, but also a lot more lower and there would be plenty of walls to break for the price to crash, not that it can't but the longer you are at some place, the harder it becomes.

But when the price increases like crazy, then it is going to be something terrible for the support, because you won't have too much walls anywhere and when it tries to go down, the yare not facing any trouble and just going down without interruption too much.

Remember 2022 bear period, it didn't go from 70k to under 20k within few days, but did fall 10k in a day, and another 10k in another day. Because it didn't have any support that is keeping it high, because it wasn't established yet.

If we can spend years above 100k then yeah we could keep it going above 100k but we won't and it will fall and we will not be ready for it and this is why we will see a lot more lower prices and very quickly.

Importantly we should know that the price of Bitcoin is usually influenced by some factors which is such that we can control because it's mostly beyond the control of retail traders and investors, so we can't tell but speculate what the price could fall to because the last time, it happened thia was the first time Bitcoin had such fall and since then its not been that bad so its very likely that it may not happen again but we still have to do our own research and stick to our own strategy so as to stay profitable in the markets.

sometime the harder the rally goes, the harder as well the dump will happen.

but arguably last bearish, it was so bad due to the collapse of certain company . if there's nothing like that in this bullrun around I doubt market will dump as much, I see more and more pattern of stability with BTC after the approval of ETF and right now ETF has been a big thing, the hype just didn't fade. MSTR as one of the big bitcoin holder also keep gaining massive increase in valuation.
things might be different this time around that maybe BTC price will stabilizes if it reached $100k, who knows, but one thing for sure, BTC market cap just keep going closer and closer to gold.
at some point I think BTC will lose its volatile nature.

Well we have been guided before, I don't know if you will remember the S2F model before in 2021, it came outside but it was heavily discussed it here and members here are like 50/50 or in the fence about that modelling prediction and they were right because it predicted that we will be reaching $100k in 2021, but the highest that we got is around $69k (which has been broken in this cycle already).

So as much as we want to listen to different speculation in this bull run, we should really be open as to how big it will be. Or worse, can he really reach 6 digits? So everything is wide open and the best thing is to just accumulate and hold and not sell our Bitcoin. Be observant and expect the unexpected.

We can't possibly know about these, these are all in theory talks and we can't just keep on trying to figure out what will make this tick working. I understand you may not feel the best welcome about this right now but we need to make sure things aren't always that crazy looking, there are many things that will not be too simple for us to understand so the best thing to do right now would be just keep trying to deal with what we can reach, which is the all time high in the near future.

I know it doesn't look that crazy right now and we are talking about just about 20% or so increase and not that far away, but even that would be more realistic thing to look for. If you keep looking for something much bigger then you are not going to get the best out of this situation. This is why I keep trying to do the best I can do, and because of this I try to do get the best I can get, and this turns out to be a fine situation for me, I do not get much in return about worrying.

Maybe we don't want to be guided by the predictions and speculation of Bitcoin experts outside the forum, as you said at several points, maybe it can be used as our own speculation where we often see the phenomenon after a new halving/ATH occurs and is created, this will lead us to think that after that Bitcoin will experience a significant drop in value as has happened.

Personally for my speculation, maybe I can say the price of Bitcoin will fall to the level of $50k or $30k, that's not happening now, maybe next year or the year after, I think so.

I do not believe we are going to see 4k ever again, that was long long time ago and can't make a come back at all. Remember, our latest bear run was in 2022 and not in 2018, and during 2022 we have seen the price crash to about 15-16k prices if I am not wrong, which is five times bigger than last bottom.

I believe we are not going to be five times higher than 5k, because that would be lates t all time high, but I do not believe we are going to see under 50k ever again after we start the bull run. I am not saying right now, we can still crash right now, which I doubt we will but I am not planning on seeing that part. I am saying we are going to have hard time seeing under 50k after the bull run starts. So if you ever see bitcoin price at 100k+ then be sure under 50k is no longer possible.

 Bitcoin is a volatile coin and the Op said it himself that it has gone as low as $3,709k in 2018,  so there's always a good chance of it going low again even if it surpasses the $100k mark but to place a particular figure on it will be hard. My wildest guess will be around $60-70k.

Maybe we should even start from where we are currently, as the market remains as more volatile like before, there is more likeness on seeing the market before the end of the year to go dip but not lower than $55,000 while before the end of this year also, we are expecting to see the market getting to more than $100,000 but before any of these could come to pass, we have to first understand the reason on why we should be more sensitive on the current pattern and direction in which it is taking before any of the shift.

Please note: The 2018 high was much closer to ~$20K.

Most financial bear markets historically lose ~85 to 90% of their previous value, and BTC's early ones followed a similar pattern, so the last one ended higher than expected. If the BTC market gets close to $200K this time, then a low of $20 to $30K is possible, especially when the evil Tether scam finally collapses into a stinking pile of lies.

You are right, but usually the distribution period in BTC is usually fast, that is, the new ATH arrives and remains for a short time, then the price falls, of course as they sell BT or do so very quickly and then the offer is not so clear, people already think they bought at the most expensive moment and as they saw that it did not rise any more they abstained from buying, that is very common, that is why sometimes a fall can be very strong and hard, other times a correction occurs and the price continues to rise, that is why we must analyze very well when the price rises how the conditions are in the world, wars and important fundamentals.

Apart from selling actions there are still other activities that can prompt the price of Bitcoin to fall immensely like some negative news might turn out in the future just like it did in the past and caused commotion in the price of Bitcoin before the price came back stronger. When we talk about selling actions affecting the price of Bitcoin it's mostly when bigger investors sells that it do have a great impact but if it is just about minor investor's selling it can't lead to a heavy correction.

However, Inasmuch as investors have different investments targets, the market will continue to experience rise and fall since as people are buying more, the price increases and when they sell the price reduces. Demand and supply is what makes the market to be balanced so if the demand is lower definitely the supply will also be lesser and it won't have much positive impact in the price. But when the demand is higher, the supply increases and it will have a great positive impact in the price as well.

Selling action at a certain price will definitely occur, but it is always difficult to predict exactly how much selling pressure will be at that time. We are quite used to people taking profits when bitcoin's new ATH is reached, so a correction is very unlikely to be avoided. Even if there is buying interest at that time, the strength may not be as great as we hope, as a result demand and supply are not balanced.

Such a situation must be based on the experience that occurred when Bitcoin made its last ATH, then there was a fairly deep correction. Indeed, no one can predict whether market demand will be strong enough to maintain the price of Bitcoin when it touches $ 100k or not. because there will be quite a lot of traders and investors who might sell when that price is reached.
Correction will definitely be unavoidable, but hopefully, the market's ability is strong enough not to fall too deep.

Bitcoin is an asset that is traded 24 hours non-stop with high trading volume. The price is volatile and it is very possible for it to rise 5% in one day and fall 5% in the same day. The price of bitcoin is very volatile and anything can happen. You are right about the bitcoin market habits, every time bitcoin rises high then a price decline or correction will follow from behind.

In fact, traders and investors who have benefited from the increase in price will sell their bitcoins. The greater the selling pressure, the easier it is for bitcoin to see its price fall. But either way, it is difficult to say anything definite about its price regardless of its past trading history.

Even bitcoin can reached to the level of two hundred two thousand [200k] that doesn't mean that the price of bitcoin will definitely come down, but I know quite well that if bitcoin increases it mostly decreases and that has been the doctrine of bitcoin right from unset, so I know that bitcoin rising force is not as same as bitcoin falling point, because bitcoin increases to the point that when it falls the falling will not be use to compare as it was before, what I'm saying is that no matter how bitcoin increases it most surely fall, because the fall and rise of bitcoin is what equate or balance the market of Bitcoin, except that bitcoin will not be interesting to be invested.

I never like talking about exact prices anyhow, because we can't predict exact prices. If the question is asked, I know price will go up, and I know price will go down, these are the only things I know. I do not know when it will go up, I do not know how much it will go up, I do not know when it will peak and I do not know when it will start to go down, and I do not know how much it will go down, and I do not know what the bottom will be. While that may sound like I know nothing, this is the right way to approach, because you can never know.

But, if you know it will go up and then it will go down, then you can buy and hold until it goes down, have a stop loss for when it goes up, and have a DCA when it's in bear period. All would make you a lot of money and you should do this.

These type of investments will allow you to get rich from the method, because you are not seeing exact prices but you are seeing movements and you are going to be almost always right about movements and this means you are going to benefit a lot from it as well. I personally believe we need to focus on what to do and how much we can deal with all of these, wouldn't be a big deal and could benefit all of us.

What we can deduce from this market is that it will always have some points that it will fall after reaching the target, let us say $100k. But to what price level? That's hard to determine. And also the duration when? No one can exactly determine the timeline of this market. Even so-called experts can't guarantee such defined price movements in the market.

We must start from something basic, every healthy market has two stages, accumulation and distribution, distribution is when the ATH is reached and then it falls, and probably it can fall in the accumulation stage, re-accumulation to make a new cycle, so there is no need to worry for now how much it will fall, we have to see and wait until where bitcoin can rise, which seems much more interesting to me, since it is known that the fall is when it is distributed and only the smartest buy in the dip and hodl.

I think he knows this and he even know that people in the forum are discussing about this $100k for BTC. Which only shows that he follows BTC and the sentiments about/around it. It is just that he is only curious and has came up with his own or a question like this.

For me, if I'm going to answer this, I think that in each rise there will always be a fall, so when we hit the hundred k mark BTC will then plunge for a while or so-called as a 'correction'. This can only be temporary though, however a bear market is also possible right after a or every bull run. This one takes time in order for the price to recover and start rising again. Anyway, it's crazy on how you involved god there, lol .

I think god has nothing to do with this. I mean this is not his business anymore but he is more into the people's lives. This is where he does monitoring if this or that person has done something good or not. Moving on.., we are now in the month of October (finally) and when I check the price now, I can see that BTC is green and above $60k.

This is a good sign that this will continue and maybe we still have the chance to hit that $100k glory. No one is forced to get involved or buy a BTC, so I won't say that this is everyone's concern. BTC is not all after all and it is still possible to live peacefully even without it.

Seeing from this post historical data, it is very obvious that if bitcoin gets to $100K this cycle, it’ll definitely fall lower than $50K as the minimum it will reach after attaining the ATH of $100K and above. This is based on historical data though, many may argue that we may see something different this time around in this cycle just like in this cycle, earlier this year, a lot of people never expected a new ATH before the halving which eventually took place. So if it does not even fall below what I assume, it is still okay to accept the price it will be at that time. The bitcoin market is getting more harder to be predicted and with this many trends now, we may not see it fall that much after the all time high has been achieved and a new correction wants to set in place.

Yes, bitcoin has been gaining a lot of progress now, seeing more developed countries and big institutional investors are now backing up bitcoin, thus leaving its price more stable than it was before. However, due to high volatility, there are still price fluctuations that could happen from time to time, hence dropping its price even when we all don't want to. And with the possibility that bitcoin price could reach $100k or even above in the next days and months, seeing also one day dropping its price to its bottom is inevitable, and for that, my wild guess is that bitcoin price could drop as low as $60k down to $50k, or even lower than that, no one can be certain with that.

Judging from the past records, one could expect Bitcoin to still fall to as low as $40k after reaching $100k but base on the realities on ground, I strongly doubt we will see something like that. We now have big players involved in Bitcoin and also the ETF which paved the way for institutional investors to comfortably invest in Bitcoin. These will play a huge role in Bitcoin price sustenance at certain levels. So my guess is that by the time Bitcoin finally leave the $60k price level that it has stayed for greater part of this year, that area will then become the support which the price will come back to retest before continuing any upward movement. I believe the era of price falling from $69k to below $18k before recovering, is gone.

Contrary to you, I believe bitcoin could even surpass the $150k target in this cycle. I still believe this will be a big bull cycle because we have a lot of big catalysts like: halving, ETFs, the economy entering a new growth phase...and maybe we will have a pro-bitcoin president. With all those catalysts, I think the $100k target is actually too modest and not too difficult for bitcoin to achieve.

Bitcoin has been stagnant for the past several months and I wouldn't be surprised if this continues because as I said in the previous bear season: the cycle can change when everyone knows about it and is waiting for it. I was prepared for this situation, and I guess the real bull season only comes when not many people believe in it anymore, and that's just how the market works.

I am not generally too negative with my thoughts and I totally believe Bitcoin has huge potential, but $150k is too far a target for it to reach in this cycle, maybe in the next one, perhaps. It would be more than enough if Bitcoin manages to hit $100k in this cycle before it starts dropping value and enters the bear run phase, we have seen it hit a new all-time high but isn't enough since it was only $4k above the previous all-time high and that doesn't count.

The price is above $60k but we aren't seeing a lot of positive movement so far, so it is surely going to take time before it goes around $100k because, before that, it is going to go through all the resistances on the way, there will be dips along the way, and sometimes those dips tend to get pretty deep.

So I would say, though $150k is possible, but logically, $100k would be a good target.

where did you get that data? about more enthusiast these years comparing from 2018-2022?

have you forgot what 2017-2018 brings to the market ?

i believe that 60k is the maintaining level of bitcoin if ever this will be the highest price

It's too early to say what will be the levels or what will be the lowest low in the next bear run. We even hadn't taste 6 digits already, although we have reach a new all time high pre-halving. And I guess whatever that price will be, Bitcoin investors are  going to accept it and maybe in a fashion that we will embrace and then accumulate as much as we can. That has been the goal of everyone, we should learn the lessons in the past. Just like when we reach $15,500, there could be investors that really doesn't like what they see and then sold. While there are smart investors, specially with deep pockets that bought around that price. So just imagine buying in 2022 and still holding that long till this day and not wanting to sell till we reach 6 digits. That's already a big profit. But for now, let's see how we are going to do next year, maybe $150k will be the highest as you speculated.

We don't really know when and how this will happen, but we know it is not going to be easy. Because every time we have a bull run, we end up with a big drop afterwards and people have hard time accepting we entered the bear market and try to recover but they fail. I have seen too many people who kept on investing more because they think the price will recover and go back up, and they all ended up being wrong and the price went lower and lower because we were in the bear market.

So, we should try to warn people about the potential of bear when we are in the bull itself. Obviously it is going to be something which will not be simple, so we are going to get a result which will not be simple neither, and what we are going to get will not be quick results.

It impossible to predict Bitcoin price it could be that after reaching $100k Bitcoin price could either rise or still drop in price which nobody knows the exact price it will be, all what we can do is to speculate the volatile nature of Bitcoin has made the price to be unpredictable, it is only God that can tell the price of Bitcoin or predict the future.
Though for me I don't still believe Bitcoin will reach $100k this year but next year so our major concern is to keep on accumulating Bitcoin regardless of the price and continue to hodl for the future. With the use the of the DCA strategy one can accumulate more Bitcoin inrespective of the price level either weekly or monthly and continue to hodl for a longer period of time.

If we can predict the future then we can call ourselves Gods, that's why we always use the word maybe or may not while talking about prediction or should I say speculation. Is never easy when it comes to getting the exact figure Bitcoin price will turn in the next coming days. For Bitcoin price to hit $80k this year then we should be having the market having a fast move before the end of November. To me I don't believe we're getting to $80k before the end of this year, if you're talk about $160k it's possible to achieve next year, but let's hope the price doesn't start dropping any time soon because it affects the positive move of the price ahead.

Investor confidence in Bitcoin is now positive for several reasons. Most speculators now have only one goal and that is to touch the 100K milestone of Bitcoin. Many have pointed to 2024 as the year of Bitcoin after spending a long time after 2021. This year Bitcoin ETFs got trading permission. Bitcoin halved this year and many are expecting Bitcoin $100k again this year. None of these assumptions are unreasonable.

Even if Bitcoin is 100K or more, when the bearish period comes, there will definitely be some price drop, but I don't see a situation like 2018 or any big dump like that. Although there is no guarantee, there is no room for Bitcoin prices to fall too much with the increasing interest of institutional investors in the market. Most of the investors who are coming in are long-term holders of Bitcoin. They are holding onto as much bitcoin as possible and ultimately the price of bitcoin is going up. My guess is that it is unlikely to go below $70K unless there is a major negative impact after Bitcoin hits $100K.

yeah future massive price dumping when bearish cycle hits will probably just end up like before, people like to move based on psychology, if previous bearish causes BTC to be dumped around 80%, then maybe in the future same scenario will play out, though I have firm believe that price won't dump that much, since BTC is bigger than ever, can't really have that much dump if people ready to bag even at the price of $49k heavily.

but then again, if sentiment is so bad, it could happen, we shouldn't ignore the fact that previous bullrun also triggered by FTX collapse, which robs people of their money. this alone further amplify the dumping to a more massive level.

since regulation and most CEX already taking precaution to not repeat the same FTX mistake I expect market to be less wild when bearish occurs compared to previous bearish cycle.

I have learned something over time and regarding the BTC market, for me it is essential to analyze the previous spaces or periods to get an idea of ​​what may come, among that is when BTC has reached its ATH and when it has fallen and how much percentage it can represent, then due to this it may be that an idea is drawn, it is not precise of what it may fall, but of course we still do not know up to what price level it will rise, some talk about up to $300k, I don't see it impossible, I do see that it can happen, besides the good thing is that the ATH is always juicier than the previous one.

it is tough to predict the future.

i go back and look at gold from 1992 to 2003 it stayed in a 200-400 dollar slot
gold is now 2700 or so.

i could see btc in 50k-75k for a long long long time ending the four year cycle 🔁 we like to follow.

time will tell. I am not looking to sell anything this year. hoping things work out and we do go beyond 80k this year. and top 160k next nov 2025

$100k is the level everybody has been anticipated on and like you said nobody really no how the price will behave after achieving that price whether it will continue or try to make another correction but for me considering the fact that Bitcoin price struggle a lot after breaking the previous Alll time high and establishing the new one there is a good chance that the next all time high will be the price of $100k and also based on the fact that next year will be a bull season for Bitcoin, so the price could possibly continue bullish after breaking the $100k level, although that's just my prediction about it but until then we cannot really be sure of anything at the moment.

Well speculated and I think you are making a point here. How low we are going to drop can not be accurately predicted by anybody and if someone gets the prediction correctly, they would have done that by luck because I believe nobody can predict the bottom or the top of the market. My prediction is that, how the market is going to fall will be determined by how high we reach. If we exceed $100,000 and get to $150,000 or $200,000, we should get ready for a massive drop that might get to 90% or higher but if we barely pass $100,000 then we should not expect the market to correct that much. I also think the market is getting more matured and the investors now in the market are more experienced as institutional investors are becoming a big part of the market and they do not just sell as they are known for hodling for long.

No one on planet Earth can predict the price of bitcoin correctly, so it will be difficult for anyone to know or predict the price bitcoin will fall to after the bull market ends. When bitcoin set a new all-time high in the 2021 bull run, and after the bull run ended, bitcoin dumped to $16k during the bear market, which no one expected bitcoin would dump to that price. So judging from the past performance of bitcoin after the bull run, bitcoin will likely dip to $50k-$40k, but if bitcoin fails to achieve the six digits next year, it will dip below more than $40k in the bear market.

There are more of bitcoin enthusiasts now comparing to 2018-2022. Definitely bitcoin price will drop after this circles ATH but if we get to make some figures, we would see that there are investors with more risk bearing and longer holders now that  the past so even if there is going to be falls on bitcoin after ATH, the margin is not going to be as weak as the 2018-2022.
So If should make a guess, I will go on $60,000 which the value of bitcoin has been struggling to crossover in the few past months after the $73,000 current ATH. So I think that would e a base value for bitcoin drop after $100,000 +.

We can't really know this, can we? Bitcoin is as unpredictable as they come and all we can do is speculate.
Since Bitcoin rose from $16k and got up to $60k, I don't think it has gone lower than half of that price (30k). I understand that we're in a bullish period and BTC will hardly drops very low in times like this, but I don't think bitcoin will drop as low as it did when it went from 67k to 16k.
I believe this because like I said in one of my previous posts, people have more trust in Bitcoin now. They don't panic sell at the slightest hiccup. Now, more people understand that to make a profit from bitcoin, you have to hold it for a long term and people are actually doing that.

So if Bitcoin actually gets to $100k, it will further increase the trust people have for it. That will mean not many people will sell out of FUD anymore like they used to. With this, I don't think the price will drop below $50k, except something very extreme happens to the world or global economy.

Due that unpredictabilty then people or the community would really be having that kind of approach on which they would really be that normally be throwing out different numbers on where Bitcoins price could possibly
be able to reach out. Assuming that it had been able to done before with those previous cycles so it will really be just that normal that they will really be that guessing out with those higher numbers or ATH prices on which its normal. Some would be realistic and there are some which is really that too far off. It will really be just that depending on how you would really be doing up your steps on utilizing on accumulating more coins
which we arent that still yet. Each investor would be having their own ways on how they would be growing out their portfolio.

Speaking about corrections or huge decrease in price then it will really be just that normal on a market. We cant call it a market in the first place if it doesnt have that rise and fall kind of behavior.
It will really be just that something that you will really be needing up realize in the first place so that you wont be finding yourself to be that desperate. So its a normal approach on this aspect
and be realistic at least so that you would be that out to frustration and disappointment.

No one exactly knows the price of bitcoin by the end of this bull cycle but for sure it will be a lot higher than 100,000$ per bitcoinBTC. If we remember in the last cycle, we crossed the physiological 50K level with ease, this time too the momentum will be very high when the bitcoin surpass this level and it will just break the media, the fomo comming in and we can reach anywhere between 130K to 170K.

I know this range is very wide but here again the bitcoin will either fail to break 150K or if it break 150K will head straight to 160K+. These numbers seem difficult when we see the current price action, but we should be prepared for extreme volatility toward the upside again in this bull cycle.

We haven't reached $100k price per Bitcoin before, and that is to say we are entering into price discovery zone for Bitcoin, no one can tell the exact level that Bitcoin would fall, if it will get to 100k and fall or break above $100k , and even can also not reach $100k or the  ATH that Bitcoin would attain this bull market cycle. The best tool to use to check this will be the fibonnacci retracement tool , while targeting a price pull back of 50% fibbo retracement level @ 0.5,  0.618 fibonnacci golden pocket and 0.786, these are level to watch out for that price would pull back into after it hits 100k or not , or even break above.

I agree with you on this and anyone coming into Bitcoin should at least have this kind of mindset towards Bitcoin even though we can not completely rely on historical events as being a guarantee for the future. However, Bitcoin has really proven beyond every reasonable doubt to be one of it kind overcome lots of negativity, increasing wider spread adoption and increments in value, but yeah preparing for the worst and the best is kind of a good advice too as regards to making an informed decisions towards in investment which is also very paramount.

I feel like that you are considering the fall history to repat but ignoring same for rising market.

I mean bitcoin grew approximately 20 times in 2017 and 3 times in 2021 from the previous ATH level. So, first we need to estimate about what would be the new ATH by end of upcoming bullish market and then we need to prepare for downmarket which might be up to 80% of new ATH.

The low growth happened in 2021 was reasoned with pandemic consequences. This means we may again expect another 10x growth for the current bullish cycle. This lead to expect up to $700k level by end of 2025.

For supporting $700k level for this cycle, we need to consider the following:
1. Bitcoin ETF.
2. World wide most stock markets are trading at stretched levels.
3. Central banks are cutting base points.
4. The current halving reward is more than 10x lower than the initial reward.
5. Like microstrategy and El Salvador, more to adapt bitcoin when BTC tests 100k (a psychological level).

and then more importantly right now we do not have lockdown or slow economic growth. So, we can expect bitcoin to have another 10x growth in 2025 bullish trend.

Finally, I expect bitcoin to test $1M level by December 2025 and then may fall up to 50% by end of 2026. Due to more adaption rate, people will not let bitcoin to fall up to 80% which happened in all previous bitcoin's 4 year cycles after a new ATH.

Well, based on the current market situation and its price relative to the all-time low, although we still can't pinpoint how far it will go, I also can't imagine it reaching $40k. Having seen the price stay long at $50k and above, I was confident that it wouldn't roll back down, especially in the earlier years. And why? This is because the majority of investors today know how to control themselves, and we can say that they are positive and have trust, which is why we rarely see panic selling. What we are seeing now, and I believe many others are feeling as well, is the gradual change in market trends, which is most likely leaning more towards the positive side rather than the negative it has shown. Here we can say that we have a high level of understanding, which allows us to remain calm and not easily affected by negative things.

I believe price falling to $20k will be harder, bitcoin is now exposed to bigger capital than ever including spot ETF now even option is on the process, added with crypto being hot topic right now around the world, $20k is a no brainer buy for me, i'd put my entire wealth to BTC again to reposition if that happen.

I mean, i believe if there's any bearish market coming up in the future it will hit the market hard, but I think the bottom floor price will just be around $49k since it's lowest price for this bullrun, maybe there will be a moment when BTC going lower than that but it's just hard to imagine BTC retouching $20k again. heck even BTC at $49k already have such strong demand zone that the price bounced back to $60k instantly.

well last drop was say 69 to 16
drop before was 20 to 4
drop before was 1.3 to 1

so 75-80-92 percent last three crashes.

maybe we do 70 percent

so 100 k would be 30k
110k would be 37k
120k would be 44k
130k would be 51k

140k would be 58k
150k would be 65k
160k would be 72k

i bolded my best guess for high and low

I thought the last low could have been 10k if it were really bad because we had spent so much time near that round number, just like 100k people imagine significance in a larger amount of zeros at the end.   I wont say the exact number but all you have to recognize is that 16k was actually a bullish low because way back when it would have been a high number yet now it was the bitter end of a sell off hence bullish.

Iam sure next gloom and doom sell off we see a similar kind of low that is also secretly a positive.  You could predict the low off that likely repeat, where could a low be and still be a positive; I guess 50k maybe would be one heck of a high mark for the most negative take given.
   This could be more easily seen if moving to very large time frames, Japanese candlesticks with a monthly bar or quarter or 1 year each price point.

For now we have gone beyond that stage and level that Bitcoin can ever drop down to below 20k and possibility that we may see a price above 100k in the next all time high Bitcoin price is high also, so for sure what we can make out from all of this is that.

1: Bitcoin have gone beyond the level of dropping down to any amount below 50k and if that be the case, then the minimum correction price for now will still be around 60k and above and with minimum volitilities.

2: the possibility that we may likely get another all time market Price before the year 2024 runs out will and is also there so we have to take note of that also.

Data from bitcoin's past trading history may help speculators about where the highest point is and where the lowest point is after the next ATH. The problem is, all of this data is only data that is not fully reliable for the future, I mean everything is still uncertain. The percentage of bitcoin's price decline after the November 2021 ATH was -77% more (CMIIW), so the range of decline will not be far from that number if we refer to past history.

So if bitcoin hits $100k in its next ATH, then it could be that the lowest price will be in the range of $20k to $25k. But again, this is just unreliable speculation because anything can still be different following the rapid growth of interest in bitcoin.

It is difficult to determine when it can fall if we do not know exactly what its ATH will be, if we knew that it could go up to about $50k we could talk about about $70-$80k that it could go down and that would be the limit to which it could fall, of course all that is speculation, it is not that I am going to regret it, I am just assuming a scenario that is possible, probable but not certain, it all depends on how high its next ATH reaches, which are usually very good, in BTC every ATH is very juicy and many of us love it, it always surprises us, so with BTC it is always good to be surprised.

I also support that scenario, things have completely changed since bitcoin ETFs were approved and many large institutional investors entered the market. This means that bitcoin volatility will also decrease and I don't think we will see or have the opportunity to buy cheap bitcoin after each bull cycle ends.

We don't even know where the top of this cycle is yet so it's hard to predict the bottom but I also believe it's unlikely bitcoin will drop more than 50% like previous bear cycles. Bitcoin will definitely become more stable and less volatile.

I can not imagine what will happen if the price reach the bottom in $20k. People must take care their emotion to see that price and hold on tight their Bitcoin. But if they can think much about that, that situation is a very good situation because they can buy back Bitcoin without selling their Bitcoin.

At $20k-$26k, they can have a chance to accumulate many Bitcoin amount especially for people who have much money. They will not want to miss that time to buy Bitcoin at that price level. The bottom price may soon coming so we must prepare with our money to buy back.

We already saw the highest price of Bitcoin so far is at $73k and now the price down to $56k-$58k ( the price now ). If the correction coming again, that can push the price to go down and maybe that will be at $50k-$51k or even worst the price will be at $49k. Hold on tight guys.

any price mark is always possible in bearish but personally since institutional investors are buying at around price of $50k then I highly doubt it will dump that low.
unless something like blackrock also dumping at the ATH, the price won't go down that low but I've heard many of this institutional investors are saying BTC will reach 1 million I guess that's the price point where they really gonna sell their stacks.

regardless if ever price hits that low, it will be great opportunity to setup for the next bullish (if any) because that price is simply too low in my opinion.
even BTC at around $30k-$40k already have so much liquidity waiting to catch BTC at some point.

the price of sub $30k i think can only happen at the deepest dump ever in the next bearish cycle.

No one can give precise answer to this most especially that we are not yet in the $100k btc price. But even so, knowing it will still be happening soon, let me tell you my own guess. Just believe me when I say, regardless of its current price, the chances to fall on $20k is still highly possible. It's not actually on how high the current price is, but it's more on how heavy or deep the impact of its price down fall. The most important thing here is price recovery is also highly possible after a drastic price drop.

Interesting discussion, with adoption from institutional investors and the growth of BTC in the last couple of years, quite a lot of people believe we would not drop so low like in previous cycles, and even if i want to agree with them, i am not so sure. BTC can be unpredictable and can lose 20-30% in a few hours. I'll speculate that if the price rises above $100,000, then it wouldn't fall lower than $50,000, but that's just my speculation, and i'll wait and see if i'll be wrong.

Usually when there is a huge bull run, the bottom is about 80% of the all time high if you check the historical prices, give or take of course. This is why I think that if we can break to 100k, then the bottom would be 20k, but I think we will break over 100k, and reach to 130k or so prices, which means that the bottom would be 26k or so.

This is why I believe that next time we may have hard time going under 30k price, even if we do it would be a quick one that bounces up real quick. Of course, in order to see what the bottom would be and speculate about it, first we need to see the top, if we can see the top then we can make a deduction about what will happen later on. So we need to wait, first wait and see the top, and see the new all time high, and after it starts to go down then we can start talking about what the bottom of next bear run will be. I think a 80% fall from all time high is still a good idea, you can wait until then before you start buying again.

I'd argue that they were right with their predictions. Most investors rely on daily candles and see them as an indicator of market strengths and weaknesses. Since bitcoin is largely shallow and it's easy to get an hourly candle that gets nullified within the next 2 or 3 hours. The stable level that was defended was around $53k and there indeed was a wick down to 49500, but all that it showed is low market depth at that exact moment.
IMO if we go to $100k we can expect a 60% correction from there, so $40k is in play. The higher we go with the FOMO the higher the bottom will be. With $120k top, I would expect $55k to be the low point.
If we go lower, I'd start buying at $60k anyway. 50% is always a great moment to buy. If we went to 40k this year, I'd probably be selling all my stuff to get more bitcoin.

You are correct, mate, When price drop so badly, especially the price of Bitcoin, that present a big opportunity to buy and make more profit after the price has spike again. During the bear market, although we don't what the price will fall to but even if the price is going to fall below $30k, there are investors that will buy at $40k before the price will drop further, but those people that's going to buy at the bottom will make more profit.

The reality of the matter is that, many have expected a lot from Bitcoin and most of them anticipate the $100k BTC price so yes alot will be selling off their Bitcoin holdings at that price without looking back, and for sure it may force the price to drop significantly that could affect the overall market conditions, although no matter the level of sell off that happen at that level, it won't push the price below what we have currently and regardless of what it is seeing the price of Bitcoin noise diving downward up to 50k when it touch the $100k Bitcoin price is somewhat unrealistic since we may have seen a lot of liquidation that will disallowed that from happening.

Unless if the market is under heavy attack, only then such a thing as making Bitcoin noise diving backwards in that level will happen, and I am sure that if Bitcoin touch the 100k benchmark, it won't stop there, because there is likely hold that the price may continue to rise even above that amount.

But to anyone who bought bitcoin any were below 70k will be selling definitely at that price of 100k Bitcoin Price since at that point their already made about 30% of their gains.

I am not sure where it will fall, but as long as it reaches there and goes beyond, that should be more than enough for all of us, because it is something that will be very important for everyone. The reality is that we are not seeing anything all that crazy right now, it has to be something that will take a while and as long as we see that type of improve the current system and should be very important feeling.

I believe that the best thing we can do is reaching that 100k because it would allow us to do more with what we can see. After seeing the price reaching those levels, it becomes something very good and people get more hyped about the potential of the future. Even if it drops to 30k, they know it could be 100k+ and that's why it is a good thing and we could do very well. I think that is why it is a good thing and I believe that we will recover a lot faster and do very well after reaching it, the potential will be there and the hype will always be there too.

We will definitely see Bitcoin 100K at some point, maybe later this year or next year. The demand for Bitcoin is increasing day by day, and the number of Bitcoin holders is also increasing.

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If we look at the history of Bitcoin, so we can see that every time it has gone down, it has gone up again. Here in 2017, Bitcoin pumped a lot from 1K to 20K. And after that it made ATH in 2021 where it was 69K. And since then the price of Bitcoin has been falling and in November 2022 it went down to 16K. And since then, And then the bitcoin slowly increased by pumping and dumping.


If we look at this year's calculations, we can see that on the first day of 2024, i.e. January 1, its value was $42,272, and in the following month it increased by 43.66% to $63,915. And in its next month i.e. March 2024 it increased by 16.61% making a new ATH in history which is ATH of $73,737.

And currently bitcoin is dumping, but it will definitely increase. We will see a good one very soon. And maybe by the end of this year it will go above 75K, and next year we will see an ATH above 100K.

If we talk about how deep Bitcoin price will fall after reaching $100k, that still not easy because Bitcoin will go down in any lower price. Maybe that price will fall between $40k-$50k like today. But if more people panic seeing the correction, the price will go down for more.

If in 2022, the minimum level is at $16k after reach $67k, maybe after Bitcoin price reach $100k, it will go down and reach $30k-$40k or stay at $50k. We don't have a right prediction so unfortunately, we can only prepare for the fall with some money to buy back Bitcoin. That will be another chances to us to buy Bitcoin so we should not miss that moment.

We already see $73k as the highest price at this moment. The price can reach $100k this year or next year so we can wait and enjoy the ride.

If we were to take in the same ratio as the past (which is around 4. something ish) then at 100k we'd probably see anywhere between 20-25k. Wouldn't assume that it's going to happen 100% though. We might even drop lower ngl since 100k is a price point MANY people are expecting and many people are probably planning to dump their coins there and then. We might even go below past 16k and maybe hover around 13-15k. That's at worst that could happen though imo.

We might also see a gradual increase instead of a sudden pump, unlike the past cycles and in that case, I don't think we'd ever see a mass dump from the market and instead we'd probably just drop down a few 10s below, maybe 10-20k down the ATH.

If we assume that price action remains cyclical and moves according to the 4-year cycles, I believe the minimum calculated for this cycle was around $75,000, this is based on the average rate that each cycle's returns are lower than in the immediately preceding cycle.
According to this, some could say that we've already hit that, as the ATH (per coinmarketcap) was $73,750, but we all know that was mostly due to the approval of the spot ETFs, and it wasn't in line with the usual timing, so I wouldn't count that.

It would still be high enough if it drops below $50k. Some might still be hesitant to buy. But seeing it fall below $30k, I think that's a very great opportunity to buy back again and accumulate as much as we can. We all know that when we witness bitcoin price drops so low, that is a good preparation for a bitcoin price reversal, so we should get ready our portfolio prior achieving that.

$100k isn't the peak price of this cycle but pretty sure that this would really be that a strong resistance which needs up to break because there would really be tons that will be selling out into this price.We won't know on what would be the peak price of this cycle on which I'm sure that it won't be just that 100k but rather 150k-200k but well everyone is really that expecting something higher.Its really that important that you should be prepared for whatever things that could happen on which we know that when it comes to this aspect which it's really hard to predict on what would happen. Expect the unexpected as always so that you won't really be that disappointed. It's not bad to be optimistic but too much expectations will really be leading out to desperation and once things dont happen then it will really be giving out that kind of bad feeling.So you should be prepared on what's to come and act out immediately on which you do seem that's the right call to take.

Once bitcoin reaches $100K or $150K as ATH now then it is likely that bitcoin will drop more severely as it enters a bearish... I predict it will be around $30K again for the next low... This may be a wild guess but I believe this prediction bitcoin will fall even deeper.

At least $100K is the level we are looking for, maybe we will release some bitcoin for fear that bitcoin will fly again... After that we will sell bitcoin, and prepare stablecoins again to start investing in bitcoin again during the bearish season.

maybe that's the scenario I'm thinking of.

With the level of awareness that people are getting in bitcoin I don't really think that bitcoin will fall that much as  was witnessed in the early days. Old and new investors are becoming more and more aware of the potentials in bitcoin, having seen bitcoin breaking old ATH and setting new one. More governments around the world are legalizing Bitcoin as a legal tender, and bitcoin is gradually coming into the main stream, so I believe that if Bitcoin eventually hit the $100k mark, I don't think it will fall below $45k. Many investors are now seeing the potentials in holding bitcoin for the long term, so there won't be much supply in the market and this will lead to scarcity. Although it will be difficult to be accurate with it but I don't see Bitcoin going below that $45k region.

I’m not an experienced trader or have much time to follow every news that comes out about the market. Many news and analysis are related to the crypto market, mainly in US which means if you want to know more about the reasons of this volatility, just keep an eye on these news where you can find them on related trading site.
Bitcoin is taking long this time to reach ATH after the latest halving, knowing that we got used to see it step by step reaching a higher level than before. However, the market doesn’t react the same always, and many people was expecting the price to rise and not fall this much.

Personally, I’m not stressed about the situation right now, and I believe it’s a matter of time that Bitcoin will reach 100k levels or more in the next couple years. If you believe in it, don’t wait the price to drop more in order to buy the dip, due to its volatility, you may lose this chance.

The ATH occurred several months ago, but many of us may still hope that there will be another ATH in 2024 or 2025. This optimism is built based on past history in its upward cycle after the halving. As long as we haven't entered the second year after the halving, it is still very possible to expect a new ATH to be hit.

I tend to expect the price to stay at $40k or fall by 60% from the stated ATH ($100k). It could fall lower to $35k or $30k which would make Bitcoin lose as much as 65% to 70% of its price. But before any of that actually happens, I just hope we can see an ATH higher than $100k.

Many people are expressing opinions about the Bitcoin market in different ways. Some say Bitcoin will reach $100,000 in 2024, while others say Bitcoin will reach $100,000 in 2025. However, according to the opinion of special individuals, the price and image of Bitcoin is between and $100k and $150k. Since many experts have discussed this Bitcoin market, we are going to support their words. However, even if Bitcoin reaches between $100,000 and $150,000 in 2024 or 2025, it is very difficult to estimate the lowest since then. Because we have seen in the recent season that the Bitcoin market reached a maximum of $74,000 and then dumped to $49,000. As the market is not going down much below $50k now we can say Bitcoin will be between $50k and $40k even if the maximum dumping is from $100k.

Let's assume here, if for example our ATH in the current cycle is at the price of $ 100K, then the ATL will not be ideal if the price is at $ 67k, the price reduction is approximately 30% of ATH, and in 2018 runs to the next cycle more than 70% And on ATH 2021 running to the cycle now decreased in 2022 decreased more than 70% also from the highest price to the lowest price.

But the two events were supported by the many bad sentiments as in 2022 we found the destruction of Terra Luna, FTX, Ukraine vs Russia warfare and a lot of venture capital that was destroyed at that time, if we could pass the bearish phase after the current cycle without the existence The global economic disaster and the destruction of large projects, so it is assumed that the price reduction in Bitcoin will not pass 50% in the next cycle, because we know that those who play in Bitcoin are not only retail for now large institutions as well and the State has contributed to Bitcoin accumulation.

I assume that we might have an ATL at a price level of $ 40K to $ 60K

even with data from previous circle available and currently used for speculation, it's still almost impossible to know the least point of DIP we will see after Bitcoin gets to $100k or to know when Bitcoin will go anywhere below these range of prices we've been fluctuating around. From the resistance I've observed around these $50k region that Bitcoin hasn't gone below throughout these moments of correction, it seems to me that Bitcoin might not get to $30k even before it gets to $100k or after it has gotten to $100k. If it goes down to that price, it certainly will discourage a lot of people most expecially those like us that joined in at the time it was almost going close to $70k. With what's happening, Bitcoin will be more stable about certain price bracket and will take gradual process before it goes up to anywhere close to $100k which looks like what will happen from next year.

The lowest should be only happen in this month because next month is already Q4, it's a time Bitcoin price will pump if we look based on the previous super cycle. It's really hard to touch $16K, I don't even think it can touch $40K, probably it will hovering around $50K and then the price will back to $60K.

This might be the last chance for people to buy the dip before Bitcoin reach $100K.

probably the bottom floor if BTC really reached $100k will be $48k, as long as the institutional investors aren't selling their BTC in one go and that they still keep holding BTC for much longer time than just to simply dump it at peak ATH in this bullish cycle.

if you see current price action the liquidity and resistance is so strong around this price level that I think bitcoin going below $48k means it's a bargain already and there are many people ready to buy.
so I don't think it will go as low as $20k like the previous bearish cycle, bitcoin is already too strong to stoop that low, unless there's something really bad happen.

although arguably if market really bearish, then maybe we can go to $30k price mark but not for too long until recovery.

If following what you said here and bitcoin hit the price level of 100k for the bull run, then after that we may definitely see the market declining so hard on the price of 30k during the bear circle. Although I can't be so certain that price has to touched that range but as we know the price aren't always the same and if you look from the last 2 halving it wasn't following the earliest sequence and we not go as dip as it's was then. Okay what about 2020 was it as that which you mentioned?

I noticed that there are hundreds of speculations being issued and becoming a source of hallucinations for crypto/Bitcoin users as a whole in 2024, but none of them can be relied on as a passive source.

For all of that, we keep talking about the price of Bitcoin at $100k, let's say that happens, whether in the next year or when the halving happens again, no one knows that, speculation is valid on the impact of low prices after this. when $100k has been made, but we are aware that whatever happens to Bitcoin, no one can analyze it accurately, that is the real problem for all of us, with that being just a prediction, personally, the price of Bitcoin will only be at $50k after $100k occurs, that is my speculation.

Currently, the volatility of the Bitcoin market is increasing. Although predicting the Bitcoin market is never an easy task, the volatility has increased even more these days. Most investors are looking at $100k to break even. At such a time it is almost certain that the price of Bitcoin will decrease in the market. But I think no one has the power to say how far that reduction will come.

But if we look at the previous price chart, https://www.forbesindia.com/article/explainers/bitcoin-price-history/92523/1
since 2021 prices have declined by more than 50% from ATH every year. Even after the bullrun of 2021, Bitcoin lost more than 50% from its ATH in the same year. Whereas the ATH in 2021 was $68,789 and its value fell to $29,796 in the same year. Later on the same ATH, its lows fell further to $16,000. That means the 2021 ATH of $68k had to touch a low of $16k. Where almost 4x more value was lost. We need to be prepared for such price reductions in the future. Maybe we will see such a price drop again.

IMHO, those lowest that we've seen for the past years we might never see them again. This is what I like with this cycle, we always get a higher low every time the bear market hits us again. Maybe, the lowest could be $$40k-50k for the next bear market is 40%-50% of the course of Bitcoin's price if the ATH is going to be $100k but I think that we'll surpass that price too. It's just safe to say that we're going to see a better low in every bear market that we'll have. After reaching $71k this year, we saw it dropped to $48k and that's more than half of its price which is still good to be honest.

I have actually brought up this kind of discussion in one of my old thread but a member said that it's not possible that Bitcoin could drop below the price of the previous all time high. Which means that he is suggesting that after the bull market has come and go, Bitcoin will not go below the previous ATH of 2021. I know that our prediction can not be correct all the time  but I believe that after the bull market of 2025, Bitcoin will definitely go below $50k.

If we take that $100k as ATH, then we could say that the correction will take at least 50% or more of the value, at least if we want to make some conclusion based on what happened in the past.

What should be taken into account is that we had a pandemic that dropped the price by 50% in 24 hours, just as we had the failure of the Do Kwon project, which the famous genius Bankman followed up with his FTX. These events had quite an impact on the price, and I mean not only then, but also what happened afterwards until today.

What did not exist in previous years were BTC futures and spot ETFs, and if we assume that we have a completely new type of rich investors who will influence the price with their decisions, then it should be taken into account that we will also have a very big pressure on the price from that side as well .

In addition, $100k is a big psychological barrier and exit point for many investors - you could say their ticket to retirement, which many of them will use.

We have not gotten to all-time high yet. So making prediction now can be wrong. We do not know yet if bitcoin will get to over $150000 or not.

But if I should guess what the price of bitcoin could fall to during bear market, all that I believe is that bitcoin is not getting below $20000 ever again. That was its all-time high in 2017 but not getting below it ever again.

It is impossible to predict because let me remind you of 2017! Price went up 2x from $1k to $2k (which is roughly the same as going from $50k to $100k) and then continued smashing through other prices and kept on rising to $3k, $4k and so on while the final ATH was $20k. That was mostly without any kind of major drop at levels people loved to predict a drop at...

So it all depends on how we reach $100k. Is it a slow rise with barely enough momentum or is it a strong momentum that gets us back in the same old cycle that leads to an ATH.
If it is the former, we could see a big drop like 30%-40% drop all the way back to $70k and $60k ranges again.
But if it is the later you have to remember remember the ATH we had in 2017 was $1.2k and the ATH we set at the end of that cycle was $20k. Right now the ATH we have in 2024 is $73k and a 20x rise would take it to $1.4 million... 

It is not easy to predict how lower Bitcoin price will be because there are no clear sign for us to have an accurate prediction. We can only predicts some range of lower price and waits until the price reach that lower price. But we can not have a right prediction because Bitcoin can go to any price without we can predict. Some people say that Bitcoin price can be at $46k or lower and that can be worsen if many bad news release and makes many people panic.

What we should worry are if people can not holds themselves from the panic when they see the drop. Many people will think fast to sell their Bitcoin and wait for the lower price to buy. But that will not always happen as they want because Bitcoin price can change the direction and reverse to the high price. The price now is at $54,5xx according to CoinGecko so we must be careful because the correction can happen again.

When bitcoin broke the ATH of 2022 this year and climbed to $73k before it started dropping down, some predicted that bitcoin couldn't drop below $50k again this year, which Bitcoin has proven them wrong. 
 
The market is just unpredicted; if the price of bitcoin breaks to the $100k circle, the gravity of the event that will bring about the negativity in the market will determine how low it can go.
 
The only level I believe it will be hard for Bitcoin to drop to right now is below $10k. If not anything is possible in the market, we have seen the worst, and we should also prepare for the worst in times to come. What matters is that the price will bounce back in due time after whatever will cause the crash elapse.

The forum has repeatedly discussed what maximum mark $100K will reach in this cycle. Many are waiting for the level of $100K, and some, especially enthusiastic BTC-users, are talking about higher cost indicators ($150K and higher).

But now I would like to focus on another point. What is the minimum price mark that bitcoin will reach in the current cryptomarket cycle, because the lower the price, the more bitcoin (parts of BTC) can be bought. How low do you think bitcoin will fall in price after reaching $100K (or higher)?

Let me remind you that in 2018, bitcoin reached a price of ~$16.5K and fell to ~$3.5K, in 2022 - ~$67.5K with a minimum level of ~$16K.