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Topic: What spurred the New Rally to $6? (Read 5008 times)

sr. member
Activity: 440
Merit: 250
#SWGT CERTIK Audited
May 16, 2011, 05:38:24 AM
#28
In b4 $9...

Why do people think this way? Trends can be sustained, but often they're not. By waiting with buying, you will be buying expensively!
member
Activity: 336
Merit: 10
Computta Mine Your Own BTC
May 15, 2011, 12:00:54 PM
#27
What spurred the New sell-off to $6?  Cheesy
YOUR MOM'S CHEST HAIR!!!!
No, jk but I think it was people speculating and didn't think it would go higher so they cashed out.
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
May 15, 2011, 11:54:07 AM
#26
What spurred the New sell-off to $6?  Cheesy

i lol'ed
member
Activity: 112
Merit: 11
May 15, 2011, 10:59:15 AM
#25
What spurred the New sell-off to $6?  Cheesy
full member
Activity: 136
Merit: 100
May 14, 2011, 09:36:13 AM
#24
If it hits 9.5 by this night, I'm totally investing.
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1005
May 13, 2011, 12:24:51 PM
#23
I predict $20 by the end of the month.
hero member
Activity: 630
Merit: 500
May 13, 2011, 09:44:53 AM
#22
In b4 $9...
hero member
Activity: 575
Merit: 500
The North Remembers
May 13, 2011, 07:43:07 AM
#21
full member
Activity: 136
Merit: 100
May 13, 2011, 07:32:49 AM
#20
What spurred the New Rally to $7?  Cool
8$ now.
newbie
Activity: 56
Merit: 0
May 13, 2011, 05:37:18 AM
#19
What spurred the New Rally to $8?  Cool

FTFY  Smiley
member
Activity: 112
Merit: 11
May 13, 2011, 02:10:17 AM
#18
What spurred the New Rally to $7?  Cool
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1031
Rational Exuberance
May 12, 2011, 06:03:48 PM
#17
I know why the price is going up so much. It's in the new signature I just made:
legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1014
May 12, 2011, 05:06:39 PM
#16

Either way, it looks like a deflationary spiral, and makes me concerned.

There is nothing to be concerned when there is more trading than ever before.
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1005
May 12, 2011, 04:36:00 PM
#15
The 10BTC thing may be due to deepbit.  The default automatic payment is 10BTC, and most people probably think that sounds like a good number to withdraw at, so they just keep it.  Since there are so many users on deepbit, it's probably what makes up a good portion of those 10BTC transactions.
newbie
Activity: 4
Merit: 0
May 12, 2011, 04:33:53 PM
#14
I don't know what spurred it, but a couple of observations.

The "situation" caught my eye about a week ago, upon wanting to sell the remains of a generated block (after sending some away as donations) on "bitmarket.eu" to cover the purchase of some electric vehicle batteries.

- observing the situation, I could note that with the price increase, the market volume tended to decrease

- further, I could note that the mean size of a transaction tended to be 10 BTC

- I could observe no meaningful geographical pattern in ask vs. bid offers

- I could observe no meaningful transaction type pattern (local wire vs. international wire vs. paypal)

Either way, it looks like a deflationary spiral, and makes me concerned. What is causing the typical transaction size I don't know. I hope that people who sell goods and services can keep up with adjusting their prices downwards. Either way, such a rapid change in exchange rates is not contributing to a healthy and stress-free trading environment. I do hope this passes, but people's behaviour is hard to predict. It might slow down, it might burst like a bubble, it might do many things.. first time I see such a thing, and this ain't the most usual economy.
* dvigatel goes to wonder more about it
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1005
May 12, 2011, 01:06:13 PM
#13
Russian is the top "language" making those searches.

Russia itself isn't even on the list of top countries.
I think SgtSpike is suggesting that the Russian-language users are being counted under the country of their Tor exit nodes.
Either that, or there's a vast underground movement of Russian immigration to Canada.
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
May 12, 2011, 12:51:11 PM
#12

You're missing the point.

Canada is the top "country" making those searches.

Russian is the top "language" making those searches.

Russia itself isn't even on the list of top countries.

it doesn't matter what country is listed as the top country - if a significant number of users are hiding their country of origin by masking their real IP address.

look - if you're a russian, and you're manipulating your IP address to show that it's originating in canada, then that's one more 'canadian' connection - right?  and one less russian.

but the language you use cannot be hidden.  right?
donator
Activity: 826
Merit: 1060
May 12, 2011, 12:50:41 PM
#11
Russian is the top "language" making those searches.

Russia itself isn't even on the list of top countries.
I think SgtSpike is suggesting that the Russian-language users are being counted under the country of their Tor exit nodes.
member
Activity: 112
Merit: 11
May 12, 2011, 12:49:22 PM
#10
Interesting that Canada is leading that, followed by Australia and then the US.
Really? I'm in Australia and I see us at #7
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1005
May 12, 2011, 12:46:31 PM
#9
Interesting that Canada is leading that, followed by Australia and then the US.
And yet the top language is Russian? Those stats don't look very sound...

sure they do.

the russians are generally *much* more security conscious - more likely to use Tor, etc.

so even though their connection cannot be traced back to russia - and may in fact indicate that any given russian user has a tcp/ip address originating in guam or costa rica - they're still *speaking/writing* in russian.

makes perfect sense.
You're missing the point.

Canada is the top "country" making those searches.

Russian is the top "language" making those searches.

Russia itself isn't even on the list of top countries.
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
May 12, 2011, 12:43:23 PM
#8
Interesting that Canada is leading that, followed by Australia and then the US.
And yet the top language is Russian? Those stats don't look very sound...

sure they do.

the russians are generally *much* more security conscious - more likely to use Tor, etc.

so even though their connection cannot be traced back to russia - and may in fact indicate that any given russian user has a tcp/ip address originating in guam or costa rica - they're still *speaking/writing* in russian.

makes perfect sense.
donator
Activity: 826
Merit: 1060
May 12, 2011, 11:07:00 AM
#7
Interesting that Canada is leading that, followed by Australia and then the US.
And yet the top language is Russian? Those stats don't look very sound...
member
Activity: 91
Merit: 11
May 12, 2011, 10:51:39 AM
#6

Interesting that Canada is leading that, followed by Australia and then the US.
hero member
Activity: 675
Merit: 502
full member
Activity: 182
Merit: 101
May 12, 2011, 10:39:36 AM
#4
More people wanting to buy than sell at the old price.
legendary
Activity: 2506
Merit: 1010
May 12, 2011, 12:20:53 AM
#3
Additional factors:

- Mt. Gox exchange had, days earlier, difficulties due to DDoS attack.  
  - There might have been pent-up buying pressure that was put to work once defenses to repel the DDoS proved relatively effective.
  - The exchange has stopped accepting wire transfer / ACH from the U.S. .  Not sure on the timing, but maybe there was a "last call" rush to add funds before that method got halted.
  - New "easy" funding method made available (for those in the U.S.): Dwolla ($0.25 per trx)

- Viral growth continues:
  - http://www.google.com/trends?q=bitcoin&ctab=0&geo=all&date=ytd&sort=0

- Forbes readers finally pulling the trigger?

- Network is protected even more from an attack using "massive computing power" now that there is over 1 Thash/s of hashing.

- The technical analysis indicating that further upside still kept the exchange rate within the trading channel.

- panic buyers realizing that if there is panic buying, it is better to be one of the first panic buyers.  :-)

- the crap on wall street, D.C. and elsewhere continuing, providing plenty of motivation for alternatives.
   (see: http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/the-people-vs-goldman-sachs-20110511 )
newbie
Activity: 27
Merit: 0
May 11, 2011, 09:12:48 AM
#2
Gavin was on thisweekin.com talking about btc
newbie
Activity: 75
Merit: 0
May 11, 2011, 09:10:25 AM
#1
I was expecting BTC to blowup for a couple of days, but when they finally did, it was far beyond my expectations.  Whats up with that?
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