Author

Topic: Why I did I loose BTC in this trade sequence? (Read 1440 times)

legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1036
November 10, 2013, 07:03:53 AM
#8
Look at your government currency page, it also has fees being removed from your account.
full member
Activity: 182
Merit: 100
1MCKW9AkWj3aopC1aPegcZEf2fYNrhUQVf
November 10, 2013, 06:55:56 AM
#7
Hi!

Thanks, this is helpful information!

One question:

You said Gox is charging a fee both on selling and buying. But in the list in my OP, Gox has market fees only when buying BTC. Is the fee somehow hidden when selling BTC?
newbie
Activity: 22
Merit: 0
November 09, 2013, 11:17:34 PM
#6
I custom developed a trade bot that made alot of money during this move, let me explain to you how I look at profit forcasting on trades.

1. when you sell, you are charged a 0.6% fee, and the price is at the high point of your trade cycle.
2. when  you buy your btc back, you are also charged at 0.6% fee, and the price is at the low point of your trade cycle, so your fee from your sale was higher than the fee from your purchase.
3. this means you must cover at least 1.2% in profit JUST to cover fees, if the move in price is less than 1.2%, you lost money. If the move in price is less than 2.4%, you made gox more money than you made for yourself.

I wrote a trade backtester that has all mtgox trades ever made up to this second. It then spends days analyzing every buy/sell price combination testing which two prices would have made the most money in any given timeframe i want to look at. This data shows that longer term, larger moves are win. Moves around 12-18% are winners, they happen often enough and at a high enough margin to make you real profits.

In fact, with my trade strategy i have some fixed incremental trades programmed in, but the bot picks the rest of it's trades based on this backtesting technology i put together. It does a way better job at picking prices than i do.

Hope this helps.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1018
HoneybadgerOfMoney.com Weed4bitcoin.com
November 09, 2013, 10:09:52 PM
#5
Okay.. Sad So I guess if there is only a profit margin of a few dollars, the trade is not worth making because of the fees? How can one calculate if the trade is worth it or not? For example, if I suspect I can buy for 300 and later sell for 305, how can I calculate if that is worth doing or if the fees make it a lossy trade?


exactly - For me I desire a MINIMUM >3% from the trade to be worthwhile (Your time and research should also cost money which is why the gain must be much greater than the fee itself).  I believe that gox charges .6 % on the low side.  Your trade gains MUST exceed that .6% at minium otherwise you are taking a net loss.
full member
Activity: 182
Merit: 100
1MCKW9AkWj3aopC1aPegcZEf2fYNrhUQVf
November 09, 2013, 10:06:04 PM
#4
Okay.. Sad So I guess if there is only a profit margin of a few dollars, the trade is not worth making because of the fees? How can one calculate if the trade is worth it or not? For example, if I suspect I can buy for 300 and later sell for 305, how can I calculate if that is worth doing or if the fees make it a lossy trade?
uk1
copper member
Activity: 546
Merit: 500
November 09, 2013, 10:02:44 PM
#3
yes fees you need to trade more btc to cover the fee
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1018
HoneybadgerOfMoney.com Weed4bitcoin.com
November 09, 2013, 09:59:03 PM
#2
Trade fees, plain and simple.
full member
Activity: 182
Merit: 100
1MCKW9AkWj3aopC1aPegcZEf2fYNrhUQVf
November 09, 2013, 09:53:59 PM
#1
Hi!

I thought I was doing great trades during the last days, usually selling higher and buying lower (with a few exceptions). But MtGox is showing as the end result that I have less BTC than what I started with. I have been breaking my head trying to figure out how to calculate if the numbers are correct. I have to admit I have no idea how to approach this math problem! Sad

Can anyone help me understand why I lost bitcoin in this trade history:




                Index_______
           
                Type____________
           
                Info__________________________________________________________________
           
Price__________                 Value___________
           
                Balance___________
           
                4
           
                deposit
           
                xxxxxx
           
                0.5166000
           
                0.5166000
           
                5
           
                out
           
                BTC sold:  0,51660000 BTC at
           
                204.9500
           
                0.5166000
           
                0.0000000
           
                6
           
                in
           
                BTC bought:  0,50839046 BTC at
           
                207.0100
           
                0.5083905
           
                0.5083905
           
                7
           
                fee
           
                BTC bought:  0,50839046 BTC at  (0,6% fee)
           
                207.0100
           
                0.0030503
           
                0.5053401
           
                8
           
                withdraw
           
                xxxxxx
           
                0.5053401
           
                0.0000000
           
                9
           
                deposit
           
                xxxxxx
           
                0.5051401
           
                0.5051401
           
                10
           
                out
           
                BTC sold:  0,50514012 BTC at
           
                255.0000
           
                0.5051401
           
                0.0000000
           
                11
           
                in
           
                BTC bought:  0,26120000 BTC at
           
                249.5000
           
                0.2612000
           
                0.2612000
           
                12
           
                fee
           
                BTC bought:  0,26120000 BTC at (0,6% fee)
           
                249.5000
           
                0.0015672
           
                0.2596328
           
                13
           
                in
           
                BTC bought:  0,09359494 BTC at
           
                242.0000
           
                0.0935949
           
                0.3532277
           
                14
           
                fee
           
                BTC bought:  0,09359494 BTC at  (0,6% fee)
           
                242.0000
           
                0.0005616
           
                0.3526662
           
                15
           
                in
           
                BTC bought:  0,16619210 BTC at 242,00000
           
                242.0000
           
                0.1661921
           
                0.5188583
           
                16
           
                fee
           
                BTC bought:  0,16619210 BTC at 242,00000 (0,6% fee)
           
                242.0000
           
                0.0009972
           
                0.5178611
           
                17
           
                out
           
                BTC sold:  0,25600000 BTC at
           
                249.0000
           
                0.2560000
           
                0.2618611
           
                18
           
                in
           
                BTC bought:  0,25740000 BTC at
           
                246.1230
           
                0.2574000
           
                0.5192611
           
                19
           
                fee
           
                BTC bought:  0,25740000 BTC at  (0,6% fee)
           
                246.1230
           
                0.0015444
           
                0.5177167
           
                20
           
                out
           
                BTC sold:  0,30000000 BTC at
           
                272.5000
           
                0.3000000
           
                0.2177167
           
                21
           
                out
           
                BTC sold:  0,21771672 BTC at
           
                268.9900
           
                0.2177167
           
                0.0000000
           
                22
           
                in
           
                BTC bought:  0,26310000 BTC at
           
                266.1000
           
                0.2631000
           
                0.2631000
           
                23
           
                fee
           
                BTC bought:  0,26310000 BTC at 266,10000 (0,6% fee)
           
                266.1000
           
                0.0015786
           
                0.2615214
           
                24
           
                out
           
                BTC sold:  0,26152140 BTC at
           
                280.9000
           
                0.2615214
           
                0.0000000
           
                25
           
                in
           
                BTC bought:  0,24650000 BTC at
           
                284.0000
           
                0.2465000
           
                0.2465000
           
                26
           
                fee
           
                BTC bought:  0,24650000 BTC at  (0,6% fee)
           
                284.0000
           
                0.0014790
           
                0.2450210
           
                27
           
                out
           
                BTC sold:  0,24502100 BTC at
           
                304.0050
           
                0.2450210
           
                0.0000000
           
                28
           
                in
           
                BTC bought:  0,24710000 BTC at
           
                299.4408
           
                0.2471000
           
                0.2471000
           
                29
           
                fee
           
                BTC bought:  0,24710000 BTC at 299,44078 (0,6% fee)
           
                299.4408
           
                0.0014826
           
                0.2456174
           
                30
           
                in
           
                BTC bought:  0,24340194 BTC at
           
                298.0000
           
                0.2434019
           
                0.4890193
           
                31
           
                fee
           
                BTC bought:  0,24340194 BTC at 298,00000 (0,6% fee)
           
                298.0000
           
                0.0014604
           
                0.4875589
           
                32
           
                out
           
                BTC sold:  0,24300000 BTC at
           
                309.0000
           
                0.2430000
           
                0.2445589
           
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