Meanwhile, Etherium is an open source project; after changing to PoS, nothing stops others to create a clone with much lower fuel price. All users can easily switch as long as the VM is compatible. Therefore, we can expect the fuel will always be low, and so is the ETH price in long term, for etherium to be successful.
Any thoughts? I wish someone could prove I am wrong and then I could spend more on ETH investing.
Alright sure, but 72 million of ETH is not really a massive number. I understand your concern if there would be 10 billion in the market. But as it divisible as Bitcoins, it would be the same scenario. If tomorrow Bitcoin becomes massively adopted then 100 bits would be a lot when now it's nothing, same concept here.
1, the main usage of BTC is payment and store of value, not fuel of smart contract. only transferring costs money.
While ETH is need to do everything related in smart contracts, much more than transferring.
2, more importantly, as a PoW coin, there's no possibility to clone a BTC due to its huge hashing rate.
While Etherium can be easily copied after it changed to PoS.
You could be right... or you could be the next Kodak...
I think, that Bitcoin has currently more clones, than Ethereum.
But that still doesn't make it Ethereum, just like LTC or NMC isn't Bitcoin.
It's all about the size of the userbase and development. Clones will always be a step behind on ETH development.
The only thing left to protect Etherium is just user base, just like any open source project. I don't think this protection alone can protect ETH to rise to $100.