Topic: What are we expecting between now and Bitcoin halving? (Read 611 times)

congrats for your first Bull run mate hope this will not be your only bullrun
because we will be having more in the coming years.
normally there is a dumping when halving is coming and until it comes ,
mostly the bull happens after couple of months or at least before the year ends.
good strategy, continue buying and never sell anything until next year at least December.

The bear run has helped many to plan well by using the opportunity to buy some potential coins that will make them to forget some of the stress they went through over some years. Now that it remain few days to the end of 2023, I don't think the price will still reach $50 because is taking a long time to increase above $42k and, is making some investors to feel bad based on some of the things they wish to establish in this month of december when the BTC price increase.

No doubt that next year will be more beautiful than this year which many BTC experts has confirmed it to investors that the price will reach $80k before the end of next year and it will make long team and short term hodlers to make more money.

Buy the rumor, Sell the news? This had been always the main line for those people who are having already the experience when it comes to fundamentals on which people would really be sticking into this sentiment
and this is why its not really that shocking that they will really be presuming that this might likely the thing that could happen on this upcoming ETF approval. We dont really even know that it would be approved nor would really be rejected once again on which we know that this market could really be having those unexpected u-turn of events on which not everyone is really that expecting or anticipating for it to happen.
Now that we are really that fast approaching in the halving event of Bitcoin, i do really expect that there would really be that last dump before we do shoot up.

ETF news then this is where most eyes is really that focusing on. For approval i would definitely say that there would really be that shooting up its price into the roof or might trigger those pumps but i would
say that it could really be just that temporal on which everything before halving event can be considered pre-pumps? No one really knows. This is why its really that hard
on making yourself taking up decisions specially on an unpredictable space where everything could possibly turn upside down.

I think you have the wrong expectations. It seems to me that once the ETF is approved, it's going to be a dump. The market remembers a similar situation in 2017, when everyone was waiting for the futures ETFs to be approved. There was also a pump up before the event, after which there was a bearish season for a few years. It seems to me that something similar may happen now.

True, ETF approval = Billions of $ will pump the BTC price really high.
But, ETF rejection = we might see the price below $30k again and another delayed = BTC price might hang around between $35k to $43K for while.

I dont want to ruin the party but they might postponed the decision again because of the same reasons: market manipulation concerns, investor protection, and market stability.

We all know there are interesting things when ATH happens to Bitcoin, maybe we can see that currently various speculations have been predicted by many experts, of course this can happen or not, speculation does not guarantee that something will happen.

But even though there is various speculation, of course we can see from the experience that has occurred with Bitcoin from time to time, it has been proven that developments and changes in terms of prices have increased, maybe I will do the same thing, I will maintain as much as I can waiting for the new ATH against Bitcoin to occur.

Even though currently the price of Bitcoin is not showing seriousness, I still stick to my principles for Bitcoin in the future, hoping that there will be changes from what happened several years ago.

I can see them as a save point, just like when we play a video game. It would have been better if they have precise dates but it seems not possible for the both of them (ETF and halving). ETF is a long-awaited event so I think $60k is small for it and I'm sure many people are going to continue hodling because $60k is still our previous ATH. You know, they aren't really surprised with it anymore.

Correction is already expected but it's not alarming as the price will just recover easily after it, especially since there is also a halving. But that is if ETF will be approved first. Black Rock is like any other institution and their main reason for crashing the market is to cause a panic and once the price dips more, they will start buying in larger quantities.

Am expecting the good, the bad and the ugly but however ETF approval will be a very big milestone achievement towards the enhancement of Bitcoin price pump, so I'm optimistic that the ETF will get real and I'll take a new dimension in Bitcoin because we all know how the bull market will look like.

Though predictions shouldn't be solely based on past cycles, they do have a lot of influence on price movements. Current or upcoming news and events can surely have either a negative or a positive impact on the market but I believe that the market has become a bit mature now and bad news doesn't affect the prices that much anymore when compared to times in the past when people or retail investors used to panic a lot after hearing a piece of bad news.

So, I think the market will pump hard if the ETFs get approved, however, there won't be a very big pump if they get rejected because the market is optimistic about the upcoming bull run and people will be busy filling their bags and portfolios with their favourite cryptocurrencies so that they are all packed when the bull run arrives.

To be honest, I except that Bitcoin will reach net ATH and will probably go up to 100K USD per coin before Bitcoin halving because this is such a massive rise in such a short time once people heard about Bitcoin ETFs and Blackrocks interest into it that once ETFs get green light in two weeks, Bitcoin will crash the 100K price within some days. But it's interesting to think what will happen after Bitcoin halving because if the price is so high that miners profit with block rewards + fees, then there simply will not be a need of further increase and if anything, price will completely be driven by the hype instead of halving.

ETF situation can have an impact on the selling and buying momentum but I couldn't expect people to be reliant on this because what I think is that they after the halving event which drags them to invest. In fact, there is no clear update about ETF's approval and I know that many are aware of the situation but as we look at the price trend, it keeps moving high which means that the demand increasing. Well, we can't stop people from making predictions based on the previous halving because the current situation is even close to it where the price is pumping and that is what also happened in the past.

I don’t think we can base our predictions on past cycles because just before previous halvings, we did not have a potential Bitcoin Spot ETF approval. This time we have a high potential to see a bunch of Bitcoin Spot ETF’s approved by the SEC. That would be huge for Bitcoin & I would assume we would pump hard on the news. To summarise:

ETF approval - pump hard
ETF rejection - dump

Everyone will probably always be ready for a big change in the market if it is a change that is good enough for everyone, but if the change could be worse, I don't think everyone will be ready to face it. Just because the indications are getting clearer that there is a Bitcoin halving moment that will occur next year, of course the changes will be more for the good so I am starting to have confidence that everyone can be prepared enough to see that big change.

I also think that waiting for the bullrun would be much better than waiting for the Bitcoin halving moment, because the bullrun could happen after the Bitcoin halving moment. So the market bullrun is an important point to wait for apart from the impacts that can cause the bullrun to occur, although in general everyone needs to wait for anything so that they have sufficient readiness to wait for the point that is considered more important.

I have never seen stability in the price of bitcoin because of the price fluctuation process and we can never guarantee the rise and fall of the price of bitcoin. I still see a correction or recovery process before it reaches the halving and maybe that's how Bitcoin performs at any time in the market.

If you intend to achieve maximum profits then holding in the long term until the next ATH is the most appropriate way. But if the concept is to make a profit, then when the buying price is above the selling price, there is no harm in letting go. It depends on your investment concept and how you try to use Bitcoin to generate maximum profits. For me, holding in the long term while accumulating other amounts is an option because when there are more bitcoins it will be quite profitable to sell at the next ATH.

Expect the unexpected! This has always been my main line and principle that i do have when dealing up with crypto space, on which there would really be no assurance if things would really be just that the same
or the things that we are anticipating to happen could happen. We do know that no one on this world would be able to point out on what are the things that would happen ahead. This is why you should really that make yourself that versatile and would really be able to be that adaptive basing up on the current situations or conditions that you are facing on. Bitcoin is fast approaching and people are already that anticipating
on the things that it would really be that positive but we know that there's no assurance on how far it would really be able to reach out.

This is why it wont really be that a bad idea that you would really be placing up yourself into the market as of these current prices on which we know that it is really that still low.
Some might be focusing on putting on investing on Bitcoin but there would really be those people who would really be that considering on putting up
money into altcoins too.

we are close, holding out is a good choice for now. Don't be influenced by situations that could trap you. holding long term will be a good storyline and can provide big profits. having a profit of 26% to date is quite a large profit, therefore grow this profit as much as possible because the halving will soon arrive and the bull market will make your assets have a greater value.

I advice you take some profit after the ETF approval, it's possible that Bitcoin will rise up to 60k after the ETF approval but a correction is sure to happen after, there isn't anything wrong taking profit and after a correction you can buy back some Bitcoin.

Like I have said few times already, if Black Rock plan to crash the market it could be that they have a plan after the ETF approval, but even if the ETF isn't expected Bitcoin will still correct itself before the Halving, so this is unavoidable.

Have your profit taking strategy in place, you can't lose out if you take profit.

That's what we don't know because we can't unfold what the crypto market holds for us in bitcoin price. But we can only be positive and hope that from now to the halving season, bitcoin will be on the increase side not at a decrease. Nevertheless, if it chooses to increase, fine, or decline, it's also our advantage to accumulate more bitcoin at a low price.

To be holding till the bull starts as it reaches the entry price you wish to sell, will be a better plan. You can have your entry price set to be $80k-$100k as you would want to since many of us believe that we are to anticipate a higher price to come than the previous bull run which was $65k in 2021

It bitcoin halving reputed in the same way like before, it is definitely a golden opportunity for those who have prepared for the up coming bull market. But it is difficult to say that the market will behave the same. Because if we look at the normal view, the tendency that works in the public sometimes does not match the behavior of the market. Also we all think that ETF may be approved but still can anyone guarantee it? We will have to wait till the official announcement comes. Because if the ETF is not approved, the market may take a big crash. But again, before or after the halving, the market may return to its previous state. Therefore, the investor must be aware of the market and conduct investment activities with utmost caution.

ETFs are something that attracts large investors who want to trade in the simplest possible way, and the big advantage for each such investor is that he does not have to buy and store BTC himself, but the fund does it all for him. Of course, such investors are always at risk of losing their money, considering that others manage their assets, but here we are talking exclusively about trading, none of them care what BTC represents, nor do they want to know about the golden rule "not your keys, not your coins".


I think that investors are always attracted by big names that have credibility and a good reputation, so it seems to me that companies like BlackRock, Fidelity or Grayscale will grab the biggest share of the pie.

No one can tell you exactly what will happen between now till halving by next year. But with all indications, there’s going to be a major change in the market that will either make people excited for a while or for a whole. With that in mind, just expect anything to happen and be ready to face the market changes.

Waiting till after halving before you sell your hodling is better but waiting till after bull run is the best. You just need to make up your mind as you’ve been doing till date that you won’t touch your funds for any reason and will accumulate more until the bull run so that you can benefit and gain plenty profit at bull run.

Who knows? The truth is that nobody really knows and there are enough memes about people who claim to know while they say "it could go up, but it could also go down". Well, interesting analysis if you ask me.

What's hard to predict here is when events are priced in. As you said, will it a steady climb or will there be another jump? Is the halving already priced in due to the recent price increase?

Do big players want to make moves and ride the Bitcoin halving wave by buying and more and get retail investors excited?

What I really see there before the halving is possibly around 100k per bitcoin, or maybe after 1 week after the halving. This is just my guess based on my opinion. Because the ETF cannot play a part in the rise of Bitcoin.

Of course, no matter what others say, the etf still has a contribution to raise the price value of Bitcoin in the market. But even so, no one knows what will actually happen on that very day of the main event of the halving.

In fact, so far, the bitcoin scarcity has not been felt much, despite the fact that there is only 10% of the total amount left to be mined. You can still buy any number of coins now. It will probably take a few more cycles for the scarcity to become real.

This is the very first impact of EFT(spot). Then the next would be the likelihood of widespread global adoption. But not sure how this is going to happen that is if more people will buy the actual Bitcoin or ETF (spot). I say that nobody will be able to predict what direction it would go.

What happens to the ones that have been around since they haven't been popular. Will investors interest be tilted towards those companies or the new companies like BlackRock after its approval?

That's the most important word, "scarcity". Bitcoin will become something rare and in that case we will all be needing something that will benefit us all and we should be considering the situation all that much better. I hope that it gets to a point where it is going to end up with a greater return, and we need to make sure that it is going to end up with a higher price, and scarcity only makes that better.

Every single year, between lost ones and long term holding ones, there are less and less bitcoins left at each market, which means that buyers who are looking to buy more, have fewer sellers, so they end up paying more to make that happen, and that's the most important part of it, we should be careful about it, and we will go higher thanks to this.

From the previous halvings, the price usually rising before the halving and it will go down again after the halving.
Then from 6 to 18 months later, we will see a new ATH.

You can withdraw the 26% profit and enjoy the holiday, or keep holding for a long term investment.
There will be many fuds and hype, keep hodl rest and enjoy the ride.

You obviously don't know the difference between futures and spot BTC ETF, because then you would certainly think differently about the impact on the price if such an ETF (spot) were approved in the US. The very news of such an approval can have a positive effect on the price, and all those funds that will buy BTC after that will definitely affect the price.

Of course, what is unknown is how much interest investors will actually have in such a way of trading, because futures BTC ETF that have been around for some time are not very popular.

Yes don’t sell away these valuable coins in cheap price. We all know that how much valuable Bitcoins are and what are its capabilities. If there is no emergency of money, then don’t send these coins. Hold these coins as long as you can. A time will come when there will be scarcity of the coins and you will make the most profit at that time by selling it in high price. Let’s hope in this bull market Bitcoins cross atleast 70k usd.

i think bitcoin pump not about ETF.
in history bitcoin price every halving bitcoin price will rise very high and always reach its latest ATH price. ETF have little or to no impact on the overall BTC price.

Bitcoin increase will be steady until halving and it does not means that we will not see decline upto halving but that decline will end soon as halving is taking place for enhancement of price. As bitcoin show higher price today like that of 43k$ so there is an excitement about halving that how much surge we will examine at that time because it is assumed that we will see 70k$ of bitcoin worth.

Halving is an event that is assumed to be a part of crypto market after every four years so be a participant of bitcoin investment if you want to take benefit from coming Bull run. Literally these are all divination but truth is unspecified and we don't know that the price will go ahead from 70k$ or will stop there so taking profit on time is necessary.

If the regularity of the past were to be repeated, we would see a rise from here to halving, although with dips as well. It is worth remembering that ATHs traditionally do not break until well past halving. That is if the regularity were to repeat, well it doesn't have to but I think the most likely scenario is that the price will rise in the next few months to $50K or $55K and then drop and after halving go up to meet the previous ATH of $69K.

My response to you is an answer to your dilemma whether to hodl past the bull run or to take some profits now. I'm not just saying it's low for its sake. I'm saying it is very low for taking profit. The context was whether to take profit or to continue hodling.

Compared to banks, 26% is already very high. Taken on its own, it is also already a decent profit. But to take into consideration the short to medium term potential, that's low indeed. There's more profit to gain so why be contented with just 26%? You can probably have it doubled next year even.

As for your altcoins, I think 1000% and 500% are enough. If I were you, those are the coins I'd consider converting.

Over the next few years,  how many years do you have in mind,  because I am sure that the majority of us here already know what the extent of our speculations will be,  because many of us already allocated a timing for our speculation and just as I expected from the title of the thread,  I am sure that you also have a time frame for your speculations and since you mention that the next Bitcoin halving which is around the corner with less than six month to the timing of that great event.

But we are still anticipating the best when that eventually happens because a lot of high hope have been placed on the next Bitcoin market bull,  which many believe will happen and it will come some weeks or months after the next Bitcoin block halves.

I believe that the best thing to do in regards to something like this would be just making sure that we do have some bitcoin that we are holding. Too many people are missing that point and they are trying to just figure out when would be the best time to buy, but they are not aware that today is the best time to buy and second best day is tomorrow.

You should get in, and you should get as much bitcoin as you possibly can during this period so that it would make sense, but that doesn't mean that we are going to end up with anything better, we need to keep it working. All those people who still hold their money at tether or similar stablecoins, waiting to get in, are making a huge mistake right now and it will be terrible for them.

What we are seeing in the market right now is quite positive, and we can predict that the price will breach the ATH soon. However, I feel this was a trap that people should be aware of because the retracement has not yet occurred, and I anticipate a large dump will occur shortly. Looking back at Bitcoin's history, there will be a price drop before the halving, followed by an explosion. And now that a lot of people are aware of this, and we know that smart money is here to entice us, we must act differently than most people do.

If you have been on this market for so long and been through with a few halvings. You'd say that there's a guarantee that it will definitely go up but then, I was saying that don't think of it as if there's a guarantee. As for the event, I think that you're aware of all the Bitcoin ETF waiting to get some approvals. By the time that they've been applied, we've already seen the market up by those news and they're not just rumors at all. That's why if you think that there's not a lot of events that's going to happen after the halving, it's up to you what you think and everyone's opinion is right I guess.

There is a saying that not all the time do History gets to repeat its self but not with bitcoin. The bitcoin Market is moving gradually towards the the ATH that I think we might even beat that faster than previous bull runs. The reason for this is as you have pointed out which is the FOMO. The ETF approval of gotten next year will inspire the market bullish period and we could beat the ATH next year instead of the past trend of it happening one year after the halving period. But as we look at the positive side of the market let’s also anticipate the bearish trend too, I feel this can only come at this time if the bitcoin market is met with a negative news like hack or collapse of a top exchange. Another could be if the ETF doesn’t get approved then we might definitely see a. Market correction

History repeats itself and that’s why many are bullish with Bitcoin right now and they are prepared to see the new ATH with Bitcoin. It’s not too late yet to accumulate and I know Bitcoin will be more expensive as the months goes by. The halving will be the biggest reason for the next bull run and no one can stop it, though right now we are seeing FOMO because of the news about ETF, but corrections are still possible so wait for the right time to buy more.

Base on what we have seen before, right after the halving, we might not see the impact of it. It might take weeks or months before the price will slowly rises. Last halving, this was the case until Elon Musk influence the market and then the price goes to $50k. And then the following year we reaches new all time high at $69k.

So that might be the case here, although different scenario as we have in mind what could be the factor that will push the price for this scheduled block halving. And this is the approval of  the Bitcoin spot ETF that majority of us could excited as it will push the price to 6 digits at least making us the winner and giving us huge profit.

Next year halving will happen but it is not exactly when the Bitcoin price will be bullish. It may also be that Bitcoin starts to become bullish after the halving event ends or may take more time. But it is certain that the market will go back to a bullish movement. If you are holding Bitcoin then I would say definitely hold it because investing in Bitcoin will definitely give you good returns in due course but if you are holding any cryptocurrency other than Bitcoin then there will be fear. Altcoins can take you from profit to loss at any time. So do market analysis and take appropriate decision. If you invest in Bitcoin, you will definitely have the right way which will be supported by all.

It's okay for everyone to think that the same thing will happen during or after the Bitcoin halving, which is due in 2024. But everyone also shouldn't be disappointed if the same thing doesn't happen during the halving or after the halving. Because currently there are still many price levels that Bitcoin must reach in order to be able to record its new ATH, especially since this year is only a short time away and everyone will enter next year with enthusiasm and full of hope for better things in Bitcoin.

If you are looking for long term, yeah 26% might be low for now, but in the next bull run, let's say bitcoin goes on massive and end up like in the $160k as all time high, then that is already huge profit.

But if you say that you are going to hold for the next 5-6 years or so, it might be tough, but if you are looking to retire as a millionaire and willing to stay this long and continue to accumulate and retire, then goodluck to your plan mate.

I don't think 26% profit overall for my portfolio at this point is that bad considering we still have bull run to come for next few years.

I have some altcoins that I am up almost 1000% , some 500 % but also have some that I am down on around 30%.

I am looking forward to the next few years and hoping it can be the first step for me towards retiring in the 2028/29 bull run.

If by any chance you read my previous post, then you could see that I already commented on that information - and the reason for such a small profit lies in the fact that the OP invested exclusively in altcoins (you can see that from his post history). However, considering the interest rates on savings and deposits in banks, even that 26% seems like very good earnings in a period of 1-2 years of investment.

OP (and many others) don't seem to understand the moment the market is in at all, because if you ask the question "should I sell now or wait?" they obviously haven't studied the history of halving even a little bit. Of course, one should always take into account that history does not always have to repeat itself, but if you are already doing something exclusively for the sake of profit, then it is still not bad to look at the historical facts.

There's no guarantee that the price will go up after the halving, the price pump happens months if not years before happening so just cool down and not get too excited when the halving happens because there's not a lot of eventful things when halving happens, maybe the price will go up for a little bit and then become steady, and that's how it's been for awhile already. Just do what you've already said in the last part, that's the only thing you can do anyways and all we can do is just wait for things to happen.

What I do expect now  is that bitcoin will even Hold 30k and above and that is more than enough or better to expect and that will also shows us that there will no big dump coming .

and about the halving? there will never be a continues Pumping watching how bitcoin moves over the year.

so if you are going to believe that it will increase from here till then? i am afraid you'll ever have one.

what you need to expect is that price will drop from next year and may bring you good growth in the last quarter of the year at least.

None. Don't expect too much.

What I mean is that, what you've seen that happen this year might happen as well in between today, and the day before the halving. Don't expect that Bitcoin will reach ATH at that time frame because based on history, Bitcoin usually goes up in price a few months after the halving. What I mean when I say it goes up is that, it just goes up, and up, and not going down that much. If that happens, that also means that we are in a bull run already.

Just look at what happened in 2020 & 2021. It might happen as well.

Well, it's good for you that you took the opportunity to buy during the bear market. Most of the investors were afraid to buy at that time for some unknown reasons, but like you, I also took advantage of it and bought some coins including Bitcoin at that time as well.

As for your question, just hold on to it, wait for the bull market to happen then sell at the peak or near its peak. Have some target selling prices as well, and be patient. Make sure that those selling prices are a bit realistic as well meaning there's a high chance that it will reach that price during the bull run.

History shows that every bitcoin halving, the bitcoin price always rises high and always records a new ATH price.
whether 2024 when halving will happen the same thing, my prediction remains the same halving will make bitcoin record its latest ATH price

Congratulations on making a profit with your Bitcoin investment. I understand you might be anxious about price volatility leading up to and following the BTC halving, and there's the concern you might lose your current gains if the price drops. However, I have a small piece of advice for you: don't focus too much on the short term when investing in Bitcoin. The high-profit opportunities might take longer compared to Altcoins, so with a profit of only 26% that you've cashed in, it might not justify the time you've held your investment.

I believe it's not easy to buy Bitcoin at a low price anymore, maybe below $30,000 USD. So, if you have had a good position, it might be wise to hold onto it. Cashing out now could make you miss out on Bitcoin and force you to buy back at a higher price if, unfortunately, the price continues to rise without a significant correction to a lower level than your initial purchase.

Many see the potential for Bitcoin to increase in value over the next 1-2 years, but not many can hold long-term because they often get swayed by the media and the ups and downs of profits, which erode their initial determination. Optimizing each market wave is very challenging; one wrong move, and what was a profitable situation can turn into a loss.

26% in profit is very low. Decide for yourself, but I'm just putting myself on your shoes. That to me is nothing because the potential is way bigger than that. I'm even convinced that 100% growth is very possible less than a year from now.

The sentiment is generally bullish so I guess between now and the Bitcoin halving in April the price would slowly but surely climb higher. And it's not just the halving that is being influential right now. The Bitcoin spot ETF is actually a big factor.

Your holdings is a very impressive one that I will love you to hold more till the market is really bullish, even though we smell some profit at the corner already it shouldn't be tempting enough to sell now because the halving is already near and selling now shouldn't be an option.

You have a 26% profit already and with an empathic understanding I feel the dilemma to sell and take some profit but in as much am not in your position I can't make a decision for you but if your feel selling is the best for you then you should sell but if you feel it's not the best then hold till the big bullish market. Reason for not making a particular suggestions for you is based on the fact you make decisions yourself so even if I give a particular suggestions you will still choose from you mind.

Afaik, we aren't in the position to tell what the market will do next year because nobody know the next move everything that you might even hear should be a probability not certain.

Price spikes will not always appear, but at least the halving will provide an opportunity to increase the price of Bitcoin and provide many benefits for users of Bitcoin and other digital currencies. Meanwhile, when that happens, it is better to sell it when the price is high so that profits can be obtained. Never buy when the price is rising high because it will trap your assets at high prices because, as you said, the price movements of Bitcoin and other currencies can fall instantly.

It's a good decision to hold it until now and then when the price is really already Bullish.
You only need to determine at what price your sales target is, and don't force it if you can't afford to hold it longer.

But buying right now or when the price is bearish, and you've made a 26% profit is already a good portfolio.
It must continue to be developed by doing DCA using the spare money you have.

We will wait for the halving effect for the next 2 years 2024-2025.
I have a target for ATH $100k DWYOR.

I doubt it will be relaxing.
Bitcoin will probably go wild even when the Bitcoin ETF is approved. There's a time for stability and it might take a year or more. So the halving will probably have a great impact on the value of Bitcoin especially now that the starter is the ETF. More people have knowledge about Bitcoin because of it and FOMO will be rising. Why would one good investor want to miss out on this opportunity? I seriously doubt he will. But now, reap the rewards later. I like what you are doing, keep it up.
I've made my mistake in the past and I do regret selling a lot of Bitcoin in my stash just because of one good pump. Now, if I could take back time I would rather not sell it all and just keep it as an asset for a long time. Even now, I would probably not sell. That's the difference when you have knowledge about something, you start to have an idea of what's coming next.

Do not expect that the price surge will appear continuously because that will never happen for a volatile coin like bitcoin. However, expect that there will be sudden price correction any time. It's better to prepare for it and become unbothered, than to resort into panic selling which will only result your investment into at loss.

Now if asked if you will continue to hold or take profits at some point, that depends on you. If you don't need your funds at the moment, then it's a wise idea to continue hodling until you will find good reason to sell and make decent profits.

First bullrun? What do you mean? 
You must be aware that we are nearing the Bitcoin halving, it is normal if Bitcoin price is in a positive move. The price is almost reaching $45k, it is quite far from the early of 2023. Honestly, I expect the price to reach $50k soon in the early of 2024.

Dude, I am sure there will be no longer people to expect a crash of Bitcoin price in the next year. People must already collect enough Bitcoin in their wallets. We all plan for selling the Bitcoin now, so we wait for the peak of the bullrun season. After Bitcoin halving in April, the price probably starts to skyrocket. And the peak possibly happens in Q4 of 2024 or Q1-Q2 of 2025.

If you feel satisfied with your current profits, you are free to sell your Bitcoin now. But I'm sure most people will prefer to wait for the peak of bullrun season. No people will sell their Bitcoin before the Bitcoin halving happens. People who sell their Bitcoin now, it is probably because of the urgent needs only.

The adoption today is already very different than before, so the performance of the market might be quite different.
But don't expect too much because we are just waiting for the sentiments of the community.
High likely that it is positive as right now we are already feeling the positive vibes brought by the increase of price.
As the supply of btc is fixed, and the adoption is further increasing, we can surmise that the price will really be heading to upward direction.

Well, the impact of halving is quite huge and it obviously helps the price increases. But understanding the market behavior and its volatility, still we can expect some price corrections before and after halving but I believe there are more pumps rather than dumping scenarios. It is too hard to assume but I was predicting that the price of Bitcoin would reach $50,000 before halving, it was not far from the current price and I believe it has a bigger chance to make it.

Most people, when they enter the crypto industry (Bitcoin) to invest, they only think about profit and rising Bitcoin. Because they think that every time we get 2x 3x more profit margins than the current ATH, while it is not so. No one knows whether the price movement of Bitcoin will perform in the same way or not. And to understand that losing in emotions, dreams, and thoughts that Bitcoin will rise 2x or 3x more than its ATH this time. So it is inappropriate, in my opinion, Because the price movement of Bitcoin will be better than the previous one, blah blah, etc., an estimate is not made on the price of Bitcoin that it will actually perform like the previous one this time too or not.
 
So the meaning of the saying is that don't give up so many dreams and emotion's on Bitcoin because no one can predict the price of Bitcoin and perform by looking at its history or movement. There is no doubt that the future of Bitcoin is bullish, but not that much. Only a rise will be a rise in price and don't be fall. It's not strong matches. Make decisions according to your knowledge because No buddy is responsible for profit or loss.
DYOR

What I really see happening in the upcoming bitcoin halving is that many communities in this bitcoin and crypto industry will move forward, and their lives will change again.

Now, while we are waiting for the main event of Halving's, at the same time there is an ETF that has submitted many applications, and BlackRock is one of the ones expected to be approved, which is also expected by the majority of the community here, and there are even rumors that it has been approved. that said, and there are also many who strive to save as much as each holding can.

Just see to it that even if we're getting some guarantees that the price of Bitcoin will go up, much better to look at it as if it will still have some downtime and correction. There is no other expectations for you to be made when you're like that and what's important is you know that it is not daily pump but there will be some balancing along its way to a new high. So, if you still don't know what to do. Keep on observing and like what others are reminding everyone, buy and HODL.

Just Buy and HODL Bitcoin, do not expect anything from Bitcoin. Doesn't matter if Halving is coming soon, it's going all by the plans and I am really happy for all those who bought when people were selling. That's how you get generational wealth by taking your chance when everyone else is in Fear. I am glad to get the opportunity to buy Bitcoin below $20k.

I am not expecting anything before 2025.

It is an answer that only you know, but 26% is a huge return, in any situation for an investor, but apparently you are just an ordinary citizen looking to improve your economy, so it depends on your personal issues, how to know .

In any case, the dream increases of a large majority these days have an enormous variance, it may be that even in January we will see prices that will take us years to see again, so it is a matter of individual priority and a plan.

One of my mistakes before is not accumulating as much as I can with the different coins and waiting for the upcoming bull run, things is just normal if you keep your asset gains, but until when we know the bull run is coming but whats your goal or target to achieve this profit you want in the next market price?. Not all the time we keep holding after the peek is the dump of course you make yourself at least have a plan with your asset and not just hold it forever just a tip. Next is to make sure of your security, we know if there's a bull run people try to scam others just to have gains if you can afford to invest in your coins I guess you can afford to invest in security like hardware wallet and keep storing it into those exchange like binance.

Although the bitcoin market is unpredictable, halving events have historically caused bullish movements. Will this pattern persist? The future is unclear and hard to predict. Bitcoin's durability is evident, but be cautious. This journey is full of volatility, so be ready for climbs and descents.

Your perseverance and long-term vision paid off by holding through the bear market. However, risk management requires diversity. With the halving approaching, holding may be enticing, but optimism must be balanced with caution. Profits only come from closing positions.

Personal financial goals and risk tolerance determine whether to hold or sell. Cryptography tests one's fortitude. Despite these challenges, Bitcoin remains a digital financial pioneer. Take this trip with knowledge and anticipation, but keep your expectations grounded in reality.

It is my 2nd bull run, in the first bull run, my thoughts forced me to take entry by another side of me said, just speculate now and do not trade but I still traded in the future and due to the high volatility and less knowledge I got liquidated and from then to till now I never traded. Well, the thing is, if you are facing any of the two thought (to trade or to speculate only) then I will suggest get some knowledge first to do any of the both. Because to observe (speculation) and to trade, you need education to make some sense of the market.
I don't remember if in the last bull run or just before halving there was any dump. Buy you can check the charts manually, but talking about the current, in my opinion, the last days of December and the first week of January will be highly volatile, as the 10th january is the date of EFT's approval or rejection.
If the money is not needed then it would be better to hold because we might see temporary dump before or after halving but bull run is coming and people are holding to make at least 3x from BTC>

Yes, but generally a lot of volatility the entire time(bull market, bear market, or crab market) until bitcoin grows big enough for it to have gold-levels of mild volatility.

tl;dr don't over leverage and manage your expectations.

A lot of volatility in coming months even some months after the halving, to shake all weak hands, all gamblers and speculators, who don't have enough experience in this market and who don't have good risk management for their capital, out of this market.

With those heavy elements, the market won't be able to take off around the halving and market makers will play their games to kill those investors, traders, speculators before their game actually kicks off.

Mate — if we know what's sure what will happen with extreme detail, we'd all be rich right now and chilling in some beach in the Bahamas. That's what makes investing easier and trading far harder — because while we can have an idea of the direction of an asset, that direction is mostly with lots of nooks and crannies.

So to answer your question: A LOT of volatility

The price will be going up a lot more often, followed by corrections that may seem like the bear market has returned, but still the growth will outmatch the corrections. There will also be a lot of price spikes following positive news aka hype, like ETF hype, institutional adoption hype, government adoption hype and so on.

You can try to speculate on the market by selling before corrections and buying back after them, or you can wait for the bull run to be in full swing to start taking profits, which should happen in late 2024 - mid 2025.

Between now and halving, it is expected that we should hold as much as possible as we could, try to secure our asset on a personal wallet which is a non custodial wallet, hold and await the bullrun to begin before we may plan on releasing, we should also take away every forms of FOMO from our vicinity because listening to various kinds of feeds could be misleading and discouraging in so many ways.

This is also my first bull run and I am just happy to experience it. The journey was a fearful one because it was filled with a lot of suspense. The price of Bitcoin was very volatile, events like the fall of some exchanges and the war in Ukraine made the price unstable and sometimes you are tempted to sell your investment. But this season has been enjoyable because the price keeps increasing, even after a drop.  

The decision to buy or sell depends more on you than anybody. Everybody's plan is not the same because everyone has a selling or buying price. Most predictions are saying that the price will keep going high because there are possibilities that Bitcoin spot ETF will be approved and next year's halving will have a positive impact on the price of Bitcoin. But like I said if you are okay with your profit, you can sell but you might also make more profit if you keep it longer.  

It's very hard to say whether there will be a crash or not. Logically, there should be a crash but if Bitcoin finally gets ETF approval, that means that a lot of money will be put into Bitcoin market cap, e.g. the demand for Bitcoin will skyrocket and it will cause a massive price increase. At the same time, there is a haling in 2024 and soon after the halving there will be a huge bull run. I also expect that many big corporations and businesses will adopt Bitcoin.
To be fair, it's very hard to predict what will happen soon but long term, it's guaranteed to increase in price. If I were you, I wouldn't risk and I would hold it long-term, till 2025's summer at least. Just be careful that when the price increases, the time will come for the bubble to explode.

There could be a lot of price fluctuations between now and halving but if Bitcoin spot ETF is approved then it would play a crucial role before halving, in the past I have made reference that spot ETF might not have major impact on Bitcoin's price and I stand by my word as it wouldn't impact Bitcoin nagatively even if spot ETF is not approved or further delayed.

We might not see the new ATH but there are chances to breach $50k as it has become a psychological barrier now.

If I remember correctly, you don't have Bitcoin at all, you have already invested everything in altcoins because you want some crazy profits. You can only hope that Bitcoin will affect the price of all those useless coins you bought, but if it doesn't, maybe you'll learn a lesson.


Only 26%, and you started investing in the middle of last year? If, for example, you bought only Bitcoin in the last months of last year at a price of $15 500, you could have already made a profit of how many percent? Something is not quite right with your math

I'm not someone who's aware about the future but according to my speculation, Bitcoin's price will go to at least $60k or a little bit higher at the time of Bitcoin halving. There can be many price corrections during those months but I don't see any kind of crash in the line. Bitcoin will steadily climb and there can be a few dips here and there but there won't be any serious crashes.

I would suggest you to hold you Bitcoin for the bull run because 26% profit is least one could get from Bitcoin as in coming years we may get Bitcoin at $100k or more in value. I believe this bull run is going to be very exciting for the Bitcoin holders.

The Bitcoin can go anywhere around $100k to $250k in this bull run and the returns on one's investment can be very good if it even reaches just $100k in value. Where else someone can get more than 100% profit in two years? That's why I recommend you to just hold your Bitcoin and wait for the price of at least $100k or more than that.

The movement of bitcoin from the region of $15k to the region of $40k is a reaffirmation to what will happen in the coming months. The upwards movement of Bitcoin has given us a resounding hope to believe in the upcoming bull run. Assuming, the price was still in the region of 15k and 20k, it would have been very obvious that a new ATH would be difficult to attain. But with the sudden movement, we are optimistic.

Bitcoin does not move only in one direction. We should also expect a correlation in some certain points and the price will pick up again. But I don't think bitcoin price will retaste anything below 35k before the anticipated bull run.

Only you know your purpose of investment. Did you invest with DCA? If yes, you might not need to sell. Although, you can sell if you have an urgent need of money. Sell your 26% and keep the capital.

I am more convinced that there will be something different and will not happen as usual when approaching the halving or after the halving occurs. Because it can be quite logical to say and assume that different things could and would not happen as we have seen in the past. If everyone could predict what would happen when approaching the halving and after the halving, of course it would be very easy for everyone to wait for it because everyone would definitely know about the profit points they would get later.

It all depends on your own wishes, but if I were on your side with conditions like that, I would persist by not selling even a small amount if what you have is Bitcoin. Of course I also have a reason why I say that, because I am still quite sure that a better increase still exists and will occur again in Bitcoin which could even start again before the halving occurs.

It'll be my first halving and bull run experience too and I'm excited as you are to have the experience, so far Bitcoin price is looking good and I'm hopeful that it'll keep getting better till bull run. Between now and Bitcoin halving, I'm expecting price to keep increasing, because it is obvious that when Bitcoin cuts in half during halving, price will increase and that is an assurance of continued price pump. So as long as I still have the capability I'll keep accumulating and holding Bitcoin nonstop, because I'm certain of a massive ROI.

I expect price rises, with normal volatility of course, but before halving I don't expect the previous ath to be beaten, I don't think the price will go above $60,000. That has not happened so far in any cycle but could change with the moderation of rate hikes, and even likely downgrade and the more than likely approval of spot ETFs in the USA. History need not repeat itself. In any case, if the historical upward regularity is broken, I would not mind at all.

I totally agree with you but I think btc will crash sometime before start new ath pump in 2025 .

I think the phenomenon of Bitcoin halving has become too much anticipated by the public. You can always make money on something unexpected, for example, bitcoin itself was previously not interesting to anyone, and now those who invested in it are reaping the benefits. But now you can't come with $1,000 and buy it. It's the same with halving - too many people know about the correlation of halving and the price of bitcoin.

Therefore, there will be no growth of bitcoin during this period - rather, on the contrary, the market will surprise everyone.

There are so many different events in 2023, and everything that is going on makes me personally feel that the market fluctuations are always interesting, going through many different stages, that I feel grateful that the market is giving me more patience. Maybe next year, expectations will be pushed up and attention drawn to the halving event as an excuse to help the issues surrounding it impact and, at the same time make Bitcoin reach its highest, most recent targets. In Jan 2024 the ETF event that everyone is paying attention to will bring what I think is a very exciting atmosphere.

At this point now with all the good news we are getting all projecting towards 2024 I think everyone now is accumulating heavily against that time of the year when the halving will start because it's going to be a massive high for bitcoin and I won't be shocked the price hits $100k+. I don't know how you mean by a crash but from all indications 2024 it's a year for a bullrun so a crash isn't visible from my own lens.

Lucky you stepping in just in time to the halving, 26% isn't that much still not bad for a person that had just started not quite long. I have always said bitcoin accumulation is not a competition and people should always accumulate based on their financial strength.

You should have gotten a plan before starting off, was it a long term like 2-4 years plan or below. It's with a plan that you can know how to go about with your investment on when to take profit or not. So think again mate.

You are still lucky that you are enjoying current bull run as still there are large part of people don't knows about btc. I have seen 2 or more btc bulls and the first one was one where excitement was more than other bullsm market.


No one could say surely what will happen but you can check the one week chart which will tell you that btc movement will not be parabolic and we may see many up and down before reaching ATH. Generally December end and first two weeks of January are not good for btc and possibly we can see one dip to 37k and then hopefully the journey to 70k


I will suggest to hold it as 26% is not such a profit we say that it's time for exit. it's time for buying and no need to worry if btc dumps as you have an opportunity to buy more for big bull season. it is just start of bull season .

I am feeling good vibes for the market in 2024. Hope things goes good and we can see another ATH.

no ETF in 2023
no super pump in 2023

lets just allow december to pass where corporations can dodge their taxes by claiming losses.. and start afresh for 2024. then the price will start to go up

You already knew about estimation for a halving time, April and I don't need to share a Bitcoin halving countdown for you.

The most anticipated events till the halving is Bitcoin Spot ETF applications, deadlines to know those applications will be approved or rejected by SEC.

Bitcoin Spot ETF key dates to watch


The market was pumped a lot recent months because people believed SEC will have to approve Bitcoin Spot ETFs under pressure. Market will be dumped very hard if SEC. won't do this.

If you look at the next two years, everyone expects the price to rise, but do not expect a far upward curve, meaning do not expect the price to rise more than 4 times the current price, and for the bottom of the coming years to be a point close to the current price, in the range of $50,000.
Therefore, set your calculations for the long term and try to sell at a point between $100,000 and $150,000, and do not be greedy for more than that.

Pre-halving? we might post $50k or higher?

Post-halving? after the first couple of weeks, maybe it will be just a slow increase in price. But after that, the whole 2024, could be one of the biggest run and it will continue till 2025. Specially that we have some news that is going to be massive, and that is the approval of Bitcoin Spot ETF, maybe it will be next year.

So for me, I wouldn't be surprised to see the price hitting 6 digits minimum, meaning $100k.

I'm waiting for the ETF. I believe that BTC will pump there a lot, not sure about hitting a new ATH. But I'm not planning to sell it yet anyway.

I'm just going to start thinking about making a sale in the 100k USD price range, anything before that I have no interest in selling.

I can give you an opinion, look at the charts from the past, obviously it doesn't mean it will happen in the future, but considering the history of bitcoin selling now would be like failing to take advantage of the entire bull run.

Be patient and let time work in your favor.

First bull run coming up for me and after seeing the price of Bitcoin rally in the last few months particularly it is getting me somewhat excited for what is to come over the next few years.

I am just wondering what we are all expecting between now and the Bitcoin halving in April next year. Is it going to be a steady climb till then or is there usually a crash of some kind?

Up until now I have just been buying throughout the bear market and not sold anything , my portfolio is currently 26% in profit which I am happy with but wondering if I should keep holding till past the bull run or take some profits now.