Stumbled upon a recent Bloomberg article:
Bloomberg: Strict Regulation Boosts Professional Investor Interest in CryptocurrenciesIn it, the majority of retail investors support the regulation of the crypto sector, believing that this will benefit the industry. 65% of retail investors and 56% of professional investors support regulation.
In general, the trend towards a fully controlled crypto market in general, and bitcoin in particular, has been going on for quite some time. Every year the word KYC ceases to cause some kind of rejection and resentment. More and more crypto users are beginning to see this as normal... and even necessary, despite the fact that regulation, KYC, and centralization are against the foundations of cryptocurrencies.
I have repeatedly, participating in such discussions, written that the regulation of bitcoin and KYC is the reverse side of the success of both bitcoin and the entire industry. After we have seen the explosion of adoption and the emergence of cryptocurrencies in the everyday life of many people, this is starting to attract more and more attention from governments, bankers and regulators. If earlier they said that bitcoin is a bubble, bitcoin is used for drug trafficking and fraud, they tried to prohibit and limit it, now the course is set for regulation and centralized control.
Weird things are starting to appear in cryptocurrencies, such as reversible transactions,
specifying the KYC of the sender and recipient when making a transaction, attempts to transfer bitcoin to PoS for spurious reasons, etc. A little more time will pass (3,5,7 years, who knows) and KYC (centralization) will already be perceived as the basis for working with bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. The concept of cryptocurrencies is no centralization, no KYC, everything is anonymous and without third parties. But at the same time, without regulation, a huge number of scams and scammers appear, many exchanges manipulate prices with impunity. How to find a balance between regulation and the fundamentals of cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin) and is it possible? What will the industry look like in 10 years in terms of regulation and KYC?
A number of good points, but as much as regulation and centralization processes progress, there will also be new technologies underway that might force even governments to start thinking a different way. The reason I bring this thought up is because the legalization of Cannabis has some similarities. When you over-regulate (at max prohibit) an industry or system, ways are going to be found to circumvent these regulations or right out violate them. With drugs the problem was that enforcement wasn't effective because of the sheer number of cases that would have to be pursued.
When Bitcoin fully finds its way into peoples' daily lives and builds its own parallel economy, governments might also be forced into the direction of making compromises. Bitcoin could indeed derive its value from a grey area economy even if it is over-regulated.
They are now going to slow down adoption by a lot by publishing all these assumptions and suggestions regarding horrible regulation. The KYCing of sender and receiver is indeed outrageous. They said in the EU that you soon need to KYC any address that sends crypto to your exchange account address. But that comes with lots of bureaucracy as well not only on behalf of the exchanges, but also on behalf of the government and more precisely the judicial system when it comes to arbitration in edge cases.
Interesting times ahead of us and I hope that time also plays into our cards in the way that more and more politicians from the Stone Age retire and a younger, more digital and technology affine generation has a say.