I did some simple math to figure out the Annual Return rate on dividends once we have 6TH/S up and running.
First of all, lets make two assumptions in this scenerio:
.005 share price
Avalon clones are up and running in September
Difficulty doubles in 1 month from now (~60,000,000)
Ken would mine 50 BTC/day over a 24 hour period
or 350 BTC/week
350 BTC / 10,000,000 shares = .000035BTC / share weekly dividend
.000035BTC x 52 weeks = .00182BTC/share annual dividend total
.00182BTC/share anually is 36.4%
Okay, now that we have established 36.4% Annual Return, I'm going to describe why I fucking love this number.
36.4% annual return in bitcoin land is what we would expect from a company based on what they currently have, in this case it will be the Avalon clones about a month from now.
What I'm saying is that, even if this eASIC project were to be flushed down the shitter at this very moment, we could survive with a very healthy return on the Avalons alone!
This is why I view the eASIC deal as ICING ON THE CAKE. We're not talking about your regular icing, though. We're talking about 100 feet of thick creamy frosty icing with hundred dollar bills sticking out.
This is one hell of a fucking cake, ladies and gentlemen.
Look at a company like BASICmining, their share value reflected their current equipment without any kind of development of their own.
You don't look at it and say "Oh this won't be profitable a year from now!". Obviously every company is going to attempt to adapt, whether it be purchasing new equipment or making their own, but so far I have noticed that current hashrate is the dominating factor of share value.
I should have added one last assumption:
"The company continues to adapt to increasing difficulty through various means".
Same with ASICminer. You don't base your annual return projection on a constant hashrate for an entire year. You expect them to continue growing, but the current hashrate is all you can base the true value on as adaptations aren't as predictable.
In the end, the current dividends are what matters to people, and from there you can only make guesses on the miners ability to maintain this. 36% is incredible.
I like the way you think, VE.
