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Topic: [2014-01-02] CoinDesk : 56% of Bitcoiners Believe Bitcoin Will Reach $10000 (Read 2017 times)

hero member
Activity: 588
Merit: 500
I think that price is too high but of course you can't predict the BTC price.   just few months ago it was at less than a hundred and considered High and in 7 days it jumped to the $1000 level.
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 1217
a poll is one thing, but putting your money where you mouth is (a futures/prediction market) has more meaning to me.

I used to take part in Bitcoin futures trading in BTCT. After the site closed down I quit. Are there any other reliable options?
legendary
Activity: 2114
Merit: 1031
I forgot what the speculation forum is like... so many statements here with very little substance or analysis or support for time tables, reasons, etc.

While we're at it, I'll throw my vote for $2,500 per BTC.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
a poll is one thing, but putting your money where you mouth is (a futures/prediction market) has more meaning to me.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1001
Any gain is fine by me.

It looks like this year is when Bitcoin starts to make the tentative leap from a market effectively sustained by enthusiasts towards established players.

This is a vast chasm to cross and it's where things might falter as it's still a dot in the financial landscape and I'll wager that the major money will only take it seriously if it becomes much, much larger.

It'll take a few fringe elements of institutional investment to get the ball rolling and then we might see growth that'll blow plenty of minds.

The one thing I am confident of is that there'll be some very surprising news stories arriving on an ever more regular basis.

Here is my irrational claim - if Bitcoin doesn't reach ten grand this year then it never will.





You are probably right about that!
legendary
Activity: 2590
Merit: 3015
Welt Am Draht
Any gain is fine by me.

It looks like this year is when Bitcoin starts to make the tentative leap from a market effectively sustained by enthusiasts towards established players.

This is a vast chasm to cross and it's where things might falter as it's still a dot in the financial landscape and I'll wager that the major money will only take it seriously if it becomes much, much larger.

It'll take a few fringe elements of institutional investment to get the ball rolling and then we might see growth that'll blow plenty of minds.

The one thing I am confident of is that there'll be some very surprising news stories arriving on an ever more regular basis.

Here is my irrational claim - if Bitcoin doesn't reach ten grand this year then it never will.



sr. member
Activity: 278
Merit: 251
According to certain charts, it will reach 10k in May. 100k in August.

Those rascally certain charts!
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
According to certain charts, it will reach 10k in May. 100k in August.
newbie
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
What's the point of this poll?
Coindesk readers are permabulls!

From a contrarian point of view, majority seldom or never gets it right.

This is so true ... so we have two options, bitcoin is going to end up about where it is or lower ... or it will go much higher than majority is thinking, so $20-50k seems like a good outside contrarian bet?

Not really, a third and, in my opinion, a more probable option is the price will go up, but not reach $10k, could reach $3-5k too, that's not bad either. The reason for that is, people will be more diversifying into alt-coins, and the capital flow into bitcoin will not be as fast.

I agree with you, it won't reach $10k anywhere in the world, it will grow in a few bubbles with peaks of $3k
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 1217
This is roughly my line of thinking also.  I believe we will see another spike Feb/March, and a settling around ~$1500 for the a while after that.  Until something major happens...

Do you have any reasons to think that there will be a spike in Feb / March? I think that BTC will be stable at current levels for sometime, before moving to 2,000+ in the next spike.  Grin
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
I think Bitcoin Will Reach $2000 this year and would stabilize around $1400-1600.

This is roughly my line of thinking also.  I believe we will see another spike Feb/March, and a settling around ~$1500 for the a while after that.  Until something major happens...
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
I think Bitcoin Will Reach $2000 this year and would stabilize around $1400-1600.
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
From a contrarian point of view, majority seldom or never gets it right.

This is so true ... so we have two options, bitcoin is going to end up about where it is or lower ... or it will go much higher than majority is thinking, so $20-50k seems like a good outside contrarian bet?

Not really, a third and, in my opinion, a more probable option is the price will go up, but not reach $10k, could reach $3-5k too, that's not bad either. The reason for that is, people will be more diversifying into alt-coins, and the capital flow into bitcoin will not be as fast.
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1000
Whenever they release these bullshit polls always check the amount of people that actually took part, often they'll either keep the real numbers behind the polls hidden or it will be a very low number that actually took part and they've gone and targeted a specific group of people that will give them the answers the journalist in question wants rather than actually doing any kind of proper research.
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
I don't know, but I would say even if Bitcoin really gets to $10000, at least 56% of the people out there will still believe it's a scam and it will crash to zero because it has no "intrinsic value".

Soon the value will show itself.  Once large corporations start saving thousands of dollars, as well as time, sending business payments Internationally the intrinsic value for that one thing will sustain Bitcoin.

I just read another article today which shows the intrinsic value for "digitizing trust" as it was put.  http://www.coindesk.com/wall-street-analysts-bitcoin-revolutionise-non-financial-world

The value of BTC is beyond what we can even see right now.  Sure we are in a mostly speculative state, but it is an "educated" speculation.  Most of us have valid reasons for investing as much as we have into it because we see beyond the price that it is right now and realize that there is huge potential in this.  

That said, the price will remain volatile for some time but I think "zero" is a bit exaggerated. Wink

You misunderstood me.
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349
Eadem mutata resurgo
Quote
That said, the price will remain volatile for some time but I think "zero" is a bit exaggerated.

... most definitely it will end in a zero .... just how many zeros is the question !
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1001
I don't know, but I would say even if Bitcoin really gets to $10000, at least 56% of the people out there will still believe it's a scam and it will crash to zero because it has no "intrinsic value".

Soon the value will show itself.  Once large corporations start saving thousands of dollars, as well as time, sending business payments Internationally the intrinsic value for that one thing will sustain Bitcoin.

I just read another article today which shows the intrinsic value for "digitizing trust" as it was put.  http://www.coindesk.com/wall-street-analysts-bitcoin-revolutionise-non-financial-world

The value of BTC is beyond what we can even see right now.  Sure we are in a mostly speculative state, but it is an "educated" speculation.  Most of us have valid reasons for investing as much as we have into it because we see beyond the price that it is right now and realize that there is huge potential in this.  

That said, the price will remain volatile for some time but I think "zero" is a bit exaggerated. Wink
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
I don't know, but I would say even if Bitcoin really gets to $10000, at least 56% of the people out there will still believe it's a scam and it will crash to zero because it has no "intrinsic value".
legendary
Activity: 2114
Merit: 1031
Not really surprising, I mean - they are asking people who are personally vested in Bitcoin if it will do well. I think it will be just fine of course, but I had to comment on the sillyness of this poll. Sure they're going to say higher, hardly anyone ever says "This is the year of the slide back to $100".

This is the year of the slide back to $100.


I see this as very possible.  Especially once all of the great bitcoin tools realizehow easy it is to put litecoin & ppc into use.

My question is what should the market cap of all cryptocurencies be?

I'm totally pro bitcoin, but I'm shocked by current prices & don't know whether $10k per btc is good or bad for 2014.

I'm thinking probably good, but Idont believe the answer is a slam dunk.

Put another way: why do I need bitcoin  to be $10k each for it to be useful

Or how is bitcoin adopted more when its value is higher?
legendary
Activity: 2114
Merit: 1031
Not really surprising, I mean - they are asking people who are personally vested in Bitcoin if it will do well. I think it will be just fine of course, but I had to comment on the sillyness of this poll. Sure they're going to say higher, hardly anyone ever says "This is the year of the slide back to $100".

This is the year of the slide back to $100.


I see this as very possible.  Especially once all of the great bitcoin tools realizehow easy it is to put litecoin & ppc into use.

My question is what should the market cap of all cryptocurencies be?

I'm totally pro bitcoin, but I'm shocked by current prices & don't know whether $10k per btc is good or bad for 2014.

I'm thinking probably good, but Idont believe the answer is a slam dunk.
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