China wont buy , they will just mine the shit out of it, and they will massively dump it for very small profit, do not forget that a major part of Chinese people gets only 150-200 $ salary pay for the hole month full time job . so 1 BTC is allot considering that, they will be just happy if they can mine it and profit only 10-20 $ a month of one BTC.
I don't think so. It's very difficult to get into mining today, GPU's are on their last legs, ASIC's are hard to find, and if ASIC's ever becomes readily available, profits from using them will be minimal as the difficulty adjust rapidly.
Like you said, the salary per month for the average Chinese is quite low. If they don't have money to throw away, how are they going to buy the mining gear?
Those who have money to spare (not necessarily tech savvy people) will just buy up some BTC's and play around with them instead of dealing with mining at all. You might have some large hands putting down a lot of money to buy some mining power but relatively few people be in the mining game nonetheless.
yes I do agree with you at some point, but do not forget that everything you are using now is made in china , if I pay 30 € for my keyboard that I am using it to reply to you, this doesn't mean it is worth that money, in china you can make it for 2 €, it will be funny if I say may be even less than 2 €.
you average HP or Apple or Dell device did cost the same as today 10 years ago when it was made in Europe or USA, the point that China is developing so fast they are making kick ass products, they even started replicating any product in market and sell it for 1/4 of the price.
Avalon was made there when BFL the US company was struggling to have a working design. the point is that I do expect a larger choice of ASICs with different quality and prices .
yes it will be always hard for a Chinese to buy an ASIC, but somehow I have the feeling that instead of buying some BTCs and hold to them. they will just start developing something that will pay even better in long term .