2. True Decentralization is in Diversity ... there needs to be many independent coins/blockchains/tech.teams ... and you can just start to see the top200 getting established ... it may take 4 more years but there will be at least 300 solid coin communities.
3. There will be a day in the near future when the value of the ALTs becomes greater than the value of BTC ... akin to the value of all Fortune500 companies is greater than the value of all u$d in circulation ... this will happen.
4. Truth be told BTC 'gold' LTC 'silver' will likely not be challenged. ETH could be the 'JPY' and XRP the 'u$d'. But I doubt the list of 'QUIDS' ... high volume high cap ... will be more than 10-12 ... even by year 2025. Most coins are 'stock' and don't need to trade in big numbers each and everyday.
5. BTC will fork. A large chuck of capital (say 15%) will be spun off into this fork.
6. Some where on the planet a city or university will run all accounts on a block chain ... Transparent ... for all eyes to see and that is a ticking clock for all public works ... government big and small to go full and completely audit-able on an open block chain. De facto micro corps are already functioning at a beta run level on the chain.
Transparency is a great thing, especially when it comes to government and corporate accountability. Anonymity is also a great thing and I think for most people, Bitcoin provides enough privacy in that it doesn't explicitly tell people what you purchased, but if necessary you can prove the flow of funds. In the case of government, which should be held to the highest level of accountability, it's great.
There seems to be a bit of a conflict for government however, because politicians typically operate with the "do as we say, not as we do" mindset. I can see them hating Bitcoin for it's transparency (of them) and simultaneously hating anon-coins for their anonymity (for individuals). For this reason one would think that all crypto-currencies would be targeted, although miraculously it hasn't been the case yet. IMO it's due to lack of a true understanding regarding the disruptive nature of crypto-currencies, but who knows.
Anon-coins may not be used by the mainstream, but I think when we have decentralized exchanges and better anonymity on the internet it might be next to impossible to ban these things. The risk of getting caught and punished could be as minimal as it is nowadays with downloading copyrighted music on bittorrent. For that reason maybe they will be highly valuable alongside Bitcoin.
'Anons'-based world economy is unreal and bad.
I understand that many users support 'anons' because they believe there is no freedom without privacy. But if this freedom involves scams, drugs, violence, most people don't want such freedom.
Any economic system consists of the production, distribution or trade, and consumption of goods and services by different agents in a given geographical location.
Who are agents? Companies, corporations, governments. Most individuals are consumers.
Now imagine 'anons'-based economy. Individuals use decentralized exchanges and there are super anon transactions, but people buy goods and services from which agents? And what about delivery? And any consumer protection?
'Anons'based economy must involve: anon corporations, anon businesses, anon governments, anon transport companies, anon soft, anon OS, anon law firms etc. It's impossible.
Transport companies => roads => control. Corporations => depots => control. Soft, OS, licenses, there are many leaks.
In fact 'anons'-based economy can be only 'individuals to individuals' (where sellers would need to compete with eBay and buyers anyway would provide their delivery information), 'criminals to individuals', 'individuals to criminals' or 'criminals to criminals'.
Transparent transactions (BTC, LTC, DOGE, NXT...) are the compromise between privacy, freedom and law.
But if we have 1 or 4 digital currencies only, it is not stable and not decentralized system.
True decentralization is in diversity. There is no another solution.