For a bitcoin to become $1million worth, do you know how much money has to flood into the market? There's not enough money in the world for that to happen. Unless the gov't around world pumps out paper money at incredible amount, and you all know what happens, right
Tldr; It's a pure fiction that a bitcoin will cost $1million. Not gonna happen. Never. Nada.
That is not true actually... Only if you count derivatives, you get 630 trillions, which divided by 23 Mln would mean 27mln per bitcoins.
In any case, the value of the money in the world is 63 tn, which, if it was all going to BC, would make it worth 3.6 Mln. So, if BC manages to get just a 25% of money market could be worth 1Mn.
If on the other hand we can steal all the gold market, it would make each BC valued at 350k.
So... 1Mn is possible, alas quite hard
Source:
http://money.visualcapitalist.com/all-of-the-worlds-money-and-markets-in-one-visualization/$630 Trillions of derivatives are not WORTH $630 Trillions. Th that's just a number on a paper. I can issue you a note with $630 Trillion written on it, but is it really worth $630 Trillions? Nobody in his right mind would think it is.
For a bitcoin to be worth $1 million, the total market cap has to be
$210,000,000,000,000. Now you tell me where are all these money going to come from?
You have 1 too many zeroes there. It's 21,000,000,000,000. The market cap of gold is over a third of that. But you can't readily send gold around the internet to buy things or to send money to people. Bitcoin is like gold in that it has pros as gold (store of value, hedge against bad economic times and inflation) but can be used to buy things or send money to people quickly and cheaply, which makes bitcoin much much more useful than gold as a commodity. So bitcoin one day having a market cap triple that of gold is certainly possible.
Indeed.... I stand corrected (but also talks cheap
)
I see gold losing ground if bitcoin becomes more 'regulated', though not sure to which degree. I really think nobody wants to deal with gold if they can, it is seriously a pain.
All in all, if BC takes a good chunk of gold and a good chunk of currencies space, and a good chunk of stocks trading (really that is the way it is moving, alas less in the currency space) 1Mn is not impossible (but unlikely in my lifespan I think)
Yeah definitely the main thing pushing bitcoin adoption right now is that it is used like a stock - an appreciating asset to invest in. And that's perfectly fine, quite frankly it wouldn't be getting adopted otherwise. And yeah likely it will siphon off part of gold's market cap, as well as when new (young) investors are looking for a hedge against bad times rather than choosing gold like people used to they will mostly choose bitcoin, making bitcoin the gold for the current generation. Currency is the last thing that is going to come because it requires a somewhat stable value, and that can only happen when the world has embraced bitcoin on a mass market scale. Until then its just gonna be too volatile.
Anyways, these three things means I think bitcoin definitely can reach a million dollars, though of course it isn't assured. I think it wouldn't take too long, maybe 20 years. I expect it to hit $100k in 5 years, maybe $500k in 2030...1 million could happen in the late 30s, if bitcoin is the dominant crypto still and nothing has come along to replace cryptos.