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Topic: We are coming up on two years since the 1200 spike, longest no-bubble run? (Read 2499 times)

member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
Early adopters have long cashed out and are living the rich life on your lost money.  Every single bit coin you hold supports this theft of wealth.

what makes you say that? That's not true
Yup that's true. Early adopters have made a lot of money by selling Bitcoins in 2013 pump.
full member
Activity: 280
Merit: 100
Early adopters have long cashed out and are living the rich life on your lost money.  Every single bit coin you hold supports this theft of wealth.

what makes you say that? That's not true
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
Create an altcoin with you owning all 140,000,000 total coins, sell one for $30, leaving you with 139,999,999 of them. Your new coin has a market cap bigger than bitcoin.
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1688
lose: unfind ... loose: untight
According to coinmarketcap, today, BTC is already 86% of the crypto space. I don't think another 14% is likely to induce a new ATH.

Though as soon as the banks figure out their 'Bitcoinless blockchain innovations' are unsecurable, we might see some real appreciation.

Would love to see a trend line price chart from coinmarketcap that shows the percent of crypto market cap occupied by Bitcoin over the last three years.

Not sure about the "trend line price chart" but here's a chart:

Interesting. I wonder what the rationale is for excluding Ripple? (Fun fact - back near its public announcement, Ripple for some period had a market cap greater than Bitcoin's). Perhaps because it is the only significant alt that does not trace ancestry of the bulk of its code to Bitcoin?

Bitcoin's share of the overall crypto space is one of my major indices. While I check it nearly daily, I don't bother to write it down. I include Ripple. If it dips below 83% or so, I go looking for a reason.
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
When the new breed of Bitcoiner who got burned buying at the top and then tried to get rich with altcoins realizes how useless altcoins really are, a lot of money will come flooding back to Bitcoin.  My guess is that the market landscape will look very different in another 12 months. 

According to coinmarketcap, today, BTC is already 86% of the crypto space. I don't think another 14% is likely to induce a new ATH.

Though as soon as the banks figure out their 'Bitcoinless blockchain innovations' are unsecurable, we might see some real appreciation.

Would love to see a trend line price chart from coinmarketcap that shows the percent of crypto market cap occupied by Bitcoin over the last three years.

Not sure about the "trend line price chart" but here's a chart:

there is competition from altcoins to consider. If we leave 99% of the market on the table because of ultraconservatism about blocksize, we let an altcoin have all that, and Bitcoin gets swept by the wayside. And guess which one ends up more decentralized.

This important comment made me think that it's a good time to review just how Bitcoin has fared against the altcoins since a useful comparison has been made possible by coinmarketcap. Using the Wayback machine I got one data-point (aggregate values in USD) for each month as close to the 9th (first one) as possible. The chart below shows Bitcoin's monetary base (or market cap) as a percentage of all cryptocurrency excluding Ripple.



There is a very slight trend down (black), exacerbated by the recent LTC ramp, probably pre-halving noise as smooth says. I have shown the y-axis from 0% to avoid the scarier looking trend when base-lined at 80%.

This chart is interesting because it shows that despite the acrimonious 1MB debate it is not yet having a serious effect on price, and similarly the 1MB is not yet crippling user volumes and driving up usage (and therefore enhanced value) of alternative crypto.

Yesterday, we had a BIP [77? 103?] from Pieter, which is extremely welcome and the first official solution from the 1MBers in Core Dev. Unfortunately, this BIP pursues minimal change, with 2MB blocks only in 2021 and 10MB blocks (effectively the same capacity as Dogecoin today), in 2030. Personally, I think this will leave a severe bottleneck in Bitcoin throughput by about Q2/Q3 2016 and the major risk of a sharp change down in trend in the chart above.
legendary
Activity: 1639
Merit: 1006
When the new breed of Bitcoiner who got burned buying at the top and then tried to get rich with altcoins realizes how useless altcoins really are, a lot of money will come flooding back to Bitcoin.  My guess is that the market landscape will look very different in another 12 months. 

According to coinmarketcap, today, BTC is already 86% of the crypto space. I don't think another 14% is likely to induce a new ATH.

Though as soon as the banks figure out their 'Bitcoinless blockchain innovations' are unsecurable, we might see some real appreciation.

Would love to see a trend line price chart from coinmarketcap that shows the percent of crypto market cap occupied by Bitcoin over the last three years.
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1688
lose: unfind ... loose: untight
When the new breed of Bitcoiner who got burned buying at the top and then tried to get rich with altcoins realizes how useless altcoins really are, a lot of money will come flooding back to Bitcoin.  My guess is that the market landscape will look very different in another 12 months. 

According to coinmarketcap, today, BTC is already 86% of the crypto space. I don't think another 14% is likely to induce a new ATH.

Though as soon as the banks figure out their 'Bitcoinless blockchain innovations' are unsecurable, we might see some real appreciation.
legendary
Activity: 1937
Merit: 1001
Early adopters have long cashed out and are living the rich life on your lost money.  Every single bit coin you hold supports this theft of wealth.
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 251
What is the longest run without a new ATH price bubble?

I am thinking that we are in a new era of Bitcoin. Can it stay like this for years?

We definitely are!!! And I'm pretty sure it will be like this for years. All signs are for that

Yes, the long sought after stability seems to be here.
A slow move upward wouldn't be too bad.  Smiley

I still think that this has also to do with people hoping that there will be a huge spike when they can come off wining.
legendary
Activity: 1232
Merit: 1000
What is the longest run without a new ATH price bubble?

I am thinking that we are in a new era of Bitcoin. Can it stay like this for years?

We definitely are!!! And I'm pretty sure it will be like this for years. All signs are for that

Yes, the long sought after stability seems to be here.
A slow move upward wouldn't be too bad.  Smiley
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
I don't think early Bitcoiners are back into Bitcoin at all
And this is the same thing what I said.

I also said that why take risk in reinvesting the money to create a new bubble?
Duh
legendary
Activity: 1946
Merit: 1007
Every day we stay at this price range increases the likely hood of a total collapse. Which is already pretty much inevitable anyway.

Every day we stay at this price range increase the likey hood of bitcoin becoming stronger. Which is already pretty much inevitable anyway.

Pllease get your facts straight Wink
full member
Activity: 280
Merit: 100
What is the longest run without a new ATH price bubble?

I am thinking that we are in a new era of Bitcoin. Can it stay like this for years?

We definitely are!!! And I'm pretty sure it will be like this for years. All signs are for that
legendary
Activity: 1134
Merit: 1010
BTC to the moon is inevitable...
Every day we stay at this price range increases the likely hood of a total collapse. Which is already pretty much inevitable anyway.
Just curious, how much did you pay for that account?

he is mentioning the exact opposite of what can happen!

which means every day that we stay at this price will reduce the risk of any sort of crash or decrease in price
legendary
Activity: 1639
Merit: 1006
The early investment of the investors paid off them in late 2013 when Bitcoin reached around $1500


So why take risk to reinvest in it for creating a new bubble?

I don't think early Bitcoiners are back into Bitcoin at all, which is why we will stagnate for a while yet while we wait for a new generation of speculators to get on board. Increasing usage is a meaningless goal, it is all about speculators, period.

Ultimately, i think we will go lower because bitcoin has to appear like a reasonable risk to a lot more people before we have enough buying pressure to move up in a meaningful way. $250 is just still too expensive.
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
The early investment of the investors paid off them in late 2013 when Bitcoin reached around $1500


So why take risk to reinvest in it for creating a new bubble?
legendary
Activity: 3990
Merit: 4597
When the new breed of Bitcoiner who got burned buying at the top and then tried to get rich with altcoins realizes how useless altcoins really are, a lot of money will come flooding back to Bitcoin.  My guess is that the market landscape will look very different in another 12 months. 

....that it is not the spoon that bends, it is only yourself.
legendary
Activity: 2996
Merit: 1136
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
When the new breed of Bitcoiner who got burned buying at the top and then tried to get rich with altcoins realizes how useless altcoins really are, a lot of money will come flooding back to Bitcoin.  My guess is that the market landscape will look very different in another 12 months. 

Well there are always exceptions among that giant list of altcoins but your right for the most part most were all crap, but at the least Bitcoin still acts as a gateway to access the altcoin market and with most of the losers returning to hang out in Bitcoin again later.
Things here change on a month to month basis a years time will make a lot of patterns we are seeing now a lot clearer.
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
When the new breed of Bitcoiner who got burned buying at the top and then tried to get rich with altcoins realizes how useless altcoins really are, a lot of money will come flooding back to Bitcoin.  My guess is that the market landscape will look very different in another 12 months. 

Market is bound to change, it might even change completely by the next year. Bitcoin was created to be an alternative, not a replacement to fiat. And now all these altcoin who are trying to be a replacement for bitcoin will fail similarly, because bitcoin is more about better use than dominating as a currency which is what the altcoins score to be.
hero member
Activity: 564
Merit: 502
Every day we stay at this price range increases the likely hood of a total collapse. Which is already pretty much inevitable anyway.
Just curious, how much did you pay for that account?
donator
Activity: 4760
Merit: 4323
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
When the new breed of Bitcoiner who got burned buying at the top and then tried to get rich with altcoins realizes how useless altcoins really are, a lot of money will come flooding back to Bitcoin.  My guess is that the market landscape will look very different in another 12 months. 
sr. member
Activity: 490
Merit: 250
What is the longest run without a new ATH price bubble?

I am thinking that we are in a new era of Bitcoin. Can it stay like this for years?
The bitcoin price is stabilizing at the moment but I don't think that we will see another price bubble any  time soon. Once the usage of bitcoin rises, the price will rise since the bitcoin amount is limited. The bitcoin price prediction is a mixture of time,adoption and price/demand concept.
legendary
Activity: 2002
Merit: 1040
Sure it can stay like this.  If you want a bubble buy a altcoin.  Bubbles for bitcoin are over.  Everybody knows about it now and there is liquidity in the market.  Real demand just isn't there yet.  Most people accumulating now are buying for the future.  I wouldn't expect to see any action until a couple months before the halving and the big miners start hoarding their coins.


Lol there will be quite a few more bubbles chief. And if you think our $4 billion market cap constitutes liquidity then, well, I don't know what to tell you.
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1000
What is the longest run without a new ATH price bubble?

I am thinking that we are in a new era of Bitcoin. Can it stay like this for years?

No, it can't stay like this for years. The longer we stay below 315$, the more likely is to see a new low, about 140$ and later possibly 80$.

Now that is simply not true. But now is a good time for bearish FUD, with Karpeles arrested, so crack on.
legendary
Activity: 910
Merit: 1000
Sure it can stay like this.  If you want a bubble buy a altcoin.  Bubbles for bitcoin are over.  Everybody knows about it now and there is liquidity in the market.  Real demand just isn't there yet.  Most people accumulating now are buying for the future.  I wouldn't expect to see any action until a couple months before the halving and the big miners start hoarding their coins.
legendary
Activity: 1937
Merit: 1001
Every day we stay at this price range increases the likely hood of a total collapse. Which is already pretty much inevitable anyway.
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
What is the longest run without a new ATH price bubble?

I am thinking that we are in a new era of Bitcoin. Can it stay like this for years?

No, it can't stay like this for years. The longer we stay below 315$, the more likely is to see a new low, about 140$ and later possibly 80$.
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
Move On !!!!!!
What is the longest run without a new ATH price bubble?

I am thinking that we are in a new era of Bitcoin. Can it stay like this for years?

I also think that we will be in a $200-400 range for quite a while, which is not bad, stability is what we need. The only way we will leave permanently this range in the next 4-6 months in my opinion is if we get some extraordinary or devastating news.

Than again, with Bitcoin you really never know! Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1639
Merit: 1006
the all time chart is telling me that the june 2011 january 2013 was the longest, from 14 to 2 to 14 again, it was floating in that range

we can surpass that easily, if we have not already....

crazy that was only three years ago, but it feels like 200-300 bitcoins are going to be here for a while
legendary
Activity: 3248
Merit: 1072
the all time chart is telling me that the june 2011 january 2013 was the longest, from 14 to 2 to 14 again, it was floating in that range

we can surpass that easily, if we have not already....
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
well, people know bitcoin now, you can't expect spikes like that in a very short time anymore. traders are a bit wiser as well. they are slowly buying up coins instead of buying a huge load of coins at once causing the price to go up.
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1000
What is the longest run without a new ATH price bubble?

I am thinking that we are in a new era of Bitcoin. Can it stay like this for years?

If bitcoin is a captured market then greed will eventually rule the day, again.

If bitcoin is a free market then greed will eventually rule the day, again.

legendary
Activity: 1639
Merit: 1006
What is the longest run without a new ATH price bubble?

I am thinking that we are in a new era of Bitcoin. Can it stay like this for years?
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