I don't see the information at this link that would support your assertion. My understanding of network propogation (it takes longer to transfer 1 megabyte to a peer than 285 bytes) seems to indicate that there is an increase in risk of losing a race condition as you increase the number of transactions in a block. I understand that race conditions are rare, but unless you can provide a source of data that demonstrates otherwise, I have to assume that larger blocks mean increased risk of orphan.
most miners accept free transactions and always have iirc only 2 pools dont
Well then, clearly the 2 blocks linked to in this discussion must have come from one of those pools.
sigh
yes Ozcoins complete block history is available
https://ozcoin.net/content/block-history-bitcoin (freely available for all - sorry not to link it before, the pool link is in my signature),
also tracked independently https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/weekly-pool-and-network-statistics-77000assume away, you seem to assume my original post was attacking posters in this thread too... there have been stats published on this, I have read them somewhere in these forums, but given I can read 100's of posts a day and it is a few weeks since I saw the data I cannot immediately link you. It shows both smaller and larger blocks win the race ~50% of the time. as well as discussions I have had in IRC with other pool operators while they were having large amounts of orphan issues....
This is an important subject to pool operators and being one I have watched closely for some time.
the blocks linked in this discussion could come from a pool or a solo miner, I see one was relayed by deepbit, for some time there was a "mystery miner " making a large number of 1txn blocks and relaying them through deepbit there are threads discussing that too.
http://blockorigin.pfoe.be/blocklist.php shows them as "unknown" blockorigin has a good handle on most of the pools
bottom line - it is better for Bitcoin if miners (pools or solo) do not restrict the number of transactions in their blocks and makes no difference to the number of orphan blocks that miners (pool or solo) create.