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Topic: [2014-05-19] Winklevoss Bros: Bitcoin Will be Bigger than Facebook (Read 1387 times)

member
Activity: 71
Merit: 10
I for one hope they end up being right  Grin
hero member
Activity: 807
Merit: 500
If a bit company launched an altcoin, we'd assume that the source would be released. Wouldn't this be enough to ensure that it's safe? I'm sure multiple people would fully evaluate the code and create safe versions (read: versions we trust, by trusted members of the community).
Have you heard about heartbleed? That showed us, that code is not safe, just because it is open.
Now imagine some specialists, who really try to hide a backdoor. It is way easier to build in hidden backdoor camouflaged as a bug, than to find it.
If some years later somebody finds out about that backdoor, they just say "Sorry, it was a bug"

In that case we might as well assume that Bitcoin is also bugged and is ready to be exploited at any moment by Satoshi. At the end of the day, there are no guarantees. Worrying about it, when there are people that can work to at least try to keep it from happening, is meaningless. There are far worse things to spend time worrying about.
The benefit about the bitcoin-Protocoll is, that it is old enough to have a some degree of certainity that a big bug would already have been found.

But you brought up SSL. SSL has been around a hell of a lot longer than Bitcoin and was still exploited. Not to mention there are millions more people that utilize SSL and have read over its code than Bitcoin.
The heartbleed bug has not been around as long as bitcoin has.  If that specific example magically means all bugs can hide for exactly that long (which it clearly doesn't), then a malicious "bug" in bitcoin clearly wasn't planted by satoshi at this point.  Regardless, while this whole discussion has gotten pointless, your logic fails.
legendary
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1007
If a bit company launched an altcoin, we'd assume that the source would be released. Wouldn't this be enough to ensure that it's safe? I'm sure multiple people would fully evaluate the code and create safe versions (read: versions we trust, by trusted members of the community).
Have you heard about heartbleed? That showed us, that code is not safe, just because it is open.
Now imagine some specialists, who really try to hide a backdoor. It is way easier to build in hidden backdoor camouflaged as a bug, than to find it.
If some years later somebody finds out about that backdoor, they just say "Sorry, it was a bug"

In that case we might as well assume that Bitcoin is also bugged and is ready to be exploited at any moment by Satoshi. At the end of the day, there are no guarantees. Worrying about it, when there are people that can work to at least try to keep it from happening, is meaningless. There are far worse things to spend time worrying about.
The benefit about the bitcoin-Protocoll is, that it is old enough to have a some degree of certainity that a big bug would already have been found.

But you brought up SSL. SSL has been around a hell of a lot longer than Bitcoin and was still exploited. Not to mention there are millions more people that utilize SSL and have read over its code than Bitcoin.
newbie
Activity: 54
Merit: 0
IMO, Bitcoin will be bigger than facebook only if it becomes legalized worldwide
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 1217
This is true, though I think Cryptsy is trying to bridge that gap. How successful it'll be is anyone's guess, and I'd still say that even with direct altcoin<->fiat conversions, they are still going to be tied to Bitcoin as it's the "go-to" currency.

Cryptsy is a very small and relatively unknown exchange with limited geographical coverage. This will create enormous challenges to anyone who is seriously interested in using the altcoins.
full member
Activity: 176
Merit: 100
I hope they're right, but I'm not so sure it will be bigger than facebook, but it has the potential for sure.
hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 500
If a bit company launched an altcoin, we'd assume that the source would be released. Wouldn't this be enough to ensure that it's safe? I'm sure multiple people would fully evaluate the code and create safe versions (read: versions we trust, by trusted members of the community).
Have you heard about heartbleed? That showed us, that code is not safe, just because it is open.
Now imagine some specialists, who really try to hide a backdoor. It is way easier to build in hidden backdoor camouflaged as a bug, than to find it.
If some years later somebody finds out about that backdoor, they just say "Sorry, it was a bug"

In that case we might as well assume that Bitcoin is also bugged and is ready to be exploited at any moment by Satoshi. At the end of the day, there are no guarantees. Worrying about it, when there are people that can work to at least try to keep it from happening, is meaningless. There are far worse things to spend time worrying about.
The benefit about the bitcoin-Protocoll is, that it is old enough to have a some degree of certainity that a big bug would already have been found.
legendary
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1007
If a bit company launched an altcoin, we'd assume that the source would be released. Wouldn't this be enough to ensure that it's safe? I'm sure multiple people would fully evaluate the code and create safe versions (read: versions we trust, by trusted members of the community).
Have you heard about heartbleed? That showed us, that code is not safe, just because it is open.
Now imagine some specialists, who really try to hide a backdoor. It is way easier to build in hidden backdoor camouflaged as a bug, than to find it.
If some years later somebody finds out about that backdoor, they just say "Sorry, it was a bug"

In that case we might as well assume that Bitcoin is also bugged and is ready to be exploited at any moment by Satoshi. At the end of the day, there are no guarantees. Worrying about it, when there are people that can work to at least try to keep it from happening, is meaningless. There are far worse things to spend time worrying about.
hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 500
If a bit company launched an altcoin, we'd assume that the source would be released. Wouldn't this be enough to ensure that it's safe? I'm sure multiple people would fully evaluate the code and create safe versions (read: versions we trust, by trusted members of the community).
Have you heard about heartbleed? That showed us, that code is not safe, just because it is open.
Now imagine some specialists, who really try to hide a backdoor. It is way easier to build in hidden backdoor camouflaged as a bug, than to find it.
If some years later somebody finds out about that backdoor, they just say "Sorry, it was a bug"
legendary
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1007
This is a huge part of why Bitcoin is going to be far ahead of the rest for the time being. The other way to look at it, though, is that any service that accepts Bitcoin could just as easily swap to any other coin since they are all essentially the same (in terms of transfers).

Another point to remember here is that all these altcoins (perhaps with the exception of Litecoin and Namecoin) are exchanged for Bitcoin only. Alt-coin to fiat exchanges don't exist in most cases.

This is true, though I think Cryptsy is trying to bridge that gap. How successful it'll be is anyone's guess, and I'd still say that even with direct altcoin<->fiat conversions, they are still going to be tied to Bitcoin as it's the "go-to" currency.
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 1217
This is a huge part of why Bitcoin is going to be far ahead of the rest for the time being. The other way to look at it, though, is that any service that accepts Bitcoin could just as easily swap to any other coin since they are all essentially the same (in terms of transfers).

Another point to remember here is that all these altcoins (perhaps with the exception of Litecoin and Namecoin) are exchanged for Bitcoin only. Alt-coin to fiat exchanges don't exist in most cases.
legendary
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1007
I wouldn't go for this option. If you chose some worthless altcoin over Bitcoin, then in case the adoption fails, you will be left with nothing. And moreover, people would be hesitant to use altcoins in the first place, as they don't have the reputation which Bitcoin possess.

The adoption of any particular altcoin would multiply several fold if it's adoped by Facebook as currency of choice. They have millions of users, I don't see how adoption can fail. Just ask yourself. If tomorrow there is an official annoucement that Facebook starts using X altcoin as its own currency, wouldn't you buy it? I would buy both hands, and I don't even use Facebook. Not to mention millions of users of Facebook, who would be buying it to conduct their Facebook business. With huge adoption comes high prices and strong mining network. Seems like a no brainer. But I think, the most likely scenario is Facebook will not use any crypto currency, they'll just use their own centralized tokens, purchased for fiat.
Sure, the Price of the Chosen altcoin would go up in the short-term, but that doesn't say much about the Long-term. If the purpose of an altcoin is just to use it on Facebook, why would anybody use it? There is already Facebook-Money(I even saw giftcards in a grocery store, besides giftcards for Amazon)

Not only this, but why would Facebook even take it? They have their own form of money already. The only way they'd think about things like altcoins is if there is enough benefit to them. And then why not just launch their own altcoin?
I don't think, that a cryptocurrency from a big international Company would have much success. The whole Point of cryptocurrency is to take Money out of the control of single entities. If a big Company launches an altcoin they might  put a backdoor somewhere in the code. I wouldn't trust them, and with all the NSA-stuff currently going on, I am for sure not the only one, who thinks so.

If a bit company launched an altcoin, we'd assume that the source would be released. Wouldn't this be enough to ensure that it's safe? I'm sure multiple people would fully evaluate the code and create safe versions (read: versions we trust, by trusted members of the community).
hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 500
I wouldn't go for this option. If you chose some worthless altcoin over Bitcoin, then in case the adoption fails, you will be left with nothing. And moreover, people would be hesitant to use altcoins in the first place, as they don't have the reputation which Bitcoin possess.

The adoption of any particular altcoin would multiply several fold if it's adoped by Facebook as currency of choice. They have millions of users, I don't see how adoption can fail. Just ask yourself. If tomorrow there is an official annoucement that Facebook starts using X altcoin as its own currency, wouldn't you buy it? I would buy both hands, and I don't even use Facebook. Not to mention millions of users of Facebook, who would be buying it to conduct their Facebook business. With huge adoption comes high prices and strong mining network. Seems like a no brainer. But I think, the most likely scenario is Facebook will not use any crypto currency, they'll just use their own centralized tokens, purchased for fiat.
Sure, the Price of the Chosen altcoin would go up in the short-term, but that doesn't say much about the Long-term. If the purpose of an altcoin is just to use it on Facebook, why would anybody use it? There is already Facebook-Money(I even saw giftcards in a grocery store, besides giftcards for Amazon)

Not only this, but why would Facebook even take it? They have their own form of money already. The only way they'd think about things like altcoins is if there is enough benefit to them. And then why not just launch their own altcoin?
I don't think, that a cryptocurrency from a big international Company would have much success. The whole Point of cryptocurrency is to take Money out of the control of single entities. If a big Company launches an altcoin they might  put a backdoor somewhere in the code. I wouldn't trust them, and with all the NSA-stuff currently going on, I am for sure not the only one, who thinks so.
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 260
Go pile into altcoins then ,hope you get lucky Grin

The Bitcoin infrastructure is vital,as any coin being selected for any major adoption will require to have proven over time it's interactions,it's all about networking my friend. No alt will be selected by any merchant before Bitcoin  for those very reasons,too much negative risk and the savvy marketing guys know that. They aren't going for broke on the belief a shity alt will make them rich,they are after more use of their service and the more integration of other networks will bring them the rewards. That will make the the company profits,not a get rich scheme of buying up alt coins, You misunderstand how unprofessional that would be to a company like Facebook

Here is my approach to crypto investing

I don't pile into one single anything, I prefer to diversify.

Accepting any alt for a merchant is no harder than accepting bitcoin with companies like coinpayments and moolah that make it easy to accept several different cryptos and convert them to fiat for a merchant on the fly. Merchants need fiat to pay their suppliers and employees.
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 260
Sure, the Price of the Chosen altcoin would go up in the short-term, but that doesn't say much about the Long-term. If the purpose of an altcoin is just to use it on Facebook, why would anybody use it? There is already Facebook-Money(I even saw giftcards in a grocery store, besides giftcards for Amazon)

Bitcoin is not a sure thing long term either if you think rationally.

Oh, Facebook already has their own money? I had no idea. Why would it need any crypto? Like I said the most likely approach for them is to issue their own tokens, which they already did, you say. Case closed.

Not only this, but why would Facebook even take it? They have their own form of money already. The only way they'd think about things like altcoins is if there is enough benefit to them. And then why not just launch their own altcoin?

Exactly. I don't follow Facebook and didn't know they already had their own tokens. They don't need crypto currencies to make maximum profit from their userbase. Crypto currencies wouldn't make any difference for them, bitcoin or alts.
legendary
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1007
I wouldn't go for this option. If you chose some worthless altcoin over Bitcoin, then in case the adoption fails, you will be left with nothing. And moreover, people would be hesitant to use altcoins in the first place, as they don't have the reputation which Bitcoin possess.

The adoption of any particular altcoin would multiply several fold if it's adoped by Facebook as currency of choice. They have millions of users, I don't see how adoption can fail. Just ask yourself. If tomorrow there is an official annoucement that Facebook starts using X altcoin as its own currency, wouldn't you buy it? I would buy both hands, and I don't even use Facebook. Not to mention millions of users of Facebook, who would be buying it to conduct their Facebook business. With huge adoption comes high prices and strong mining network. Seems like a no brainer. But I think, the most likely scenario is Facebook will not use any crypto currency, they'll just use their own centralized tokens, purchased for fiat.
Sure, the Price of the Chosen altcoin would go up in the short-term, but that doesn't say much about the Long-term. If the purpose of an altcoin is just to use it on Facebook, why would anybody use it? There is already Facebook-Money(I even saw giftcards in a grocery store, besides giftcards for Amazon)

Not only this, but why would Facebook even take it? They have their own form of money already. The only way they'd think about things like altcoins is if there is enough benefit to them. And then why not just launch their own altcoin?
hero member
Activity: 722
Merit: 500
For Bitcoin, the infrastructure is in place. Exchanges, online retailers.etc. So Facebook won't have to do anything extra. That is not the case with shit-coins. They are not accepted in most of the exchanges and their trade volume is extremely low.

Facebook users don't need much infrastructure. If the sole purpose of them using a crypto currency is to buy some Facebook services (I have no idea what those might be, I don't use it), then Facebook can set up its own fiat->crypto gateway. Of course Facebook would first buy that crypto cheap off exchanges and then sell at a premium to users. At least that's the most sensible business approach. Your calling altcoins 'shitcoins' doesn't achieve anything, except demonstrates your extreme bias. Objectivity is what successful investors have to possess not to lose money. And I am sure Facebook decision makers don't lack objectivity.

Oh, and most exchanges offer altcoins trading, I don't know if you've been living under a rock recently or what. I mean, altcoin trading is everywhere. But Facebook users wouldn't have to use any exchange to get the coins if Facebook went the crypto route. You see, big companies and people behind them are all after control and power. If they see an opportunity to control and exert power, they'll use it. They can't control Bitcoin, or, let me put it this way, controlling Bitcoin would require huge capital investments. Why all that hassle if Facebook can pay a little and achieve the same and make big dividends for their share holders in the process and quick buck for their own executives.

Go pile into altcoins then ,hope you get lucky Grin

The Bitcoin infrastructure is vital,as any coin being selected for any major adoption will require to have proven over time it's interactions,it's all about networking my friend. No alt will be selected by any merchant before Bitcoin  for those very reasons,too much negative risk and the savvy marketing guys know that. They aren't going for broke on the belief a shity alt will make them rich,they are after more use of their service and the more integration of other networks will bring them the rewards. That will make the the company profits,not a get rich scheme of buying up alt coins, You misunderstand how unprofessional that would be to a company like Facebook
hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 500
I wouldn't go for this option. If you chose some worthless altcoin over Bitcoin, then in case the adoption fails, you will be left with nothing. And moreover, people would be hesitant to use altcoins in the first place, as they don't have the reputation which Bitcoin possess.

The adoption of any particular altcoin would multiply several fold if it's adoped by Facebook as currency of choice. They have millions of users, I don't see how adoption can fail. Just ask yourself. If tomorrow there is an official annoucement that Facebook starts using X altcoin as its own currency, wouldn't you buy it? I would buy both hands, and I don't even use Facebook. Not to mention millions of users of Facebook, who would be buying it to conduct their Facebook business. With huge adoption comes high prices and strong mining network. Seems like a no brainer. But I think, the most likely scenario is Facebook will not use any crypto currency, they'll just use their own centralized tokens, purchased for fiat.
Sure, the Price of the Chosen altcoin would go up in the short-term, but that doesn't say much about the Long-term. If the purpose of an altcoin is just to use it on Facebook, why would anybody use it? There is already Facebook-Money(I even saw giftcards in a grocery store, besides giftcards for Amazon)
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 260
For Bitcoin, the infrastructure is in place. Exchanges, online retailers.etc. So Facebook won't have to do anything extra. That is not the case with shit-coins. They are not accepted in most of the exchanges and their trade volume is extremely low.

Facebook users don't need much infrastructure. If the sole purpose of them using a crypto currency is to buy some Facebook services (I have no idea what those might be, I don't use it), then Facebook can set up its own fiat->crypto gateway. Of course Facebook would first buy that crypto cheap off exchanges and then sell at a premium to users. At least that's the most sensible business approach. Your calling altcoins 'shitcoins' doesn't achieve anything, except demonstrates your extreme bias. Objectivity is what successful investors have to possess not to lose money. And I am sure Facebook decision makers don't lack objectivity.

Oh, and most exchanges offer altcoins trading, I don't know if you've been living under a rock recently or what. I mean, altcoin trading is everywhere. But Facebook users wouldn't have to use any exchange to get the coins if Facebook went the crypto route. You see, big companies and people behind them are all after control and power. If they see an opportunity to control and exert power, they'll use it. They can't control Bitcoin, or, let me put it this way, controlling Bitcoin would require huge capital investments. Why all that hassle if Facebook can pay a little and achieve the same and make big dividends for their share holders in the process and quick buck for their own executives.
legendary
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1007
I outlined above why someone who makes decisions at Facebook would want to go for something undervalued.

For Bitcoin, the infrastructure is in place. Exchanges, online retailers.etc. So Facebook won't have to do anything extra. That is not the case with shit-coins. They are not accepted in most of the exchanges and their trade volume is extremely low.

This is a huge part of why Bitcoin is going to be far ahead of the rest for the time being. The other way to look at it, though, is that any service that accepts Bitcoin could just as easily swap to any other coin since they are all essentially the same (in terms of transfers).
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