The impact of the ETF on bitcoin is huge and if this news is true, it is entirely possible that we will see bitcoin prices reach $80K or more very soon. But this also reminds me of something: in the past, many people thought ETFs were useless and they didn't take them seriously . But now what, everyone is watching the money flowing into bitcoin through ETFs every day as this is the biggest catalyst for bitcoin price to reach a higher ATH. I think the impact of the ETF has surpassed and is greater than the impact of the halving.
You are giving too much credence to the ETF in my opinion, the market acted positively beyond the ETF inflow itself, but the market feelings (psychology). First, I do not know anyone who will take an advancing opportunity in the cryptocurrency space for granted, it is obvious that the ETF is a plus for Bitcoin and would help the price to rise no matter how little. Nonetheless, the thing I know is that the market acted purely psychologically in the second half of 2023 rather than what people think of it. Had it been the ETF was filed for approval in 2022, it would have been a different story compared to what happened in 20. The effect would never have been like what we witnessed, so giving too much credence to the ETF due to the FOMO in the market is not so worth it, the main credence should have been left for the true effect when there are inflows through the ETF companies.
For better clarity, the market is funny, could you believe that an ordinary rumour could be so impactful in the market that people would be so surprised at what happened? And when the main news comes out, the effect might be so minimal or insignificant. That's the market for you, it moves psychologically. Now, what happened last year was the situation of the ETF news meeting the preparedness of investors as Halving was fast approaching. The mood was already there, the ETF was just a catalyst even as it had not helped with a single ETF inflow then. The fact that people did not want to miss out on buying Bitcoin at a better price caused FOMO in the market at the time, which was what was responsible for the bull run we witnessed in the market. It was purely speculative and not about the ETF directly adding the money per se. Ever since, what meaningful inflow has the ETF attracted to the Bitcoin market? We should know the sentiment of the market from an event. Bitcoin is an open market that is very accessible, unlike Gold and others who need more of ETF. For me, the effect of ETF in attracting money to Bitcoin through the ETF company is what I am still doubtful to be as huge as people expected.