Author

Topic: why are future prices of bitcoins so much higher than spot price of bitcoin (Read 505 times)

sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
it's the time value of BTC. by pooling the opinions of people investing, they are using group wisdom to better predict where the market will be.

check it out: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iOucwX7Z1HU
newbie
Activity: 24
Merit: 0
Because of then instead of buying the future, i would rather buy the bitcoin for 30% less saving me some bucks... But yes, the consensus of the parties particicipating in futures imply that in 4 months bitcoins will be worth some 50% extra.......
donator
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1079
Gerald Davis
I noticed on icbit.se that future bitcoin prices for 4 months contract are about 50% higher than spotprices. Anybody has a plain explaination for this?

The "market" (at least icbit.se participants) believe Bitcoins will be worth 50% more than spot in 4 months.

If Bitcoins are worth $300 today and you believe in 4 months they will be worth $450 why would you sell a contract for less?

Someone buying the contract believes the price will be higher, someone selling the contract believes the price will be lower.
newbie
Activity: 24
Merit: 0
I noticed on icbit.se that future bitcoin prices for 4 months contract are about 50% higher than spotprices. Anybody has a plain explaination for this?
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