Topic: WHEN we should sell BTC after halving as a LONG-TERM invest? (Read 618 times)

Since I have very high expectations for the next bitcoin halving, I believe that the current situation in the cryptocurrency market contributes to a profitable investment in bitcoins at a cheap price.  Over the past few days, prices have fallen by an average of 20%, and if you buy Bitcoin today, then after the halving, the profit will be noticeable.

i start crypto almost in 2 years and learned so many things and trading is of them them witch is not full and i complete it every day and increasing my knowledge but i have enough information about bitcoin is a good invest for long term,so in the other side i start to also do trading and scalping and losing and learning! to be any kind of type is like limit ! and as u said about 2020 i think we will not see a large price for bitcoin in 2020 maybe a good price but not like 20k in 2021 i believe price will go to a good position for sell.

We hope that he already sell it yesterday so he can buy bitcoin again today because the bitcoin price now is down deeper than yesterday. Or if he did not sell it yesterday, he could still hold it again, and don't sell it now because he will not make a profit. The bitcoin price now seems to get stronger than a few hours ago so we can hope that the price can bounce and back to a higher rate. If there is much demand for buying bitcoin, we can wish that the price slowly will increase.

as a long term invest scalping is not in the board strategy but u must know basic knowledge  as a long term invest to found out witch price is good for you .
also yesterday we saw that price get low near 8k price .so i think now is a very good time to buy bitcoin for long term.

You can do that if you have a good knowledge from this set up, scalping with buy and low strategy works with investor/trader who can manage
to follow the market movement.
Long term is good if you do have more fund to keep buying and add assets to your wallet.

one of the most important thing about bitcoin is we have totally 21 million of it.so that is one of the strongest fundamental for growing bitcoin price.also as a long term investor i think having a sell targets is very important , for example if price hit 20k i will sell 100% and i never think to wait for 20001 price.20K IS THE PRICE FOR ME. 

Selling wasn't a good idea for holders right now, because the price might be surging one of this days. That will be possible to commence this coming week, so if you're doing that in a wrong timing; I thinks you'll regret every decisions that you've made. Plan things accordingly, and don't ever rush on something which didn't have a higher probabilities.

I have also held back a long time ago, but until now, I have not found the right time to sell assets. however, there are currently so many good predictions, starting at prices of more than $ 13,000, $ 15,000, $ 20,000, even new ATHs. if you are one of them, for now, the best thing to do is to wait. when the price reaches what I mentioned above, you are free to sell it. however, if you think that you are producing assets under $ 10k, that is very profitable.

Since we dont know exactly on what are going to happen after halving I think its best to wait for that moment unless you already have set target price on when you're planning to sell your bitcoin.

Im a long term hodler and have a set price when I will sell my coins but if I see a reasonable amount to take profit already then I will grab the chance. Sometimes its wise not to become greedy since crypto is high volatile.

well as a long term investor, i rather to sell my bitcoin after a good gain and profit ,the style of your thinking about invest and managing your asset is matter so for me,i invest bitcoin for long term so i can sleep in nights but for monthly or daily profit i rather to use very specific part o my asset for altcoins witch also depends on each person and way of managing asset .

Every one of us has a different way of selling our Bitcoin but for me, I will sell it when I needed most. There is nothing the right time there to sell your Bitcoin. If you found out that your Bitcoin holding has increased the value from the time you have been purchased that is the right time to sell. Sell when your profit was there but if you believed after halving it will bring more profit just stay hold no matter what.

so true .  this is prolly the strat of a common btc investor   .  while to some , they could have other strat too  . for me , im not really a long term goer but im still excited to see if what halving can do in the price of btc  .

 i sell btc when i need it the most but let say if i will not be really needing it , i will wait for more better oppurtinites  . i assume that after halving the price is still high , so id say i will be selling my coins during those times because im expecting a dump sooner or later

This question is very subjective, some investors will sell a small portion of their Bitcoin just to recover the initial investment, while some people will keep on holding their shares in the hope that Bitcoin will reach 6 digits and they are willing to take the risk of waiting, each investors have their patience when to sell their Bitcoin.

In the near future bitcoin is difficult to predict will touch to $ 15,000 even though we will face halving in May but it still cannot be ascertained because there is no truth about the new ATH increase this year.
It also takes time to make changes in prices because prices are very fluctuating so it is not possible this year in my opinion.

I know not many people agree on this but I feel like ethereum proof of stake would have a lot of impact on bitcoin price as well and unfortunately people disagree on this for some reason. When ethereum the second biggest coin in the rankings becomes a proof of stake there will be a lot more reasons to hold ethereum and not sell it compared to proof of work right now which of course has a huge reason to sell since miners need to pay for costs.

Now, why would that affect bitcoin? Because there would be a lot more money staying in the market instead of going out and that should make both ethereum and bitcoin and even all of crypto go up a bit. Halving will happen before that and both of those compared will cause bitcoin to go up eventually (probably in 2021).

good target, it's just that you have to wait for an uncertain time. however, $ 30k is the new ATH for bitcoin, and to date, the price of bitcoin is very difficult even to survive at a price of $ 10k. I myself am targeting a price of $ 18,000, but I speculate that such prices can only be reached at the end of the year, or in 2021.

On that certain level of price range, I would prefer to decide selling of my asset once that $30k or highest is achieved. For sure the market will undergo rumors that may trigger panic selling or rather panic buying. It depends upon how each mindset will be brought up, what's very important during this time is we should be smart enough to decide the best options that we need to do.

One million dollars prediction is not too close to the reality if that's what the manipulators want the investors to think. Some people just ridiculously predict without a close valid information to back them up. And since the last ATH of Bitcoin was $20,000 I'm a little certain that the next ATH would be beyond $30,000+ or more.

When you're lets say a hodler then for sure you would really have that goal price in mind on when to sell but wont be on exact or on point price since you do normally look for the highest which is the ATH
which we know that wont really be easily to attain or achieved into these particular days.Everything should really have a goal on when to sell out but well people are entirely different when making up decisions
and also each of us do have different mindsets because the big money of yours arent the money which other people do think of.Its a matter of choice and anticipations though.

When we are fully convince and satisfied with the profits that we already gained, that's the perfect time to anyone to sell their assets.
If you have certain target and you already have achieved the set goals being contented is much better than becoming greed and be
stuck if the value falls back.

One million dollars is a big figure for Bitcoin's current position
But it can be over $ 20,000 this year.
 I would like to see  opinion of people about the highest bitcoin price this year

I have come across many predictions on Facebook, Twitter, reddit and tradingview on bitcoin heading towards $100,000 after halving and to some extent i do agree with them. When we should sell bitcoin should be when we think it is OK for us and we are in profits.

Exit when you want to. Sides, a crash of everyone exiting the market should be seen quite clearly within a few hrs, so at the very least, you wouldn't be left at exiting the market at the lowest possible price. Still, an exit of next year if price reaches around $15-$16k seems quite nice. A possibility of exceeding past $20k is possible, but with how most mindsets are at exiting at a point where they'd profit well enough, $15k seems quite tempting. There's also the fact that greed doesn't seem to be a factor here anymore. Why? you just held the coins for a few years and well, profiting off of doing that seems quite fine already for me, no matter how small/big it is.

I would say after 2 years is long enough time that everything will be in effect. Sure you do not have to wait for 2 years and you can sell whenever you feel like it peaked but the most I think we could wait is 2 years, after that it shouldn't really be affecting the price any longer and should have diminishing results.

Price could still go up or down after 2 years and in 5-10 years it could still be going up but if there is any movement that would be all of its own and not related to halving at all after 2 years, however inside the two year mark any movement could be attributed to halving. The peak will probably happen at 1 year mark tho, between 12 to 18 months there will be a HUGE increase since all the tank of miners will be depleted and they will be purely making profits from the coins they mine and not previously mined ones.

Or how much is his target price for selling?  If we enter an investment or buy Bitcoin as a long term investment, there are some factors to consider, two of which is the time frame we are holding this Bitcoin investment and the target selling price.  Thus to the question of OP, I will answer it with another question.  @OP how much profit are you willing to sell your holdings?  And are you willing to wait until your price target is met?

This is correct. Though what the OP was trying to point out was, everytime Bitcoin break resistance level or take a small leap, let's say a thousand or couple of dollars, people will start selling on this level. He couldn't make decisions for himself when to sell and this is what happens when you invested without setting a realistic target price range.
Making decisions when to sell is always the challenge for the long term hodler, and being contented and not being too greedy is the key to gain profit, or shall I say slowly but surely.

If you are investing especially in a long term one, selling in the right time is your best ace in order to obtain a great profit but the big question that lies in your mind right now is when?

Here is the best solution for your question. First before you buy it will be best if you have idea what will be the market condition in the following months or years then you need to set a selling price so you will dispose your investment after it will hit your selling option.

Because if you will just listen to all the predictions and fuds that are spreading everywhere then you will be left hanging while waiting for that amount. Prediction is not appropriate and you also knows that if you are an investor. So if I were you, just play safe and create a target selling price that is not so high for example 18-20k target price this year for bitcoin.

we cannot blame other holder to desperately sell at that margin because they have waited long enough so the need to sell out and taste profit will always there but for me?i will wait even more because fore sure the effect will not happen that soon instead will take before end year or at least early in the following year.
there is no specific because we have our own prerogative in life,some are contented even 10% profit while others look for much higher,just be your self and don't be greedy for you not to be a victim of dumping again.

Buying or selling bitcoin depends entirely on the crypto user.
It depends on his current needs and priorities.
So each one of us, can't exactly tell when to sell our portfolio.
But of course, should always be higher than the price of how much you bought it to gain profit.
After all, our trading motto is buy low, sell high.

It is depending on how much bitcoin will rise and how patient you are. But in my opinion, it is better to sell ( not all your budget )  when Bitcoin's price will reach to $ 30K or 40k and you should know it is that easy to get what you expect and want, the surprises are always occur, so possibly after the halving Bitoin's price will disappoint you, treat yourself on accepting any bad incident, life is always unpredictable not just Bitcoin.

Most of us agree that everything will be depends from each factors that influenced your holdings, it's you who can drive your profitable investment to its maximum capabilities, as long as you have the right pattern to follow and you set up plans in order to make things profitable to your investment, the right time will depends from how your perceptions and outlook be like after the halving take place.

My reasoning is just previous prices. So repeat of what already happened in past.  Halving is only few months from now. There is no reason why not to see huge Bitcoin price depreciation. We could also have recession soon after. But that dont change that 2023 is two years away.

There is no answer to that, it depends on personal judgement of every user itself. It depends how much you invested, what are your goals and.plans, how much did you earn, how much did you lose etc. Anyway, no.one can't decide instead of you when and if at all to sell your coins.
Also, at this moment is still very hard to say what exactly halving brings us and how the price will move after that. The best thing is to watch the market and then make decision accordingly.

There's no such thing as right point to sell your Bitcoin because it only depends on the investors's mindset and satisfaction. If the investor feels selling at this point, he is free to do so, because that is his money. If he decided not to riak, then that is just fine. Let us cut the idea that people should always wait for the right time, because there is no right time. It is just those who would be patient has the higher tendency to earn bigger profit but that would cost time ofcourse and some people cannot afford lending such period in order to earn profit.

Also, there is no hundred percent assurance that the market price would immediately go upward after the halving because it would still depend on the market situation whether to behave upward or not. Those expectations that the price will reach twice its all time high before are just mere opinion, and the bottomline is the lack of certainty.

Don't just hold your bitcoin rather do play buy and sell the game! It means when you see Bitcoin price gained enough, sell them, as Bitcoin is volatile, so, you can be the sure price will come to down again, so, buy at low! No one is sure what exact price will come to Bitcoin after the halving, so better you pick a selling price on your own. Personally, I will sell at 14-15K USD, or even lower!

The question is quite confusing, the thing is, we don't sell at a certain period, we sell looking at the price if that already hits our target, so we should be more focusing on that. After the halving, there is no guarantee that the price will rise but of course we are hoping there's a rise but talking about long term investment, that still requires some specific target like x10 or x100 growth of your investment.

Simply put it on your mind that you're in profit, whether you didnt sell on the ATH as long as you profit and benefits a lots more than a 100% then its still a good move. Those ideas getting stock for waiting to get much better profit ends up holding again, probably they just missed the price into ATH or the price is already dumping so they need to hold again.

Assuming the market is rising, it makes sense to sell BTC before the halving. The market will be anticipating a "buy the rumor sell the news" situation, so like the 2016 halving (or Litecoin's recent halving) it will dump beforehand.

This is probably a good guess:

that depends on your definition on benefit . i personally think bitcoin can provide 100-200k benefit  in 2 years maybe and i will not sell it until i gain a good profit from it.waiting in crypto market is so important i believe

yes,i remember one of my friends used 3 bitcoin to just buy a digital book in internet, just compare now from 2 years ago u will see so many people now know bitcoin and blockchain technology so i think in time we go forward thats going to help  a lot for bitcoin price to  grow.   

i get your point about fomo and i also believe that will happens also in 17k price.there is a nice point u talking about and its > reasonable profit , i personally believe that depends on each person view and the price of buy . thats can be a good major to have a plan for selling assets.

exactly, i believe also after halving we expect that price go top and i also think we going to see a lot of shadows in chart after bitcoin price get near 17000-20000 .it depends on how much world going to push and buy and hold bitcoin to rise the price, i think pick a specific target for sell is the best option, i mean pick a target and be clear with that is good!

we all target the highest price after halving. if you feel you have benefited, you can sell it. maybe a suitable price is a range of $ 15k more. however, it all depends on the beginning you buy bitcoin or when you have it. Well, I suggest selling above $ 15k.

The answer depends how much you bought the coins that you are holding right now. If you have bought during the 2018's bottom, you can sell anytime that you want but many will rise their brows to you and will think that you're not doing the right thing.

As you have said, many will start selling if bitcoin once again reaches $15k-$20k and I think that would be an ideal price if you're longing to get a profit within the short term. But as for the people who have been believing that bitcoin is here to stay, you can aim higher than that.

Only you can answer this clearly, it depends upon a variety of factors that include you initial investment, how long you are planning to hold the coin and the most important fact is the market situation and the financial situation. To expect the market to soar after halving is just not ludicrous considering the past rallies we had after halving, this time around i am not expecting a huge rally like we used to see in the past but we will have a much better valuation around the all time high valuation.

Even when it gets to 20k I dont think it'll be most and it doesn't have to be to tip the price, we only need to see the balance change so that sellers outweigh buyers and obviously as the price goes higher the possibility that people stop buying or reduce greatly does occur hence its more like a see-saw then a weighing scales and we can shift about quite dramatically.
   The only real thing to count is population of users for BTC rising then between them the differences are much smaller, only 0.01 in a wallet when its many millions begins to have great effect.  0.01 when I first used BTC was thrown away almost like copper change.

Frankly, I have no idea when to sell my holdings but as long as we are in the bearish trend I won't make any move. Everybody expects that Bitcoin will skyrocket after halving event this year because they reasoned out that it will be the same just like the past Bitcoin halving. Anyway, as I've said I had no idea when to sell, perhaps I will do it if I saw that my holding will earn such a reasonable profit. One thing I also anticipated that as Bitcoin hits 16k to 17k worth of BTC it will create a FOMO so everyone will sell their assets.

It depends on the set target selling price of the investor.

There is a chance that when Bitcoin reaches near 20k, most of the investors and whales will sell their Bitcoin that they are holding. On the other hand, if it reaches near 20k, there is also a chance that it will push more and will rise more than 20k. Nobody knows what can happen to Bitcoin after halving but many are expecting that it will rise after halving.

all the thing u made up is meaning full like this or what?!

i am so agree with your opinion !

I made this up myself:

Your rich next door neighbor owns a mansion.  One day he dies - the mansion is still there, he could not take it with him. 

yes best price is near 20k in my opinion also.

i dont think selling btc at 12k in long invest is a good idea we have so many good fundamental news !!!!

i like your strategy and i think something very similar will  happen.

i exactly know what u talking about , i have that plan also but i think selling all coins will be my option because i believe after price see 20k so many ppl will sell and we going to have a dump and then maybe i buy again.

We will have to wait 1 to 2 years depending on the demands of bitcoin to surpass all time highs.
I feel that this will be another ATH.

Somewhere around 2021 to 2022 but the price will experience a boost in speculation before halvening.   This virus may have messed up that idea slightly but the effect is still there underneath in helping sentiment slightly, its just not going to boom with such a weight of news on top of it.
    If you are talking long term then you not so much a trader type speculator but the type who measures ingredients, makes a cake and is willing to wait for it to bake which is good because the biggest gains come this way.   BTC especially is extremely hard to judge in its volatility and in any case the trends over time are more certain and more easily observed by the lay person.


I like that you say after because the price I expect to be highest for 2020 in the first half and second half it will digest any gains, the news and protocol changes.   It all plays a part in future growth and block changes to the reward for mining is not immediate in altering the markets but the longer the distance from the change event the greater the difference in available BTC from that source is.   So I expect to see a larger move after more then 6 months then in this year itself, good things come to those who wait.     If people expect too much then I think the market as the beast bull or bear tries to make them jump, possibly even sell.
  The reason selling is important is it is a large source of BTC to the market, when its wrung dry and that source is greatly reduced and demand is continuing and good then the market mood will change again.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bkwy0scRXBU

All the more people believe in the possibilities of Bull run in the future, the demand increases. The future for Bitcoin is still great even when its price is down in the present. For me, people should expect the price of Bitcoin to increase more than the said limit of $20,000 because, the halving event is a new chance for Bitcoin to shoot up more than the halving from the earlier years. Halving of an already halved supply would really mean a great potential for Bitcoin to surpass the past Bull runs as a new set of increased demand for the coin will come as its supply would be decreased greatly in half more than the past years of halving. We could expect the highest price of Bitcoin from the past halving to be doubled in the future.

This could be indeed, a great opportunity for investors and other people who are interested in investing on Bitcoin. Sell Bitcoin when it sets a new all time high record of more than $20,000 value.

I know you are looking for the right time to sell and the answer will also matter if you gain already and been satisfied with it.

Just like;
If I buy Bitcoin at $9k, then I have to sell this when it reaches to $11k.
If I buy Bitcoin at $9.5k, then I have to wait for the price to reach $12k.

That's in me, we can sell our Bitcoin depending on our personal target. And I know that we are not having the same target/goal. If you want to sell it at $16k or more, then it's up to you. Everyone has the freedom and the fact that we are not holding your decision, you can make all thing as you think that is helping you and as long as you are already in the gaining situation, not a losing one.

You don't have to sell all your stash at once, you can do it in portions over longer periods of time - this will reduce both risks and potential profits. I personally plan to start selling when the market will surpass the last ATH - at first it will be a smaller fraction of my coins, then depending on how fast the price growth, I'll be selling more and more. I would want to sell most coins when the price will go vertical like it happens when a bubble reaches its top.

I would like to start selling in the 25-30k range, in small quantities.

It's normal that many people will start selling their Bitcoin if it hit a high price, but many will buy at that price because some people always believe the BTC price will keep growing. I haven't fixed a base price for selling because when I need money I start selling, even I sold my Bitcoin about 3 days ago! However, Personally, I believe halving won't impact much on Bitcoin price in this year, the BTC price may hit 15-16K, not greater than. So, If I have Bitcoin and if the price hits 15K-16K, I will sell and will buy again when the price goes for down.

It~s a very interesting question and I want to know about people´s opinion
I'm here for the long term, but I don't have an exact sell point, but I have some numbers in my head that I'll be confortable to sell, and obviously will depend on the trend
And I think, no matter what's your plan, ALWAYS leave some BTC in your wallet, never sell ALL your coins, even if you sell like at 20k USD, but leave some coins, maybe one day will worth a lot more

i Agree with your Opinion about that btc price but  i think also that grow up price happend in end of 2020 and we knows history repeats itself and this halving is Necessary for trader and mining pool and  I think btc going to be famous this year

i think best price to sell is depend on each person to pick a reasonable target .

100k!!!whats your reason and view for that price?and i think after halving we going to have a big dump for btc!

Depends on how long you live, of curse.
Holding bitcoin is just like holding gold with some more profit. So, they more you hold it the more you profit you get.
According you to answer, I would say I'll hold it for 60 years, but is this Is this reasonable?

Sell price should be over $100k and not before end of 2021 or as it all looks like in 2022 or even a year latter.  Price of Bitcoin will not go over $20000 in 2020.

It depends on how long you plan on holding for after the halving. The current all time high was reached during the last quarter of 2017 which was over a year after the most recent halving. It is impossible to pick a best price to sell at after the halving as no one knows what the value would be after. I predict that the effect of the halving would kick in sometime during 2021.



Quoting the image for viewing

most people believe that after halving btc price will go up to near 20k but most important question is WHEN and whats that road looks like. imagine  after btc go to 16k or 17k so many people will sell btc in that price so  price will dump unless Whales of btc push buy in markets . in the other hand we have so many good fundamental for growing btc price and developing blockchains all around the world.
the main question also remains that which price is best to sell btc after halving!