In case you missed it
Hearn's Bitcoin XT is out. If it gets 75% of the hashing power, it will fork away from the Core chain. Part of their argument is that if this happens, everyone who is against XT will surrender and abandon the Core chain.
In June I posted a topic analyzing the possibilities for the Core chain to continue with a minority of the hashing power:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/optimal-hard-fork-survival-strategies-1097608tldr: It's doable, but difficult.
An interesting counteroffensive is "Not XT":
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/not-bitcoin-xt-1154520It's a client that pretends to be for the fork when it actually isn't. The idea is that when the fork happens, the XT fork will actually have less than 75% hashing power. Presumably Core would have enough hashing power to survive, and possibly even enough to outrun the XT chain.
The "Not XT" fork gave me another idea for a counteroffensive. There could be a "Core Defense" fork. I'll call it Bitcoin CD, or just CD. This fork would not vote for XT, but would keep up with the votes for XT. If the 75% threshold is met, CD will respond by dropping the difficulty by a large amount (perhaps after or during the 2 week XT grace period). For example, there could be a one time difficulty drop so that the CD chain could easily continue with only 5% of the hashing power.
If such a Bitcoin-CD fork were created and deployed, then it changes the dynamic of the votes for XT. Right now people are voting for XT under the assumption that it will kill the Core chain. If CD got even a very small percentage of mining support, it would make it clear that if XT reaches 75%, then there will
definitely be
at least two chains. Most people agree that if more than one chain survives it will be a bad situation. This might incentivize miners not to help XT reach 75% in the first place.
(I don't think XT will reach 75% of hashing power anyway, but thought I'd share the Bitcoin-CD idea.)
This is great. I think core taking steps to protect itself is the way to go. Great work, guys. The idea of CD difficulty drop is also a good one. This is important work to make core defensible.