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Topic: 232 days before bitcoin block reward halving - page 5. (Read 5799 times)

sr. member
Activity: 481
Merit: 250
December 04, 2015, 08:10:56 AM
#29
Either BTC price increase double or miner difficulty drop half (maybe 30-40%). So efficient miner continue to mine like nothing happened. Sell your old miner now before its too late.
legendary
Activity: 3248
Merit: 1070
December 04, 2015, 07:53:24 AM
#28
Now is hash rate  590PH/s  how many people and companies have cheap energy from it? I'm sure that less than half.
1.There is only one decent company that manufactures miners-bitmain..thats problem
2.http://rigwarz.com/  S7~ 196 days + 200 usd/eu for  PSU+ any fees and price fluctuation BTC  if you have 0.12 usd per kW..not many people have that price..
3.so if nothing happens in your hardware(miners) so maybe you for 240 days start the plus income.... Cheesy
4. and then the com block halving... Cheesy Cheesy

This is a very delicate balance and may be impaired very easily..


apropo me the day before yesterday because of power outages and internet, burned ANOTHER my  antminer S5. But if you look in the thread where miners S5 are, you will see why and what is problem..i put there pictures and explain problems with S5 as many other people..
 This is problematic piece of hardware. I've had three pieces where one blade is dead and it is only at half power. because of the same problem!!! . s3 are great s5 is piece of sh*** cost me thousands and nothing****


even at 0.1 electricity and the profit 0.01 for a s7, this is still 0.3($120) with a consumption of 87, which mean that they are taking profit

they have plenty of margin witht he current value of bitoin, no need to worry
legendary
Activity: 3038
Merit: 4418
Crypto Swap Exchange
December 04, 2015, 07:48:25 AM
#27
Now is hash rate  590PH/s  how many people and companies have cheap energy from it? I'm sure that less than half.
1.There is only one decent company that manufactures miners-bitmain..thats problem
2.http://rigwarz.com/  S7~ 196 days + 200 usd/eu for  PSU+ any fees and price fluctuation BTC  if you have 0.12 usd per kW..not many people have that price..
3.so if nothing happens in your hardware(miners) so maybe you for 240 days start the plus income.... Cheesy
4. and then the com block halving... Cheesy Cheesy

This is a very delicate balance and may be impaired very easily..
The Chinese probably have half than the electricity cost you mentioned. The main problem you have here is that those chinese have bought ASICs in bulk and would almost certainly have discounts given their size. All of them aren't starting mining right now, they have started more than a year ago and most would've gotten ROI from it already.
sr. member
Activity: 293
Merit: 250
December 04, 2015, 07:38:50 AM
#26
Now is hash rate  590PH/s  how many people and companies have cheap energy from it? I'm sure that less than half.
1.There is only one decent company that manufactures miners-bitmain..thats problem
2.http://rigwarz.com/  S7~ 196 days + 200 usd/eu for  PSU+ any fees and price fluctuation BTC  if you have 0.12 usd per kW..not many people have that price..
3.so if nothing happens in your hardware(miners) so maybe you for 240 days start the plus income.... Cheesy
4. and then the com block halving... Cheesy Cheesy

This is a very delicate balance and may be impaired very easily..


apropo me the day before yesterday because of power outages and internet, burned ANOTHER my  antminer S5. But if you look in the thread where miners S5 are, you will see why and what is problem..i put there pictures and explain problems with S5 as many other people..
 This is problematic piece of hardware. I've had three pieces where one blade is dead and it is only at half power. because of the same problem!!! . s3 are great s5 is piece of sh*** cost me thousands and nothing****
sr. member
Activity: 574
Merit: 250
In XEM we trust
December 04, 2015, 06:27:15 AM
#25
What will happen? Here is what I think: SOME marginally profitable miners will shut down and you will see a small but noticeable drop in hash rate.

you will notice nothing...all is already regulated by the market
We won't notice any major changes in the bitcoin price but we will definitely notice a drop in the bitcoin hashrate.
The same happened with litecoin. The week after the halving there was like 10% drop in the difficulty. Wasn't around in bitcoin in the last halving but my guess would be that the same happened in bitcoin.
hero member
Activity: 616
Merit: 500
December 04, 2015, 06:24:37 AM
#24
Most likely, 1-2 months before the halfing Bitcoin price will start rising, I'm guessing by 60-70% but could be off some on that easy.

 At the halfing, we'll probably see a small dip on diff as folks that are paying attention realise their old mining gear has become unprofitable

 After, price will start drifting back down some - though I suspect it'll stay 40-50% higher than it was 2 months before the halfing - and a slow steady low diff increase period will begin, like first half of this year but longer - then the 14/16nm "full custom" generation will start showing up causing some big diff jumps again for a bit, then back down to "slow and steady diff climb" for a few years after that.



 Major news events or misestimates on timing will of course mess up the basis for this speculation.

There cannot be a small dip in the bitcoin hashrate, There has to be a large dip because many miners including the latest ones will become unprofitable for a while.
legendary
Activity: 1498
Merit: 1030
December 04, 2015, 06:21:39 AM
#23
Most likely, 1-2 months before the halfing Bitcoin price will start rising, I'm guessing by 60-70% but could be off some on that easy.

 At the halfing, we'll probably see a small dip on diff as folks that are paying attention realise their old mining gear has become unprofitable

 After, price will start drifting back down some - though I suspect it'll stay 40-50% higher than it was 2 months before the halfing - and a slow steady low diff increase period will begin, like first half of this year but longer - then the 14/16nm "full custom" generation will start showing up causing some big diff jumps again for a bit, then back down to "slow and steady diff climb" for a few years after that.



 Major news events or misestimates on timing will of course mess up the basis for this speculation.
hero member
Activity: 616
Merit: 500
December 04, 2015, 05:50:39 AM
#22
What will happen? Here is what I think: SOME marginally profitable miners will shut down and you will see a small but noticeable drop in hash rate.

you will notice nothing...all is already regulated by the market
We won't notice any major changes in the bitcoin price but we will definitely notice a drop in the bitcoin hashrate.
legendary
Activity: 1778
Merit: 1026
Free WSPU2 Token or real dollars
December 04, 2015, 05:43:05 AM
#21
What will happen? Here is what I think: SOME marginally profitable miners will shut down and you will see a small but noticeable drop in hash rate.

you will notice nothing...all is already regulated by the market
hero member
Activity: 616
Merit: 500
December 04, 2015, 05:41:45 AM
#20
Do people realize that block reward halving was something intended? It was created for a reason, if it was bad it wouldn't have been made. What happened to litecoin when the block reward was halved? Nothing, really abolutely nothing.
Many people don't realize this. If the block halving does not happen there will be no difference between bitcoin and fiat.
donator
Activity: 1617
Merit: 1012
December 04, 2015, 05:41:14 AM
#19
What will happen? Here is what I think: SOME marginally profitable miners will shut down and you will see a small but noticeable drop in hash rate.

Nothing immediate will happen to the price because the event has already been priced in.
hero member
Activity: 1064
Merit: 505
December 04, 2015, 05:23:05 AM
#18
Do people realize that block reward halving was something intended? It was created for a reason, if it was bad it wouldn't have been made. What happened to litecoin when the block reward was halved? Nothing, really abolutely nothing.
sr. member
Activity: 322
Merit: 250
December 04, 2015, 05:09:06 AM
#17
In the last block halving the price only went up. I am expecting to see a similar pattern this halving.

I am thinking the same thing.

I don't see why people are so afraid of bitcoin dying

It's not going to.
hero member
Activity: 616
Merit: 500
December 04, 2015, 03:50:00 AM
#16
In the last block halving the price only went up. I am expecting to see a similar pattern this halving.
legendary
Activity: 2310
Merit: 1422
December 04, 2015, 03:44:16 AM
#15
I used the wrong word: I wanted to say that we know halvings are part of the game, a necessary part of the bitcoin creation process. That was the sense: I'm sorry, reading it now did not make much sense that word.
hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 502
December 03, 2015, 08:57:24 AM
#14
I think it's just another signpost, an indicator that bitcoin is going strong and it has come a long way and has maintained it's popularity if not gained more. What I think will happen is the price might go slightly up as the demand remains the same and supply cuts in half but one thing that worries me is that mining will become more expensive since each block will contain half the quantity of what they had before and it might make mining more centralized from what it already is.
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 511
December 03, 2015, 05:48:45 AM
#13
We will see the creation of btc going down, that's what the halving is about: BTC is not going to die because of this. IT was conisdered as a part of the plan, we know the halvings are necessary, don't worry too much about them. Miners will keep on mining.

hi Karartma1 .

what do you mean with "necessary"Huh
legendary
Activity: 2310
Merit: 1422
December 03, 2015, 05:46:37 AM
#12
We will see the creation of btc going down, that's what the halving is about: BTC is not going to die because of this. IT was conisdered as a part of the plan, we know the halvings are necessary, don't worry too much about them. Miners will keep on mining.
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1427
December 03, 2015, 05:25:43 AM
#11
OP; The block halving will work out very well. Nothing bad will happen, don't worry. This is what gives more value to Bitcoin as currency. Worthless fiat currencies only get more worthless year after year as the governments are creating non existing money like there is no tomorrow. Bitcoin is supposed to bring a change, and that is what the halving will take care of. No more worthless creation of currency.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
★Bitvest.io★ Play Plinko or Invest!
December 03, 2015, 05:20:10 AM
#10
machines just get faster and faster... once it halves the price will go up and the asic lords will find a way to get 2x the speed to make
up for it lol.
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