You are on the right track. But you know GSW really has a bad stats to those "weak" team this season.

Losses of GSW: (current standing as of Im posting this)
vs. Milwaukee (away) - 30w-40l
vs. Dallas (away) - fair
vs. Denver (away) - 29w-41l
vs. Pistons (away) - fair
vs. Portland (away) - fair
vs. Lakers (away) - 14w-55l
vs. San Antonio (away)