I agree, and i understood ,
Market cap is not reserve it is just calculation in relation to price
Maybe there is lot more money can be or less money in crypto than marketcap
it all is game of supply and demand
thanks,
"supply and demand" ?
nope its not even that.. well not the way most were taught it in highschool atleast
lets use an example
in 2012 there were 10.5m coins in circulation price was $6
according to most peoples highschool lessons of S&D if there are 19m coins the price should be lower
..
here is the thing. in bitcoin markets. forget everything you learned about fiat economics. in highschool, right?
well its wrong. becasue today there are 19m coins in circulation but the price is $23k
..
on the spot market there is speculation, and sentiment that produces a varied window of different peoples desire to buy/sell at different possible amounts
EG someone in hawaii(most expensive place to mine on planet) that are willing to buy bitcoin upto $90k a coin. and places in like iceland/norway where they can obtain bitcoin for near $15k so see no point buying it for much higher on spot market if they can mine it at that low rate
as for supply.
imagine for the last 11 years most buyers on average (shrimp buyers) only wanted to spend $400 a month investing in crypto
this does not mean the price stays the same. because the miners. getting 2x less coin per halving and also due to hash competition have even less rewards over time due to competing miners. so they are left with less coin over time to sell but with increasing costs.. . so they will sell les decimals of a btc for the same $400 average to get their costs met
yep in 2012 trades were mainly 1-1000btc on exchanges.
yep in 2022 trades were mainly 0.0001-1btc on exchanges.
its got nothing to do with total coins in circulation becasue not all coins are locked into exchange custody. nor are all coins set on market orders al being processed /swapped at same time
a spot market is a subset of a subset of a subset of coins that go towards market price at any given time
..
if you are wondering about "value" in regards to store of value where im thinking you were looking for "where is the store"
meaning if you are talking about the buzzword "store of value"
its not based on speculated sentiment of S&D of a market PRICE
nor some reserve of fiat stored somewhere to back the price
store of value is a metric that sits away from the market
ill use gold as a comparison
golds "store of value" is not some reserve of billions of fiat held somewhere to back golds spot price
golds SoV is finding the lowest efficient-ist way to acquire gold on the planet (mining) (the wholesale market(otc))
which has numbers below the spot(retail) market
golds SoV is about ~$1200 whilst the spot market is $1900
the $1200 rate is mainly the cost of mining gold at its most efficiency of the planet
bitcoin has mining costs too. which was in last half of 2022 ~$15k for most efficient mining on planet
no one on planet wants to sell at a loss of the asset they acquire. so there becomes a point where sellers refuse to sell any further down. which becomes a non-zero bottom VALUE