Topic: [2016-10-24] The Amount of Bitcoin Is Scarcer Than We Think (Read 1325 times)
We load coins into artwork. Most of it will not move, and some of the smaller amounts are probably forgotten about. It may not be much, but it is probably in the $3k-5k over the last couple of years.
Sometime in the next several years, Bitcoin will switch to quantum-resistant alternatives of SHA-256, RIPMD-160, and ECC. Then you simply have to move your bitcoins from the old addresses to the new addresses. Moved coins will be ok, but the rest (including lost coins) will be vulnerable.
Those lost coins will get moved to new addresses which are quantum-resistant. So ... only the coins from genesis block will remain unspendable.
The coins that are not moved within a specified limit of time should be sent back into the mainstream. Their owners probably have lost the keys.
If that was able to be accomplished it should scare the #@$@ out of you. BTC has to be MATH controlled or its doomsday to our system. The notion of saying "move your coins by XX date or we'll do it for you" is horrifying at best. I don't see how this could be mathematically accomplished, and that would mean a large Gov could come along with "super math" and take control. I am hoping Satoshi's advanced math holds up for the duration.
Sometime in the next several years, Bitcoin will switch to quantum-resistant alternatives of SHA-256, RIPMD-160, and ECC. Then you simply have to move your bitcoins from the old addresses to the new addresses. Moved coins will be ok, but the rest (including lost coins) will be vulnerable.
Those lost coins will get moved to new addresses which are quantum-resistant. So ... only the coins from genesis block will remain unspendable.
The coins that are not moved within a specified limit of time should be sent back into the mainstream. Their owners probably have lost the keys.
how would you feel if your lovely shinies stored for future use suddenly decided to change their allegiance without any reason
just because someone somewhere thought it might be good to set the "lost" coins free?
I'd be pissed
As soon as you find out that Bitcoin has a new quantum-resistant alternative of whatever cryptographic primitives we are using, consider sending your existing coins to new addresses, before someone else does.
Just keep up to date on core development, you'd only have to look maybe once a month if you're too busy to look every couple of weeks. And even if you don't look at your wallet for a couple of years, your coins in cold storage that were never spent would probably be safe.
Sometime in the next several years, Bitcoin will switch to quantum-resistant alternatives of SHA-256, RIPMD-160, and ECC. Then you simply have to move your bitcoins from the old addresses to the new addresses. Moved coins will be ok, but the rest (including lost coins) will be vulnerable.
Those lost coins will get moved to new addresses which are quantum-resistant. So ... only the coins from genesis block will remain unspendable.
The coins that are not moved within a specified limit of time should be sent back into the mainstream. Their owners probably have lost the keys.
how would you feel if your lovely shinies stored for future use suddenly decided to change their allegiance without any reason
just because someone somewhere thought it might be good to set the "lost" coins free?
I'd be pissed
Not a big deal to be seen here. Price will simply increase and then 0,1BTC will be worth 1BTC of today.
This is the stupidest article wtf? Ok so out of what 15million bitcoins let's say 1 or 2million are missing. That's still 1,300,000,000,000,000 Satoshis. If each of those is worth a tenth of a cent ($1,300,000,000,000 market cap = $100,000 per btc) We can always break a bitcoin down to 16 decimals. But anyways at that point we'll be too busy on our yachts to worry about this petty crap.
1 million to Satoshi, and another 1 million combined for all other stuff. We are looking at 2 million BTC that are never moving. So we will have less than 19 million bitcoins in circulation, probably only half of that is in "public" circulation in the exchanges, the rest are in cold storage or something.
there are many "lost" coins
whenever anyone loses his private key his bitcoins are effectively lost,taken out of circulation and most likely never accessible again
I think it could amount to up to 10-20% of the total number
add the coins that rarely or never move and it could be some massive figure
nothing to worry about,though as the market would react supply/demand style pricewise and there is no risk to run out of coins because of denomination
21mil*100mil=ALOT
To add to the coins which are lost, there are coins which are 'burnt' or thrown into digital wishing wells.
The only effect that losing coins has, is to increase the value of other coins in circulation.
This is good for all holders, burnt coins and lost coins only make our bitcoin more valuable. It would be interesting but I am sure impossible to know the amount of coins in existence.
Sometime in the next several years, Bitcoin will switch to quantum-resistant alternatives of SHA-256, RIPMD-160, and ECC. Then you simply have to move your bitcoins from the old addresses to the new addresses. Moved coins will be ok, but the rest (including lost coins) will be vulnerable.
Those lost coins will get moved to new addresses which are quantum-resistant. So ... only the coins from genesis block will remain unspendable.
The coins that are not moved within a specified limit of time should be sent back into the mainstream. Their owners probably have lost the keys.
what makes you think that quantum computers will be used to solve bitcoin blockchain hashes 
if we progress enough to introduce quantum computing,humanity should transcend to a whole different level
I don't see it happen next 10 years
if we progress enough to introduce quantum computing,humanity should transcend to a whole different level
I don't see it happen next 10 years
Sometime in the next several years, Bitcoin will switch to quantum-resistant alternatives of SHA-256, RIPMD-160, and ECC. Then you simply have to move your bitcoins from the old addresses to the new addresses. Moved coins will be ok, but the rest (including lost coins) will be vulnerable.
Those lost coins will get moved to new addresses which are quantum-resistant. So ... only the coins from genesis block will remain unspendable.
Lost coins will be recovered in 10 years by quantum computers.
does that mean recovering private keys? if that's possible then they're gonna be recovering something completely and utterly worthless. Sometime in the next several years, Bitcoin will switch to quantum-resistant alternatives of SHA-256, RIPMD-160, and ECC. Then you simply have to move your bitcoins from the old addresses to the new addresses. Moved coins will be ok, but the rest (including lost coins) will be vulnerable.
May I know how you calculated that?
I didn't calculate. I just made a wild guess. Maybe it's an "educated" guess. Whatever, it is still a guess.
Instead of counting people, count the M1 supply of worldwide money. Or at least the money supply of some small country. That's what may happen to bitcoin. Current market cap is $10 Billion USD. US M1 is 3 Trillion. (or 3000 Billion.)
A $30 Billion market cap is not unrealistic. I just can't predict when that will happen. Maybe in 2017, or 2018. Or 2020.
Lost coins will be recovered in 10 years by quantum computers.
does that mean recovering private keys? if that's possible then they're gonna be recovering something completely and utterly worthless.
1 million to Satoshi, and another 1 million combined for all other stuff. We are looking at 2 million BTC that are never moving. So we will have less than 19 million bitcoins in circulation, probably only half of that is in "public" circulation in the exchanges, the rest are in cold storage or something.
From your calculation, of the about 9.5 million Btc in circulation, any portion of it that are lost, would no doubt inflate the price of bitcoin because of the scarcity that is sure to entail. I think lost of coin ought to be a real cause for worry because bitcoin being a digital money, is so easy to lose and given that it is near impossible to recover lost coins, we may end up walking on tight ropes.
Lost coins will be recovered in 10 years by quantum computers.
1 million to Satoshi, and another 1 million combined for all other stuff. We are looking at 2 million BTC that are never moving. So we will have less than 19 million bitcoins in circulation, probably only half of that is in "public" circulation in the exchanges, the rest are in cold storage or something.
May I know how you calculated that? Either way, if there are really 19 million coins that may find its way to the public circulation, then it's more than enough for people to own a decent amount of that.
The thing is that people calculate like this; There are 7 billion people in the world, and if you then spread 19 million coins through all these people, then they can't hold 1BTC. Dohhhh.... First important thing to realize is that all people in the world will never dive into Bitcoin. It will be a massive challenge to even reach 1% of that at some point in the future.
Another important thing is that the higher the price goes, the lower the amounts are that people can afford. And exactly this, is already happening. In that regard, there will be more coins available for people in the coming years. And this is basically something that will continue to happen till the price at some point can't go higher anymore because it reached its full peak.
I was happy to get into BTC years ago. I am sure every enthusiast has wondered about the lost coin question?
Dream/Fantasy thought:
If I went to sleep and woke up in the morning with every single lost coin in my BTC wallet, just how many would I have? Truth is we will never have that answer, but it sure is something to wonder and dream about isn't it? LOL!!
Dream/Fantasy thought:
If I went to sleep and woke up in the morning with every single lost coin in my BTC wallet, just how many would I have? Truth is we will never have that answer, but it sure is something to wonder and dream about isn't it? LOL!!
1 million to Satoshi, and another 1 million combined for all other stuff. We are looking at 2 million BTC that are never moving. So we will have less than 19 million bitcoins in circulation, probably only half of that is in "public" circulation in the exchanges, the rest are in cold storage or something.
there are many "lost" coins
whenever anyone loses his private key his bitcoins are effectively lost,taken out of circulation and most likely never accessible again
I think it could amount to up to 10-20% of the total number
add the coins that rarely or never move and it could be some massive figure
nothing to worry about,though as the market would react supply/demand style pricewise and there is no risk to run out of coins because of denomination
21mil*100mil=ALOT
To add to the coins which are lost, there are coins which are 'burnt' or thrown into digital wishing wells.
The only effect that losing coins has, is to increase the value of other coins in circulation.
I agree that this lost coins will add more value to the remaining coins. Due to the law of supply and demand, having demand pressure greater than sell pressure simply means the coin will be bought in higher price value. But even with only 19 million which is subdivided into 100 million satoshi per 1 BTC. I think we have enough satoshi for all the people in the world.
1 million to Satoshi, and another 1 million combined for all other stuff. We are looking at 2 million BTC that are never moving. So we will have less than 19 million bitcoins in circulation, probably only half of that is in "public" circulation in the exchanges, the rest are in cold storage or something.
there are many "lost" coins
whenever anyone loses his private key his bitcoins are effectively lost,taken out of circulation and most likely never accessible again
I think it could amount to up to 10-20% of the total number
add the coins that rarely or never move and it could be some massive figure
nothing to worry about,though as the market would react supply/demand style pricewise and there is no risk to run out of coins because of denomination
21mil*100mil=ALOT
To add to the coins which are lost, there are coins which are 'burnt' or thrown into digital wishing wells.
The only effect that losing coins has, is to increase the value of other coins in circulation.
1 million to Satoshi, and another 1 million combined for all other stuff. We are looking at 2 million BTC that are never moving. So we will have less than 19 million bitcoins in circulation, probably only half of that is in "public" circulation in the exchanges, the rest are in cold storage or something.
there are many "lost" coins
whenever anyone loses his private key his bitcoins are effectively lost,taken out of circulation and most likely never accessible again
I think it could amount to up to 10-20% of the total number
add the coins that rarely or never move and it could be some massive figure
nothing to worry about,though as the market would react supply/demand style pricewise and there is no risk to run out of coins because of denomination
21mil*100mil=ALOT
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