I am going for Trail Blazers +7. Warriors are not as good without Durant and it takes Curry hot shooting streak to come back to win Game 3. The Trail Blazers are playing at home and wouldn't want to end this season with a 4-0 sweep in the playoffs. They should be able to make the game close and have a chance of winning this game at home.
I think it's hard to do so until now. Golden is a team that can play very well in 3 and 4 periods. I do not think it's going to be that much in Portland.
like taking the spread. I know the warriors can beat them but they have proven they can cover the spread in the game 3.