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Topic: What part of the First Selloff are we at right now? (Read 1676 times)

legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1000
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what happened 6 months ago or 2 years ago is irrelevant, so many factors have changed since then.

agreed Smiley , the diffrence is known amount in circulation vs unknown.

dollar , gold , silver = unknown amount
bitcoin = known amount,
member
Activity: 80
Merit: 10
we're at the part where the people that sold over the weekend are buying back at a loss

And the people that bought at the bottom are selling for the profit while holding their original BTC stash untouched. Wink
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
we're at the part where the people that sold over the weekend are buying back at a loss
sr. member
Activity: 266
Merit: 250
The chart in the OP is not relevant. Bitcoin is a technology. Did you see the use of e-mail go into the "denial phase"?

I share your view.
legendary
Activity: 1036
Merit: 1000
Quote


Two things about this diagram.

1) The gray dotted line can be at different angles. In Bitcoin's case the line should be tilted upward quite a bit more, changing the whole shape of the curve. In the early 2013 bubble, for example, "return to mean" happened about 10x higher than "takeoff."

Here's a terrible MSPaint scribble of what I mean:



2) This actually plays out fractally in the markets on various timescales. You can see the familiar shape on the monthly chart, or on the weekly chart.
sr. member
Activity: 254
Merit: 250
What part of the First selloff are we at?

We are at the beginning of the take off phase with institutional investors that are starting to notice bitcoin as a new asset where to invest.
legendary
Activity: 1036
Merit: 1000
Nighty Night Don't Let The Trolls Bite Nom Nom Nom
what happened 6 months ago or 2 years ago is irrelevant, so many factors have changed since then.
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1000
IMO we are going to hit the bottom of corrective wave A in about one day, we are now at the end of the second
ascending sub-sub-wave that precedes the drop. The drop could begin with a flash crash, but I'm not sure, am curious
to see how Gox and other exchanges will 'perform' this one. But no one knows how many coins are going to be dumped,
so the actual bottom of this is a big unknown. That bottom is a good buy back position, because a strong rebound follows it.

Let's all watch and see how wrong you are. Tongue
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
IMO we are going to hit the bottom of corrective wave A in about one day, we are now at the end of the second
ascending sub-sub-wave that precedes the drop. The drop could begin with a flash crash, but I'm not sure, am curious
to see how Gox and other exchanges will 'perform' this one. But no one knows how many coins are going to be dumped,
so the actual bottom of this is a big unknown. That bottom is a good buy back position, because a strong rebound follows it.
hero member
Activity: 770
Merit: 500
What part of the First selloff are we at?

So now we are at "return to normal".
Hmmm, time to sell :|
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
The OP's chart applies to pump and dumps. bitcoin is growth.
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
The chart in the OP is not relevant. Bitcoin is a technology. Did you see the use of e-mail go into the "denial phase"?
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
no... I think this is one of several small corrections on the way up.
full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
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@ Tera
You mean to say it will fall more in the next few days ?
I'm looking to buy my first 4BTC
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
legendary
Activity: 3598
Merit: 2386
Viva Ut Vivas
What part of the First selloff are we at?
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