Europe hasn't really caught on to Bitcoin yet and who knows when asian "gaming rooms" start to see there's a cheap way to finance their equipment!
A lot can happen in 1 month...
Also: Holidays! Kids start to have even more time to mess around on the internet.
Topic: What will be the difficulty in 3-4 weeks time (Read 1361 times)
21 days from today the difficulty will be 822,872
28 days from today the difficulty will be 990,991
These numbers are only accurate if:
Here's the sequence:
28 days from today the difficulty will be 990,991
These numbers are only accurate if:
- The current ETA to next block estimate of 10.48 days is correct
- The current estimated next difficulty is 683,274 is correct
- The ratio of difficulty increases continues to be 20%, just like the next one
Here's the sequence:
Code:
6/7/2011 567,358
6/8/2011 567,358
6/9/2011 567,358
6/10/2011 567,358
6/11/2011 567,358
6/12/2011 567,358
6/13/2011 567,358
6/14/2011 567,358
6/15/2011 567,358
6/16/2011 567,358
6/17/2011 683,274
6/18/2011 683,274
6/19/2011 683,274
6/20/2011 683,274
6/21/2011 683,274
6/22/2011 683,274
6/23/2011 683,274
6/24/2011 683,274
6/25/2011 683,274
6/26/2011 822,872
6/27/2011 822,872
6/28/2011 822,872
6/29/2011 822,872
6/30/2011 822,872
7/1/2011 822,872
7/2/2011 822,872
7/3/2011 822,872
7/4/2011 822,872
7/5/2011 990,991
7/6/2011 990,991
7/7/2011 990,991
7/8/2011 990,991
7/9/2011 990,991
7/10/2011 990,991
7/11/2011 990,991
7/12/2011 990,991
7/13/2011 990,991
7/14/2011 1,193,458
7/15/2011 1,193,458
7/16/2011 1,193,458
7/17/2011 1,193,458
7/18/2011 1,193,458
7/19/2011 1,193,458
7/20/2011 1,193,458
7/21/2011 1,193,458
7/22/2011 1,193,458
7/23/2011 1,437,290
7/24/2011 1,437,290
7/25/2011 1,437,290
7/26/2011 1,437,290
7/27/2011 1,437,290
7/28/2011 1,437,290
7/29/2011 1,437,290
7/30/2011 1,437,290
7/31/2011 1,437,290
8/1/2011 1,730,940
8/2/2011 1,730,940
8/3/2011 1,730,940
8/4/2011 1,730,940
8/5/2011 1,730,940
8/6/2011 1,730,940
8/7/2011 1,730,940
8/8/2011 1,730,940
8/9/2011 1,730,940
8/10/2011 2,084,584
8/11/2011 2,084,584
8/12/2011 2,084,584
8/13/2011 2,084,584
8/14/2011 2,084,584
8/15/2011 2,084,584
8/16/2011 2,084,584
8/17/2011 2,084,584
8/18/2011 2,084,584
8/19/2011 2,510,480
8/20/2011 2,510,480
8/21/2011 2,510,480
8/22/2011 2,510,480
8/23/2011 2,510,480
8/24/2011 2,510,480
8/25/2011 2,510,480
8/26/2011 2,510,480
8/27/2011 2,510,480
8/28/2011 3,023,390
8/29/2011 3,023,390
8/30/2011 3,023,390
8/31/2011 3,023,390
9/1/2011 3,023,390
9/2/2011 3,023,390
9/3/2011 3,023,390
9/4/2011 3,023,390
9/5/2011 3,023,390
9/6/2011 3,641,092
9/7/2011 3,641,092
9/8/2011 3,641,092
9/9/2011 3,641,092
9/10/2011 3,641,092
9/11/2011 3,641,092
9/12/2011 3,641,092
9/13/2011 3,641,092
Give a man a fish and you feed him for a day. Don't teach a man to fish, and you feed yourself. He's a grown man. Fishing's not that hard.
Ron Swanson
when is the next increase due?
Between 750000 and 1.3 million.
Nice range.
I know, but should be pretty accurate. If I were to strictly narrow it down I'd estimate 1.1m to 1.3m. The 750 is a very optimistic estimate that will prob. break in next difficulty.
Can someone have a guess for me?
Go get SgtSpike's Mine or Invest spreadsheet, plug in the numbers and your estimate for difficulty increase percentages, and then look at the second sheet.
Doing that myself, I'd say we're looking at 1.2MM in about 30 days.
I'm not confident the network hashrate will continue to grow like it has the last few weeks. 58xx and 59xx cards are nearly all sold out and the super nerds who just came home from college and filled their moms' basements with rigs will be getting power bills and summer blackouts by then (at least in the US).
Between 750000 and 1.3 million.
Nice range.
Between 750000 and 1.3 million.
Can someone have a guess for me?
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