If Bitcoin XT is launched it will become the dominant one.
No pool, no exchange, no business or no person will keep any substantial amount of coins in any wallet which is outdated.
Further more as soon as the XT client is released, there will be an immediate fear of accepting any coin that was generated "post split".
This debate is moot.
Fine. You keep preemptively asserting GavinCoin's flawless victory, and I'll keep xposting this:
Gavin has already lost this tug of war.
His inability to accept a consensus he disagrees with has been exposed. His managerial incompetence and duplicity, in the form of spawning XT in spooky/smokey VC backroom deals with no warning on the normal channels, have been confirmed.
The Gavinista coup is DOA. They just don't know it yet.
No effective strategy or device exists to counter Mircea's 'GavinCoin Short' WMD:
http://qntra.net/2015/01/the-hard-fork-missile-crisis/As the Giga-blockchain and main-blockchain continue to grow from the fork, those actively attacking the Giga-Blockchain will create many transactions that allow their main-blockchain coins to duplicate over to the Giga-blockchain while remaining safely on the main-blockchain. The transactions that succeed can then be used to acquire more main-blockchain coins upon which the cycle repeats. Eventually the blockchain with the most financial resources behind it will continue to grow at a faster pace, while the other slowly, and eventually stops growing altogether.
It will be impossible for the Giga-chain to keep 1:1 parity with the main chain from which it forks, they contain different transaction, although some may overlap. Here a user broadcasts a transaction with inputs originating on the Main-chain, and is eventually included in a block on the Giga-chain, but not on the Main-chain. The coin is essentially duplicated onto both chains.
Those siding with the wrong chain who end up accepting duplicated transactions from the other chain, such as a purchase from an exchange running on the losing blockchain, will lose those coins when the dust settles. No war is without casulties, the Great Blockchain Civil War will be no different.
It is by Lord Satoshi's sublime design Bitcoin grants all possible advantages to its defenders, and places all possible economic and technical burdens on attackers.
"Fake version stamps" are just one option available to Mircea and other anti-20mb counterrevolutionaries.
It's adorable how sweet, innocent CIYAM, etc. assume both sides will not try to rig the voting. But we're going to see Sun Tzu's warfare by deception, in spades.
Like Pinochet, Mircea has the expertise, motivation, and resources needed to "disappear" Gavinista insurgents until they give up and stop forking around.