Yes, actually you did make stuff up. Because I'm using the consensus to refute you. You misrepresented "the consensus."
I quoted directly Gavin Schmidt, he's right at the core of the few people that write up and direct what the "consensus" believes. Here's another direct comment from Schmidt.
...Gavin Schmidt, director of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, estimated that El Niño accounted for 0.07˚C of the above average warming that occurred in 2015...
You claimed that climate change made the El Nino stronger. No, it didn't. And the El Nino contributed only seven hundredths of one degree to the weather pattern.
You don't even understand the subject. You have it exactly backwards.... You don't even know what the consensus of scientific opinion is on a subject, but you are quick to claim it's what supports your argument.
That's what we call making things up.
So this is something entirely different than what I am talking about. Bolded quote talks about how much of the global average increase in temperature El nino was responsible for. It doesn't say anything about the strength of el nino. It definitely doesn't suggest that climate change wouldn't make el nino stronger. The quote isn't even about that.
The idea is not that warming affects el nino. The idea is that warming melts ice, changes ocean temperatures and sets off a series of events that changes climate around the world. Global climate change. Not everywhere gets warmer, many places actually get cooler.
The idea is that global climate change leads to an increase in extreme el nino events. That could mean stronger, weaker, longer, or shorter. There is consensus that it WILL affect ENSO but the reason there isn't a consensus on HOW it will affect it is because ENSO is complex and affected by so many variables. This is generally the problem with modeling climate change in general. I'm an atmospheric scientist and only wanted to keep this out of the weeds for your sake.
https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/enso-climate-change-headacheReally good article with a great analogy.
You missed my main point while in the weeds...
....
.....
Maybe you were making assertions that sounded like they were about all the immigration from Honduras, while citing numbers for the one program that only represents 4% of it?
Is there ANYTHING TRUE IN ANYTHING YOU SAY?
....
The 4% number is the only one important because that is the only program Hondurans in the caravans have access to from Honduras. They don't have the education or special skills to get a job in the US ahead of time.
You are once more misrepresenting the actual facts very substantially.
Many, many other Hondurans did emigrate as family members of US citizens and through the other mechanisms. You misrepresented the facts by leaving that out.
Some did not qualify or were too lazy to try. They noticed that Soros et.al. was organizing a giant publicity stunt to crash the US border and decided to get in on it. The newspaper adds for the Caravan said they'd get free food and cash. So they headed north.
It is certain we don't want them. We definitely don't want the 500 criminals in that group. But you do. You've kept quiet about those criminals, haven't you?
[/quote]
I left those out because they aren't relevant to people who don't have sponsors in the US; family or work. I don't believe in conspiracy theories and don't usually entertain them, but if Soros did that to press the issue, bring attention and put pressure on the government to reform the system, then great. That should be a great thing for everyone who doesn't want illegal immigration by exposing a system that encourages it. People will always take the path of least resistance. Why not make that the legal path?
Why should risking your freedom, safety, health, everything crossing illegally be the easier option?