Hi there dev, this looks very promising. Trading bot for cryptos. However, this kind of tech will surely rise some eyebrows especially to those people who are critical to trading bots.
Trading bots as far as I know, are also heavily used by trading companies and banks to trade for the money of investors in their institutions. And the results varied but it's around 8% to 25% win per day. Sometimes they are even better than real humans. Because humans are emotional people, they are easily affected by what's happening in his environment. While bots they are not affected by any outside noise. They only read the graph and the algorithm, and they get smarter and smarter.
I have some questions myself. Does this tech (trading bots) will run alongside with real people also trading in your system or will it only be all trading bots?
Will there be time that the bot will lost some trades? In the event that it will happen, what will happen to the money of investors? Is there a backup plan in such events?
Hello gliridian,
Thanks for your questions.
First of all, when you compare returns or performance, you have to compare the associated risk also, measured by volatility or max drawdowns among other. Otherwise you can’t infer anything, since with adequate leverage you can target a given return (almost let say to not go too far in this direction). This being said, the 8% to 25% daily perf is pretty insane and corresponds more surely to an exception.
However, we totally agree on your analysis of bots versus human and you can check the graph I posted earlier that shows that. To be more precise, when you write that the bots are getting smarter and smarter, you refer to a subset of the trading bots that corresponds to trading bots based on machine learning. But the set of trading bots is wider than that and we do deterministic trading bots that perform very well.
To answer your questions: trading bots will be the only ones giving the trading signals, whereas for the execution it could be necessary to have human. There may be some additional performance to earn there too, in what we call money management.
Of course, there will be time where bots and DAFs will lose money. In such case, the investors will lose money. But, to be more specific, our trading bots, in the past, have lost money, but have gained it back quite quickly in general. There are two classic measures for this risk: the max drawdowns (in % ->how much did you lose since the last highest value) and the time to recovery (in days -> how long do you wait to recover the amount of money you have lost). When the NPX token holders or the DAF token holders choose a trading bots, we will provide them with several indicators, including these two ones, so that they can embed them in their thinking when choosing a bot. You can see the historical values of theses indicators on our trading bots in the blackpaper.
At last, as you may have noticed, we don’t intend to create only one DAF, but several. And several over non-correlated underlying assets. Therea are several reasons for that. But one reason is to give the opportunity to investors to hedge themselves by investing on several asset classes and to diversify their investments. So that, when some DAF may lose, most of them may earn money. The expectation is highly positive.
Hope it is clearer!