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Topic: 2014: The Worst Year for BTC? - page 10. (Read 11168 times)

full member
Activity: 153
Merit: 100
September 05, 2014, 05:59:19 AM
#56
BTC gained allot of new merchants, bigger companies are starting to acknowledge it "even PayPal is saying relatively good things" so IMO it's not a bad year for BTC. Price is volatile indeed but it was less than ~1/4 this price last year.
newbie
Activity: 14
Merit: 0
September 05, 2014, 05:50:59 AM
#55
Even though we still have a few months to go until the end of 2014, chances are that this year might turn out to be the worst for BTC. By this I mean the first year so far that BTC will end up in negative territory, 2011, 2012, 2013 all ended with huge upward movements, yet this year we have fallen from January high of $900-$1000 to what we have know $475.

What does this signal in your opinion? This year has seen many breakthroughs and positive news, yet we are down more than 50% this year - unprecedented event in the history of BTC, since all the previous years ended with high gains. Does this mean that 2015 will be a huge year or is it just a small detour along the way?

What do you cryptoheads think about this phenomenon ?

Cheers,
Jay

September 4, 2013
1 BTC = $123

September 4, 2014
1 BTC = $475

That's an increase of $352 (286%) over 1 year.

It'll be interesting to see what happens in the remaining 4 months.

That's great.
Spetember 5,2014
1BTC=$488.
It is increasing and I hope end of the year it will reach $550.
full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
September 05, 2014, 05:48:24 AM
#54
Its simple big companies are accepting btc but instead of holding they sell which in return doesn't increase the price of btc. So unless big companies don't hold the btc there will be this negative effect going on :/

So what you are saying is that there is a conspiracy by "big companies" to keep the price of bitcoin down? That's way far out there in the lala land - but then again in this crazy day and age nothing is impossible.

More reasonable argument would be that the "big companies" don't hold btc because of its volatility, I mean it's not as if they are getting swiss francs - they are dealing with an financial instrument that can go 50% down or up in a matter of days if not hours. It is only reasonable that they behave in such a manner - it's called minimizing risk.

To sum it up: Your conspiracy theory about "big companies" is flawed. This has been circulating on the net for months now, and people just repeat this claim without any proof whatsoever.

Answer me one question please: If you were CEO of Amazon and you started accepting BTC as a form of payment, would you hoard it or would you change it into USD, EUR, Sterling, Swiss Franc, Gold, Silver etc ?
sr. member
Activity: 952
Merit: 281
September 05, 2014, 05:46:18 AM
#53
...we'd have to compare prices on january 1 to whatever it'll be on december 31. if i recall correctly, we started the year out in the 900's.
Yes, we can all agree how important it is to evaluate Bitcoin's performance by selecting the correct arbitrary start and end dates, which should naturally be based on the position of the earth on its revolution around the sun.

After all, one should always measure new technologies like Bitcoin by finding the oldest and least relevant technology one can think of, and applying it without thought or reason.

/sarcasm

Really, guys? I expect more intelligence from my fellow Bitcoiners. You disappoint me.

Forget the dates. Dates don't matter - study the patterns.


I dislike the 'you are here' charts.  The reality is that no one knows what is going to happen.  While there are some patterns, they never lead to accurate predictions.  And more often than not, patterns and TA is manipulated to support a trader's pre-determined mindset.

Having said that, I remain bullish for the rest of this year
legendary
Activity: 2394
Merit: 1216
The revolution will be digital
September 05, 2014, 05:41:48 AM
#52
Even though we still have a few months to go until the end of 2014, chances are that this year might turn out to be the worst for BTC. By this I mean the first year so far that BTC will end up in negative territory, 2011, 2012, 2013 all ended with huge upward movements, yet this year we have fallen from January high of $900-$1000 to what we have know $475.

What does this signal in your opinion? This year has seen many breakthroughs and positive news, yet we are down more than 50% this year - unprecedented event in the history of BTC, since all the previous years ended with high gains. Does this mean that 2015 will be a huge year or is it just a small detour along the way?

What do you cryptoheads think about this phenomenon ?

Cheers,
Jay

September 4, 2013
1 BTC = $123

September 4, 2014
1 BTC = $475

That's an increase of $352 (286%) over 1 year.

It'll be interesting to see what happens in the remaining 4 months.


From $123 it went up to $1200. So, expecting $475 will go up to $4700 too. Buy time ? Wink
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
September 05, 2014, 05:07:04 AM
#51
I think the real price of Bitcoin at this stage is 300-400 usd right now. All above that value is manipulation.

I agree with you on this one... Current value worth anywhere from 200 to 400 USD/coin.

On the basis of what? This thread is starting to veer off to speculation with these kinds of posts.

most people just throw out random predictions without backing it up by anything.

i dont think anyone can predict the real "value" of bitcoin at this point, as we are in a far to early stage...
hero member
Activity: 1666
Merit: 565
September 05, 2014, 04:17:02 AM
#50

The price is not always connect to reality: manipulation and a wrong perception of reality can really create bubbles.
I think the real price of Bitcoin at this stage is 300-400 usd right now. All above that value is manipulation.
It's a good thing. After all, it's the public deciding its value, not momentary pumps.
Adoption ps takes time, but the reward could arrive in a short time. My guess? November 2014.

for reward you mean a rise of the price?
legendary
Activity: 812
Merit: 1002
September 05, 2014, 04:13:48 AM
#49
I think the real price of Bitcoin at this stage is 300-400 usd right now. All above that value is manipulation.

I agree with you on this one... Current value worth anywhere from 200 to 400 USD/coin.

On the basis of what? This thread is starting to veer off to speculation with these kinds of posts.
legendary
Activity: 1316
Merit: 1000
September 05, 2014, 03:55:37 AM
#48
Even though we still have a few months to go until the end of 2014, chances are that this year might turn out to be the worst for BTC. By this I mean the first year so far that BTC will end up in negative territory, 2011, 2012, 2013 all ended with huge upward movements, yet this year we have fallen from January high of $900-$1000 to what we have know $475.

What does this signal in your opinion?

Its just a timing issue we dont have to break everything down by years necessarily. Why not break it down by months, days or 10 year periods?
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1218
Change is in your hands
September 05, 2014, 03:52:20 AM
#47
Its simple big companies are accepting btc but instead of holding they sell which in return doesn't increase the price of btc. So unless big companies don't hold the btc there will be this negative effect going on :/
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
https://youtu.be/PZm8TTLR2NU
September 05, 2014, 03:35:38 AM
#46
...we'd have to compare prices on january 1 to whatever it'll be on december 31. if i recall correctly, we started the year out in the 900's.
Yes, we can all agree how important it is to evaluate Bitcoin's performance by selecting the correct arbitrary start and end dates, which should naturally be based on the position of the earth on its revolution around the sun.

After all, one should always measure new technologies like Bitcoin by finding the oldest and least relevant technology one can think of, and applying it without thought or reason.

/sarcasm

Really, guys? I expect more intelligence from my fellow Bitcoiners. You disappoint me.

Forget the dates. Dates don't matter - study the patterns.

newbie
Activity: 58
Merit: 0
September 05, 2014, 02:58:26 AM
#45
I would say this year was pretty boring, but i can't call it bad.  We didn't experience any dramatical price drops, so the year was okay.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
September 04, 2014, 08:45:06 PM
#44
September 4, 2013
1 BTC = $123

September 4, 2014
1 BTC = $475

That's an increase of $352 (286%) over 1 year.

It'll be interesting to see what happens in the remaining 4 months.


I agree with DH.  This year is no worse than last when we were all worried about the drop from the 250 to 100.  Too early to close the books on the year.  However, even if BTC ends at this level it will still be a year of consolidation.  There are threats to bitcoin but it seems to keep chugging along.

we're talking about 2014 though, so we'd have to compare prices on january 1 to whatever it'll be on december 31. if i recall correctly, we started the year out in the 900's.
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1000
September 04, 2014, 05:09:35 PM
#43
September 4, 2013
1 BTC = $123

September 4, 2014
1 BTC = $475

That's an increase of $352 (286%) over 1 year.

It'll be interesting to see what happens in the remaining 4 months.


I agree with DH.  This year is no worse than last when we were all worried about the drop from the 250 to 100.  Too early to close the books on the year.  However, even if BTC ends at this level it will still be a year of consolidation.  There are threats to bitcoin but it seems to keep chugging along.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
A pumpkin mines 27 hours a night
September 04, 2014, 04:18:25 PM
#42
Are you looking at it from an economical point of view, merely a price-oriented one? Then until now yes, it doesn't look necessarily good. Also we've seen the fall of Mt. Gox - which may be a veyr bad thing or a very good thing in the long term. All in all I guess there have been many good and even great developments in the ecosystem when it comes to Bitcoin, so I wouldn't say it was a bad year per se. Also, it may still turn out great! Smiley
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 250
September 04, 2014, 03:46:05 PM
#41

The price is not always connect to reality: manipulation and a wrong perception of reality can really create bubbles.
I think the real price of Bitcoin at this stage is 300-400 usd right now. All above that value is manipulation.
It's a good thing. After all, it's the public deciding its value, not momentary pumps.
Adoption ps takes time, but the reward could arrive in a short time. My guess? November 2014.

I agree with you on this one... Current value worth anywhere from 200 to 400 USD/coin.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
September 04, 2014, 02:38:08 PM
#40
in terms of adoption, it's by far the best year for bitcoin.. i mean, we have a list of 10 really big companies that adopted bitcoin. in terms of price, no. so it just depends on your perspective.
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 1217
September 04, 2014, 02:18:15 PM
#39
I don't know why people are so impatient. Bitcoin already gave more than 10,000% gains in 2013. Why don't you wait until the end of 2014 before complaining about the returns? The Apple stock took almost 15 years to reach $700 from $20. Yet, the investors were overjoyed with the returns. Bitcoin investors need not wait for 15 years. But what about 3 years?
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1010
Ad maiora!
September 04, 2014, 01:58:49 PM
#38
Boring year, that is for sure.

I got in early enough to be quite satisfied with the value of my holdings.

If you read the news section you can see that the adoption process is happening quietly behind the scenes. It will be a while longer, but we are well on the way to seeing btc as a ubiquitous method of $transfer if not THE favoured method. Wait a few more years.
sr. member
Activity: 315
Merit: 250
September 04, 2014, 01:58:26 PM
#37
Do you think 2015 will be any better? #fail
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