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Topic: 2016 compared to other years? - page 2. (Read 1587 times)

legendary
Activity: 3066
Merit: 1147
The revolution will be monetized!
December 31, 2016, 01:20:55 PM
#14
...
With stocks you see a rapid increase in the first few years as a company gains traction in their respective market. Thousands of percent increases are not uncommon because the value of the shares are going from pennies to large dollar amounts. After the first few years it becomes almost impossible for any stock to give a thousand percent increase because the dollar amount necessary is just too far out of reach. For example, at a starting price of $900 Bitcoin would need to grow to $53,307 to gain another 5923% increase as it did in 2014. That means an individual trading in "shares" of Bitcoin will need to pay $53,307 for just one. Even the most wealthy, and foolhardy, investors will do a double take on that one. While insane gains are no longer realistic smaller gains are still impressive. From this point forward, I fully expect Bitcoin to stay in the normal growth range for a mature stock.
All very good points!
And at the same time the supply is increasing assuming new coins remain available for circulation.
Here is some more fun with math to make your point. It take an ever increasing amount of capitol to move the price up by the same percentage.  


Date                           Market cap                 Price                Supply
January 4, 2015    -     $ 3,856,200,918         $ 281.79           13,684,794    

So in this year it took  $2,631,749,890 to go up 53% or about $49,655,658 pr percentage point.

January 3, 2016    -     $ 6,487,950,808         $ 431.45           15,037,467

Over about the next year it took $7,627,735,314 to go up 104% or about $73,343,609 per percentage point.

December 25, 2016 - $14,115,686,122    $878.81           16,062,338



 Source: https://coinmarketcap.com/historical/







legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1393
You lead and I'll watch you walk away.
December 31, 2016, 10:42:42 AM
#13
Thanks everyone for your kind words, it was not that much work. I'm still most surprised at how unique each year turned out. I expected they would mostly show gains, but they vary so much more than I would have guessed. It really shows the boom and bust cycles. I wonder if it will be more stable with mainstream adoption?

I do appreciate your work in determining the percentage of growth per year. It's nice to see that Bitcoin is following a similar pattern to most stock release growth charts. I didn't expect that. We all get caught up in the perception that Bitcoin is so unique it defies classification, which of course isn't true.

With stocks you see a rapid increase in the first few years as a company gains traction in their respective market. Thousands of percent increases are not uncommon because the value of the shares are going from pennies to large dollar amounts. After the first few years it becomes almost impossible for any stock to give a thousand percent increase because the dollar amount necessary is just too far out of reach. For example, at a starting price of $900 Bitcoin would need to grow to $53,307 to gain another 5923% increase as it did in 2014. That means an individual trading in "shares" of Bitcoin will need to pay $53,307 for just one. Even the most wealthy, and foolhardy, investors will do a double take on that one. While insane gains are no longer realistic smaller gains are still impressive. From this point forward, I fully expect Bitcoin to stay in the normal growth range for a mature stock.
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1011
December 31, 2016, 09:57:33 AM
#12
2016 was the year of stability. It's not possible to know yet what will happen, and it's hard to have a prediction too, but looks bitcoin will become stable more and more, 2017 can be the year that more persons start buying bitcoins and more sites start accepting it, as they want stability.
Investors are looking for a trusted currency, and bitcoin prooved it.
I agree with you . throughout this epidemic bitcoin prices fairly stable. only a few times a bitcoin increases and decreases drastically. I think 2016 will be one of the best years bitcoin. year which makes bitcoin increasingly popular among the people of the world.
legendary
Activity: 3066
Merit: 1147
The revolution will be monetized!
December 31, 2016, 08:59:56 AM
#11
Thanks everyone for your kind words, it was not that much work. I'm still most surprised at how unique each year turned out. I expected they would mostly show gains, but they vary so much more than I would have guessed. It really shows the boom and bust cycles. I wonder if it will be more stable with mainstream adoption?
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1000
December 30, 2016, 03:44:31 PM
#10
Thank you for the nice summary, it is impressive how bitcoin is growing and growing every year more.

I think at the 1. January 2018 we will see a price over 2.500 Dollar, it can only go up with bitcoin in the future, when you see what is happening backstage.
sr. member
Activity: 280
Merit: 252
Xavier
December 30, 2016, 03:30:59 PM
#9
I took a peek at the price you would have to pay on the first day of previous years to get a sense of annual growth. I rounded the percentages and found each year to be quite different in growth/loss, with gains dominating. It looks like this year we will have about doubled, but it ain’t over yet.

January 1, 2011 = $0.30
+$0.25 : 500% This is a rough estimate as the 2010 start value was basically 0.

January 1, 2012 = $5.10   
+$4.80 : 1600%

January 1, 2013 = $13.30
+$8.5 : 161%

January 1, 2014 = $801.00
+$787.7 : 5923%

January 1, 2015 =$310.00
-$477.70 : -61%

January 1, 2016 =$430.00
+$120.00 : 39%

January 1, 2017 = ?

Total growth from start of 2011 (first reliable market data) until writing this. +$962.70 : 320900%
I’m not sure if this means anything but I found it interesting.
Thank you for your research. Supposedly, the price won't fall below $700 this year in 2017. The Bitcoin Network is developing further with the introduction of new Altcoins who in turn, support Bitcoin Network unknowingly.
member
Activity: 97
Merit: 10
December 30, 2016, 03:18:35 PM
#8
Thanx and great job on numbers buddy
hero member
Activity: 630
Merit: 500
December 30, 2016, 03:14:28 PM
#7
I took a peek at the price you would have to pay on the first day of previous years to get a sense of annual growth. I rounded the percentages and found each year to be quite different in growth/loss, with gains dominating. It looks like this year we will have about doubled, but it ain’t over yet.

January 1, 2011 = $0.30
+$0.25 : 500% This is a rough estimate as the 2010 start value was basically 0.

January 1, 2012 = $5.10   
+$4.80 : 1600%

January 1, 2013 = $13.30
+$8.5 : 161%

January 1, 2014 = $801.00
+$787.7 : 5923%

January 1, 2015 =$310.00
-$477.70 : -61%

January 1, 2016 =$430.00
+$120.00 : 39%

January 1, 2017 = ?

Total growth from start of 2011 (first reliable market data) until writing this. +$962.70 : 320900%
I’m not sure if this means anything but I found it interesting.
Good job with your research but it is interesting that it is only in 2015 that we have negative growth, alot of people are  projecting $3000/BTC, though time will tell
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
December 30, 2016, 02:24:43 PM
#6
I am in bitcoin work only from May of this year. And I have never been interested in bitcoin history too much. But I noticed that many places start to accapt bitcoin as payment and I think in next year bitcoin is going to be more spread in this meaning.
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
December 30, 2016, 02:22:59 PM
#5
I am in bitcoin work only from May of this year. And I have never been interested in bitcoin history too much. But I noticed that many places start to accapt bitcoin as payment and I think in next year bitcoin is going to be more spread in this meaning.
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1393
You lead and I'll watch you walk away.
December 30, 2016, 02:00:33 PM
#4
That kind of looks like something I read about ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc., up 3095% in 3 years from 97c to $31.00. ATH for them was $42.49 (4100% profit WOW). I sure wish I bought up thousands of shares of ACADIA a few years ago but hindsight is 20/20. That's why I always cruse the listings for new releases under a dollar. If you get lucky a thousand dollar investment can make you a millionaire quick.

I think Bitcoin growth would look a lot like Facebook's growth if it was made public from the very beginning. You would see Facebook going from several thousand to hundreds of millions of users.
hero member
Activity: 2044
Merit: 784
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
December 30, 2016, 01:32:05 PM
#3
2016 was the year of stability. It's not possible to know yet what will happen, and it's hard to have a prediction too, but looks bitcoin will become stable more and more, 2017 can be the year that more persons start buying bitcoins and more sites start accepting it, as they want stability.
Investors are looking for a trusted currency, and bitcoin prooved it.
legendary
Activity: 1526
Merit: 1026
SellDefi.com | Earn by selling files
December 30, 2016, 01:15:18 PM
#2
I took a peek at the price you would have to pay on the first day of previous years to get a sense of annual growth. I rounded the percentages and found each year to be quite different in growth/loss, with gains dominating. It looks like this year we will have about doubled, but it ain’t over yet.

January 1, 2011 = $0.30
+$0.25 : 500% This is a rough estimate as the 2010 start value was basically 0.

January 1, 2012 = $5.10   
+$4.80 : 1600%

January 1, 2013 = $13.30
+$8.5 : 161%

January 1, 2014 = $801.00
+$787.7 : 5923%

January 1, 2015 =$310.00
-$477.70 : -61%

January 1, 2016 =$430.00
+$120.00 : 39%

January 1, 2017 = ?

Total growth from start of 2011 (first reliable market data) until writing this. +$962.70 : 320900%
I’m not sure if this means anything but I found it interesting.

I think on 1st Jan 2017, price of 1 BTC will be $1000+. I have a friend in Finland. He bought 10 BTC @ around 220, may be on 2015. I am not sure. And He will sell half of his BTC, if price goes above or at 1k per coin. It will be a great pleasure for him and for me as well. I wish I had 1 btc at least.
legendary
Activity: 3066
Merit: 1147
The revolution will be monetized!
December 30, 2016, 12:55:28 PM
#1
I took a peek at the price you would have to pay on the first day of previous years to get a sense of annual growth. I rounded the percentages and found each year to be quite different in growth/loss, with gains dominating. It looks like this year we will have about doubled, but it ain’t over yet.

January 1, 2011 = $0.30
+$0.25 : 500% This is a rough estimate as the 2010 start value was basically 0.

January 1, 2012 = $5.10  
+$4.80 : 1600%

January 1, 2013 = $13.30
+$8.5 : 161%

January 1, 2014 = $801.00
+$787.7 : 5923%

January 1, 2015 =$310.00
-$477.70 : -61%

January 1, 2016 =$430.00
+$120.00 : 39%

January 1, 2017 =$967.00
+$546.00 : 120%

January 1, 2018 =$13546.00
+$12579.00 : 1300%



Total growth from start of 2011 (first reliable market data) until writing this. +$962.70 : 320900%

UPDATED Jan 11, 2018 +$13546.00 : 4515233%  Shocked


I’m not sure if this means anything but I found it interesting.
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