Stage 13?? We could be at 9 or 10 as well!
We are going down. Step 9 or 10 is about where we are. However I doubt even the next crash is the bottom.
Exactly what is the point? Who cares where we are anymore?
Clearly not you, because you aren't signed in to an internet forum concerned with bitcoin, and posting on the forum specifically designated for speculating. OH WAIT.
Like everyone else in this forum. It's denial in its clearest form, if anyone argues the converse. I think this forum doesn't represent honest feelings and therefore sentiment can only be answered from one's own perspective. Nevertheless I'd like to ask you to share your current feelings with us.
For me - bitcoin is like a ticket for the best rollercoaster of our times. It's fun and stress at the same time. Can not say for sure, if I am at stage 5, 11 or 13. My feelings are (damn) to volatile to work as a 'real' store of value
.
Recently, I even thought about shorting it (for the first time) to $120 (as I still see more downwards pressure rolling in). But: Somehow, I am to frightened, we might have seen the end of the downtrend and I might fuck up big time.
Maybe someone feels familiar with this state of mind and is comfortable with sharing some insights, too. I might also wait for $120 to come and then buy some more coins.
FYI, my break-even point is around $80. I increased it though from $5 in 2012, when I got involved for the first time. More or less my whole trading history: Bought @5 Sold @45 Bought @70 Sold @260 Bought@130 Sold@1200 (lost approx. 50% in Mt. Gox) Bought @610, @$450, @$340, $160 and soon to come $120 (?)
Most important:
- I am comfortable loosing it all.
- Bitcoin enables societal change, even if it is not successful as a coin!!! (ask yourself what was your motivation to get into Bitcoin and what a societal change seems worth to you).
- More so, I believe it's all about a binary outcome (might turn out this is not true), even if in the end it will be totally different from what we expacted it to be in the first place.
What I quite firmly can state now: bitcoin certainly is not meant to be for a quick buck. IMO, Satoshi new well about the hypecycles 'he' will produce. All the people complaining about the volatility and buil-in (high) inflation don't seem to get, that it is the downs, that make bitcoin the 'fairest' coin in the long run (hence acceptance from the wider public) despite many people will miss the chance to get-in and complain afterwards (but they know, they could have --> and this gives it legitimacey!) I want to believe: Some of them might be even long-time lurkers in this forum. But maybe they are simply
"agenda-bulls". (See first line of the post).
Thanks to sgbett for posting his current state of mind here
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/the-despondancy-stage-941152