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Topic: We are approaching a forum singularity!! (Read 1109 times)

member
Activity: 126
Merit: 10
June 16, 2011, 06:45:12 PM
#2
You'll find that this kind of logarithmic fall off of post dates for older pages happens even on forums that get the same amount of posts per day over a long period. This is due to how posts are distributed in threads, with many threads being fairly active and having a recent last post time. Each time an old thread gets bumped it removes it from the older page thereby compressing that section, but of course new "old threads" can't be made.
full member
Activity: 196
Merit: 101
These are the dates of the first and last thread per page in Bitcoin Discussion. (math may be subject to inaccuracies)

Forum Page    First thread            Last thread             Difference
80                November 22 2009   February 8 2010      78 days
70                November 22 2010   November 30 2010    8 days
60                March 02 2011        March 09 2011         7 days
50                April 21 2011           April 24 2011           3 days
40                May 17 2011 7:27    May 18 2011 17:13   1.4 days
30                May 31 2011 22:06  June 1 2011 23:39    1.06 days
20                June 7 2011 19:20   June 8 2011 4:11      0.35 days
10                June 11 2011 20:05  June 12 2011 4:24    0.35 days
1                  June 16 2011 18:32 June 16 2011 21:39   0.125 days


What do you guys think will happen? Will the forum explode???  Shocked
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