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Topic: [2013-12-15] TheAtlantic - Why Bitcoin will never be a Currency - in 2 Charts (Read 2606 times)

hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
Anyone who has spent any time at btc-e will know that pump and dump is what most of them are attempting to do 24-7 for the last two years ....... they don't even attempt to hide it.

Many many coins aren't even on btc-e, but still violent volatility.

As far as I understand my argument on the beauty of owning something whole vs owning a fraction of that is a little above your understanding. I'll leave it at that then, not much else to add here.

Your attempts at condescension are pathetic. I get your "argument". I just don't agree with it. Get over it.
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
Anyone who has spent any time at btc-e will know that pump and dump is what most of them are attempting to do 24-7 for the last two years ....... they don't even attempt to hide it.

Many many coins aren't even on btc-e, but still violent volatility.

As far as I understand my argument on the beauty of owning something whole vs owning a fraction of that is a little above your understanding. I'll leave it at that then, not much else to add here.
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
Really? You can prove the recent rise in altcoins is attributable to us not converting to mBTC? Got any evidence? Ever thought there may be other reasons. Diversifying risk? Supremely skilled pump and dump artists?

What does converting to mBTC have to do with anything? People aren't that stupid not to understand that 110 mBTC is still = 0.11 BTC, it's not a whole BTC Smiley They want to own a whole BTC, but many only got a hundred bucks to spend. So what do they do? Go for an alt-coin, you still can buy 3 full litecoins for example with that money, and feel good about yourself that you own something as a whole. That's one of the reasons.

Diversifying risk too of course, but that's when you're already into bitcoins. For newcomers they'd first consider bitcoins as it's the first one they hear about. And when bitcoin becomes absolutely unaffordable for most (somewhere past $5k), that's when alt-coins really take off, although they've already been taking off in the past 1-2 months relative to bitcoin.

Pump and dump is not unique to alt-coins, it happens in bitcoin too, just with less volatility, since it takes more efforts to move the bitcoin price.

Anyone who has spent any time at btc-e will know that pump and dump is what most of them are attempting to do 24-7 for the last two years ....... they don't even attempt to hide it.
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
Really? You can prove the recent rise in altcoins is attributable to us not converting to mBTC? Got any evidence? Ever thought there may be other reasons. Diversifying risk? Supremely skilled pump and dump artists?

What does converting to mBTC have to do with anything? People aren't that stupid not to understand that 110 mBTC is still = 0.11 BTC, it's not a whole BTC Smiley They want to own a whole BTC, but many only got a hundred bucks to spend. So what do they do? Go for an alt-coin, you still can buy 3 full litecoins for example with that money, and feel good about yourself that you own something as a whole. That's one of the reasons.

Diversifying risk too of course, but that's when you're already into bitcoins. For newcomers they'd first consider bitcoins as it's the first one they hear about. And when bitcoin becomes absolutely unaffordable for most (somewhere past $5k), that's when alt-coins really take off, although they've already been taking off in the past 1-2 months relative to bitcoin.

Pump and dump is not unique to alt-coins, it happens in bitcoin too, just with less volatility, since it takes more efforts to move the bitcoin price.
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
Oh no. Not that "we need more bitcoins" stuff again. They are divisible, down to 8 decimal points. Which could be increased in the future. What's so difficult to grasp here?

I didn't say we need more of something. I said that's the way things work in the world. People copy inventions, because they don't want to pay hefty sums for the original invention, since it's too rare. What's so difficult to grasp here?

Many people can shell out a hundred bucks to try it out, but what would that buy them? 0.11 bitcoin? Not even 1 whole bitcoin. That's why they spend it on alt-coins. Why do you think alt-coins have been rising fast recently? People don't care that bitcoin is divisible. It's psychology, they want to own something whole, not part of it. And if they can own a whole coin, but just a different brand, they go for that brand. Not all of them, but still enough of them, for the value of the original invention to dilute. Human psychology is both simple and hard to understand.

Really? You can prove the recent rise in altcoins is attributable to us not converting to mBTC? Got any evidence? Ever thought there may be other reasons. Diversifying risk? Supremely skilled pump and dump artists?
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
Oh no. Not that "we need more bitcoins" stuff again. They are divisible, down to 8 decimal points. Which could be increased in the future. What's so difficult to grasp here?

I didn't say we need more of something. I said that's the way things work in the world. People copy inventions, because they don't want to pay hefty sums for the original invention, since it's too rare. What's so difficult to grasp here?

Many people can shell out a hundred bucks to try it out, but what would that buy them? 0.11 bitcoin? Not even 1 whole bitcoin. That's why they spend it on alt-coins. Why do you think alt-coins have been rising fast recently? People don't care that bitcoin is divisible. It's psychology, they want to own something whole, not part of it. And if they can own a whole coin, but just a different brand, they go for that brand. Not all of them, but still enough of them, for the value of the original invention to dilute. Human psychology is both simple and hard to understand.
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1003
The top comments on all of these articles are always pro-bitcoin; so long as this remains the norm, I'm happy.

Naysayer's gonna say nay Cool

Quote
So who's the perfect person to run Bitcoin? It'd have to be someone with central banking experience. Someone who understands why deflation is a problem. And someone who thinks virtual currencies hold promise. Someone like ... Ben Bernanke.

And in the end, it was just a troll article Undecided  Someone paid this guy good.
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
For the record, there is already a central bank in bitcoin, it's just it's decentralized. It's called alt-coins Grin People 'print' as many brands of coins as they want, other people choose to take a share. The value of bitcoins is thus diluted into alt-coins. Is this good or bad? This is just the way it is. It's been like that with any invention, people copy inventions, sometimes blindly, sometimes making them better, but regardless of that the value of the original invention is diluted. So, the value of bitcoin is already somewhat stabilizing, as people choose not to pour all their money into just bitcoins, but a portion into others. With time it'll be even more obvious. The s-curve of the bitcoin growth will be getting flatter with time. Of course, it's still way off from now, but there are already signs of this.

It looks like people want at least 1 whole bitcoin, and many can't afford that, and with time it'll be even more so, so they buy alt-coins. Nothing you can do about human psychology here. Owning a fraction of something just doesn't look attractive to people, making them feel like losers, no matter how divisible bitcoins are, etc. Satoshi should have fixed the supply at 1 bln at least, then the chances of bitcoin being the only one for a longer time would be higher.

Oh no. Not that "we need more bitcoins" stuff again. They are divisible, down to 8 decimal points. Which could be increased in the future. What's so difficult to grasp here?
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
For the record, there is already a central bank in bitcoin, it's just it's decentralized. It's called alt-coins Grin People 'print' as many brands of coins as they want, other people choose to take a share. The value of bitcoins is thus diluted into alt-coins. Is this good or bad? This is just the way it is. It's been like that with any invention, people copy inventions, sometimes blindly, sometimes making them better, but regardless of that the value of the original invention is diluted. So, the value of bitcoin is already somewhat stabilizing, as people choose not to pour all their money into just bitcoins, but a portion into others. With time it'll be even more obvious. The s-curve of the bitcoin growth will be getting flatter with time. Of course, it's still way off from now, but there are already signs of this.

It looks like people want at least 1 whole bitcoin, and many can't afford that, and with time it'll be even more so, so they buy alt-coins. Nothing you can do about human psychology here. Owning a fraction of something just doesn't look attractive to people, making them feel like losers, no matter how divisible bitcoins are, etc. Satoshi should have fixed the supply at 1 bln at least, then the chances of bitcoin being the only one for a longer time would be higher.
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
If deflation turns out to be a bad thing, then people can simply upgrade their client to bitcoin version xx where the 21mil limit is removed and block rewards continue forever.

It will never be removed. Dream on.

I also find it unlikely, but it will be whatever the majority wants.

True enough. But the bitcoin network is built on trust and trust alone, shaky ground to begin with because trust is rarely regained if lost. If you promise from the start there will only ever be 21M coins and then change that, the trust ends. If you start increasing, where do you end? 30M, 100M, 20 billion, infinity? Just leave it at 21M. There's enough issues with bitcoin without messing with the fundamentals.
legendary
Activity: 1190
Merit: 1001
If deflation turns out to be a bad thing, then people can simply upgrade their client to bitcoin version xx where the 21mil limit is removed and block rewards continue forever.

It will never be removed. Dream on.

I also find it unlikely, but it will be whatever the majority wants.
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
If deflation turns out to be a bad thing, then people can simply upgrade their client to bitcoin version xx where the 21mil limit is removed and block rewards continue forever.

It will never be removed. Dream on.
legendary
Activity: 1190
Merit: 1001
If deflation turns out to be a bad thing, then people can simply upgrade their client to bitcoin version xx where the 21mil limit is removed and block rewards continue forever.
legendary
Activity: 1946
Merit: 1006
Bitcoin / Crypto mining Hardware.
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
Shock horror - another stupid article from a "journalist"

Of course people will spend bitcoins - any time the price is stable or going down they will spend, spend, spend
member
Activity: 76
Merit: 10
...and the BitcoinKid
It will work , but only in the context of having other currencies to instantly convert it to.

I genuinely feel that deflationary currencies like bitcoin are like the author says, something people really really don't want to spend. I've spent a few and now realize that at the time I spent 5k future dollars on a phone or something. Having learned from this, I'm now very apprehensive to ever sell them.

However I am also hesitant to get rid of my inflationary money too....So....I actually take this all back. Cheesy

As the price per BTC has risen I actually use more.   I think you are right.   This is likely the more common occurrence.   Goat just bought a Lambo and while I am sure he has plenty more BTC this is probably more representative of the behavior we can expect.   Higher it goes the more people use it!


people tend to think that as the price increases, so does the stability as it would take much greater and greater amount of fiat to affect (or manipulate) the price.  Would the danger then be from those holders of massive amounts of coins, who could decide to dump their bitcoin load and send the price plummeting into the fiery pits of damnation?  I wonder if there are any economic simulators where you can plug in certain values (ie. bitcoinesque parameters) to test liquidity and volatility in a free market economy.  That'd be delicious
newbie
Activity: 28
Merit: 0
Funny math inside:

"You can see that in the chart below from Jason Kuznicki, which looks at the dollar value of all bitcoin transactions each day divided by the dollar value of all bitcoins each day"

Isn't it just amount of BTC daily  by all BTC ? Smiley What for to mess with dollar - those nowadays mathematics ...

Not worth reading.

full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
It will work , but only in the context of having other currencies to instantly convert it to.

I genuinely feel that deflationary currencies like bitcoin are like the author says, something people really really don't want to spend. I've spent a few and now realize that at the time I spent 5k future dollars on a phone or something. Having learned from this, I'm now very apprehensive to ever sell them.

However I am also hesitant to get rid of my inflationary money too....So....I actually take this all back. Cheesy

As the price per BTC has risen I actually use more.   I think you are right.   This is likely the more common occurrence.   Goat just bought a Lambo and while I am sure he has plenty more BTC this is probably more representative of the behavior we can expect.   Higher it goes the more people use it!
member
Activity: 76
Merit: 10
...and the BitcoinKid
this article is really stupid, I don't even understand how people can write shit like this.

Bitcoin, the virtual currency you can theoretically use to buy things online. >> you can already buy things, not only online.
But prices aren't set in terms of Bitcoin. They're set in terms of dollars. >> service aren't, good are because they seller use FIAT to buy them I guess
Why spend bitcoins today when they might be worth much more tomorrow? The only reason would be to buy or do things online that you can't buy or do with dollars (or euros or yuan)—something illegal. >> they guy is a genius, I think this is the first time I read this..

Quote
What Bitcoin really needs is a central bank to stabilize its value. When the demand for Bitcoin goes up, they need to print more to keep it from skyrocketing. That is, they need to decide whether they want Bitcoin to be a Ponzi scheme for techno-libertarians or an actual medium of exchange.

seriously?

right, and with that they kill one of bitcoins' main purposes -- taking the fate of our money, economy and status quo out of the hands of the easily corruptible and putting it into the hands of mathematical elegance.  Whether bitcoin's particular design has that ability has yet to be seen, but that's always as reparable as a software update, correct?  I like the idea that in order for a major change in the bitcoin software/protocol, 81% of the clients have to accept an update.  If that's not the definition of a true democracy, I don't know what is.
hero member
Activity: 552
Merit: 501
Oh come on everybody. Where are your senses of humour?  He's JOKING.

(Isn't he? ..... )
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