Topic: What are your expectations for the few weeks after the halving period? (Read 733 times)

Same prediction here. I am still optimistic that bitcoin price will eventually break the previous ATH this year but I don’t think the momentum is good enough to reach a new all time high for bitcoin. If I’m not mistaken, bitcoin will have its new ATH by 2025 and I think a lot would agree to this. Either we are seeing $100k or $150k as its new heights, that will be possible but definitely hard to expect this year. Now, my speculations after bitcoin halving, there might be price correction after or even before halving, before it’s price will continue to skyrocket in the market.

Well I know so many people will be surprised to see how the price has has gone so high in just these few days because I know I am suprised at that and I believe it will also spoil so many persons prediction of how the market might flow because Bitcoin is so closed to breaching it's all time high in just a matter of days and I do expect that their should be a decline in the price anytime soon if not so many persons will be shocked at how Bitcoin didn't actually wait till after the halving to break it's previous ATH.

A month later I can say it aged well. Bitcoin bulls in this thread, we can pat ourselves on the back.
HODL army. 

Did not expect it to go this high before the halving, but I'm positively surprised. Wouldn't be crazy if it corrected back to 50k, but it might as well make a new ATH before it does.

At this point I expect the bull market to continue at least for another 3 months, and then we shall see. If it gets explosive too fast and goes to 100k before May, we might get a much shorter bull market. Maybe a double top this year? The way it went to 60k in 2021, corrected 50% and went to 68k, but this time ending at 120k?

The important thing in holding is not knowing your target, it’s even more important to be mindful of what speculation you agree or listen to. Sorry I had to disagree but just about 2 weeks ago, I saw a post on Binance square where the person claimed to be an expert trader. He was warning that people should sell their Bitcoin because at $50k, Bitcoin will then start falling and we’ll go back down to $43k. He even gave a date. People liked the post and comments were dropped but on that day, Bitcoin which was $48k at his time of prediction rather grew to $52k.

It’s really important that we are conscious that it is all speculation and nobody really knows tomorrow. I think it’s even better to not know or have a target than to have a target ruined because you think some expert’s opinion is what will happen. However, they are both important.

If some holders are not careful with those stories that is threading all over the community, it can lead some holders to sell their Bitcoin now and regret when the price of Bitcoin continue increasing in the market. Based on my observation in this new bullish market that appear few days ago, I think holders are about to experience huge bullish season but it will not happen in this month of February but it will definitely display next month to alert both long term holders and short term holders to start releasing their bitcoins to make a passive incomes. The most important thing in holding is to know your target no matter the speculation that is going on, once you arrive at your target, do everything possible to cash out and prepare for another bearish season.

Currently, there is visible movement, although it is slow. It is proven to continue to increase even though the halving period is still 2 months away. Is this a false increase before a correction will occur?Or will this actually continue to increase until the halving period occurs? Of course, there is a lot of speculation going on, and according to some analyses, there should actually be a correction.I think your prediction after the halving could be correct; it will move like now, slowly, and not immediately increase.There will always be a possibility that, currently, it continues to increase, and when entering the halving, there will be a sell-off, or it could continue to hold if there is an early correction.

After the halving, Bitcoins price will definitely go up. More people will be aware of this coin, and hence they will try to buy or accumulate the Bitcoins. As they will keep the demand to buy the coins at high position and as the supply of Bitcoins are limited, hence the price will just pump up. The price will keep on going in order to meet the demand. So it’s highly possible that we might see Bitcoins touching 6 figures. Let’s hope for the best.

As investors we need to be ready for whatever the market may do, and even if its is true that during the previous halving a decrease on the price did happen, and smart investors could take advantage of it, at the same time I do not know if this will happen once again.

People are very bullish about bitcoin thanks to the approval of a bitcoin ETF, so I would think that the bears will have a lot of problems pushing the price down when we have seen such a massive recovery during the previous months already.

You know there’s actually a lot of positive things to expect, but behind that there’s also chances that these expectations might turn into our unexpected things. So what I do now is just preparing myself to that and just do everything to accumulate bitcoin as much as possible through DCA and continue to hold them for long, indefinite years.

While majority of us here probably expect for an all time high, but we all know that bitcoin and it’s volatile market often surprise us with unpredictable things to happen. So it’s more of mixed emotions and expectations, and excitement and some kind of inevitable fears that bitcoin price may suddenly drop its price to its deepest when we least expect it.

I have similar views as well usually the Bitcoin's price drops the weeks following halving and in the previous cycles tenured users used to consider this moment as a final discount on Bitcoin before the bull run and accumulate more but this year I think we may see a different pattern I think it would drop but not with a huge margin because we have more users awaiting for a dump to buy more and I feel this would create more demand which will help Bitcoin to stabilize it's price. But, nothing is guaranteed as we may see a dump as well because we never know if people starts to panic sell by going with emotions then we will see a dump by good margin and then eventually it will recover.

Instead of waiting for something uncertain - why not start now with a DCA strategy?
If you have $10K in your account - you can divide it into 5 to 10 parts where you buy $1000 each bitcoin price loses $1000 from its current value. IMO - that is a better strategy than waiting for a major correction in the future.

You can still expect a correction this February right up to the halving - but I don't think there will be much of a correction after the halving until you can buy at $35K. So it's best - invest now with the DCA strategy, you won't regret it if prices become more expensive. But remember - this is not financial advice that you are must to consider.

We have reviewed the significant decline at the end of January and indicated that the next stage of decline will occur after the halving, I also have the same prediction that the end of 2024 will form a directional market movement reaching a bullish market, we predict it based on the movement pattern of each previous halving period and we have seen the same movement method, so we believe a bullish market movement pattern will occur after the halving.

I will prepare funds in the middle of the month or when the market returns to $35k will invest most of the reserve funds that have been prepared, we will hold the assets until Q2 2025 and will accumulate the profits.

We do know that price could be having that last drop before it would be shooting up into the moon but we dont know if it would really be happening on this upcoming bull run. We do know that there's
no one on this world would be able to know on what would happen ahead or in the future. This is why there would really be no assurance when it comes to price movements specially on this upcoming bull run and with the halving period. Expectations? Just like on what most people been saying that expect the unexpected because there are lots of factors that could really affect out in overall market movement.
There's no way that we could be able to know on whats ahead. If you are just simply holding for long term then these movements wont really be that stressful.

Halving period on which this is where most people been that set their eyes on, on which it would be a normal approach because we've been waiting up for every 4 years
for this event to happen. We do know on what comes next.

For me, I would expect the price to either stabilize or go down, I don't think that it's going to go up in after a weeks into the halving. That kind of thinking is going to be helpful for me so I can focus on buying more bitcoin to increase what I currently hold in my wallet and at the same time not worry too much about bitcoin and check my wallet from time to time. I don't like stressing over things that wouldn't otherwise bring me anything beneficial that's why it's a good thing that I have a target price to sell so I won't be having any problems that will make me hesitate selling or buying.

really ? OP is asking actually about the expectations few weeks after Halving  and What you are saying is general post about it will increase its price but what about in the next week after April? do you really believe that the value will go above ATH? do you really see this price hyping just after halving or year after that and this means next year and not this April or even till December.

That is the right attitude, many of those that dream about becoming traders think that in order to become a good trader you need to be perfect and never lose a trade, so they spend a great deal of their time looking for a system that fulfills what they think is a simple condition.

But since such a system does not exist, and if does it is a scam, they never start their journey, while the person that had a realistic view about the markets will begin to trade as soon as they learn enough about the markets, and while some losses will come their way, if they keep learning then those losses will eventually become profits on their pockets.

My expectations for the halving are similar to how I felt about the ETF approvals. Likely we’ll see a price drop from people taking profits after a runup to the event. Then after about a year we start seeing the mother of all bubbles build as supply overwhelms demand. I am very much expecting October 2024-November 2025 to be the most bullish period in BTC’s history. Possibly sooner if the gox coins are distributed prior to the halving.

We are all speculators here on this market on which it doesnt matter whether you are a veteran or a complete noob on which numbers would be said will really be that totally random. There's no way that we could really be able to make our assurance that there's something that could definitely happen just because as certain person did really able to make themselves that having those kind of assumptions that they could really be able to make themselves having those kind of predictions that it could really happen towards the price on which this is something that couldnt neither happen or not which it would really that vary or would really be depending.
This is why it would really be that best that you should expect the unexpected and this is something that you should be having in mind too.

You cant really just that make yourself be confident on what ever those fix numbers that you could really be having in mind. Dont make yourself that
getting assured off that those will really be happening into your end because market isnt something that could really be known or something that could really be predicted.

Talking about halving, it is certain that crypto users know what is happening, this is often seen in several phenomena that have occurred, if you ask as below.


I only want the price of Bitcoin to fall to the $10k level. If this happens I have the opportunity to buy the umpteenth time to wait for the next halving. That's the expectation I want.

Question, can that happen......!

Honestly, I want to buy Bitcoin where I have the opportunity to do so at the lowest level after this halving occurs.

There was a picture that I saw years and years ago, it was some old dude, wearing a shirt and at the back of the shirt it said "60+ years old, diabetes, high blood pressure, chronic back pain, still ahead of you" and that really made me realize something, you can be as healthy as it gets, but that dude was ahead of you, and he didn't made any excuses, he could have easily pointed out any of the facts and sit down and nobody would question it, but he still got up and walked.

So trading is similar, you may end up making a loss, and the person who doesn't trade may say they didn't make any loss at least, but eventually, you will get better and better if you work hard enough and learn it all, and then they will envy you. They will even call it luck first, but eventually, they will all wish to be like you.

Everyone can make predictions like that for Bitcoin's next ATH, but we also need to understand that changes to this can also happen to Bitcoin because everyone cannot clearly guarantee that Bitcoin's ATH will be the same as the previous one. Although there are factors that can influence Bitcoin and the market in terms of achieving this more quickly or in the same way as before, because if things can be the same as before, of course those who will benefit the most are investors with a lot of money or those who once bought and collected Bitcoin at a low price and still held it until the ATH occurred.

Bitcoin has fallen after the halving but with expectations that bitcoin may set a new record in one of the biggest corrections in history all investors will get more than they bargained for. With each halving, the price of BTC increases with increased demand. As the supply of BTC decreases with each halving cycle a shortage is created which increases the demand for the token as well as the price of bitcoin.

Expecting to drop more after halving , maybe there are some others that do believe about bitcoin
crossing new All Time High here but for me it is not coming in 2024 instead like what those I trusted in prediction
is that Bitcoin will record new ATH . hoping that this time it will go towards my expectation not like what I have
done in the last halving that I do wrong.

.It seems that bitcoin price movements after the halving will follow the same cycle as the previous halving period, because there are several indicators that are identical to several factors in the current market review, so there is hope that it could potentially reach ATH with the same market movement tactics as the last ATH, I also expect that ATH or high recovery will start after 1 year of halving period.

My expectation is not like that because right after the halving season ends, Bitcoin does not start a bull-run or touch its all-time high price. If we look at the price of bitcoin after the bitcoin halving season in the past years, we can see that the bitcoin halving season has a positive effect on the market almost a year after the end. So I don't have much expectation about Bitcoin price after Bitcoin halving period.

Of course, that's the end goal, I mean halving period is the catalyst for a bull run. However, we shouldn't expect that the price will suddenly goes on a parabolic rise after the halving period. There will still be period of adjustments and we might hear negative or positive news that will affect the mindset of investors. It might take months before we finally say that we are in the bull run already.

So exciting news, but we really need to calm ourselves and the best way is to just observed where the market is going, if after the halving, in several weeks there's no movement, then buy and HODL and continue to take advantage of that temporary lull before the bull run takes over.

That traders make mistakes is something we can Accept , because they are not scholars or people who always do the right thing, they are things that Happen and that can continue to Happen , we are People who are always going to Determine what is best so that we can establish a type of Knowing ourselves About what is coming , from there the Predictions come , the Predictions basically sometimes take us by surprise, but in the end they may or may not happen.

I am a person who has a lot of determination with bitcoin, because I Know that bitcoin will rise , I was wrong to think that it was going to rise at this time but it was not like that, things sometimes do not turn out as one Thinks , but the shock has not Worked Out right now. It means that they will not be Resolved tomorrow or in a month or perhaps in a few Months , since if the bullish phases of the ETF and the Halving come together, the Tremendous ATH that Bitcoin will have will be Impressive.
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Whether the traders are wrong or not in certain market conditions, I think it is only about their own decisions when they start planning something to get better results. Because traders who fail are still much better than those who never try anything after seeking more knowledge through whatever means, so I also think that this is very normal for them because traders can still take advantage of the market during halving conditions or after halving in the hope of better profits so they can recover the losses they have experienced previously.

The way and manner at which Bitcoin price is making it's move is not healthy for investors and traders at the moment, having it at $39k some hours ago is really disturbing to be honest. I was expecting a different turn since things came back to normal especially the high fee rate, was thinking we would be seeing the market price at $50-54k by now, but it seems is never going to happen this month.
I feel the expected halving period is the cause of Bitcoin price not going higher as I expected, like is waiting for the appointed time to boost to a very high price.
But if this dull movement continues to happen I think we might be seeing the price stuck again at $45k, but as soon as it's time for the halving we may see the price getting up to $70k+.

Actually my expectation bitcoin have new all time high price few weeks after halving time but regarding with current bitcoin price seems huge my expectation, have much miracle with halving effect and bitcoin not close possibilities make new all time high price. But for this halving edition on confusing position behind three months left before halving bitcoin looks stable in lower price.

High intention with bitcoin holder enthusiast keep accumulate as much possible their investment in bitcoin, they have more believing with halving is the one side make bitcoin can raise new highest price. Probably not difficult to make the all time high price record but seems this time have many difference with current bitcoin keep stable and not have movement progress to the higher price.

Indeed that traders do Mistakes countless times but at least they are not failing in Halving season because it is given that after Halving there is a following Bull run and if you do not anticipate that then you are failure .
and confidence is given when we have seen after that season the market is really going high so I think its normal to be confident unless you do not trust bitcoin and you do not learn from what we have expereince over the years.

There are many expectations, but I hope it will reach the final ATH price so that it can advance to even higher prices. but of course it won't immediately go up high, there will be price fluctuations, there will be corrections needed because that's normal. I bought at the beginning and held until now until the halving occurs and can reach a new ATH. that's what I really hoped for when the halving had happened.

I like that in your last sentence, you said it yourself that the market is unpredictable, and one can’t be too sure. With that said, Bitcoin touching $10k is very possible. Why? Volatility of course. It’s the reason why you can’t really tell what will happen so while you’re too sure $10k wouldn’t come, understand that volatility isn’t one sided. I can imagine the way people trusted Bitcoin to never go down when it hit the last ATH. Look where it went after breaking the record.

Maybe not super high right away? I think too many people think that we will be super high too quickly, but I think it will not be like that at all, I think its going to be quite the contrary and stable. I am not seeing it drop somehow, but if something major happens during that time then maybe that could happen too, but most likely, it will be stable. Don't get me wrong, when people see %20 up or down, they think that's a movement, but I do not see that as a big movement, I see that as stable because crypto is volatile. I mean something major, and I od not see that happening, what do I consider major? If we are 40k by the time halving happens, anything under 30k would be a crash, and anything above 50k would be increase. That is, of course only for few weeks afterwards, because given enough time, it will go above 50k anyway.

I think people are very excited right now for the halving. And many of them are buying more, in preparation for a possible pump during or after it. IDK if what site you look for the history of BTC but many are saying that BTC always performs better right after every halving.

This includes BTC breaking its past ATH records. Tell me, are you an altcoin enthusiast? I wouldn't say you are not really into cryptos because why you are here in the first place? I asked because I see that you are not optimistic about it. But no doubt that to have a low expectation is sometimes better because whatever happens to the price later on, our emotion is still going to be stable.

Totally actually laugh into those bearboys out there who do keep saying that we would be able to see back again on $10k on which it is really just that too far off. If we do consider on how deep we do able to come down
then we didnt even hit up $35k price point and just really be able to have that 38k drop on which it turns out that it is really just that like an ordinary day on Bitcoin or crypto space.
Havent people doesnt get used to it? Why they would really be loving on trying to freak out whenever there's a drop? Now that we've seen that ETF thing which its been approved
then tons for sure have been expecting that this would really be able to make that huge pump until we would be able to hit up the halving period but we did see the different thing.

For halving events and potential situation then it would be always best that you should really be just that be versatile and would really be that easily to adapt on whatever things that could happen along the way.
We do know that this market is unpredictable and there's no way that we could really be able to tell on where it would be heading or going.

Today we were more than near $40k. Bitcoin price went as low as $38,555 and the most interesting part is that many people did not see it coming. This is all I’m saying, speculate as much as you want to, but don’t mix your guesses with reality. When I saw the low amount in the 1-day candle, I was not too excited, but I had to remind myself that these prices are not happening as a result of speculation but based on reality.

Yes, that's a natural thing because after the peak there is definitely canyon. as happened in the previous bullish period in 2017 and 2021, after the price of bitcoin rises drastically there will be a decline in the price which is called bearish. This is because many people sell to secure their profits but this does not mean that their purchasing power or interest in Bitcoin has fallen, they are just waiting for the right time to buy again.

Many are always quite excited and full of optimism when the halving close near because it typically signals the start of a bull run, in which the price of the Bitcoin rises. Consider it as a unique occasion that occurs with Bitcoin, increasing the allure of investing in it. Since the price of Bitcoin has historically increased following halving, many see it as a signal to increase their holdings.

The price of Bitcoin starts to rise steadily after the halving, when the bull run commences. Some choose to sell their Bitcoins early while the price is rising in an attempt to profit quickly. But not everyone enjoys doing that since they think they will lose out on even greater riches. In light of this, some decide to hang onto their Bitcoin in the hopes that its value will rise and they will eventually be able to sell it for a higher profit. Choosing when to buy and sell Bitcoin is akin to embarking on a grand journey.


When lots of people want to buy Bitcoin, it often happens when the price is very high. Why? Because many folks think the price will keep going up, and it's tricky to predict the absolute highest point it will reach. So, even when the price is high, people still believe it might go even higher! Sometimes, though, a special kind of market called a "bear market" shows up, and that's when the price of Bitcoin goes down. But guess what? People don't always notice it right away, unless the price keeps dropping a lot. Interestingly, when the price of Bitcoin is really high, not many big visitors come to join the market, it always like many investors that doesn't understand Bitcoin market will keep buying but it always time some big visitors planning to sell some portion of their Bitcoin.

a lot depends on what the “experts” will write in the media, I think before the halving they will stir up interest in Bitcoin and new investors will come, also after the halving itself it will be more difficult to mine, which means it will be more scarce, which logically should make it more a valuable asset in the long term. I would like it that way, but it will be very difficult to say in practice, even now we have almost -10% per week of the price without obvious problems, the market is very unstable and this is a little annoying.

Basing up on the history that we've been able to witnessed specially into those people who do have experienced and aware into those previous things had been done in the past then they would really be basically be having those kind of expectations that it could really be happening in the future on which it would really be just that a normal approach to have. If you are that someone whose really that being new into this market
then it would really be just that normal that you would be having on the same thoughts and belief's basing up into those experienced people who had been believing into. Honestly, there's no way that it would really be able to determine and make out assurance on what would happen in tomorrows on which we know that it cant be something to be known in advanced.

Now that we are fast approaching with Bitcoins halving, dumps could neither happen whether pre-halving or post halving or both. This is why if you are planning to buy
or having those plans on bagging up cheap coins then you should really know on what you should gonna do.

Since I'm one of those who think all the halvings should be priced in well before they happen, I would expect the price to do nothing special.  On the other hand, I've become quite familiar with the world of crypto over the years and know how much it draws in the speculators, especially if they think they can just waltz in and grab some free money like you described.  So it just might happen that the price does get a boost because of an influx of new money, but not strictly because of the halving itself.

And hasn't this been discussed to death, not just with bitcoin's halvings but throughout the altcoin community as well?  The fact is that none of us know for sure, and you can either guess with your wallet by buying bitcoin, selling it, or just remaining neutral (as I'm doing) and watching the parade from the sidewalk.  What I do know is that bitcoin's price has dropped significantly over the past week or so and I'm still trying to figure out if there's a logical explanation for that or if it's just another one of the crazy swings that shakes out the timid that we see from time to time.  I've heard all this talk about it going to $100k post-halvening, but I'm not betting on that.

the expectation of every investor after halving in cryptocurrency is to make a large profit or for increment of bitcoin to manifest that is expectation of every investor who invested in Bitcoin and the expecting a bullrun, so they having we are emphasising on, is something that every investor is looking after for it to come and go so that we can be able to have another face of increment in the market, that is what I believe that may happen during the investment

That's what most bad analysts say that it can go down before or after the halving or it can go up before or after the halving. You literally made no prediction in these sentences. It might this it might that... You might not wake up one day, and probably will, but it can happen sooner or later That's an example of the predictions you and other so called traders repeat.

The history might have chances to repeat itself or not is the funniest bitcoin prediction I've heard in a while.

So, I expect bitcoin to go up even before the halving. IMO we'll be at the very least at 45k before and over 50k right after the halving. By the end of the year I at the very least expect us to approach $60k, but with good winds we'll hit $80k.

If you still don't own any bitcoin, I urge you all to get at least a little. Get as much as you're comfortable with. With each year getting to a certain point lik 1 BTC is going to be harder, mark my words.
Let's see how this post ages.

Drop may not happen, I am not expecting a drop, I do agree that it will not go up super high right away, that to the moon type of logic is mistaken so it will not be like suddenly go for m40k to 100k, that is not going to happen.

However, I am not expecting a drop neither, I am expecting a tiny increase, like let's say it's today, and we are at near 40k, then maybe like 45k, something like that is possible, even as high as 50k is possible, if we take 40k as a base, that is just example. So basically, a 10% to 20% increase makes sense and that might actually happen, and not a drop but there are people who expect a 50%+ increase and I agree that it will probably not be like that, I do not expect a big increase like that happening soon.

If you have studied bitcoin price history as well as bitcoin halving, you will know that bitcoin price won’t rise immediately. We might be observing price plummeting before and after bitcoin halving, and I think that’s normal. It might take several months before seeing bitcoin price rising until it reaches its new all time high, so most probably people will be encourage to buy more so they can prepare for the real market bull run.

While history may have chances to repeat itself or not, the most important thing is we should know when to buy more and when to start selling. That’s the best way so we won’t see ourselves losing while others are enjoying their massive profits.

Please believe me , try not to expect bigger or better let it happened far from what we believe because this year it is mostly different from what we have last 2021 .

First - We have happened Spot ETF this year and that will bring side effect.

Second - Halving takes effect after a year in which that is mostly what we have seen over the years.

so for me? I am not expecting anything but will wait till the Bull comes at least in 2025.

If there’s no sudden price movement upward before the Bitcoin halving therefore I believe price will be on long sideways after halving. The only time sellers will increase is when there’s a short term price rally occur before halving because this traders that ride the hype is the one who will sell off once the event is over.

Bitcoin halving effect usually a year after the actual halving which new ATH is being recorded. I’m expecting that there will a bear market after halving since the hype about ETF makes halving less impactful for traders to have a one last ride while the chart is already bearish. Let’s wait a few more months after halving before recovery.

Setting a new ATH is what people expected here to happen but try to understand that there can be sideway so try not to be expecting so much from this halving instead be ready to what will come.
better to have your Funds intact , add if you have some for risking and also try not to be  lured by shit projects because that will be rampant in the coming months trying to mislead people.

Just take a look at the previous cycle and you will get the answer that you are looking for, newbie traders think of the halving as a single event that happens and suddenly the market is completely different the very next day, and this is not really true.

After the halving takes place we need months to begin to feel its effects, as miners now get less coins and they need to sell it for a higher price, so not much will happen during the halving and a few weeks after it, but once a few months pass, that is when we could see the start of the much awaited bull run.

I don't have high expectations for the Bitcoin price a few weeks after the halving, because if you look at history, the Bitcoin price usually never passes its ATH, perhaps because the psychology of investors is uncertain about Bitcoin's movements, so they choose to wait and see. At that time, it is probably one of the best times to buy and hold your Bitcoin because usually the price of Bitcoin will fluctuate before eventually rising.

Analyzing something can make you happy because it can make the analysis something you can look forward to, even though the analysis may not necessarily be realized in a real way, and some of it is beyond the desired expectations.Likewise with what you said about the halving, because usually everyone analyzes it because they see the trend that Bitcoin has made so far, or indeed, they have a graphic calculation. But once again, everyone cannot be sure that it will be true. At least there is a glimmer of hope to look forward to from this analysis.I agree with you that this incident will definitely happen, and of course, remaining prepared to continue buying and increasing savings is something that needs to be done.

My expectations for the market after the halving will be bullish, timing as well as history support optimism. The halving is about 3 months away and I am not surprised by the current temporary correction, it is happening in a way that the market shows acceptance. That is an optimistic signal, and positive news such as the US presidential election will also support the increase in bitcoin's price. This is a good time to evaluate and reorganize investment portfolio. I predict bitcoin will have 2 runs at 50k and 65k at the end of this year and everything looks possible after that the next ATH

The few weeks after halving usually the price of bitcoin is still normal, sometimes even experiencing a decline.
usually all coins will rise very high 1 year after halving. this means coin prices skyrocket up in 2025 usually starting in January. bitcoin price history when halving is like that.
and this year's halving also seems like the increase will not be much different from the previous halving years.

Bitcoin halving has proved itself to be causing more demands for the coin so I do not expect the one of this year to be different. But it might not be as immediately as people would want it, it is the post-halving effect that will push the price of Bitcoin higher and this will take time before it starts happening. However, let me try to answer your many questions one after the other and also in the order you asked them.

I expect Bitcoin to start being volatile shortly before and after halving, but not much effect would be generated at first, it might take time before this happens. Judging by what happened in the last halving, it could take even months before huge bullish movements will happen. And yes, from the past halving record, Bitcoin has always set a new record, which is why this time may not be so different especially when the coin is already close to its ATH, and thanks to ETF for that. After halving, the bullish movements will start happening and huge buyers will be regrouping as FOMO will be reappearing in the market which will become much over time.

As for the sellers after halving, anything can happen in the market, and just like the ETF approval betrays the expectations of people, the first days or weeks after halving might be greeted with a bearish outlook, we never can tell. But with time, I am certian that Bitcoin will start moving dangerously higher with huge volatility. It is also important to say that the sellers might want to appear in the market but in their little numbers if the market is not encouraging to buy initially after halving. And this will course not only cause more sellers to move in temporarily and try to take over the market. The situation will also dissuade some intended buyers until they are convinced of a bullish market.

Bitcoin halving halves miners' payments for adding new blocks to the blockchain. This happens every four years, or after 210,000 blocks are mined. The halving regulates bitcoin issuance by gradually lowering the supply until 21 million is reached.
When discussing Bitcoin halving, it's essential to recognise the market's speculative nature. Past trends can provide insights, but market factors can change results. Cryptocurrency investors must do research, be cautious, and understand the risks.

A Bitcoin halving, which halves coin issuance, is expected to set a new record high. A reduced supply of new bitcoins and rising demand can boost price momentum. This combination has increased investors' interest and market optimism, which could push Bitcoin prices to new highs.

Experts and enthusiasts speculate how Bitcoin's much-anticipated halving event will affect the cryptocurrency market. The halving of the bitcoin supply has raised questions about whether more sellers will try to profit from their sales. Many investors and traders are talking about halving, and since the last two halvings caused price increases, interest is high.

Expectation is a common question about Bitcoin halving events and investor interest. The lower payout for miners may reinforce the scarcity narrative, attracting new investors hoping to profit from a limited supply. However, the current high valuation of Bitcoin may deter novice investors who fear missing out on significant immediate gains. Predicting post-halving market dynamics is complicated because the debate is over whether a shrinking supply will outweigh concerns about the high value.

I only have one expectation a few weeks after the halving period.
My only expectation is that, there is nothing that I expected to happen within the first few weeks after the event happens.

I mean basically, nothing happened during the first months of the event. Huge price change will happen a few months after the halving happens. Maybe around 4-6 months after. Right now, I see the price of Bitcoin a good buying opportunity still, and TBH, I'm buying Bitcoin more often now compared to a few months ago because it dumped a few weeks after the Bitcoin Spot ETF got accepted (don't know why it didn't pump that much, but I took this as an opportunity still).

Overall, I don't expect anything to happen during the first weeks after the event. It will just be a normal day. Maybe some miners will just shut down their mining rigs because their profit got cut in half "AGAIN", and there might be some who will just continue it despite the halving of their profits. One thing's for sure though, the bull run will happen after the halving event (just based on history).

Unfortunately today, speculations aren’t just guidance anymore, it is now certainty as people can argue that compulsorily, Bitcoin will experience a bull run during the halving. This is something you can’t be too confident about but people are investing with too much confidence instead of investing with optimism. Even skilled traders have messed up with their speculations countless times.

My expectation for the halving is that the Bitcoin market will fully enter a bullish/bullrun phase. There have been several halvings and I also take this as a sign that the halving is a switch for Bitcoin to rise and rise even higher during the 1 and a half years of the halving. Yes, this depends on individual beliefs, I cannot give a 100% guarantee that the market will move bullish, yes, from experience and what I have experienced, holding after the halving is the best investment moment on crypto. DYOR

One fact about the halving is that new money will be flowing into the market and after the halving there'll be some corrections became of short term investors and obviously newbies that don't know how things work will start taking profits which will lead to the market experiencing some corrections. In the past halving the market doesn't start increasing immediately after the halving is over so I don't expect anything to be different this time around. Fomo before the halving is guaranteed and fud after the halving is also guaranteed.


The price of Bitcoin isn't a factor that affects buyers because they know they don't have to own a full Bitcoin to profit from the market and they know Bitcoin will increase to new ATH after the halving. Even when Bitcoin hits a new ATH and let say it's the peak of the bull market, we still have people buying Bitcoin in anticipation of further increases so the price of Bitcoin hasn't been a problem for people to buy Bitcoin.

I don't believe it's possible to predict the price movement with such accuracy. The price can be somewhat up or somewhat down, it doesn't matter. What matters is the long-term trend, and whether we'll see Bitcoin recovering to its previous ATH point over the months after halving. I think that we will, but perhaps I'm wrong and 2024 will be just another year of pretty slow upward trend (like 2023).
Halving certainly doesn't discourage people from investing in Bitcoin. It's a time when Bitcoin gets a lot of attention, and attention can translate into a higher demand. Then there are also people who believe that Bitcoin is bound to rise because mining must remain profitable (I don't think that's how it works), which also brings additional interest in Bitcoin around that time.

Well, we can't know when exactly the bull run will come. I'm sure many holders and investors are expecting this phenomenal event, but the thing is, there is no exact time when the big event will come. What we should do is anticipate the upcoming event by joining the halving event so that we will be ready and be rewarded. I am too waiting for the event because I want to ride this next bull run as I missed the past bull run, which caused a big change in the lives of the other investors in bitcoin. I also introduced bitcoin to some of my colleagues, as I also want them to have something that they can earn and so that they could also ride the bull run. I know bitcoin is risky, but I'm going to make sure that they will be guided by me and experience the reward that the bull run will give.

Of course, what we can do today is just pure speculation. And because of the positive vibes surrounding this market, we are predicting it to increase.
We can all speculate what's gonna happen but the real action will be on us, how are we going to act on this upcoming event.
It is understandable if people have high expectations, but I think, one should still be conservative with estimates particularly if you have financial constraints.
We can be bullish with what we are thinking but carefully consider your financial capabilities before jumping on this bandwagon.

If we would base from previous price charts, then it is obvious that market price increase did not happen during and few weeks after halving. High market price volatility occured before halving and almost a year after the event.Well, logically that's the right thing but people are here wanting to maximize the profit in every price movement. Some sort of short term and long term investors; however most of the time those who are in profit are those who invest and just hold for a long period of time than those who are doing swing trades simply because it won't always be a winning trade given how unpredictable the market price of Bitcoin is. Speculations are only guidance but will never promote certainty of price movements; there'll be instances that these assumptions will be followed by the market itself and also instances that it'll go the other way around. Problem is with people who pushes things too much. No matter how good you are as a trader or investor, with Bitcoin's market price movement, no one has the guarantee of it given that there are numerous factors affecting its market price movement under demand.

From the history of Bitcoin prices and past halving, the bull market usually starts the year after halving. Last year, there was so much speculation about the price being able to reach $60k+ before the end of 2023 or even before the halving year. Time flies, and we are already in 2024. Three months from now, the fourth Bitcoin halving will happen, but there has not been a huge pump according to the predictions of last year.

That's to say that despite people's predictions and price expectations, they cannot be very accurate with speculation. I expect that Bitcoin might be around $50k to $55k before or after the Bitcoin halving, and possibly the closing price for this year could be around $60k.

So many stories have been told. Some say it’s the months leading to the Halving that will be the bull run, some say it is going to be the halving, some also say that it will come later after the halving. What I see that all opinions have is that it will come anyways. So why not just make your investments and sit back with a pack of popcorn? It’s okay to speculate but don’t get too attached to these assumptions.

Nothing. CZ best explained this in a tweet that he made last year where he basically summed up what goes on before, during, and after the halving.

The first few months before the halving, people are going bonkers and excited over it. A lot of speculations happening on just how high bitcoin could go this period, how fast the bull run will arrive, and all that stuff. After the first few months comes the halving itself, where people celebrate and shit, we're going to experience a price pump during this period and it's expected, but since there's nothing to really go for besides the halving, the price will immediately correct itself, and people are gonna go crazy cause they thought the halving's going to solve the price crash or whatever.

A few months after, that's when the real bull run starts. It's either because the people anchored to another amazing and profitable technology that they could make millions out of, or a support from a prominent crypto personality which will drive attention and engagement from the people outside inwards. After a year or so the price will crash cause of issues, scandals, or just the hype dying down eventually. This is usually the time where people post shit like "bitcoin is dead" or whatever the fuck. And the cycle continues for another 4 years.

This has been the case since 2012. And this has been graphed by a lot of data scientists in this industry. At this point I'm just gonna put a foot on the door and watch as the whole thing pans out. I'm not gonna be affected by any hype or whatever.

Historically, the bull run was in full swing only many months after the halvening, and on the day of the halvening nothing interested happened. Maybe some minor price drop as some traders like to "sell the news", although halvening can hardly be called "news" because it's seen from miles away.

But I'm a believer that sooner or later Bitcoin will stop repeating  the old patterns because conditions are changing. In the past the market was small and not many people knew about it, today the largest companies in the world are entering this market, in the past 50 coins were produced every 10 minutes, today t's just a small fraction of that amount and most of the coins have been mined, so miners have less selling pressure and instead the focus is shifted towards traders and long-term investors.

I don't think the Bitcoin price would be skyrocketing immediately in the first few weeks after halving, on the contrary we already see some bullish trend right now, and this people who is entering the market at this moment could try to take their profit on the event of halving, people might massively sell their Bitcoin shortly after halving, thus the Bitcoin price might get correction on that time.

The main is that we can't see much difference on the price of Bitcoin after few weeks of halving period. And that is why I have nothing extra expectations from on that time. All past bitcoin halving seasons have seen bitcoin go into a bull market and touch new all-time high prices in the following year after the halving period ends. And yes the sellers will increase after the halving but not after only few weeks of halving, it can be few month or year no one can guarantee . But especially after the start of halving season when miners start selling bitcoins to cover their mining cost then the market gradually moves towards bull season and at the end of the day it touches its all time high price.
Here you can see the past records after the bitcoin halving-     
                                                                                 

If you trace the previous bitcoin halving events, bitcoin price increase does not happen immediately after bitcoin halving. It may only be possible probably 6 months after bitcoin halving, that we can see bitcoin is heading to its new all time high the moment bull run starts to appear. With this, I believe bitcoin investors are mature enough not to sell immediately after bitcoin halving is done, but will be patient enough to wait when the real bull run start to sink in.

I don't think people will start to sell there BTC after few week of the halving because BTC is not going to go up just after the few weeks of halving, if we see at the past halving events, then we will realize that bull run takes up to 6 to 12 months and the same time BTC takes to make a new All-Time High, so you might not see another ATH just after few week of the halving event. But people might sell there BTC any time they prefer a best one.

I don't think even if people will start to sell there BTC there would be any reduction in interest of buying BTC, because if one is selling from one end then another is buying it from the second end, just like the Grayscal sold a hell lot of BTC but at the second hand, BlackRock bought that amount, if BlackRock would not have bought that amount them we would be seeing a big dump in the market. I say the pressure between demand and supply will remain forever but the main thing is there should remain demand and supply forever.

Nothing really. Halving ferver seems to be an emotional response and a good way to milk FOMO's of their lunch money.

Halving is nothing except reducing mining rewards. It is true that less Bitcoin will be added to the supply from the previous halving period. However, I am not expecting too much from the halving. There was a lot of hype before the approval of the Bitcoin ETF, but nothing happened. So significantly, nothing will change right after halving. From the past halvings, we noticed it took some time to get started with the Bitcoin bull run. That would happen for some other reasons as well. But I do not expect any significant bull run after 3/4 months of the halving.

The halving is just few months to go and as it is we are all well prepared for it because we have been hearing the the halving Period since and now we are in the year of the halving. In the halving more investors will hit the market and after the halving everybody will patiently wait for the All Time High and and the All Time High many will sell and make will convert it to fiat to withdraw. Many vendors will not buy because of the price and instead they will also like to sell and after the All Time High they would start again the buying and that is the beauty of business.

You be obs on exchanges that can't keep up with the price oracles during this next bullrun.

Pretend your not colored by the pride that surrounds the old farts on this forum.

It is almost impossible to be certain on what to expect from the Bitcoin halving coming soon. Check out the BTC ETF approval and the expectations that went ahead of it, we are currently seeing the reverse of all that was expected.

It doesn't tell that there is certainty but letting us know that the dynamics in the space still holds strong occurrences. I'm actually bare as to expectations pre and post halving.

You have asked so many questions but the most important question here is does bitcoin price increases after halving, the answer is yes it does increases in price after the halving which have been shown to us by the last three halvings we have had, but we do not know maybe this fourth could follow same trend. Also the price doesn’t significantly increases immediately after the halving because according to past halving trends the bitcoin price increases to beat its current ATH mostly like 12 months after the halving.

The number of buyers and seller after halving actually depends on the time frame, immediately after halving there always significant buys mostly due to FOMO that the price will starts increasing after halving and then months after it when the price might have increased significantly investors begin to sell off after gaining profits that’s why we see bearish period after bitcoin bull run.

Bitcoin adoption or interest rate will continuously increase because many people still believe that it will continue to increase, did you see the number of adopters when it was just $1k to $15k and now when it is significantly around $46k. You can see there is a continuous increase in interest because bitcoin isn’t only about been expensive but also has some other economical advantages that people need like been a store of value

better way to think:
when most people are commonly planning for A, because they seen a pattern...
..smarter people are planning to beat the common pattern, thus breaking the pattern

i dont mind promoting the pattern that halving year does not exceed previous ATH. because to break the pattern means bringing the price above last ATH before the 2025 next ATH session

I expect that whatever most people thinks will happen, won't happen — or at least wrong in terms of timing.

Personally I still think we would pump(as most people do), but it might take longer, or it might need a decent dump first. The markets always has a way of humbling people that thinks they know for sure how the market will move.

2012 (halving year) ended $15 as its high which is half of the 2011 ATH($30)

2016 (halving year) ended $790 as its high which is below the 2013 ATH($1200)

2020 (halving year) ended ~$23k(just) as its high which is (just)above the 2017 ATH($20k)

this means at the exact date of the halving. the price was not above its last ATH

generally the halving year does not really exceed above the previous ATH apart from at the end where its prepping to move into the halving+1year next ATH period

If you are seeking an answer there are many similar topics you can check here on the forum and I don't think you need to make another topic to discuss this.

Look at this one "2024 Bitcoin Halving - What are Your Expectations!!!"
If you are looking for more use our search button here https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=search;advanced

I don’t think the bull run will happen immediately after the halving and if it is to happen in that manner, after the halving, more people will want to know the direction of the market to know the entry point even at that time. Unless the bull run has taken place, I don’t think hodlers will want to start selling immediately after the halving when bitcoin has not yet reached a new all-time high which is what they’ve all been waiting for. If that happens, more people will want to buy bitcoin since bull run have not taken place and that will increase the demand of bitcoin and consequently increase the price of bitcoin as it approaches the bull run season.

There is so much expectation about the bitcoin Halving, and it has even attracted many investors to bitcoins who want to be able to profit from bitcoins after the halving. What is expected to happen during the halving? It is expected for bitcoin to set a new All time high price. After the Halving, what do you think may happen? Do you think that the number of sellers will increase after the halving, sellers of bitcoins from people who want to cash out on the profit they have made? Or do you think there will be a reduction in interest of buying bitcoins because of it already very high value that new investors will know they cannot profit from anytime soon?