I still think that this was just a short term reaction and, as such, an opportunity to sell. The trend is still bearish. Even if the breach of the 7415 was unexpected.
It may turn out that way. On the 1-day chart, the
spike through the top of the range only ended as a wick. So there's been no breakout yet, and to boot, the other exchanges like Bitstamp and Coinbase didn't break their previous highs.
Still, I'd wait a few days to see how things shake out. Long/short ratios are still heavily in the bulls' favor. The price differences between Bitfinex and other exchanges has closed up a lot, and we're still sitting on solid gains over the past 24 hours. I won't be surprised if this resolves to the upside.
That was actually some USDT bullshit stunts, and I wonder why a lot of people are still making use of it, despite how shady everything about USDT is. The price never broke out from the triangle and actually, it was USDT pairs alone that had the huge spike due to some news about some implosion or whatever. Even on bittrex, where both BTC/USD and BTC/USDT pair is traded, only the USDT pair had such an erroneous move. As far as I am concerned, USDT days are numbered.
Regarding the market overall, and for the general BTC/USD market, we only tested the upper line of the triangle with the price rejected pretty fast with a long wick as well (using bitstamp chart) and currently trading around the $6400 region, but I am still trying to switch to the optimism side, knowing that the more a resistance is being tested, the more it gets weak and probably we might see a breakout upward, and just as you said, I won't be surprised if it resolves to the upside either.