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Topic: 2024 Bitcoin Halving - What are Your Expectations!!! - page 2. (Read 3734 times)

legendary
Activity: 3220
Merit: 1363
www.Crypto.Games: Multiple coins, multiple games
The time to mine a new block is on average 10 minutes, independent of the number or speed of the miners, the difficulty gets updated roughly every 2 weeks to keep the time between two blocks roughly at 10 minutes.

So there's no such thing as the network becoming too slow.

Also, there's lightning which runs on top of Bitcoin and makes transactions almost immediate.

You're right about that. What we really need to worry about is the rate at which market prices decline. If by the next Bitcoin halving, prices are much lower than what they are right now, then I'm afraid there will be a mass exodus of miners on the Bitcoin blockchain. That would severely undermine the network's security, making it much more vulnerable against 51% attacks.

Many are saying things will settle during the course of 2023, especially when central banks will stop raising interest rates. But I'd take this with a grain of salt, since there's no indication the Russia-Ukraine war nor the COVID-19 pandemic will come to and end soon. As long as these cataclysms harm the global economy, don't expect BTC to reach a new ATH in price. Who knows what the future holds for the cryptocurrency? Just my thoughts Grin
copper member
Activity: 2254
Merit: 608
🍓 BALIK Never DM First
The Bitcoin halving period could be a crazy time for Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. Expect the price to go up and get a new ATH after each halving, so expect to hit a new all-time high after the next halving. Of course Bitcoin users and popularity will also increase.


Some posts above Bitstar_coin showed, that during last 3 halvings Bitcoin price did not show any major changes. At previous halving, a lot of people expected Bitcoin price to skyrocket, but the significant price change started after Elon Musk tweets. This time the world economy is in tricky situation, and Elon Musk shows low interests in crypto, so instead of huge price changes, I would expect no huge price changes at all.

And btw, you say "new ATH after each halving" - there was never a new ATH after halving. Bitcoin had ATH 1-2 years after halving.

Elon just entered the market in 2021, how can it be said that Elon created the growth of bitcoin? He is not a bitcoin creator or god to be able to do that, if he can tweet to make bitcoin hit new ATH, then I believe he has done it many times for his purpose of manipulating the market for profit. The fact that bitcoin always generates ATH after each halving means that bitcoin will not spike and reach ATH immediately, but it takes time, maybe half a year or a year later. Elon is not the savior of the market, he is just an investor like us, trying to follow the market to make a profit.
legendary
Activity: 3122
Merit: 1140
The Bitcoin halving period could be a crazy time for Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. Expect the price to go up and get a new ATH after each halving, so expect to hit a new all-time high after the next halving. Of course Bitcoin users and popularity will also increase.

Better dont expect so that you wont really be that be mad or disappointed on the time would come but still the price hasnt looked the way you are anticipating or expecting for it to reach.
it is one of the key for you not to make yourself that impulsive or having that good control when it comes to your emotions.

Each halving event would really be having that positive impressions and assumptions that the price would shoot up like a rocket.yes, it did happen in the past
but it wont guarantee that it would happen in the future. Always consider out the risk and never exclude it out.
sr. member
Activity: 1386
Merit: 451
We always wanted bitcoin to be popular and widely accepted, so don't expect it to be a standalone asset, without any correlation to the traditional market, that's not possible.
It's not possible in the fiat/USD standard.

It will be possible in the BTC standard (measuring commodities such as gas, oil, gold, copper, wheat in sats). Wink
Next halving 2024
Block rewards at time of halving 6.250 BTC

My prediction bitcoin would be hitted at the end of 2024

Bitcoin price (40000-90000)
But I have a feeling that if the war between Ukraine and Russia is not resolved, the upward trend of cryptocurrency and Bitcoin market cannot be expected.  If the war between Ukraine and Russia ends after 2024, Bitcoin will exceed $100k.
Hopefully there will be an end to the war between Ukraine and Russia before 2024. The two governments now want to come to an agreement. But due to the war in Ukraine and Russia everything has started to slow down all over the world. In particular, we have been hit hardest by this cryptocurrency. But I expect Bitcoin to start moving upwards before 2024 and in 2024 Bitcoin will stay between $100k. Or may even exceed 100k dollars.
LDL
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 671
We always wanted bitcoin to be popular and widely accepted, so don't expect it to be a standalone asset, without any correlation to the traditional market, that's not possible.
It's not possible in the fiat/USD standard.

It will be possible in the BTC standard (measuring commodities such as gas, oil, gold, copper, wheat in sats). Wink
Next halving 2024
Block rewards at time of halving 6.250 BTC

My prediction bitcoin would be hitted at the end of 2024

Bitcoin price (40000-90000)
But I have a feeling that if the war between Ukraine and Russia is not resolved, the upward trend of cryptocurrency and Bitcoin market cannot be expected.  If the war between Ukraine and Russia ends after 2024, Bitcoin will exceed $100k.
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1215
The Bitcoin halving period could be a crazy time for Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. Expect the price to go up and get a new ATH after each halving, so expect to hit a new all-time high after the next halving. Of course Bitcoin users and popularity will also increase.


Some posts above Bitstar_coin showed, that during last 3 halvings Bitcoin price did not show any major changes. At previous halving, a lot of people expected Bitcoin price to skyrocket, but the significant price change started after Elon Musk tweets. This time the world economy is in tricky situation, and Elon Musk shows low interests in crypto, so instead of huge price changes, I would expect no huge price changes at all.

And btw, you say "new ATH after each halving" - there was never a new ATH after halving. Bitcoin had ATH 1-2 years after halving.
newbie
Activity: 37
Merit: 0
The Bitcoin halving period could be a crazy time for Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. Expect the price to go up and get a new ATH after each halving, so expect to hit a new all-time high after the next halving. Of course Bitcoin users and popularity will also increase.
newbie
Activity: 13
Merit: 0
The time to mine a new block is on average 10 minutes, independent of the number or speed of the miners, the difficulty gets updated roughly every 2 weeks to keep the time between two blocks roughly at 10 minutes.

So there's no such thing as the network becoming too slow.

Also, there's lightning which runs on top of Bitcoin and makes transactions almost immediate.
While you are correct about the time of  block creation in bitcoin mining, that does not describe the time for transactions to be processed.  For a transaction to be validated either quickly or slowly depends on the fee rewards for those transactions.  Bigger transactions usually require larger fees, making them more attractive for miners to process.  Smaller transactions with very small fees may wait a long time in the queue before being validated by miners.  In 2024, when block rewards will be half what they are today, the miners will need to make up the loss by getting higher fees, or processing more large transactions than small ones in order to maintain their profits.  So while the blockchain network may not be slower, the end-user wait time will be perceived to be much longer than it is now.  I believe that will have an impact on users who want rapid transactions, not slow ones, resulting in less demand for bitcoins.
full member
Activity: 2520
Merit: 214
Eloncoin.org - Mars, here we come!
                         
                                          
So basically this will take effect maybe later that year? or even in 2025 at least?

my expectation is that finally the price will break 100k ? or at least closer to that before 2024 ends.

I never gain much back in 2017 but this time I will not miss the chance and will Keep holding my coins till that year comes.
Bitcoin investors will definitely look forward to an increase in the price of Bitcoin during the halving and a bull run to come. The demand for bitcoin should also increase, btc will be more popular around the world and it will be more valuable in the future.
that is what we all wanted to see and there are so much expectation for bitcoin .
hero member
Activity: 1008
Merit: 960
Every single bitcoin transaction that takes place has to be permanently committed to the Bitcoin blockchain ledger through a process called “mining.” Bitcoin  miners compete using specialized computer equipment known as application-specific integrated circuit (ASIC) chips to unlock the next block in the chain.  In these years running up to the next bitcoin halving event in 2024, the bitcoin miners will need to develop faster, cheaper, more energy efficient ASICS.  Otherwise, the incentive to keep mining bitcoins will disappear.  When something costs more to make than the rewards for making that thing, then there becomes no business reason to continue.  Remember, all the current bitcoin transactions need to be proofed by these miners.  Therefore, the degree of difficulty for hashing and proving the legitimacy of each old block become greater and greater.  My prediction is that the price of a bitcoin will drop to a low enough level such that miners quit mining.  Then a level of bitcoin transaction saturation will occur such that it will become too slow to even use a bitcoin for any financial transactions.  When that happens, cryptocurrency transactions will migrate to other altcoin blockchain networks that are faster, cheaper, and more efficient than the Bitcoin network.  In other words - bitcoins will become dinosaurs.

You heard it first hear folks.  Remember this day - December 28, 2022

The time to mine a new block is on average 10 minutes, independent of the number or speed of the miners, the difficulty gets updated roughly every 2 weeks to keep the time between two blocks roughly at 10 minutes.

So there's no such thing as the network becoming too slow.

Also, there's lightning which runs on top of Bitcoin and makes transactions almost immediate.
hero member
Activity: 1498
Merit: 504
                         


                                               What is the Bitcoin Halving (Halvening)?
New bitcoins are issued by the Bitcoin network every 10 minutes. For the first four years of Bitcoin's existence, the number of new bitcoins issued every 10 minutes was 50. Every four years, this number is cut in half.

In 2012, the number of new bitcoins issued every 10 minutes dropped from 50 bitcoins to 25. In 2016, it dropped from 25 to 12.5. In the most recent May 11, 2020 halving, the reward dropped from 12.5 to 6.25 BTC per block.

In the upcoming 2024 halving, the reward will drop from 6.25 BTC per block to 3.125 BTC.

                                               Bitcoin Halving Dates History
      
         2012 Halving
The 2012 block halving was the first halving and happened on November 28th, 2012. The halving block was mined by SlushPool by someone using a Radeon HD 5800 miner.

New BTC Per Block Before: 50 BTC per block
New BTC Per Block After: 25 BTC per block
Price on Halving Day: $12.35
Price 150 Days Later: $127.00

       2016 Halving
The second halving occurred on July 9th, 2016.

New BTC Per Block Before: 25 BTC per block
New BTC Per Block After: 12.5 BTC per block
Price on Halving Day: $650.63
Price 150 Days Later: $758.81

     2020 Halving
The third halving occurred on May 11, 2020.

New BTC Per Block Before: 12.5 BTC per block
New BTC Per Block After: 6.25 BTC per block
Price on Halving Day: $8821.42
Price 150 Days Later: $10,943.00

     Current Bitcoin Block Subsidy
The current Bitcoin block subsidy is 6.25 bitcoins per block. When block 840,000 is hit in 2024, the subsidy will drop to 3.125 bitcoins (BTC) per block.


Source

The next bitcoin halving is less than two years, to me, this period will be different because, for the first time, I really am paying attention to important aspects of btc and keeping myself updated as well.
I can't really say much about previous halving other than just reading about them (probably because I was not holding btc) but now is different because I have been accumulating in every little way I can.

So dear colleagues, What are your expectations? other than price increase  Cool
*Do you expect to see widespread adoption and acceptance?
*More involvement from big companies?
*More popular?
*Increase number of users?
*Any other.......
My hope regarding bitcoin HALVING is the return to the heyday of bitcoin where it can reach ATH prices more than the previous ATH.
That way I believe that more people will believe that bitcoin is indeed worthy as a long-term investment asset and will increase its adoption.
If this really happens, then the crypto market will become more known and stable and the prices of other altcoins will also start to rise alternately following the bitcoin price itself and can help the economy of people who use crypto as their income, because I'm sure many people who rely on crypto as a field of work.
I hope this is what I hope will happen one day.
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1027
                         


                                               What is the Bitcoin Halving (Halvening)?
New bitcoins are issued by the Bitcoin network every 10 minutes. For the first four years of Bitcoin's existence, the number of new bitcoins issued every 10 minutes was 50. Every four years, this number is cut in half.

In 2012, the number of new bitcoins issued every 10 minutes dropped from 50 bitcoins to 25. In 2016, it dropped from 25 to 12.5. In the most recent May 11, 2020 halving, the reward dropped from 12.5 to 6.25 BTC per block.

In the upcoming 2024 halving, the reward will drop from 6.25 BTC per block to 3.125 BTC.

                                               Bitcoin Halving Dates History
      
         2012 Halving
The 2012 block halving was the first halving and happened on November 28th, 2012. The halving block was mined by SlushPool by someone using a Radeon HD 5800 miner.

New BTC Per Block Before: 50 BTC per block
New BTC Per Block After: 25 BTC per block
Price on Halving Day: $12.35
Price 150 Days Later: $127.00

       2016 Halving
The second halving occurred on July 9th, 2016.

New BTC Per Block Before: 25 BTC per block
New BTC Per Block After: 12.5 BTC per block
Price on Halving Day: $650.63
Price 150 Days Later: $758.81

     2020 Halving
The third halving occurred on May 11, 2020.

New BTC Per Block Before: 12.5 BTC per block
New BTC Per Block After: 6.25 BTC per block
Price on Halving Day: $8821.42
Price 150 Days Later: $10,943.00

     Current Bitcoin Block Subsidy
The current Bitcoin block subsidy is 6.25 bitcoins per block. When block 840,000 is hit in 2024, the subsidy will drop to 3.125 bitcoins (BTC) per block.


Source

The next bitcoin halving is less than two years, to me, this period will be different because, for the first time, I really am paying attention to important aspects of btc and keeping myself updated as well.
I can't really say much about previous halving other than just reading about them (probably because I was not holding btc) but now is different because I have been accumulating in every little way I can.

So dear colleagues, What are your expectations? other than price increase  Cool
*Do you expect to see widespread adoption and acceptance?
*More involvement from big companies?
*More popular?
*Increase number of users?
*Any other.......

Im expecting to see pretty much the same as in the previous halving. We wont be seeing an immediate big price surge but the price should start to swing right before the halving. It should only gain upwards momemtum a few months later.
newbie
Activity: 13
Merit: 0
Every single bitcoin transaction that takes place has to be permanently committed to the Bitcoin blockchain ledger through a process called “mining.” Bitcoin  miners compete using specialized computer equipment known as application-specific integrated circuit (ASIC) chips to unlock the next block in the chain.  In these years running up to the next bitcoin halving event in 2024, the bitcoin miners will need to develop faster, cheaper, more energy efficient ASICS.  Otherwise, the incentive to keep mining bitcoins will disappear.  When something costs more to make than the rewards for making that thing, then there becomes no business reason to continue.  Remember, all the current bitcoin transactions need to be proofed by these miners.  Therefore, the degree of difficulty for hashing and proving the legitimacy of each old block become greater and greater.  My prediction is that the price of a bitcoin will drop to a low enough level such that miners quit mining.  Then a level of bitcoin transaction saturation will occur such that it will become too slow to even use a bitcoin for any financial transactions.  When that happens, cryptocurrency transactions will migrate to other altcoin blockchain networks that are faster, cheaper, and more efficient than the Bitcoin network.  In other words - bitcoins will become dinosaurs.

You heard it first hear folks.  Remember this day - December 28, 2022
newbie
Activity: 31
Merit: 0
Bitcoin investors will definitely look forward to an increase in the price of Bitcoin during the halving and a bull run to come. The demand for bitcoin should also increase, btc will be more popular around the world and it will be more valuable in the future.
member
Activity: 112
Merit: 121
We all know that the Bitcoin market never stops. But as we have seen for a long time, the Bitcoin market is always changing. It has been observed that if the Bitcoin market is at maximum pump for a few months, then the Bitcoin market decreases again. Just looking at the 2021 market shows how much Bitcoin was pumping. But currently in 2022 Bitcoin market has crashed a lot. But of course Bitcoin will increase again in the future but that will be in 2024. Bitcoin market analysis shows that the maximum change will occur in 2024 and the price of Bitcoin is likely to exceed $100k.
legendary
Activity: 3220
Merit: 1363
www.Crypto.Games: Multiple coins, multiple games
Totally agree with that. The times you are talking about is what we are living in now. I won't lie, I personally don't buy BTC these days, because my country is in a very harsh situation right now, no one can afford investing in other things than those of prime necessity. But it's obvious that BTC will reach a new ATH in a year or two, and people who buy it today will have a good return on their investment.

Bitcoin WILL reach a new All-time-high in price. The question is not IF, but rather WHEN it will rise in price again. Many are hoping BTC to go bullish after the halving of 2024, but there's no guarantee this will happen. Everything will depend on the situation of the global economy, for Bitcoin to go up in price. A lot of negative stuff happened during the course of 2022, so I believe it's going to take a little while before we're able to fill our pockets with money.

At least, Bitcoin won't be going anywhere soon. That's thanks to the way it was designed. As long as it doesn't turn centralized, we should have nothing to worry about. Just my opinion Smiley
legendary
Activity: 3374
Merit: 2198
I stand with Ukraine.
I agree. Just want to add that since we are talking about our expectations regarding the price of BTC, I want to say that I personally don't like when some Bitcoin supporters say "1 Bitcoin = 1 Bitcoin". Not that it's not true, but you can say the same about Zimbabwean dollar, or any other trash currency, you can say the same about any sh*tcoin, right?

If something worthy has a limited all-time supply, the price of that thing will be rising in the future. It will never be a smooth ride up, the road will be bumpy, but overall it can go only one way.

Bitcoin was designed to be a deflationary cryptocurrency, so technically speaking, it should go up in price over time. But that doesn't mean there will be setbacks along the way. There will be times where prices will go all the way down the drain due to unfortunate events in the mainstream world. That's the right moment to invest into Bitcoin before everything goes back up again. If you're smart, you'd buy and "hodl" until the tide is over. Weak hands (especially newbies) will ultimately sell their Bitcoin because they truly don't know how the crypto market works. At least, we know Bitcoin won't be going anywhere soon. Who knows if 10-20 years into the future, Bitcoin reaches $1m per coin? Just my thoughts Grin

Totally agree with that. The times you are talking about is what we are living in now. I won't lie, I personally don't buy BTC these days, because my country is in a very harsh situation right now, no one can afford investing in other things than those of prime necessity. But it's obvious that BTC will reach a new ATH in a year or two, and people who buy it today will have a good return on their investment.
sr. member
Activity: 1694
Merit: 268
Binance #SWGT dan CERTIK Audited
I agree. Just want to add that since we are talking about our expectations regarding the price of BTC, I want to say that I personally don't like when some Bitcoin supporters say "1 Bitcoin = 1 Bitcoin". Not that it's not true, but you can say the same about Zimbabwean dollar, or any other trash currency, you can say the same about any sh*tcoin, right?
The term "1 bitcoin = 1 bitcoin" remains only for bitcoin but is not worthy of saying the same thing for any other currency, the term above is not without reason because bitcoin has proven the direction of good movement based on the chart from the beginning of Bitcoin history. The holder often states the above term to motivate when the market is in the worst conditions and they are not panic because it believes when the Bullish market will change everything.
legendary
Activity: 3220
Merit: 1363
www.Crypto.Games: Multiple coins, multiple games
I agree. Just want to add that since we are talking about our expectations regarding the price of BTC, I want to say that I personally don't like when some Bitcoin supporters say "1 Bitcoin = 1 Bitcoin". Not that it's not true, but you can say the same about Zimbabwean dollar, or any other trash currency, you can say the same about any sh*tcoin, right?

If something worthy has a limited all-time supply, the price of that thing will be rising in the future. It will never be a smooth ride up, the road will be bumpy, but overall it can go only one way.

Bitcoin was designed to be a deflationary cryptocurrency, so technically speaking, it should go up in price over time. But that doesn't mean there will be setbacks along the way. There will be times where prices will go all the way down the drain due to unfortunate events in the mainstream world. That's the right moment to invest into Bitcoin before everything goes back up again. If you're smart, you'd buy and "hodl" until the tide is over. Weak hands (especially newbies) will ultimately sell their Bitcoin because they truly don't know how the crypto market works. At least, we know Bitcoin won't be going anywhere soon. Who knows if 10-20 years into the future, Bitcoin reaches $1m per coin? Just my thoughts Grin
legendary
Activity: 3374
Merit: 2198
I stand with Ukraine.
~
The problem is some people often jump to conclusions too quickly mostly to negative news, all they see is the worst happening, the world is crumbling.
During the Collapse of Mt. Gox btc was not this popular with so much support from different parts of the world, yet btc was able to fight back and break ath several times.
I think btc has already proven time and again that nothing can bring it down, not the collapse of any cex exchange. I hope people can see that and stop doubting the ability of this great tech to go back up.    

I agree. Just want to add that since we are talking about our expectations regarding the price of BTC, I want to say that I personally don't like when some Bitcoin supporters say "1 Bitcoin = 1 Bitcoin". Not that it's not true, but you can say the same about Zimbabwean dollar, or any other trash currency, you can say the same about any sh*tcoin, right?

If something worthy has a limited all-time supply, the price of that thing will be rising in the future. It will never be a smooth ride up, the road will be bumpy, but overall it can go only one way.
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