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Yeah right now if you have an okay amount of gear and want more you are better off doing Newegg shuffle and hoping for a gpu.
For you in the US maybe, for
us is a disaster, unless you go for a rx6700 and pay 1200euros you have to settle for 1050ti or an 1660 forgotten on stock, and the prices are hilarious sometimes, the 1050ti goes for 400 euros twice as much as when it was a brand new card.
But unlike in the asics business, Nvidia can produce easily millions of cards unless we see another insane surge in the price of altcoins probably the madness will stop, but god knows, I anticipated a lot of things and none came true
Back to bitcoin...
I wonder if this insane profit margin will fuel the theory of miners helping the overall price by not dumping to pay for electricity and other costs, at these rates you can easily cover the cost with a fraction of the income and not forced to liquidate like in the past.
It's still ~960 daily coins, (last24h) $60 million that are not completely hitting the exchanges....again, speculations, speculations
Yeah. I mine
BTC
ETH
LTC/DOGE
BCH
OCTOPUS
KAPOW
everything is designed on getting more BTC
So gpus on ebay in usa at stupidly high 2x prices are a bargain compared to s19pros.
so buy a gpu at 2x msrp mine eth convert to cash and btc is simply far better to do
than buying the s19pro on ebay or at blokforge. blokforge had some s19pros at 16500. add tax and shipping I got to just under 18000 for 1 s19pro
it makes 38 cents a th or 110 x 38 = $41.80 it burns 80 kwatts or 4 dollars that is 38 a day or 474 days to break even. It is pretty loud it is hot. it needs a custom psu.
Which at the cost it is you should order the psu for it just in case . say 500 more
I went to uk ebay and I see nvidia 3070 gpus for about. £1300 so 10 = £13000 = 17900 usd. tack on 500 for 2 mobos plus etc
and 18500 for the gpus vs 18000 for the s19pro
you get 600 mh or 600 x 19 cent that is 60 usd a day in eth auto vert to btc
power is under 50 kwatts or under 3 a day at 5 cent power
60 usd - 3 = 57 a day
18500/57 = 324 days to break even for 2 five card rigs
18500/38 = 474 days to break even for 1 s19pro and a spare psu
lets see with gpus you may or may not have the warranty since you got them on ebay
the gpus have resale value
the asic you have the crappy warranty service for 6 months.
but roi is 324 days vs 474 days.
this is directly affecting btc hashrate. as resources are diverting to gpus
https://etherscan.io/chart/hashrate. from 269 nov 17 2020 to 539 apr 13 2021 about 100%
https://www.blockchain.com/charts/hash-rate. from 126 nov 17 2020 to 169 apr 13 2021 about 34%
remember the chip shortage will force choices on how to expand
I am going to check out merge mining of LTC/DOGE
and see if the hash rate has grown like ETH or like BTC
LTC was 171 on nov 17 2020
LTC is now 288 on apr 14 2021 or about 68% up
Doge was 191 on Nov 17 2020
Doge is now 285 on Apr 15 2021 or up about 49%
So BTC diff nov 2020 to April 2021 + 33%
Doge diff nov 2020 to April 2021 + 49%
LTC diff nov 2020 to April 2021 + 68%
ETH diff nov 2020 to April 2021 +100%
So it looks like a lot of people are doing what I do.
Mining the coins that gets the most $ per watt
Then convert it to some fiat for bills and some BTC
Now when you look at merge mined LTC/Doge more diff increases than BTC. less than ETH
and the reason is LTC/Doge makes more per watt than an s19pro
but less per watt than gpu rigs.
you can get 2 l3+ for about 1000 usd
so you can get 36 for about 18000 usd
that would be 18gh
it would burn 648 kwatts
earn 112 usd in ltc
earn 96 usd in doge
208 -33 = 175 a day
18,000/175 = 102 days. this looks best. but that is because doge has jumped to 12-13 cents.
I suspect more growth here except chip short age will slow it.
So when you look at it all.
any of the three are good to mine
but
ETH and or LTC/Doge are clearly more bang for the buck than BTC asics.
It should be interesting to watch this over the next 2-4 months.
~
By applying a simple cumulative distribution function of blocks found between 60 and 120 mins intervals we get
exp(−60/10)−exp(−120/10) = 0.24%, by pure luck you mean great luck?
.
You, you...you!
Now, just read a topic about
another mess in China with power failures do toe coal mines accidents, I know some of the guys reading around here are more knowledgeable about the things happening there, how much of that is true?
The difficulty prediction is a mess:
Please forgive me if posted junk info based on what I saw on cryptothis.
Common bro, don't be like that, makes me feel like an a**!
I was just asking where you got that as obviously since I was watching that at different times than you I got some other numbers, plus I thought the first time the whole retarget was 7% and I was like, whaaat!?!
People are moving gear to BCH. It is up 29%
https://www.viabtc.com/. check the numbers
say you own a s19pro 110th
so 110th x 0.3713 = 40.843 usd worth of btc
or 110th x 0.4564 = 50.204 usd worth of bch
mine direct to coinbase convert to btc and you gain 25% rather than mining btc direct.
This is one of the reasons thinking btc only is fine for stacking a coin. but
what you mine to get that btc needs to be flexible. and
40 usd a day vs 50 usd a day is a big difference for 1 machine.
https://diff.cryptothis.com/Latest Block: 679539 (13 minutes ago)
Current Pace: 79.0516% (148 / 187.22 expected, 39.22 behind)Previous Difficulty: 23137439666472.05
Current Difficulty: 23581981443663.85
Next Difficulty: between 18659038009141 and 22733651728131
Next Difficulty Change: between -20.8759% and -3.5974%
Previous Retarget: Yesterday at 3:40 PM (+1.9213%)
Next Retarget (earliest): April 30, 2021 at 4:15 AM (in 13d 5h 23m 24s)
Next Retarget (latest): May 3, 2021 at 8:42 AM (in 16d 9h 50m 8s)
Projected Epoch Length: between 14d 12h 35m 35s and 17d 17h 2m 20s
This would be quite amazing to get a 20% drop and have BTC go to 75K
We can dream.
But I do see
BTC at 37.8 cents a th
BCH at 47.68 cents a th
26.5% better to mine BCH at the Moment.
No idea where he's getting it from, but I wish all this shitcoin crap would go back to the parts of the forum where it belongs.
unfortunately it is directly affecting BTC difficulty.
those numbers are all viabtc payout numbers.
If bitmain only built BTC gear.
I can see your point but they don't.
If bitmain only had BTC cloud I could see you point but they don't
If all other coins did not exist and could not be traded on the same exchanges as BTC I could see your point.
If you truly believe that $$$ per watt is meaningless to BTC difficulty I would agree with you.
But I will give it a rest.
Here is the chart I get for payouts for coins from via btc
at this moment in time eth mining is the best way to covert power into cash and or btc
with LTC/Doge the second best
Well if power available is being dropped to Chinese Miners.
And they have multiple kinds of gear. But 20 percent less power what do they turn off?
A s19pro burning 3300 watts to make 40 usd
or
a shit coin asic machine burning 3300 watts to earn 270 usd.
Both units earn money.
but one earns 6.5 x the money for the same power.
These are real examples of real gear that does exist .
China is short power.
Btc gear is being shut down.
I as a USA miner may soon see a 23% boost in my btc earnings.
Current Pace: 76.8564% (282 / 366.92 expected, 84.92 behind)
This current pace number and the difficulty's still going down to the point where even this snapshot is not accurate anymore, so I can only assume farms are still shutting down their BTC gear (the altcoins dump of late did not help either).
Can someone kindly explain to me what these bold numbers are referring to?sure if we were at 0% diff or flat we would be at 366 or 367 blocks
since we are -23% we are at 282 blocks about 84 or 85 blocks short.
since bitmain has the largest cloud ops in the world and they now have restricted power availability they have to choose the most profitable miner at watts .
the most profitable gear is not any sha256 know to exist.
so while the s19pro makes money it makes 33 to 35 usd for 3300 watts
there are pieces of gear that make 250 usd for 3300 watts.
if you are bitmain and you are a business you pick the gear that makes the most usd per watt.
so i care fully edited this to not say what gear makes 250 usd for 3300 watts.but this is why btc diff dropped a lot.
1) a shortage of power in china due to coal
2) bitmain the worlds largest builder of asics choosing to use the gear that earns the most usd per watt
3) bitmain has made three huge cloud mining deals this year.
I get why some want the mining section to be for btc. Not alt coins.
But btc is not in a vacuum so I am trying to create a way to incorporate satoshi's idea of turning power into why there are multiple
competing coins. All these coins compete the worlds available power.
The genii is out of the bottle. I am going to open a diff thread in alt coins rather then buck the system here.
link
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.56812967