Do you have any calculations or graphic analyzes that prove what you are trying to say here? I don't know, but many are still optimistic about 100K USD before the end of this year, and given the current situation, we still have promises of good volatility.
I do not think bitcoin can rise to $10000 before 2024. What I think can cause this is next halving fomo. If it happens like that, then history still repeats itself.
So far we have not seen a correction of 80% and therefore it is difficult to rely on historical data.
Yes, the market is still having around 24% correction, there should still be more.
Day traders can make money too especially the swing traders who wait for the right time and execute their trades because market is swinging at particular price range so if you simply hold until the price dip or bump means you are wasting the time from a traders point of view.
Also Bitcoin is gaining more popularity due to the war situations which already made people to dump their money into something decentralized.
Day trading and swing trading are different but I understand what you are trying to say but we should make new traders to be clear of what we are saying for them not to make mistake.
Ukraine bought bitcoin, the price increased. Ukriane wants exchanges to freeze Russian accounts, bitcoin price decrease a little as some Russians sold their coins.