Is there a Slack channel for Lykke? Seems like the most traded asset on Lykke is SLR but it's hard to determine buys vs sells. On a side note why is the price of LKK dropping?
Yes, there is a slack but it's not a public slack. The telegram-channel is public and also team members are quite active there:
https://telegram.me/joinchat/AEGiqkF-_dNaHMwQbRSnAgBut there are thoughts about setting up a community-slack.
Why the price is dropping: I believe there are two reasons:
1) Some sold LKK to have money to buy into the 1YLKK-forward
2) Bitcoin rise. On Polo it was a bloodbath today about 95% in deeply red (still is, but it looks a little bit better now).
Like I mentioned in an earlier message I started to sold BTC to hedge in case of an incoming and also to take some profits. Buying altcoins is not really an alternative since when BTC dumps or pumps, altcoins suffer in terms of fiat, look at Factom for example. Even if BTC dumps it will never regain its fiat price since that money is out of crypto. Selling for fiat directly doesn't really interest me, so purchasing Lykke shares is a great stable shelter. Since I started buying the fiat price hardly moved compared to other altcoins. I understand we could see $4 per LKK share but that for me only means it will be very undervalued.
A company like this can have revenue of up to 50-100 million dollars per year easily just in the upcoming years. A very (VERY) modest 12 million revenue per year basically means $1 in dividends per Lykke share...
I also believe that Lykke can become very valuable, maybe even much faster than people seem to expect now - not weeks of course, but over the next 12 months there will be a lot of very obvious progress. And if we think in years --> time should really be on Lykke's side.
Regarding the Alt-Market: I don't find much pattern lately. Over the years there were different dynamics but they've changed pretty fast. And I believe we see a changing market right now and that the uncertainty is a sign for a change. That includes Bitcoin. There is an up-trend but there are also a lot of uncertainties (PBoC and new rules on chinese exchanges), the Winklevoss-ETF turns out as a gamble to bet on, and what I believe is really serious while totally uncertain: "Scaling-War".
Factom: It's hurtful lately ;-) I really don't get it how people can sell it below $3. The M2 rollout is absolutely not like everybody hoped for but there is no doubt that they will handle that and considered it's potential it already could be 100% higher in my opinion, especially if compared to some Top-10 projects.
I think the problem with Factom is that there are some whales who can move the price up and down during these pnds. There's also not a strong community behind like Ethereum for example since the project is also less ambitious in some ways. I think Lykke price is decoupled from BTC already in a way that it will always fluctuate close to 0.04-0.05 CHF/USD at least for now. I guess it can go lower but the company already have offices, trademark, apps already working perfectly, that is what a company marketcap is worth. In most projects you are buying a token/coin not a share in the company, there's no dividends, no offices, no trademarks so price is much more speculative.
The current Bitcoin rally to me it's nothing more than ETF hype/pump and it will correct to below 1k soon enough. In my opinion there's zero chance the ETF gets approved and it would be a huge surprise if the contrary happens. The price will blow past $1500 and could even touch $2k if that was the case. I'm trying to take profits on every peak since I don't have much faith on the ETF to pass so I'm sure it will eventually dump.
If the ETF gets approved well I'm guessing we all have a long term BTC stash...
Factom: Yes, that is true. I'm one of the lucky early birds myself and back in 2015 it wasn't too known and compared to today much cheaper to become a whale. And some are so much in profit and have so much that they are able to sell and to keep it down with that. But I also believe that there are some strategic manipulations at least sometimes. The latest decrease might be more a combi of rising BTC and M2-problems. But the community is growing. Much more active (but more on slack now) then 8-12 months back.
LKK-price: Since LKK is traded on Lykke and attracted more long-term-focused people instead of those who try to make a quick buck through waiting for a Polo-pump it's of course more stable. Plus: Lykke uses algotrading that also has some stabilizing effect. And yes, I believe it's unlikely to drop much. At least in mid-term I expect a rising price because there is so much to come that will impress. Traffic and App-downloads are also increasing and I hope for an explosion some time in 2017 ;-)
Bitcoin: I'm really not sure what it is. Of course, the ETF seems to play a major role but the predictions are not positive. That's why I don't understand the current rally. If you look here for example:
The Bitcoin ETF Will Be Rejected According to Prediction Markets
https://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/the-bitcoin-etf-will-be-rejected-according-to-prediction-markets/But, of course: not facts, just betting.
Yes actually this is the article that convinced me:
http://www.etf.com/sections/features-and-news/bitcoin-etfs-dummiesTo me there's now way the ETF pass however we must admit that after Trump anything's possible and now that we are on that matter, there are a lot of powerful people around him who are very pro Bitcoin. If it passes well, we all win since I assume most here hold BTC hehe.
Anyway, regarding Lykke future, I've read what they have in store for both the near and long term and it's very exciting, everything they've released so far has been flawless so that's why my recent interested on it. The previous ICO was badly timed (just luck of course) with the huge BTC rally but I know there's plenty of potential here.
I wanted to ask you about CDFs, I know they will be focusing first on FX markets, but CDFs are huge too, do you know if they are planning to implement them this year or in the short term? Being able to buy Apple or Amazon stocks (well not really, CDFs hehe) with "crypto" would be mindblowing and is the reason why we are so excited about this project and others in the current blockchain landscape.