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Topic: An interesting article - Why BTC price has gone down Sept 18 (Read 3604 times)

legendary
Activity: 1582
Merit: 1064
Too funny. Watch the action today between Alibaba open and BTC price, seems to confirm this hypothesis. Lol talk about the hot money

The number of asset classes are way too many. Why try to correlate just 2 investment options?
hero member
Activity: 2147
Merit: 518
I guess price will rise because ASICs are getting down to below 20 nm like the rest of chips. Most of the gains have been from going down the nm scale. Once we hit the limits in terms of nanometers as we have on other charts, the hash rate climb should slow a little bit.
legendary
Activity: 1450
Merit: 1013
Cryptanalyst castrated by his government, 1952
Yes, it's an interesting article. My first thought is "what does Sembro want out of this" (I don't know).

From their homepage:

"When the price of bitcoin plummeted due to the Mt. Gox incident, we were worried that it may be nearing the end so we started developing mobile games and have several planned releases for Q3 of 2014.  We have also been developing some very detailed bitcoin software which is set to be released in early August 2014. As you can tell from our above mentioned journey, we are a very flexible and adaptable company that learns fast and spends the extra time necessary to produce quality products."

https://www.sembrodevelopment.com/

One still has to think for oneself. My head hurts.                      Wink

Please forgive the bump. I was still wondering what Sembro wanted to accomplish in publicizing their Alibaba claim - why not keep it to themselves, for example, in order to exploit their alleged market insight. I still do not know, but their home page suggests it is (at least) an attempt to get their name brand into the media buzz cycle. If nothing else, it is a nice example of stoking contemporary media machinery. From their site:

Article: “Bitcoin Price Drop Theory” by: Ian Worrall President of Sembro Development

Links:

    CNBC Money: http://www.cnbc.com/id/102016503
    Yahoo Finance: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-tanks-alibaba-blame-152132863.html
    Silicon Angle: http://siliconangle.com/blog/2014/09/19/is-the-alibaba-ipo-why-bitcoins-market-price-is-dropping/
    Bitcoin Magazine: http://bitcoinmagazine.com/16481/bitcoin-price-dropped-today/
    Crypto Coin News: http://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/alibabas-us-ipo-may-have-crashed-the-bitcoin-price/
    VC Fundamentals: http://vcfundamentals.com/News_Story.php?id=41
    Altcoin Today: http://www.altcointoday.com/excellent-bitcoin-price-drop-theory-by-ian-worrall/

Source: https://www.sembrodevelopment.com/media/

In general, I react to news items by first analyzing why and how the item is presented to a target audience rather than jumping directly to analyzing the nature of the content. ymmv, of course.



legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1014
In Satoshi I Trust
"normal" people had not even a chance to buy that stock. the story is bullshit.
member
Activity: 89
Merit: 10
Too funny. Watch the action today between Alibaba open and BTC price, seems to confirm this hypothesis. Lol talk about the hot money
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1074
All I know, China has banned this forum!

Someone pissed them off or they saw how much of their citizens have BTC stored and are trying to prevent more people, to adopt BTC.

The blockchain.info site is not banned, so they can still transact with that.

How happy am I that I live in a country with freedom of speech and a choice what I can do with my online life.  Grin
hero member
Activity: 938
Merit: 1000
that was a quite interesting article
so it's not because of the diff factor
i heard some of people say price down because diff is rising

newbie
Activity: 56
Merit: 0
Alibaba is huge in china. it will surpass facebook. Btc will recover.
legendary
Activity: 1582
Merit: 1064
People always rationalize price movements by trying to correlate it with some news story.  Smiley
sr. member
Activity: 288
Merit: 250
In fact, Chinese people can not buy BABA IPO.

And bitcoin price go down has little relation with BABA IPO.

legendary
Activity: 1067
Merit: 1000
Small investors should be glad they are not able to participate in "pump and dump" IPO.

If the company profit and expected growth can justify the price, do you think Jack Ma and early investors/founders will try to cash out and make it a public company?
hero member
Activity: 1008
Merit: 502
So, some Chinese are opting to take a ~20% lost to covert to fiat so that they can in turn enter a regulated exchange to hopefully garner a 5%(?) profit via purchasing, then selling Alibaba.

Did I nail it, or should I take a 2x4 to my head?

They are not taking a loss in their sell off, their sell off is based on the miner equipment they sell on a site called (Ironically) Alibaba.com which is intertwined with AliExpress, where the merchants there sell miners that are manufactured for 150 dollars, they sell them for 1000 to 1500 at release and even now months after the release sell them for 800 to 900 dollars making HUGE profits, and they not only accept bitcoins as transactions they advise it and push buyers to use BTC instead of cash. (I know thats where I buy all my equipment cause its cheaper than anywhere else for me in the Philippines) These investors have had these coins for a long long time, already dumped what they needed to pay for the machines they have manufactured and have just been sitting on the rest of the coins waiting for an opportunity to dump and invest in something else. Not to mention the machines they have already paid the overhead for are just sitting in a room mining for them until someone purchases them. The chinese are very smart economists they support each others and the future of china with hopes of a first rated economy with the most futuristic financial plan. they dont care what country they destroy, they care about only themselves and their people. China has wishes to rule the world and be the number one power country not thru weapons or violence but the fear that comes with a countries economic collapse. And so far (as we can see) they are succeeding very well.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 251
Knowledge its everything
I bet this only for while
In few weeks the price will up to about $500 again  Smiley

But, BTC Chine become big exchanger now  Shocked
I don't know why people care about IPO

I should buy some bitcoin now, but i don't have enough money  Sad
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
‘Try to be nice’
Chinese investors like to participate the IPO. If they are lucky enough, one time, two times returns are easy. This is great opportunity for any individual trader. This is why they prefer to invest this type of IPO  no matter how much % loss from selling bitcoin holding.

http://www.ibtimes.com/alibaba-ipo-winners-losers-1690772

Chinese investors are very limited in the extent to which they can participate in the Alibaba IPO, due to restrictions imposed by the Chinese government on the purchase of foreign equities. Zhou Nushi, a retired factory worker in Shanghai told the Financial Post. “I’m a little confused about why you can’t invest in a Chinese company if you’re Chinese.” Institutional investors and the ultra-rich however, can take advantage of the IPO through alternate avenues. “For institutional investors, they have some ways to get around the government's currency controls. Some funds have already been prepared for the Alibaba IPO for a long time. “Even though those opportunities are available, they are only for the ultra-wealthy Chinese, not the ordinary Chinese investor,” said Professor Anthea Yan Zhang.

I can absolutely confirm that this is because of Ali baba but not the Chinese online auction giant -

its the cures of the real Ali Baba, Bitcoin is cursed.

this is becasue it's talk like a pirate day.
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 250
alibaba thing doesn't seem to be the case. I see dumps happen first on BTC-E and then Huobi follows the price drop. So its not chinese who's causing the price drop
Regardless of where the bitcoin is being sold from (both geographically and which exchange) the alibaba IPO has nothing to do with bitcoin. There is little overlap between investors in Chinese companies and investors in bitcoin (IMO).
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
What we are experiencing is called stealth phase.
sr. member
Activity: 468
Merit: 250
J
I would assume with a generally smaller market cap in comparison to powerful hedge funds and investors that it may be much easier than one thinks to tank the price downward.

It works for people on the fence with the technology and that don't understand it. Any well informed bitcoiner isn't upset by these price swings. However, those who do not fully comprehend the technology and our currently on the fence would be apprehensive about getting involved with these chaotic price swings.

It's the only thing that makes sense to me as there has been nothing but good news coming out of the press lately especially, with the paypal news. My thoughts are it's insidious forces. Ya know some have said some of these interests have crashed world currencies. So, you think bitcoin couldn't be the same. I say stand firm.
sr. member
Activity: 254
Merit: 1258
alibaba thing doesn't seem to be the case. I see dumps happen first on BTC-E and then Huobi follows the price drop. So its not chinese who's causing the price drop
Well no duh everyone is trying to get in on the alibaba ipo, not just the chinese it's on the US market and many are dumping coins for shares of the IPO.
full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
alibaba thing doesn't seem to be the case. I see dumps happen first on BTC-E and then Huobi follows the price drop. So its not chinese who's causing the price drop
sr. member
Activity: 248
Merit: 250
Too funny. Watch the action today between Alibaba open and BTC price, seems to confirm this hypothesis. Lol talk about the hot money  Roll Eyes
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