500$ - 30,000$ Gambling Challenge - page 2.

Betwrong

legendary

Activity: 3374

Merit: 2198

I stand with Ukraine.

It's been five days since the last post here. I'm wondering how it's going to develop.

No one is immune to bad luck, OP, so if you lost all-in betting with some 1.05 odds, or something like that, we can perfectly understand it. But please don't abandon this thread. Say something. I bet more than 10 people are following your challenge, so, any word from you would be greatly appreciated.

As scientific experimentalists put it: "A bad result is also a result". Wink

TopTort777

legendary

Activity: 2394

Merit: 1476

It will be a tragedy if OP makes an odd with 1,0x coefficient (which I call an easy bet or 99% win) and losses due to his all-in strategy.

Btw, TrumpBets, what is your best or most successful bet in you career?

Betwrong

legendary

Activity: 3374

Merit: 2198

I stand with Ukraine.

Quote from: Naida_BR on May 06, 2020, 03:47:29 PM

I think it is impossible to reach 30k with 500.
You are forced to do a lot of bets and as you gamble more you will be eventually lost. The profit you have made so fast 900 is a good one almost 2x. Now that leagues are going to start again you will be able to continue your challenge.

Looking at his current progress, it's not that impossible. He went from €508 to €6,184.44, that's more than 10x increase. Now he needs only 5x increase, and voila, the goal is achieved. So, the hard part is over, I'd say. What's left is to not bust all the winnings because of the bad luck.

Good luck, @TrumpBets!

It looks like you can really make it to the €30k.

TrumpBets

newbie

Activity: 21

Merit: 2

Quote from: TopTort777 on May 07, 2020, 07:00:12 AM

TrumpBets have missed May 6 post and I'm sure there were LoL and cs:go matches that day.
It is either he forgot to post, or his all-in tactics failed. Could be option Nr.2, because you cant just win for 13 days straight.

You can definitely have 13 consecutive winning days. Just need to be more selective.
There were lol and csgo games yesterday but none that i found valuable enough to include in my challenge.
I'm going to update less in May since most LoL leagues are on a break.

Quote from: DarkDays on May 06, 2020, 05:54:59 PM

So far you have already x15 your initial bankroll.

I think you should take your profits while you can, I doubt you'll be able to defy the odds for much longer.

Also, are these the only bets you have been placing in this time, or have you already been running others? That could be eating into your EV.

Setting a specific goal to reach in gambling is rarely a good idea.

I do make my own bets on the side, taking riskier lines but with proper bankroll manegement.
While in this challenge I opted for more valuable bets with aggressive BR approach.

TopTort777

legendary

Activity: 2394

Merit: 1476

TrumpBets have missed May 6 post and I'm sure there were LoL and cs:go matches that day.
It is either he forgot to post, or his all-in tactics failed. Could be option Nr.2, because you cant just win for 13 days straight.

milewilda

legendary

Activity: 3094

Merit: 1127

Quote from: DarkDays on May 06, 2020, 05:54:59 PM

So far you have already x15 your initial bankroll.

I think you should take your profits while you can, I doubt you'll be able to defy the odds for much longer.

Also, are these the only bets you have been placing in this time, or have you already been running others? That could be eating into your EV.

Setting a specific goal to reach in gambling is rarely a good idea.

I would definitely do that thing if i do able to reach x15 into my initial capital and i would feel nervous on each bet you would make since its an all in style.
Busting that thousands on a single bet will really leave you into that regretting situation.We should really have that kind of limit or profit taking
but it seems op is enjoying on what hes been doing.I can say that this one is one lucky fella but we all know that luck doesnt last forever. lol

hahay

legendary

Activity: 3486

Merit: 1055

Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform

Incredible, I really appreciate the way you bet. Whatever your choice I'm sure it is the best choice and has been considered, so keep doing your best and good luck. But I'm just worried if you end up losing everything, it doesn't hurt if you cash it maybe only a few percent of the profit, good luck once again. Cheers!

xSkylarx

hero member

Activity: 2352

Merit: 594

Quote from: imstillthebest on May 06, 2020, 06:01:29 AM

Quote from: TopTort777 on May 05, 2020, 08:41:52 AM

TrumpBets, after you have reached your goal, will you plan to continue or you will withdraw all the winnings ? Cheesy

So far you are doing great and gaining "x" more stable that cryptocurrency.

im sure he will stop and withdrew all his winning because he only state 30k usd .

he started small at 500 usd and his current balance now is at 4k usd which is already a good achievement . this guy do really have a skill but we dont know if he ever reach 30k usd because that is already a milestone achievement . im not worrying but what currency he use , stable or not but what im more worried about his run .

He actually did a huge progress compared to when he started this thread, and I wonder how longer will it take for him to reach his goal with the current situation, or of ever he can make it or not. If ever that was me I would have withdrawn my profit before I end up losing it. But since he has an aim and he is determined to do it due to his goal, I think it would be great to watch his progress as he goes achieving his goal.

DarkDays

legendary

Activity: 2030

Merit: 1189

So far you have already x15 your initial bankroll.

I think you should take your profits while you can, I doubt you'll be able to defy the odds for much longer.

Also, are these the only bets you have been placing in this time, or have you already been running others? That could be eating into your EV.

Setting a specific goal to reach in gambling is rarely a good idea.

Naida_BR

member

Activity: 980

Merit: 62

I think it is impossible to reach 30k with 500.
You are forced to do a lot of bets and as you gamble more you will be eventually lost. The profit you have made so fast 900 is a good one almost 2x. Now that leagues are going to start again you will be able to continue your challenge.

Gotumoot

sr. member

Activity: 1372

Merit: 261

Nice skill if you ever reach your goal I would consider doing this challenge too but I am not really good at betting so maybe a smaller capital and smaller goal with other types of gambling games.
But I think it would still be far from now since gambling is still out of my to do list and not really part of my budget since I don't have much right now.

imstillthebest

full member

Activity: 1638

Merit: 122

Quote from: TopTort777 on May 05, 2020, 08:41:52 AM

TrumpBets, after you have reached your goal, will you plan to continue or you will withdraw all the winnings ? Cheesy

So far you are doing great and gaining "x" more stable that cryptocurrency.

im sure he will stop and withdrew all his winning because he only state 30k usd .

he started small at 500 usd and his current balance now is at 4k usd which is already a good achievement . this guy do really have a skill but we dont know if he ever reach 30k usd because that is already a milestone achievement . im not worrying but what currency he use , stable or not but what im more worried about his run .

Betwrong

legendary

Activity: 3374

Merit: 2198

I stand with Ukraine.

Quote from: TrumpBets on May 05, 2020, 04:26:14 PM

Quote from: Betwrong on May 05, 2020, 08:18:02 AM

~

hey thanks for working that out lol
not sure if that's the best way to represent my bets but maybe it's an improvement?

Mate, me neither.

After all it's your bets and it's your thread. I'm almost sure the table can be improved. I just suggested to show all your progress since the beginning in each post for the convenience of the readers.

Quote from: TrumpBets on May 05, 2020, 04:26:14 PM

05/05/2020:

https://imgur.com/a/bW9R2iS

i took a couple days off from the challenge as i had some plans this weekend
came back strong today
happy of my two bets
missed one ldlc vs btxl, could have had 1k more but oh well it is what it is

current bankroll: 6184.44

Congrats on adding 40% to your bankroll since the last time! Man, you are doing great! Good Luck in the future!

TrumpBets

newbie

Activity: 21

Merit: 2

Quote from: Betwrong on May 05, 2020, 08:18:02 AM

Quote from: TrumpBets on May 03, 2020, 12:39:00 PM

~
i have posted an image of every bet that i made since the start of my challenge, so no bets are missing.
I will be using just this one account and i wont be withdrawing nor adding any money during this challenge
however i do make other bets on other platforms in the meantime which are not included in here

Bets on other platforms don't matter. What matters is the accuracy in the numbers regarding your betting on this platform. I checked all of them myself, and I can say that they are accurate so far.

For the convenience of the readers I decided to create the following table:

BET#. DATE - Initial bankroll -> Final bankroll

1. 25/04/2019 - 508.00 -> 677.33

2. 26/04/2019 - 677.75 -> 982.59

3. 27/04/2020 - 982.59 -> 1,375.62

4. 28/04/2020 - 1,375.62 -> 875.62

5. 28/04/2020 - 875.62 -> 1,425.62

6. 29/04/2020 - 1,425.62 -> 1,925.62

7. 30/04/2020 - 1,925.62 -> 2,550.62

8. 30/04/2020 - 2,550.62 -> 3,025.62

9. 30/04/2020 - 3,025.62 -> 2,775.62

10. 01/05/2020 - 2775.62 -> 3,083.33

11. 02/05/2020 - 3083.95 -> 3,508.95

12. 02/05/2020 - 3508.95 -> 4,446.45

Starting bankroll: 508.00
Current bankroll: 4,446.45

I think it would be great if you would post this table in the end of each post from now on(you can improve it of course

), adding new rows to it, so that the readers could see your progress without going through the whole thread.

hey thanks for working that out lol
not sure if that's the best way to represent my bets but maybe it's an improvement?

05/05/2020:

https://imgur.com/a/bW9R2iS

i took a couple days off from the challenge as i had some plans this weekend
came back strong today
happy of my two bets
missed one ldlc vs btxl, could have had 1k more but oh well it is what it is

current bankroll: 6184.44

TopTort777

legendary

Activity: 2394

Merit: 1476

TrumpBets, after you have reached your goal, will you plan to continue or you will withdraw all the winnings ? Cheesy

So far you are doing great and gaining "x" more stable that cryptocurrency.

Betwrong

legendary

Activity: 3374

Merit: 2198

I stand with Ukraine.

Quote from: TrumpBets on May 03, 2020, 12:39:00 PM

~
i have posted an image of every bet that i made since the start of my challenge, so no bets are missing.
I will be using just this one account and i wont be withdrawing nor adding any money during this challenge
however i do make other bets on other platforms in the meantime which are not included in here

Bets on other platforms don't matter. What matters is the accuracy in the numbers regarding your betting on this platform. I checked all of them myself, and I can say that they are accurate so far.

For the convenience of the readers I decided to create the following table:

BET#. DATE - Initial bankroll -> Final bankroll

1. 25/04/2019 - 508.00 -> 677.33

2. 26/04/2019 - 677.75 -> 982.59

3. 27/04/2020 - 982.59 -> 1,375.62

4. 28/04/2020 - 1,375.62 -> 875.62

5. 28/04/2020 - 875.62 -> 1,425.62

6. 29/04/2020 - 1,425.62 -> 1,925.62

7. 30/04/2020 - 1,925.62 -> 2,550.62

8. 30/04/2020 - 2,550.62 -> 3,025.62

9. 30/04/2020 - 3,025.62 -> 2,775.62

10. 01/05/2020 - 2775.62 -> 3,083.33

11. 02/05/2020 - 3083.95 -> 3,508.95

12. 02/05/2020 - 3508.95 -> 4,446.45

Starting bankroll: 508.00
Current bankroll: 4,446.45

I think it would be great if you would post this table in the end of each post from now on(you can improve it of course

), adding new rows to it, so that the readers could see your progress without going through the whole thread.

TrumpBets

newbie

Activity: 21

Merit: 2

Quote from: Betwrong on May 03, 2020, 10:35:15 AM

Quote from: deisik on April 29, 2020, 03:53:21 PM

~
I remember we have already discussed this matter, and recently you have been forwarded to my topic where I actually show real-life stats proving that after 100k bets luck, as the only force opposing the house edge, becomes utterly irrelevant and inconsequential. Simply put, 1 billion bets, whether made by a single player or by a crowd of countless players, is a massive overkill in this regard

Then how would you explain that some people are in overall profit after making millions of bets on dice sites? Do you think all of them are using some kind of sophisticated betting strategy, something like that "Martingale-DOGE" one of yours? Or how else could they beat the house edge, if not by pure luck?

Quote from: TrumpBets on May 03, 2020, 04:28:04 AM

bets from yesterday were a succes

02/05/2020:

https://imgur.com/a/m52Acvk

credit goes to fortbettor - I posted a link to his thread earlier (provided great analysis which convinced me to follow his line)
second bet played out perfectly, betted against Top's early game draft and JDGs late game comp. Couldn't have chosen a better odd for that game

current bankroll: 4446,45

You've been making a good progress so far. Congrats! Going to keep following this thread. Very interesting.

One question, though. Are the bets we can see in this thread constitute all of your bets made since the April 25 on that particular site, or some of them may be missed?

i have posted an image of every bet that i made since the start of my challenge, so no bets are missing.
I will be using just this one account and i wont be withdrawing nor adding any money during this challenge
however i do make other bets on other platforms in the meantime which are not included in here

deisik

legendary

Activity: 3514

Merit: 1280

English ⬄ Russian Translation Services

Quote from: Betwrong on May 03, 2020, 10:35:15 AM

Quote from: deisik on April 29, 2020, 03:53:21 PM

~
I remember we have already discussed this matter, and recently you have been forwarded to my topic where I actually show real-life stats proving that after 100k bets luck, as the only force opposing the house edge, becomes utterly irrelevant and inconsequential. Simply put, 1 billion bets, whether made by a single player or by a crowd of countless players, is a massive overkill in this regard

Then how would you explain that some people are in overall profit after making millions of bets on dice sites? Do you think all of them are using some kind of sophisticated betting strategy, something like that "Martingale-DOGE" one of yours? Or how else could they beat the house edge, if not by pure luck?

I replied to your post here

Betwrong

legendary

Activity: 3374

Merit: 2198

I stand with Ukraine.

Quote from: deisik on April 29, 2020, 03:53:21 PM

~
I remember we have already discussed this matter, and recently you have been forwarded to my topic where I actually show real-life stats proving that after 100k bets luck, as the only force opposing the house edge, becomes utterly irrelevant and inconsequential. Simply put, 1 billion bets, whether made by a single player or by a crowd of countless players, is a massive overkill in this regard

Then how would you explain that some people are in overall profit after making millions of bets on dice sites? Do you think all of them are using some kind of sophisticated betting strategy, something like that "Martingale-DOGE" one of yours? Or how else could they beat the house edge, if not by pure luck?

Quote from: TrumpBets on May 03, 2020, 04:28:04 AM

bets from yesterday were a succes

02/05/2020:

https://imgur.com/a/m52Acvk

credit goes to fortbettor - I posted a link to his thread earlier (provided great analysis which convinced me to follow his line)
second bet played out perfectly, betted against Top's early game draft and JDGs late game comp. Couldn't have chosen a better odd for that game

current bankroll: 4446,45

You've been making a good progress so far. Congrats! Going to keep following this thread. Very interesting.

One question, though. Are the bets we can see in this thread constitute all of your bets made since the April 25 on that particular site, or some of them may be missed?

TrumpBets

newbie

Activity: 21

Merit: 2

bets from yesterday were a succes

02/05/2020:

https://imgur.com/a/m52Acvk

credit goes to fortbettor - I posted a link to his thread earlier (provided great analysis which convinced me to follow his line)
second bet played out perfectly, betted against Top's early game draft and JDGs late game comp. Couldn't have chosen a better odd for that game

current bankroll: 4446,45

Topic: 500$ - 30,000$ Gambling Challenge - page 2. (Read 1139 times)