Topic: 🏆 2022 OSCARS - Nominees, Odds and Predictions! - page 4. (Read 1377 times)

Fair enough. I watched all nominees except Drive my Car which I plan to watch in the next couple if days (not easy to find 3 hours) and so far Dog and Dune are ahead of the others for me. While I liked Dog more, I wouldn't mind Dune getting an Oscar too just to remove that stigma around sci-fi movies never winning the Best Picture award.


Same here, guessed the secret too as you could really "feel it", but my wife guessed the end as well and managed to spoil it for me as I really didn't see it coming.


Since I haven't seen Drive my Car yet its hard for me to say (another slow burner that I think I will like) but that one is not as hyped as Parasite was back in 2020 and even film's subject isn't something very attractive to the Academy which we all know is a very important thing. If I remember the odds correctly, Parasite was right behind 1917 so while it was a big surprise that foreign film won the Best Picture award, it wasn't a complete outsider like Drive my Car is. If it was up to me, non-English movie should have won the Oscar year before too as I still believe that Roma is a far superior movie and that Green Book won only because of it's subject. Regarding your 2nd sentence, I totally agree and it's been going like that for some time now.

Was just commenting elsewhere that I thought Dog was a decent movie, but I just didn't feel like it was good enough to win best film (note that I haven't seen any of the other nominees except Dune).

Big, big fan of slow burn too -- very few action films make it in my all-time -- but I just thought there wasn't enough other than good acting to make this memorable for me. Probably also as I quickly guessed what the secret was so soon (though the ending I didn't foresee).

Anyone else think a foreign film could do another surprise? I feel like predicting Oscars tend to be more about identifying trends.

Has anyone gone through the songs which are in the list? Some of the songs are amazing, but apart from everything - I wish and pray that the best one wins, bet it the song or the movie. I am waiting for the final day to see which one wins.

I even enjoy watching it with my friends and family when we have some to discuss about the movie. Its is always a pleasure sitting together and have great time together. Also listening to the song together brings in so many memories. People shed tears while listening to the songs and watching movies they used to do it with parents and family. It has so much power.

That surely depends on the movie if the whole squad or family likes it and not for the sake of bonding, I mean the movie will be much more interesting to see if the majority of the squad or family wants it so that a movie won't be boring to sit throughout.

Maybe for you and few others here on the thread, but for me Power of the Dog is probably the best out of nominated. With that being said, I do understand that slow burn dramas are not everyone's cup of tea and its a type of movie you either like a lot, or not at all, there's usually no middle ground with those. I fall into former group so I enjoyed it a lot. I am personally bored more with mindless action than with anything else.

As a matter of fact, CODA odds were 26 to win the Oscar when I started this thread (February 10th) so it means that people are massively betting on it. Despite that, I still think that it won't win award and I won't best on it.

I honestly didn't expect that as TPOFG won both BAFTA and Golden Globe in the most important category so I expected it to be far ahead of the others, but I won't complain at the increased odds , as it went from ~1.6 to 1.8.

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Fist post of the thread has been updated with the latest odds and I shifted order of some categories so it makes more sense.

I very much agree. Power of the Dog is certainly the most boring movie nominated for Oscar best picture and it appears there are bettors who speculate that the academy members might have voted for Coda as best picture. The odds have reduced from 5.00 to only 2.15.

https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/specials/entertainment/oscar-best-picture/oscar-best-picture-61f10b147d0388a7e3b146a5


I reckon this might be because Coda won the Producer's guild awards for best movie. I will bet for Coda. This might be similar to 2018 and 2019 where Green Book and Parasite won best picture versus the favorites.

Green Energy and Global warming awareness today becomes a political tool already, I saw the news which its the Russians that funded these movement making US shutdown their oil drilling companies. Too bad now we are back to the reality that Energy is wealth and wealth is power in politics. 

Don't look up resembles what governments are doing today. Its a pity but its what is happening. While we like the next generation to enhale the air we breathe today, the objective is compromised by the desire in who governs the world.

There is something here that has a lot to do with what they want to sell us, I don't know if you remember that Donald Trump, when he was president in the USA, ordered all the money that went directly towards improving global warming to be withheld, because of how the things in the world these issues are not relevant, there are other interests in between that will always be above this, it is what I have always said, the business model for everything, so these types of films that serve to raise awareness sell us Other interests...

Good to see some life in the forum and people talking too. One thing is for sure that movies bring in so much life in people's busy schedule.
Taking out sometime - sitting together with family and friends is always a fun. Even the boring movie becomes so thrilling that one feels excited that at least they spent some quality time with loved ones!

Exactly mate! We have to accept that we have our own type of views that others don't share because of that facts that we have our own different choices and wants in every aspects of like including the movies. There are also times that we can meet some people that share the same view with us, but times like that are not too often. Let's just respect each other

Well, on a light note, you don't necessarily have to like a movie before other people likes it, remember the old saying "one man's food is another man's poison", this saying is not limited to food alone, it's relevant in almost everything including movies, it highly possible that a movie you don't like ends up being another person's favorite.

Makes me remember even now, most of the movies I watch, my wife hates them, and some times, I hate some of her choice of movies too, for this reason, we mostly don't watch movies together.
But comparing every movie generally , I did say all movies are good, it is us as individuals who choose which to like and which to dislike.

Movie you should not watch:
Power of the dog.
Such a time waster. I am telling you already - don't waste time watching Power of the dog. It is depressing, slow and very boring. I wonder what has brough that movie nominated for the Oscar. However Belfast has a good story and have an excellent cinematography. Wonder piece of art!

You will be shocked on how the owners of the studios in America's movie industry might be racist. I will not say more about this because it might be offensive to some of the people of this forum hehe. In any case, I might also only be being my skeptical me again hehehe.


This is my advice on how to watch the movies nominated for best picture in order. You should begin with the movie with the feel good feeling and end it on the most boring movie hehe.

Movies you can watch with someone.

Coda
King Richard
Belfast
Licorice Pizza
Westside Story

Movies you should watch by yourself.

Dune
Drive my car
Nightmare Alley
Power of the dog

Nightmare Alley made me laugh in the ending when I watched it alone. There are some movies that you need to watch alone to take in the story and take in the character development.

In last two year - during cornoa - Netflix was the most thriving business like amazon. While the business where firing the employee due to corona - Netflix and amazon has hundred of job opportunites amid crisis. At least we all had time to watch movies during quarantine. I am hoping that many series and movies will be coming on COVID as well. 

Since in the last twenty years four black actors won "Best Actor in a Leading Role" Oscars I don't think that's such a big issue anymore, situation changed. What people often forget is that black American actors not only have white Americans as a competition, but also actors from several others predominantly white countries like United Kingdom, Ireland, Canada, Australia, Spain, France etc and all those actors gravitate to United States. As a matter of fact, in the last ~20 years, only 13 out of 20 Oscars in that category were won by Americans. I mean, it sucks that we even have to talk about quotas and stuff like that, simply let the best man win.


I've seen it and I agree, a very good movie. Probably the best one in International Feature category this year but haven't watched Drive My Car yet as its not easy to find three straight hours to watch it, even though it looks like my kind of movie.


Part of the reason might be that film industry is more focused on dramas and not so big budget movies due covid stuff. Same thing was last year, studios simply don't wanna risk a lot of money if they are not sure whether cinemas will be open and without that it's hard to return the investment. There is simply less buzz than in previous years.



Magnificent Seven (both the original and remake) is not a version of Fistfull of Dollars, but instead it's based on another classic by Akira Kurosawa, Seven Samurai. What's interesting is that Kurosawa was a big fan of American westerns (mainly John Ford) and was influenced by them so in a way westerns made a full circle. Regarding Tarantino, I liked Hateful Eight but Django Unchained not so much.


Yeah movies from streaming services can also be Oscar nominated, despite some big names like Steven Spielberg being against it. Regarding the series being nominated for Oscar, I think that you mixed something up as Oscar is a movie-only award. Golden Globe has series categories so maybe you confused it with that.

Thats good. Creating a plot and making scripts can be hard. They'd have to get paid.
I think there are several versions of Fistfull of Dollar already like that of Magnificent 7. Kind of western still. I like western movies espeically done by Tarantino.

I've only become interested in movies this 2020 since covid, theres no much to do but watch the screen. So I was kind of surprice how some of the nominees in OSCAR were released on netflix and some of them are actually series.

This feels like a bit of a weird year for some reason as someone who's an American who watches a lot of movies, I've barley heard of the nominees this year. ( funny thing as I'm typing this message an Oscars ad just popped up on the TV lol ).  I have seen Don't Look Up and absolutely loved it as well as a couple of the other movies. It's so hard predicting who's going to win.  I'm going to try and watch a few more of these movies so I can then make an informed bet on all this.

Those picks are only my choices during that day and they might change. I have also mentioned that Licorice Pizza might win for best original screenplay after watching it. I have not watched it when I shared those picks.


Yes, only a small bet hehehe. It is also only a bet if the academy would allow a black actor to win as best actor in this year's Oscars hehehe. I will not share more of my thoughts on that racism conspiracy. I might get cancelled hehehehehe.

I am excited that one of my favorite songs “be alive” is in the list. This is so powerful song. I am touched my favorite part is look how we’ve been fighting to stay alive so when we win we will have pride. This is so apt keeping the current situation in consideration. We are all striving to be alive. I am sure this song is going to win. I can even bet on this song if there is any channel where one can bet on Oscar! Fingers crossed!